• Title/Summary/Keyword: model stability

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Long Range Forecast of Garlic Productivity over S. Korea Based on Genetic Algorithm and Global Climate Reanalysis Data (전지구 기후 재분석자료 및 인공지능을 활용한 남한의 마늘 생산량 장기예측)

  • Jo, Sera;Lee, Joonlee;Shim, Kyo Moon;Kim, Yong Seok;Hur, Jina;Kang, Mingu;Choi, Won Jun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.391-404
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    • 2021
  • This study developed a long-term prediction model for the potential yield of garlic based on a genetic algorithm (GA) by utilizing global climate reanalysis data. The GA is used for digging the inherent signals from global climate reanalysis data which are both directly and indirectly connected with the garlic yield potential. Our results indicate that both deterministic and probabilistic forecasts reasonably capture the inter-annual variability of crop yields with temporal correlation coefficients significant at 99% confidence level and superior categorical forecast skill with a hit rate of 93.3% for 2 × 2 and 73.3% for 3 × 3 contingency tables. Furthermore, the GA method, which considers linear and non-linear relationships between predictors and predictands, shows superiority of forecast skill in terms of both stability and skill scores compared with linear method. Since our result can predict the potential yield before the start of farming, it is expected to help establish a long-term plan to stabilize the demand and price of agricultural products and prepare countermeasures for possible problems in advance.

A Design of the Vehicle Crisis Detection System(VCDS) based on vehicle internal and external data and deep learning (차량 내·외부 데이터 및 딥러닝 기반 차량 위기 감지 시스템 설계)

  • Son, Su-Rak;Jeong, Yi-Na
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.128-133
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    • 2021
  • Currently, autonomous vehicle markets are commercializing a third-level autonomous vehicle, but there is a possibility that an accident may occur even during fully autonomous driving due to stability issues. In fact, autonomous vehicles have recorded 81 accidents. This is because, unlike level 3, autonomous vehicles after level 4 have to judge and respond to emergency situations by themselves. Therefore, this paper proposes a vehicle crisis detection system(VCDS) that collects and stores information outside the vehicle through CNN, and uses the stored information and vehicle sensor data to output the crisis situation of the vehicle as a number between 0 and 1. The VCDS consists of two modules. The vehicle external situation collection module collects surrounding vehicle and pedestrian data using a CNN-based neural network model. The vehicle crisis situation determination module detects a crisis situation in the vehicle by using the output of the vehicle external situation collection module and the vehicle internal sensor data. As a result of the experiment, the average operation time of VESCM was 55ms, R-CNN was 74ms, and CNN was 101ms. In particular, R-CNN shows similar computation time to VESCM when the number of pedestrians is small, but it takes more computation time than VESCM as the number of pedestrians increases. On average, VESCM had 25.68% faster computation time than R-CNN and 45.54% faster than CNN, and the accuracy of all three models did not decrease below 80% and showed high accuracy.

The Effect of Structure and Acidity of Fluorinated HZSM-5 on Ethylene Aromatization (불소화 HZSM-5의 구조 및 산도가 에틸렌 방향족화에 미치는 영향)

  • Kyeong Nan, Kim;Seok Chang, Kang;Geunjae, Kwak
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2023
  • Recent studies have actively investigated ways to improve the economic feasibility and efficiency of the Fischer-Tropsch process by increasing the yields of the monocyclic aromatic compounds (BTEX). In this study, ethylene was selected as a model of F-T-derived hydrocarbons, and the ethylene-to-aromatics (ETA) reaction was investigated according to changes in acid characteristics, mesopores, and crystallinity of HZSM-5 (HZ5). Fluorinated HZ5 was prepared by calcination followed by impregnation of an aqueous NH4F solution having different molar concentrations in HZ5, and the structural and chemical properties of F/HZ5 were investigated through Brunauer-Emmett-Teller (BET), solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), NH3-temperature-programmed desorption (TPD), and pyridine-IR spectroscopy. The ETA reactions were performed at 673 K under 0.1 MPa, and fluorinating HZ5 by an aqueous NH4F solution of 0.17 M improved ethylene conversion, BTEX selectivity, and catalytic stability due to acidity, mesopore fraction, and crystallinity.

Detection of Cavities Behind Concrete Walls Using a Microphone (마이크로폰을 이용한 콘크리트 벽체 배면의 공동 탐사)

  • Kang, Seonghun;Lee, Jong-Sub;Han, WooJin;Kim, Sang Yeob;Yu, Jung-Doung
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.38 no.12
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2022
  • Cavities behind concrete walls can adversely affect the stability of structures. Thus study aims to detect cavities behind concrete structures using a microphone in a laboratory model test. A small-scale concrete wall is constructed in a chamber, which is composed of a reinforced concrete plate and dry soil. A plastic bowl is then placed between the plate and soil to simulate a cavity behind the concrete structure. Leaky surface acoustic waves are generated by impacting the concrete plate using a hammer and are measured using a microphone. The measured signals are analyzed using natural frequencies, and cavity-free sections are evaluated. The test results show that the first natural frequency decreases at the cavity section due to the flexural vibration behavior of the plate. In addition, the amplitude corresponding to the first natural frequency decreases as the measurement location becomes farther from the cavity center and significantly decreases at the measurement locations near the rebars. This study demonstrates that a microphone may be useful to detect cavities behind concrete walls.

