• 제목/요약/키워드: mortality trend

검색결과 202건 처리시간 0.022초

Mid-term (2009-2019) demographic dynamics of young beech forest in Albongbunji Basin, Ulleungdo, South Korea

  • Cho, Yong-Chan;Sim, Hyung Seok;Jung, Songhie;Kim, Han-Gyeoul;Kim, Jun-Soo;Bae, Kwan-Ho
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
    • /
    • 제44권4호
    • /
    • pp.241-255
    • /
    • 2020
  • Background: The stem exclusion stage is a stage of forest development that is important for understanding the subsequent understory reinitiation stage and maturation stage during which horizontal heterogeneity is formed. Over the past 11 years (2009-2019), we observed a deciduous broad-leaved forest in the Albongbunji Basin in Ulleungdo, South Korea in its stem exclusion stage, where Fagus engleriana (Engler's beech) is the dominant species, thereby analyzing the changes in the structure (density and size distributions), function (biomass and species richness), and demographics. Results: The mean stem density data presented a bell-shaped curve with initially increasing, peaking, and subsequently decreasing trends in stem density over time, and the mean biomass data showed a sigmoidal pattern indicating that the rate of biomass accumulation slowed over time. Changes in the density and biomass of Fagus engleriana showed a similar trend to the changes in density and biomass at the community level, which is indicative of the strong influence of this species on the changing patterns of forest structure and function. Around 2015, a shift between recruitment and mortality rates was observed. Deterministic processes were the predominant cause of tree mortality in our study; however, soil deposition that began in 2017 in some of the quadrats resulted in an increase in the contribution of stochastic processes (15% in 2019) to tree mortality. The development of horizontal heterogeneity was observed in forest gaps. Conclusions: Our observations showed a dramatic shift between the recruitment and mortality rates in the stem exclusion stage, and that disturbance increases the uncertainty in forest development increases. The minor changes in species composition are likely linked to regional species pool and the limited role of the life-history strategy of species such as shade tolerance and habitat affinity. Our midterm records of ecological succession exhibited detailed demographic dynamics and contributed to the improvement of an ecological perspective in the stem exclusion stage.

도시 농촌간 결핵 표준화사망률 변화양상 비교 (A Comparative Study of Tuberculosis Mortality Rate between Urban and Rural Area)

  • 강문영;나백주;이무식;김건엽;홍지영;김은영;심영빈
    • 농촌의학ㆍ지역보건
    • /
    • 제30권2호
    • /
    • pp.127-135
    • /
    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 결핵관리사업의 중요한 지표인 결핵사망률의 증가와 감소를 전국, 지역(대도시, 일반시, 군지역)별로 연도별 결핵 표준화사망률의 변화 양상을 확인하고자 시행되었으며, 1995년부터 2002년까지의 결핵사망자를 사망신고상 주소지를 기준으로 기초자치단체별로 분류하였고 2000년 현재 236개의 기초자치단체 중 도농통합시로 통합개편되었거나 분리되어 분석이 어려운 기초자치단체 4곳을 제외한 232개 시군구의 결핵사망자를 최종 분석 대상으로 선정하였다. 분석 대상은 연령보정 직접 표준화법을 사용하여 결핵 표준화사망률을 산출하였고, 각 지역별 연도별 결핵 표준화사망률의 변화를 그래프와 표로 관찰해보았다. 전국, 지역(대도시, 일반시, 군지역)별로 연도별 결핵 표준화사망률의 증감 추이를 모형적 정성 검정을 이용하여 연도별 결핵 표준화사망률의 변화 곡석의 양상을 확인하였고, 1995-1998년의 결핵 표준화사망률과 1999-2002년의 결핵 표준화사망률을 4년씩 묶어 이 두 기간 사이의 변화량을 알아보기 위해 분산분석 및 사후검정을 실시하였다. 수집된 자료는 SPSS 100판을 이용하였다. 1. 전국 결핵사망률의 변화를 추이해 보면 조율과 표준화율 모두에서 꾸준하게 감소하는 양상을 보이다가, 1999년을 정점으로 그 감소폭이 둔화되고 있는 양상을 보였다. 2. 지역을 대도시, 일반시, 군지역으로 분류하고 1995-1998년과 1999-2002년으로 4년씩 묶어 이 두 기간의 결핵 표준화사망률 변화를 살펴보면, 분산분석을 실시하였을 때 1995-1998년의 군지역의 사망률은 다른 지역들에 비해 유이하게 높게 나타났으나 1999-2002년의 군지역의 사망률도 여전히 높게 나타났다. 3. 지역별 결핵 표준화사망률의 모형적정성 검정 결과를 살펴보면, 대도시지역의 경우 일차함수적으로 꾸준히 감소하고, 일반시의 경우 일차함수적으로 감소하고 있기는 하지만 그 감소폭이 다소 둔화되는 양상을 보였다. 군지역의 경우 이차함수 모형에서 유의하게 나타났다. 연도별 결핵 표준화사망률의 감소경향이 지역별로 다른 양상을 나타내는 것을 알 수 있었다. 각 지역별로 꾸준히 감소하고는 있었지만 1999년을 정점으로 대부분의 지역에서 그 감소가 둔화되는 모습을 보여주었다. 이러한 현상은 군지역에서 더욱 뚜렷하게 볼 수 있었는데 이에 대한 추가 연구가 필요하며 지역별로 차별화된 결핵사업 전략이 필요함을 시사하였다.

