• Title/Summary/Keyword: model-based method

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Establishment of Crowd Management Safety Measures Based on Crowd Density Risk Simulation (군중 밀집 위험도 시뮬레이션 기반의 인파 관리 안전대책 수립)

  • Hyuncheol Kim;Hyungjun Im;Seunghyun Lee;Youngbeom Ju;Soonjo Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.96-103
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    • 2023
  • Generally, human stampedes and crowd collapses occur when people press against each other, causing falls that may result in death or injury. Particularly, crowd accidents have become increasingly common since the 1990s, with an average of 380 deaths annually. For instance, in Korea, a stampede occurred during the Itaewon Halloween festival on October 29, 2022, when several people crowded onto a narrow, downhill road, which was 45 meters long and between 3.2 and 4 meters wide. Precisely, this stampede was primarily due to the excessive number of people relative to the road size. Essentially, stampedes can occur anywhere and at any time, not just at events, but also in other places where large crowds gather. More specifically, the likelihood of accidents increases when the crowd density exceeds a turbulence threshold of 5-6 /m2. Meanwhile, festivals and events, which have become more frequent and are promoted through social media, garner people from near and far to a specific location. Besides, as cities grow, the number of people gathering in one place increases. While stampedes are rare, their impact is significant, and the uncertainty associated with them is high. Currently, there is no scientific system to analyze the risk of stampedes due to crowd concentration. Consequently, to prevent such accidents, it is essential to prepare for crowd disasters that reflect social changes and regional characteristics. Hence, this study proposes using digital topographic maps and crowd-density risk simulations to develop a 3D model of the region. Specifically, the crowd density simulation allows for an analysis of the density of people walking along specific paths, which enables the prediction of danger areas and the risk of crowding. By using the simulation method in this study, it is anticipated that safety measures can be rationally established for specific situations, such as local festivals, and preparations may be made for crowd accidents in downtown areas.

Recent Studies of Breast Cancer in Traditional Chinese Medicine Journals (중의학 논문에 나타난 유방암의 연구 동향에 대한 고찰 - 중의학 논문을 중심으로 -)

  • Jerng, Ui-Min;Jeong, Jong-Soo;Park, Jae-Woo;Jung, Hyun-Sik;Yoon, Seong-Woo
    • The Journal of Korean Obstetrics and Gynecology
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.263-278
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to research trends in the study of breast cancer in Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) and to establish the further direction for its study. Methods: We reviewed TCM papers published in the last 29 years (1979-2008). Results: 1. We researched 49 papers and the patterns of study were as follows: in vitro studies were 27 papers (55.1%), in vivo studies were 9 papers (18.4%) and clinical studies were 19 papers (38.8%). 2. In vitro studies on breast cancer research in TCM were focused on cytotoxicity (17 papers) and apoptosis (8 papers). Most of in vivo studies (6 papers) were done for the purpose of inducing growth suppression of tumor cell after administration of the test drug. Each drug acted on this effect through various types of mechanism. 3. Unlike in vitro and in vivo studies, clinical studies on growth suppression of tumor cell were rare (4 papers). Most of the studies were focused on reduction of side effect of chemotherapy or synergistic effect with chemotherapy (7 papers), immune regulation (7 papers), and improvement of quality of life (6 papers). 4. Among the treatment method we reviewed, 'Runing Ⅱ(Ⅱ號方)' was the only medication that further studied as clinical trial after experimental study. 5. Since almost all studies have defects like poorly designed model or insufficient data description, it was difficult to make any definite conclusion about these studies. Conclusion: More subsequent clinical studies based on experimental study will be needed afterwards. Strict and high-level study design with detailed description will be needed in further study.

Prediction of Safety Grade of Bridges Using the Classification Models of Decision Tree and Random Forest (의사결정나무 및 랜덤포레스트 분류 모델을 이용한 교량 안전등급 예측)

  • Hong, Jisu;Jeon, Se-Jin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.397-411
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    • 2023
  • The number of deteriorated bridges with a service period of more than 30 years has been rapidly increasing in Korea. Accordingly, the importance of advanced maintenance technologies through the predictions of age-induced deterioration degree, condition, and performance of bridges is more and more noticed. The prediction method of the safety grade of bridges was proposed in this study using the classification models of the Decision Tree and the Random Forest based on machine learning. As a result of analyzing these models for the 8,850 bridges located in national roads with various evaluation indexes such as confusion matrix, balanced accuracy, recall, ROC curve, and AUC, the Random Forest largely showed better predictive performance than that of the Decision Tree. In particular, random under-sampling in the Random Forest showed higher predictive performance than that of other sampling techniques for the C and D grade bridges, with the recall of 83.4%, which need more attention to maintenance because of the significant deterioration degree. The proposed model can be usefully applied to rapidly identify the safety grade and to establish an efficient and economical maintenance plan of bridges that have not recently been inspected.

