• Title/Summary/Keyword: monte carlo method

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Effects of Reflectors and Receivers on the Thermal Performance of Dish-Type Solar Power Systems

  • Ma, D.S.;Kim, Y.;Seo, T.B.;Kang, Y.H.;Han, G.Y.
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.662-667
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    • 2007
  • The thermal performance comparisons of the dish solar collector system are numerically investigated with mirror arrays and receiver shapes. In order to compare the performances of the dish solar collector systems, six different mirror arrays and four different receiver shapes are considered and the radiative heat flux distribution on the inside of the receiver is analyzed. A parabolic-shaped perfect mirror of which diameter is 1.5 m is considered as a reference of the mirror arrays. Five different mirror arrays of twelve identical parabolic -shaped mirror facets of which diameter are 0.4 m are proposed in this study. Their reflecting areas, which are 1.5 $m^2$, are the same. Four different receiver shapes are a dome, a conical, a cylindrical and a unicorn type. The solar irradiation reflected by mirrors is traced using the Monte-Carlo method. In addition, the radiative properties of the mirror surface can vary the thermal performance of the dish solar collector system so that the effects of the surface reflectivity and the surface absorptivity are considered. Based on the calculation, the design information of dish solar collector system for producing the electric power can be obtained. The results show that the dome type has the best performance in receiver shapes and the 2AND4INLINE has the best performance in mirror arrays except the perfect mirror.

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Acoustical backscattering strength characteristics and density estimates of Japanese common squid distributed in Yellow Sea (황해에 분포하는 살오징어의 음향산란강도 특성 및 분포밀도 추정)

  • Lee, Kyoung-Hoon;Choi, Jung-Hwa;Shin, Jong-Keun;Chang, Dae-Soo;Park, Seong-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.157-164
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    • 2009
  • Due to change of various marine environments according to seawater temperature rising, Japanese common squid(Todarodes pacificus), which was distributed in East Sea, was recently caught in Yellow Sea during a summer season from 2006. The fishery resources density research was carried out in Korea-China Provisional Water Zone using trawl fishing gear and acoustics in National Fisheries Research & Development Institute in Korea. This paper showed the analysis on the acoustical backscattering strength by two frequencies(38kHz, 120kHz) for Japanese common squid by acoustical scattering theoretical model based on size distribution for survey period, and estimate the density distribution for squid s integrated layer which was extracted from any scatterers distributed in water column using two frequency difference method which has been used to distinguish fish shoals or specific target scatterers from sound scattering layer which is composed of various zooplankton. Furthermore, the entire range of their density estimation was suggested using by Monte Carlo simulation under considering each uncertainty such as size distributions or swimming angle and so on in survey area.

Weighted Integral Method for an Estimation of Displacement COV of Laminated Composite Plates (복합적층판의 변위 변동계수 산정을 위한 가중적분법)

  • Noh, Hyuk-Chun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Advanced Composite Structures
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2010
  • In addition to the Young's modulus, the Poisson's ratio is also at the center of attention in the field stochastic finite element analysis since the parameters play an important role in determining structural behavior. Accordingly, the sole effect of this parameter on the response variability is of importance from the perspective of estimation of uncertain response. To this end, a formulation to determine the response variability in laminate composite plates due to the spatial randomness of Poisson's ratio is suggested. The independent contributions of random Poisson's ratiocan be captured in terms of sub-matrices which include the effect of the random parameter in the same order, which can be attained by using the Taylor's series expansion about the mean of the parameter. In order to validate the adequacy of the proposed formulation, several example analyses are performed, and then the results are compared with Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). A good agreement between the suggested scheme and MCS is observed showing the adequacy of the scheme.

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Prelinimary Engagement Effect Analysis of Isotropic Kinetic Energy Warhead (등방성 운동에너지 탄두의 교전 효과 예비 분석)

  • Shim, Sang-Wook;Hong, Seong-Min;Seo, Min-Guk;Tahk, Min-Jea
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.440-448
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    • 2015
  • Kinetic energy(KE) rod warhead system is a new interceptor which combines advantages of existing ones. This system is less dependant on a precision guidance than direct hit type warhead and gives high penetration rates than blast fragmentation type warhead. In this paper, isotropic KE rod warhead system is introduced with detonation/deployment model. A penetration effects of the deployed rods are calculated using TATE penetration equation. Also, an engagement performance analysis method is suggested. Finally, an optimal detonation time and engagement geometry is derived by Monte-Carlo simulation in various engagement situation using the performance analysis factor.

A Study on the Availability Modelling and Assessment with Failure Density Function of Major Equipment for a Sewage Treatment Plant (하수처리장 주요 기자재의 고장확률밀도함수를 이용한 가용도 모델링 및 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hong-Cheol;Kwak, Pilljae;Lee, Hyundong;Hwang, In-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.35 no.11
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    • pp.763-768
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    • 2013
  • The simulation investigation on the availability with failure density function of major equipment for a sewage treatment plant has been carried out. This study focuses on the availability of the plant and criticality with equipment module induced by component layout and its failure function. The equipment classification of sewage treatment plant and its failure function are established. Also solution methodologies are introduced as Monte-Carlo simulation method and event algorithm for uncertainty problem. The availability in the case of serial connection of equipment with all exponential function is calculated as around 50.4%. In other case of parallel combination with back up equipment, the availability showed over 80.1%. The criticality that a ffects availability showed high value over 77% in the dehydration and concentration process of sludge.