  • PDF

Compare the Intracranial Pressure Trend after the Decompressive Craniectomy between Massive Intracerebral Hemorrhagic and Major Ischemic Stroke Patients

  • Huh, Joon;Yang, Seo-Yeon;Huh, Han-Yong;Ahn, Jae-Kun;Cho, Kwang-Wook;Kim, Young-Woo;Kim, Sung-Lim;Kim, Jong-Tae;Yoo, Do-Sung;Park, Hae-Kwan;Ji, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
    • /
    • 제61권1호
    • /
    • pp.42-50
    • /
    • 2018
  • Objective : Massive intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and major infarction (MI) are devastating cerebral vascular diseases. Decompression craniectomy (DC) is a common treatment approach for these diseases and acceptable clinical results have been reported. Author experienced the postoperative intracranaial pressure (ICP) trend is somewhat different between the ICH and MI patients. In this study, we compare the ICP trend following DC and evaluate the clinical significance. Methods : One hundred forty-three patients who underwent DC following massive ICH (81 cases) or MI (62 cases) were analyzed retrospectively. The mean age was $56.3{\pm}14.3$ (median=57, male : female=89 : 54). DC was applied using consistent criteria in both diseases patients; Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score less than 8 and a midline shift more than 6 mm on brain computed tomography. In all patients, ventricular puncture was done before the DC and ICP trends were monitored during and after the surgery. Outcome comparisons included the ictus to operation time (OP-time), postoperative ICP trend, favorable outcomes and mortality. Results : Initial GCS (p=0.364) and initial ventricular ICP (p=0.783) were similar among the ICH and MI patients. The postoperative ICP of ICH patients were drop rapidly and maintained within physiological range if greater than 80% of the hematoma was removed. While in MI patients, the postoperative ICP were not drop rapidly and maintained above the physiologic range (MI=18.8 vs. ICH=13.6 mmHg, p=0.000). The OP-times were faster in ICH patients (ICH=7.3 vs. MI=40.9 hours, p=0.000) and the mortality rate was higher in MI patients (MI=37.1% vs. ICH=17.3%, p=0.007). Conclusion : The results of this study suggest that if greater than 80% of the hematoma was removed in ICH patients, the postoperative ICP rarely over the physiologic range. But in MI patients, the postoperative ICP was above the physiologic range for several days after the DC. Authors propose that DC is no need for the massive ICH patient if a significant portion of their hematoma is removed. But DC might be essential to improve the MI patients' outcome and timely treatment decision.

Esophageal Cancer in Brunei Darussalam over a three Decade Period: an Epidemiologic Study of Trends and Differences between Genders and Racial Groups

  • Chong, Vui Heng;Telisinghe, Pemasari Upali;Chong, Chee Fui
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제16권9호
    • /
    • pp.4123-4126
    • /
    • 2015
  • Background: Carcinoma of the esophagus is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The most common subtype is squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). In the past three decades, the incidence of SCC has been reported to be decreasing whereas esophageal adenocarcinoma (AC) is increasing. This study assessed the trend of esophageal cancer in Brunei Darussalam over a three decades period. Materials and Methods: The National Cancer registry was searched for esophageal cancers from 1986 to 2012. Data on age, gender, racial groups (Malays, Chinese, Indigenous and foreign nationals) and histology type were collected. The rate (ASR) and Age Specific Incidence rate (ASIR) were calculated. Results: The predominant tumor type was SCC which accounted for 89% of all esophageal cancer. The gender ratio was 2.25: 1 (male: female) and the mean age at diagnosis was $66.9{\pm}12.9$ years, significantly younger for esophageal AC ($57.2{\pm}16.0$) compared to SCC ($68.1{\pm}12.0$, p<0.05), and among the foreign nationals (p<0.05 for trend). The proportions of SCC among all esophageal cancers in the various racial groups were: Malays (87.8%), Chinese (100%), Indigenous (100%) and foreign nationals (20%). None of the Chinese and Indigenous groups were diagnosed with esophageal AC. The overall ASR for esophageal cancer was 2.1/100,000; 2.0/100,000 for SCC with a declining trend and 0.17/100,000 for esophageal AC, without any trend observed. Among the two major racial groups; the Chinese has higher ASR (3.42/100,000) compared to the Malays (ASR 0.95/100,000). Conclusions: SCC is the predominant tumor type of esophageal cancer in Brunei Darussalam and more common among the Chinese. There was a declining trend in the incidence of SCC but not for esophageal AC.