Gaze and Gender Dynamics of Portrait of a Lady on Fire (<타오르는 여인의 초상>의 시선과 젠더의 동학)

  • Kwon, Eunsun
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.399-404
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    • 2022
  • Céline Sciamma is a leading female director of her time. She is constantly making works on the subject of women. It can be said that it has pioneered a 'female narrative'. In particular, it shows a unique perspective in dealing with the complexities surrounding the formation of a girl's sexual identity and the influence of peer culture on individuals. In Portrait of a Lady on Fire, 'The Handmaiden', 'The Painter', and 'The Maid' show the solidarity of women without hierarchies in a liberated space where the patriarch is absent, showing a feminist interpretation of classics and a self-reflecting consciousness of women's historical records. Based on the setting of drawing, this film explores the genderization of gaze, gaze and objectification, issues of seeing and power, etc. constructed throughout the history of visual arts. The portrait work of Heloise and Marianne in the film deconstructs the formula of 'a male painter as a viewer and a female model who gazes at herself through the male gaze' and turns the gaze into an interactive process of giving and receiving. The process of exchanging gazes is sealed with a nude painting in which Marianne's face is superimposed on Heloise's body. This overturns the nude painting as the dominant form of engraving the male audience's position in the image through the stylization of the viewing method in the history of Western painting with the erotic gaze of a lesbian in an instant.

Impact of U.S. Trade Pressure on Korean Domestic Automobile Industry: Centering on Trade Protectionism Expansion (미국의 통상압력에 따른 국내 자동차산업 파급효과: 보호무역주의 확대를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Nam-Suk
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.25-45
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    • 2018
  • This paper estimates the export losses of the Korean domestic automobile industry due to US trade pressure and its economic ripple effects. Using the HS 6 digit tariff and export data from 2010 to 2017, this paper estimates the tariff elasticity of Korea's US automobile exports against a US tariff increase by applying the Poisson Pseudo maximum likelihood estimation method. After estimating Korea's export losses to the US in three trade pressure scenarios, we estimate its impact on Korean domestic production, value-added and job creation by applying the tariff impact accumulation model based on the industry input-output analysis. Empirical results show that the impact of 25% global tariff by the US on the Korean domestic economy is estimated to result in $30.8 billion in export losses for the five years from 2019 to 2023, about 300 thousand job losses, 88.0 trillion in production inducement losses, and 24.0 trillion in value-added inducement losses. The impacts of withdrawal of the automobile tariff concession are estimated at $4.27 billion export losses and 41.7 thousand job losses. A 15% tariff rate on automobile parts for 3 years is estimated to result in $1.93 billion export losses and 18.7 thousand job losses.

One-to-All and All-to-all Broadcasting Algorithms of Matrix Hypercube (매트릭스 하이퍼큐브의 일-대-다 방송과 다-대-다 방송 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Jongseok;Lee, Heongok
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.825-834
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    • 2018
  • Broadcasting is a basic data communication method for interconnection networks. There are two types of broadcasting. One-to-all broadcasting is to transmit a message from one node to all other nodes and all-to-all broadcasting is to transmit a message from all the nodes that have messages to other nodes. And by the using way of the transmission port per unit time, there are two schemes of broadcasting. Single port telecommunication(SLA) is to transmit messages from one node that contains the messages to one adjacent node only and all port telecommunication(MLA) is to transmit messages from one node to all adjacent nodes within a time of unit. Matrix hypercube is that an interconnection network has improved network cost than that of hypercube with the same number of nodes. In this paper, we analyze broadcasting scheme of matirx hypercube. First, we propose one-to-all and all-to-all broadcasting algorithms of matrix hypercube. And we prove that one-to-all broadcasting times are 2n+1 and $2{\lceil}{\frac{n}{2}}{\rceil}+1$ based on the SLA and MLA models, respectively. Also, we show all-to-all broadcasting time using SLA model is $5{\times}2^{\frac{n}{2}}-2$ when n=even, and is $5{\times}2^{\frac{n-1}{2}}+2$ when n=odd.

The Analysis on interest of the physical education teachers about the revised physical education curriculum in 2015 (2015 개정 체육과 교육과정에 대한 체육교사의 관심도 분석)

  • Lee, Jong won;Park, Changun
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.165-173
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    • 2017
  • In this research, based on the CBAM model, there is a research purpose to measure the degree of interest of the physical education teacher ahead of execution of the revised educational curriculum 2015 and to analyze the difference in degree of interest by teacher's background variation. For this reason, we conducted an an- nental survey of 200 physical education teachers in K-area middle school, high schools and analyzed the results. The conclusion of this research is as follows. Firstly, as a whole, the attention to the revised education curriculum has been very high in view, as a result, the physical education teacher at the middle / high school, 2015 about the influence and the result that the revised curriculum gives to the student in the physical education class Although the interest is very high, a systematic approach will be necessary for training and utilization schemes so that 2015 the revised educational curriculum can be executed appropriately. Secondly, since the interest in the revised educational curriculum by the whole number of classes 2015 is different, we need to develop and give a training program for revised curriculum 2015 customization by class number 2015. Training that departs from the one-way set form of transmission training and distribution method of materials depending on the class number may be different. Thirdly, in order to stabilize the revised educational curriculum 2015, it is necessary to develop a course example program corresponding to the level of interest of the physical education teacher.

