• Title/Summary/Keyword: monte carlo evaluation

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The Study for Selection of the Optimum Route by Economic Analyses (설계의 경제성 분석을 통한 최적노선 선정방안 연구 - OO경전철 민간투자사업 사례연구 -)

  • Kwon, Suk-Hyun;Seo, Sung-Han;Lee, Dong-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.128-138
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    • 2008
  • VE of the scripture season enterprises and it respected LCC analyzes from the research which it sees and to use AHP techniques and definite LCC techniques and probabilistic LCC techniques selects the optimum route the case study which it executed. It presented the quality rating model in about the resultant most route lascivious at the time of VE evaluation, in order to select the alternative of optimum AHP techniques which are one in decision-making technique and an evaluation item by weight and a grade it applied the mountaintop it did. Also the definite LCC analyzer law departments of existing together it applied the probabilistic LCC techniques which use Monte Carlo Simulation in about analytical prices and reliability height boil. The economical efficiency was excellent with VE/LCC analytical resultant route and facility size abridgment, the rivers most it will be able to minimize an environmental effect with short distance traverse, the selection this hit preparation LCC which separates from the land use side decreased, the value (V) above 22.0% with the fact that it improves. And, the reliability of the probabilistic LCC analytical resultant analytical results in compliance with Monte Carlo Simulation with 90.3% was very analyzed with the fact that it is a high level.

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Probabilistic sensitivity of base-isolated buildings to uncertainties

  • Gazi, Hatice;Alhan, Cenk
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.441-457
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    • 2018
  • Characteristic parameter values of seismic isolators deviate from their nominal design values due to uncertainties and/or errors in their material properties and element dimensions, etc. Deviations may increase over service life due to environmental effects and service conditions. For accurate evaluation of the seismic safety level, all such effects, which would result in deviations in the structural response, need to be taken into account. In this study, the sensitivity of the probability of failure of the structures equipped with nonlinear base isolation systems to the uncertainties in various isolation system characteristic parameters is investigated in terms of various isolation system and superstructure response parameters in the context of a realistic three-dimensional base-isolated building model via Monte Carlo Simulations. The inherent record-to-record variability nature of the earthquake ground motions is also taken into account by carrying out analyses for a large number of ground motion records which are classified as those with and without forward-directivity effects. Two levels of nominal isolation periods each with three different levels of uncertainty are considered. Comparative plots of cumulative distribution functions and related statistical evaluation presented here portray the potential extent of the deviation of the structural response parameters resulting from the uncertainties and the uncertainty levels considered, which is expected to be useful for practicing engineers in evaluating isolator test results for their projects.

An efficient simulation method for reliability analysis of systems with expensive-to-evaluate performance functions

  • Azar, Bahman Farahmand;Hadidi, Ali;Rafiee, Amin
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.979-999
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes a novel reliability analysis method which computes reliability index, most probable point and probability of failure of uncertain systems more efficiently and accurately with compared to Monte Carlo, first-order reliability and response surface methods. It consists of Initial and Simulation steps. In Initial step, a number of space-filling designs are selected throughout the variables space, and then in Simulation step, performances of most of samples are estimated via interpolation using the space-filling designs, and only for a small number of the samples actual performance function is used for evaluation. In better words, doing so, we use a simple interpolation function called "reduced" function instead of the actual expensive-to-evaluate performance function of the system to evaluate most of samples. By using such a reduced function, total number of evaluations of actual performance is significantly reduced; hence, the method can be called Reduced Function Evaluations method. Reliabilities of six examples including series and parallel systems with multiple failure modes with truncated and/or non-truncated random variables are analyzed to demonstrate efficiency, accuracy and robustness of proposed method. In addition, a reliability-based design optimization algorithm is proposed and an example is solved to show its good performance.