Spatial Dose Distribution for Diagnostic X-ray Examination within X-ray Room using the MCNPX Program (MCNPX 프로그램을 통한 일반 X선 검사 시 검사실 내 공간선량분포)

  • Lee, Dong-yeon;Lee, Jin-soo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.298-306
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    • 2015
  • This study is the material of the additional filter(Cu, Ni, CaWO4, Gd+Ba) being used when the diagnosis X-ray was varied to evaluate the spatial dose distribution accordingly. And it suggest to find a suitable material. Experiments using MCNPX program based on the Monte Carlo simulation method was carried out by selecting the chest and abdomen taken. As a result, each material per dose, the average scatter dose is approximately 62%, 100 cm radius of the point of the simulated body surface exposure dose and 50 cm radius centered on the point average about 47%. It is determined that an Al material is currently available in accordance with the result to be replaced by Cu, Ni material is sufficient. With just the thickness due to the difference in the atomic number and density adjusted to be about one-tenth of the Al it will be suitable.

On Confidence Intervals of Robust Regression Estimators (로버스트 회귀추정에 의한 신뢰구간 구축)

  • Lee Dong-Hee;Park You-Sung;Kim Kee-Whan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.97-110
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    • 2006
  • Since it is well-established that even high quality data tend to contain outliers, one would expect fat? greater reliance on robust regression techniques than is actually observed. But most of all robust regression estimators suffers from the computational difficulties and the lower efficiency than the least squares under the normal error model. The weighted self-tuning estimator (WSTE) recently suggested by Lee (2004) has no more computational difficulty and it has the asymptotic normality and the high break-down point simultaneously. Although it has better properties than the other robust estimators, WSTE does not have full efficiency under the normal error model through the weighted least squares which is widely used. This paper introduces a new approach as called the reweighted WSTE (RWSTE), whose scale estimator is adaptively estimated by the self-tuning constant. A Monte Carlo study shows that new approach has better behavior than the general weighted least squares method under the normal model and the large data.

A Robust Test for Location Parameters in Multivariate Data (다변량 자료에서 위치모수에 대한 로버스트 검정)

  • So, Sun-Ha;Lee, Dong-Hee;Jung, Byoung-Cheo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1355-1364
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    • 2009
  • This work propose a robust test for location parameters in multivariate data based on MVE and MCD with the affine equivariance and the high-breakdown properties. We consider the hypothesis testing satisfying high efficiency and high test power simultaneously to bring in the one-step reweighting procedure upon high-breakdown estimators, which generally suffer from the low efficiency and, as a result, usually used only in the exploratory analysis. Monte Carlo study shows that the suggested method retains nominal significance levels and higher testing power without regard to various population distributions than a Hotelling's $T^2$ test. In an example, a data set containing known outliers does not make an influence toward our proposal, while it renders a Hotelling's $T^2$ useless.

Plastic scintillator beta ray scanner for in-situ discrimination of beta ray and gamma ray radioactivity in soil

  • Bae, Jun Woo;Kim, Hee Reyoung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.1259-1265
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    • 2020
  • A beta ray scanner was proposed for in-situ discrimination of beta and gamma ray radioactivity. This scanner is based on the principle that gamma and beta rays experience different changes in detection efficiency in scintillators with different geometries, especially with regard to the scintillator thickness. The ratios of the counting rates of gamma rays (Rgamma), beta rays (Rbeta), and sample measurements (Rtotal) in a thick scintillator to those in a thin one are reported. The parameter Xthick, which represents the counting rate contributed by beta rays to the total counting rate in the thick scintillator, was derived as a function of those ratios. The values of Rgamma and Rbeta for 60Co and 90Sr sources were estimated as 3.2 ± 0.057 and 0.99 ± 0.0049, respectively. The estimated beta ray contributions had relative standard deviations of 2.05-4.96%. The estimated range of the beta rays emitted from 90Sr was 19 mm as per the Monte Carlo N-Particle simulation, and this value was experimentally verified. Homogeneous and surface contaminations of 60Co and 90Sr-90Y were simulated for application of the proposed method. The counting rate contributed by the beta rays was derived and found to be proportional to the concentration of 90Sr-90Y contamination.

Childrens' Health Risk Assessment on Indoor Hazardous Air Pollutants of Preschool Facility (유아교육시설 내 실내공기유해오염물질에 대한 어린이 건강위해성평가)

  • Koh, Yeon-Jung;Kim, Shin-Do;Park, Suk-Young;Jang, Seong-Ki
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2009
  • In this study, the hazard rate of the indoor environment of Children's Educational Facilities in Seoul was conducted, in order to determine how the indoor environments of these facilities, where infants and children spend the most time of their away from home day, can effect their health. The way of measurement and analysis were done according to the Indoor Air Quality Standard Method, and the Risk Assessment was accomplished with several significant ways - Hazard Identification, Exposure Assessment, Dose-response Assessment, Risk Characterization, which are deighed by National Research Council (NRC). On each exposure factors, documentary and questionary research such as Epidemiological study and Toxicological study were conducted. The result of the CTE (Central tendency exposure) of Formaldehyde and Benzene by Monte-Carlo simulation was $6.79{\times}10^{-6}$, $2.50{\times}10^{-7}$ which in the case of Formaldehyde exceeded the permitted standard ($10^{-6}$) of the US EPA. The RME(Reasonable maximum exposure) was $7.31{\times}10^{-5}$, $2.65{\times}10^{-6}$ which did not exceed $10^{-4}$, the maximum permitted standards in the US EPA.