서울시 대기오염과 일별 사망의 상관성에 관한 시계열적 연구 (1998∼2001년) (A Time-Series Study of Ambient Air Pollution in Relation to Daily Mortality in Seoul, 1998∼2001)

  • 조용성;이종태;김윤신;홍승철;김호;하은희;박혜숙;이보은
    • 한국대기환경학회지
    • /
    • 제19권6호
    • /
    • pp.625-637
    • /
    • 2003
  • This study was performed to examine the relationship between air pollution exposure and mortality in Seoul for the years of 1998∼2001. Daily counts of death were analyzed by general additive Poisson model, with adjustment for effects of seasonal trend, air temperature, humidity, and day of the week as confounders in a nonparametric approach. Daily death counts were associated with CO (current day),O$_3$ (current day), PM$_{10}$ (current day), NO$_2$ (1 day before), SO$_2$ (1 day before). Increase of 41.71 $\mu\textrm{g}$/㎥ (interquartile range) in PM$_{10}$ was associated with 1.3% (95% CI = 0.7∼1.9%) increase in the daily number of death. $O_3$ concentrations resulted in an increased risk of 1.3% for 23.86 ppb in all-aged mortality [RR = 1.013 (1.004-1.023)1. This effect was greater in children (less than 15 aged) and elderly (more than 65 aged). After ozone level exceeds 25 ppb, the dose-response relationship between mortality and ozone was almost linear. We concluded that Seoul had 1∼5% increase in mortality in association with IQR (interquartile range) in air pollutants. Daily variations in air pollution within the range currently occurring in Seoul might have an adverse effect on daily mortality. These findings also support the hypothesis that air pollution, at levels below the current ambient air quality standards of Korea, is harmful to sensitive subjects, such as children or elderly.rly.

Short-term Associations of Air Pollution with Postneonatal Infant Death in Seoul, Korea, 1999-2003

  • Lee, Jong-Tae;Cho, Yong-Sung;Son, Ji-Young
    • 한국환경보건학회지
    • /
    • 제34권5호
    • /
    • pp.361-368
    • /
    • 2008
  • Objective to assess whether exposure to air pollutants is associated with postneonatal infant death, using a timeseries methodology, between 1999 and 2003 in Seoul, Korea.. Methods We investigated the short-term effects of air pollution for 548,725 live births during the study period. The daily count of postneonatal infant deaths from all causes and from SIDS (sudden infant death syndrome) by birth order was analyzed by a Generalized Additive Poisson model, with controlling for the effects of seasonal trends, air temperature, relative humidity, barometric pressure, and day of the week as covariates. Results During the study period, we observed 699 deaths from all causes and 47 deaths from SIDS. We did not find any significant associations between daily mortality and ambient levels of air pollutants except for CO and $NO_2$. The estimated relative risk of postneonatal infant death from all causes was 1.17 (95% CI=1.04-1.32) and 1.16 (95% CI=1.03-1.29) by IQR (interquartile range) for CO and $NO_2$ respectively. Also, we observed no clear trend of the mortality effects of air pollution by birth orders. Conclusion In conclusion, our findings suggest that air pollution, in general, influenced adversely postneonatal infant death from all-cause and SIDS although it was not statistically significant. This study may support that the rationale.

클러스터 분석을 통한 종관기단분류 및 서울에서의 일 사망률과의 관련성 연구 (Synoptic Air Mass Classification Using Cluster Analysis and Relation to Daily Mortality in Seoul, South Korea)

  • 김지영;이대근;최병철;박일수
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제17권1호
    • /
    • pp.45-53
    • /
    • 2007
  • In order to investigate the impacts of heat wave on human health, cluster analysis of meteorological elements (e.g., temperature, dewpoint, sea level pressure, visibility, cloud amount, and wind components) for identifying offensive synoptic air masses is employed. Meteorological data at Seoul during the past 30 years are used. The daily death data at Seoul are also employed. Occurrence frequency of heat waves which is defined by daily maximum temperature greater than the threshold temperature (i.e., $31.2^{\circ}C$) was analyzed. The result shows that the frequency and duration of heat waves at Seoul are increasing during the past 30 years. In addition, the increasing trend of the frequency and duration clearly appears in late spring and early autumn as well as summer. Factor analysis shows that 65.1% of the total variance can be explained by 4 components which are linearly independent. Eight clusters (or synoptic air masses) were classified and found to be optimal for representing the summertime air masses at Seoul, Korea. The results exhibit that cluster-mean values of meteorological variables of an offensive air mass (or cluster) are closely correlated with the observed and standardized deaths.