Performance Evaluation of Symbol Timing Algorithm for QPSK Modulation Technique in Digital Receiver (QPSK변조기법을 위한 Digital 수신기의 심볼동기 알고리즘 성능평가)

  • 송재철;고성찬;최형진
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.1299-1310
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    • 1992
  • Recently, digital realizations of timing recovery circuits for digital data transmission are of growing interest. As a result of digital realization of timing recovery circuits, new digital algorithms for timing error detection are required. In this paper, we present a new digital Angular Form(AF) algorithm which can be directly applied to QPSK modulation technique. AF algorithm is basically developed on the concepts of detected angle form and transition logic table. We evaluated the performance of this algorithm by Monte-Carlo simulation method under Gaussian and Impulsive noise environments. From the performance evaluation result, we show that the performance of AF Algorithm is better than that of Gardner in BER, RMS jitter, S-curve.

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Probabilistic models for curvature ductility and moment redistribution of RC beams

  • Baji, Hassan;Ronagh, Hamid Reza
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.191-207
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    • 2015
  • It is generally accepted that, in the interest of safety, it is essential to provide a minimum level of flexural ductility, which will allow energy dissipation and moment redistribution as required. If one wishes to be uniformly conservative across all of the design variables, curvature ductility and moment redistribution factor should be calculated using a probabilistic method, as is the case for other design parameters in reinforced concrete mechanics. In this study, simple expressions are derived for the evaluation of curvature ductility and moment redistribution factor, based on the concept of demand and capacity rotation. Probabilistic models are then derived for both the curvature ductility and the moment redistribution factor, by means of central limit theorem and through taking advantage of the specific behaviour of moment redistribution factor as a function of curvature ductility and plastic hinge length. The Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) method is used to check and verify the results of the proposed method. Although some minor simplifications are made in the proposed method, there is a very good agreement between the MCS and the proposed method. The proposed method could be used in any future probabilistic evaluation of curvature ductility and moment redistribution factors.

Evaluation of Absorbed Dose According to Nanoparticle Density During the Breast Cancer Brachytherapy (유방암 근접치료 시 나노입자의 밀도에 따른 흡수선량 평가)

  • Lee, Deuk-Hee;Nam, Ji-Hee;Kim, Jung-Hoon
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.131-135
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of brachytherapy of breast cancer by dose assessment which a steady increased in Korea women. The dose assessment was performed using the MCNPX program, a MonteCarlo simulation technique. The sources used for brachytherapy was 192Ir. And nanoparticle which used for dose enhancement was gold. The density of nanoparticle was 7, 18 and 30 mg. Evaluation of absorbed dose according to distance is measured at a distance of 30, 50, 100 and 200 cm from the patient. As a result, The breast absorbed dose results increased in proportion to the density of nanoparticle. And the surrounding organs were not significantly different according to the density. But, in some organs, the absorbed dose decreased as the density of nanoparticles increased. Absorbed dose according to the distance was in inverse proportion to distance.

Evaluation of Bolus Applicability through Dose Evaluation According to 3D Print Materials (3D 프린트 소재에 따른 선량평가를 통한 볼루스 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Jung-Hoon;Lee, Deuk-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2019
  • Among the 4th Industrial Revolution technologies, evaluated bolus applicability through dose assesment according to the materials of 3D printing technology. Dose assesment was using MCNPX which was applied Monte Carlo method and 3D print materials were ABS, PC and PLA. Thus, the thickness with the same effect as the bolus 10 mm was found to be ABS 10 mm, PC 9 mm and PLA 9 mm for the 6 MeV electron. For 6 MV X-ray, ABS 11 mm, PC 10 mm and PLA 9 mm were shown. This study showed that tissue equivalent materials made from 3D printer materials can replace bolus.