Assessing Risks and Categorizing Root Causes of Demolition Construction using the QFD-FMEA Approach (QFD-FMEA를 이용한 해체공사의 위험평가와 근본원인의 분류 방법)

  • Yoo, Donguk;Lim, Nam-Gi;Chun, Jae-Youl;Cho, Jaeho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.417-428
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    • 2023
  • The demolition of domestic infrastructures mirrors other significant construction initiatives in presenting a markedly high accident rate. A comprehensive investigation into the origins of such accidents is crucial for the prevention of future incidents. Upon detailed inspection, the causes of demolition construction accidents are multifarious, encompassing unsafe worker behavior, hazardous conditions, psychological and physical states, and site management deficiencies. While statistics relating to demolition construction accidents are consistently collated and reported, there exists an exigent need for a more foundational cause categorization system based on accident type. Drawing from Heinrich's Domino Theory, this study classifies the origins of accidents(unsafe behavior, unsafe conditions) and human errors(human factors) as per the type of accidents experienced during demolition construction. In this study, a three-step model of QFD-FMEA(Quality Function Deployment - Failure Mode Effect Analysis) is employed to systematically categorize accident causes according to the types of accidents that occur during demolition construction. The QFD-FMEA method offers a technique for cause classification at each stage of the demolition process, including direct causes(unsafe behavior, unsafe environment), and human errors(human factors) through a tri-stage process. The results of this accident cause classification can serve as safety knowledge and reference checklists for accident prevention efforts.

Data-Driven Technology Portfolio Analysis for Commercialization of Public R&D Outcomes: Case Study of Big Data and Artificial Intelligence Fields (공공연구성과 실용화를 위한 데이터 기반의 기술 포트폴리오 분석: 빅데이터 및 인공지능 분야를 중심으로)

  • Eunji Jeon;Chae Won Lee;Jea-Tek Ryu
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 2021
  • Since small and medium-sized enterprises fell short of the securement of technological competitiveness in the field of big data and artificial intelligence (AI) field-core technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, it is important to strengthen the competitiveness of the overall industry through technology commercialization. In this study, we aimed to propose a priority related to technology transfer and commercialization for practical use of public research results. We utilized public research performance information, improving missing values of 6T classification by deep learning model with an ensemble method. Then, we conducted topic modeling to derive the converging fields of big data and AI. We classified the technology fields into four different segments in the technology portfolio based on technology activity and technology efficiency, estimating the potential of technology commercialization for those fields. We proposed a priority of technology commercialization for 10 detailed technology fields that require long-term investment. Through systematic analysis, active utilization of technology, and efficient technology transfer and commercialization can be promoted.

Comparison of Operational Efficiency and Quality Efficiency of Medical Services by Country : Focused on OECD Member Countries (국가별 의료서비스의 운영효율성과 품질효율성 비교: OECD 회원국들을 중심으로)

  • Hyunjung Kim;Jiyoon Son
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the efficiency of medical services in OECD member countries by dividing it into operational efficiency and quality efficiency. For this purpose, data from 2017-2019 OECD Health Statistics were used. As the analysis method, super efficiency was measured by applying an output-oriented Variable Returns to Scale (VRS) model. As a result of the analysis, Switzerland, Korea, and Italy were included in the high group of operational efficiency, Canada, Greece, Denmark, etc. in the medium group, and Belgium, Germany, and Spain in the low group. Based on quality efficiency, Norway, Switzerland, and Spain are in the high group, and Greece, Denmark, Mexico, etc. are in the medium group, and the Netherlands, Germany, Belgium, etc. were included in the low group. As a result of comparative analysis of efficiency by OECD member countries as of 2018, it was found that Korea's operational efficiency was the most efficient and quality efficiency was inefficient. Korea (0.998) should improve life expectancy by 0.2 (0.2%) and subjective health perception by 44.2 (138.1%) by benchmarking Greece (0.422), Switzerland (0.207), and Spain (0.371) to improve quality efficiency. Unlike most previous studies that focused on operational efficiency, this study measured quality efficiency together and analyzed the efficiency of the medical service industry in each OECD member country. Through this, this study has implications in that it confirmed the international competitiveness of the domestic medical service industry and suggested ways to improve efficiency.