ICR 마우스의 태아(胎兒)에 대(對)한 방사선(放射線)과 초음파(超音波)의 공동효과(共同效果)에 관한 실험적(實驗的) 검토(檢討) (Combined Effects of Radiation and Ultrasound on Embryonic Development in Mice)

  • 구연화
    • 대한방사선기술학회지:방사선기술과학
    • /
    • 제14권2호
    • /
    • pp.37-44
    • /
    • 1991
  • The combined effect of radiation and ultrasound has been studied in mouse embryos. Radiation and/or ultrasound were adminstered to ICR mice on day 8 of gestation. Intrauterine death, gross malformation, and fetal body weight were selected as indicators of effects. Does of whole-body ${\gamma}-irradiation$ were 0.5 to 2.5 Gy and those of ultrasound were $0.5\;W/cm^2$ to $3\;W/cm^2$. Intrautrine mortality increased with increasing radiation dose ; this trend was more remarkable in combination with ultrasound. Gross malformations such as exencephaly and anophthalmia/microphthalmia appeared frequently in the fetuses treated with both radiation and ultrasound. Decreased fetal weight was observed even in mice treated with 1.5 Gy of radiation or $1\;W/cm^2$ of ultrasound. There was a linear relationship between dose and reduction of fetal weight. The fetal weight was sensitive, precise and easy-to-handle indicator for the effects of growth retardation. Intrauterine mortality and frequencies of exencephaly and anophthalmia/microphthalmia were higher than the sum of those induced by radiation and by ultrasound. The results indicatied that the combined action of radiation and ultrasound on intrauterine death and malformations was synergistic.

  • PDF

Analysis of suicide statistics and trends between 2011 and 2021 among Korean women

  • Hyunjung Jang;Seokmin Lee;Sanghee Park;Bobae Kang;Hyunkyung Choi
    • 여성건강간호학회지
    • /
    • 제29권4호
    • /
    • pp.348-356
    • /
    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aims to analyze the number of suicide deaths in women, trends in suicide mortality, characteristics of suicide by age, and outcomes of suicide means over the past decade (2011-2021) in South Korea. Methods: Using cause of death data from Statistics Korea, an in-depth analysis of Korean women's suicide trends was conducted for the period of 2011-2021. Results: In 2021, women's suicide death in Korea was 4,159, a rate of 16.2 per 100,000 population. The rate increased by 1.4% from the previous year. Since 2011, women's suicide rate has been on a steady downward trend, but since 2018, it has been on the rise again. Suicide rates among women in their 20s and 30s have increased, especially since the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, and suicide rates among women over 70 years remain high. As compared to 2011, pesticide poisoning and hanging among the means of suicide have decreased significantly, while drug and carbon monoxide continue to increase. Conclusion: Suicide rates for Korean women in their 20s and 30s have increased significantly in recent years, and those for women over 70 years remain high. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate the causes and establish national policies for targeted management of these age groups, which contributes significantly to the rising suicide rate among Korean women.

Trend Analysis of Gastrointestinal Cancer Incidences in Guilan Province: Comparing Rates over 15 Years

  • Atrkar-Roushan, Zahra;Kazemnejad, Anoshirvan;Mansour-Ghanaei, Fariborz;Zayeri, Farid
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제14권12호
    • /
    • pp.7587-7593
    • /
    • 2013
  • Background: Cancers of gastric and esophagus are the most frequent gastrointestinal (GI) tract cancers in Iran. This study aimed to analyze time trends of GI tract cancers in Guilan province by gender and age to provide solid scientific evidence for cancer prevention and control. Materials and Methods: The data were obtained from the Guilan Cancer Registry System and Guilan Provincial Health Center, over the 15 year period between 1997 and 2011. Crude incidence and age standardized (AS)incidence rates were calculated and annual percent change was estimated by Joinpoint software for long term trend analysis. Results: During the study period, 8,332 cases of GI malignances with a male to female ratio of 1:1.73 were registered in Guilan province. The AS rates for esophageal, gastric, colon and rectal cancers were 5.97, 14.5, 7.59 and 3.58 per 105 respectively. While the trend was declining and relatively constant for esophageal and gastric cancer, respectively, the incidence trend for colon and rectal cancers was of increase over the period of the study. Conclusions: The results indicated that the incidence of GI cancers was relatively low in Guilan province compared to neighboring provinces. An effective cancer control program including prevention measures, early detection and effective treatment needs to be implemented to reduce cancer morbidity and mortality.