Evaluation of TlBr semiconductor detector in gamma camera imaging: Monte Carlo simulation study

  • Youngjin Lee;Chanrok Park
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.12
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    • pp.4652-4659
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    • 2022
  • Among the detector materials available at room temperature, thallium bromide (TlBr), which has a relatively high atomic number and density, is widely used for gamma camera imaging. This study aimed to verify the usefulness of TlBr through quantitative evaluation by modeling detectors of various compound types using Monte Carlo simulations. The Geant4 application for tomographic emission was used for simulation, and detectors based on cadmium zinc telluride and cadmium telluride materials were selected as a comparison group. A pixel-matched parallel-hole collimator with proven excellent performance was modeled, and phantoms used for quality control in nuclear medicine were used. The signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), contrast to noise ratio (CNR), sensitivity, and full width at half maximum (FWHM) were used for quantitative analysis to evaluate the image quality. The SNR, CNR, sensitivity, and FWHM for the TlBr detector material were approximately 1.05, 1.04, 1.41, and 1.02 times, respectively, higher than those of the other detector materials. The SNR, CNR and sensitivity increased with increasing detector thickness, but the spatial resolution in terms of FWHM decreased. Thus, we demonstrated the feasibility and possibility of using the TlBr detector material in comparison with commercial detector materials.

Evaluation Study of LCOE for 8 MW Offshore Floating Wind Turbine in Ulsan Region (울산 앞바다 8 MW급 부유식 해상풍력터빈의 LCOE 연구 )

  • Dong Hoon Lee;Hee Chang Lim
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2023
  • The commercialization has been of great importance to the clean energy research sector for investing the wind farm development, but it would be difficult to reach a social consensus on the need to expand the economic feasibility of renewable energy due to the lack of reliable and continuous information on levelized cost of Energy (LCOE). Regarding this fact, this paper presents the evaluation of LCOE, focusing on Ulsan offshore region targeting to build the first floating offshore wind farm. Energy production is estimated by the meteorology data combined with the Leanwind Project power curve of an exemplar wind turbine. This work aims to analyze the costs of the Capex depending on site-specific variables. The cost of final LCOE was estimated by using Monte-Carlo method, and it became an average range 297,090 KRW/MWh, a minimum of 251,080 KRW/MWh, and a maximum of 341,910 KRW/MWh. In the year 2021, the SMP (system marginal price) and 4.5 REC (renewable energy certificate) can be paid if 1 MWh of electricity is generated by renewable energy. Considering current SMP and REC price, the floating platform industry, which can earn around 502,000 KRW/MWh, can be finally estimated highly competitive in the Korean market.

Study of Radiation dose Evaluation using Monte Carlo Simulation while Treating Extrahepatic Bile Duct Cancer with High Dose Rate Intraluminal Brachytherapy (간외 담도암 고선량률 관내근접방사선치료 시 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 통한 주변장기의 선량평가 연구)

  • Park, Ju-Kyeong;Lee, Seung-Hoon;Cha, Seok-Yong;Lee, Sun-Young
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.467-474
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    • 2014
  • The relative dose calculated by MCNPX and the relative dose measured by ionization chamber and solid phantoms evaluated the accuracy comparing with Monte Carlo simulation. In order to apply Monte Carlo simulation the intraluminal brachytherapy of extrahepatic bile duct cancer, 192Ir sealed radioactive source replicate, Bile duct and surrounding organs were made using KMIRD phantom based on a South Korea standard man. To check the absorbed dose of normal organs around bile duct, we set the specific effective energy and initial radioactivity to 1 Ci using MCNPX. Evaluation of the accuracy of the Monte Carlo simulation, the difference of the relative dose is the most 1.96% that satisfy the criteria that is the relative error less than 2% suggested by MCNPX code. In addition, The specific effective energy and absorbed dose of normal organs that were relatively adjacent to bile duct such as right side of kidney, liver, pancreas, transverse colon, spinal cord, stomach and small intestine were relatively high. on the contrary, the organs that were relatively distant to bile duct such as left side of kidney, spleen, ascending colon, descending colon and sigmoid colon were relatively low.