A Comparison of Pan-sharpening Algorithms for GK-2A Satellite Imagery (천리안위성 2A호 위성영상을 위한 영상융합기법의 비교평가)

  • Lee, Soobong;Choi, Jaewan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.275-292
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    • 2022
  • In order to detect climate changes using satellite imagery, the GCOS (Global Climate Observing System) defines requirements such as spatio-temporal resolution, stability by the time change, and uncertainty. Due to limitation of GK-2A sensor performance, the level-2 products can not satisfy the requirement, especially for spatial resolution. In this paper, we found the optimal pan-sharpening algorithm for GK-2A products. The six pan-sharpening methods included in CS (Component Substitution), MRA (Multi-Resolution Analysis), VO (Variational Optimization), and DL (Deep Learning) were used. In the case of DL, the synthesis property based method was used to generate training dataset. The process of synthesis property is that pan-sharpening model is applied with Pan (Panchromatic) and MS (Multispectral) images with reduced spatial resolution, and fused image is compared with the original MS image. In the synthesis property based method, fused image with desire level for user can be produced only when the geometric characteristics between the PAN with reduced spatial resolution and MS image are similar. However, since the dissimilarity exists, RD (Random Down-sampling) was additionally used as a way to minimize it. Among the pan-sharpening methods, PSGAN was applied with RD (PSGAN_RD). The fused images are qualitatively and quantitatively validated with consistency property and the synthesis property. As validation result, the GSA algorithm performs well in the evaluation index representing spatial characteristics. In the case of spectral characteristics, the PSGAN_RD has the best accuracy with the original MS image. Therefore, in consideration of spatial and spectral characteristics of fused image, we found that PSGAN_RD is suitable for GK-2A products.

Analyze Virtual Private Network Vulnerabilities and Derive Security Guidelines Based on STRIDE Threat Modeling (STRIDE 위협 모델링 기반 가상 사설망 취약점 분석 및 보안 요구사항 도출)

  • Kim, Da-hyeon;Min, Ji-young;Ahn, Jun-ho
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2022
  • Virtual private network (VPN) services are used in various environments related to national security, such as defense companies and defense-related institutions where digital communication environment technologies are diversified and access to network use is increasing. However, the number of cyber attacks that target vulnerable points of the VPN has annually increased through technological advancement. Thus, this study identified security requirements by performing STRIDE threat modeling to prevent potential and new vulnerable points that can occur in the VPN. STRIDE threat modeling classifies threats into six categories to systematically identify threats. To apply the proposed security requirements, this study analyzed functions of the VPN and formed a data flow diagram in the VPN service process. Then, it collected threats that can take place in the VPN and analyzed the STRIDE threat model based on data of the collected threats. The data flow diagram in the VPN service process, which was established by this study, included 96 STRIDE threats. This study formed a threat scenario to analyze attack routes of the classified threats and derived 30 security requirements for each element of the VPN based on the formed scenario. This study has significance in that it presented a security guideline for enhancing security stability of the VPN used in facilities that require high-level security, such as the Ministry of National Defense (MND).

Analysis of Relationship between Housing Tenure and Birth in Newlywed Couples by Using Panel Data (패널자료를 이용한 신혼가구의 주택점유형태와 출산 관계 연구)

  • Shin, Hyungsub
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.39-55
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we investigate the interrelationship between housing tenure and childbirth by exploiting the correlation probability effect method that accounts for household heterogeneity. Using the newlywed household panel from 2011 to 2022, we find that home ownership has a positive impact on childbirth in newlyweds. Specifically, newlywed households with housing tenure show a 6.2%p higher birth rate and a 5.7%p higher second childbirth than newlywed households living in rented houses. For the case of first childbirth, we employ the probability effect probit model since the endogeneity was not detected between housing tenure and birth rate. We document the differential effects of housing tenure on childbirth in that the first childbirth rate is higher for households without housing tenures. The negative effects on first childbirth could be attributed to the economic burden due to initial housing ownership, while housing tenure could eventually provide housing stability, leading to positive effects on more than one childbirth. Finally, we identify that households with childbirth over the last year show a 4.2%p and 3.9%p lower probabilities of housing tenure in the total sample and second childbirth sample, respectively. This suggests that the increased living cost due to childbirth could delay home ownership.

Internal Foundation on the 'of', 'for', 'from' Lifelong Education for the Disabled: Convergence of Developmental Disabilities and Schools (장애인평생교육'의', '을 위한', '으로부터' 내부 토대: 발달장애(developmental disabilities)-학교(schools) 융합)

  • Kim, Young-Jun;Kim, Wha-Soo;Kwon, Ryang-Hee
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to explore the internal foundation of lifelong education for the disabled. The composition system of the meaning of contents for this purpose is divided into three elements: 'of' which means subject based on lifelong education for the disabled, 'for' which means purpose, and 'from' which means practical main base. The research method was to discuss the academic basis, practical application model and plan, or to analyze the literature through the previous studies that were actualized in order to form the internal foundation of the support system for lifelong education for the disabled. Second, the expert meeting was conducted to improve the specificity of the research contents based on the basis of the literature analysis. The contents of this study are presented in two main ways: the foundation of developmental disabilities and the foundation of schools by synthesizing the main bases of subjects, purposes, and practical base required to form the internal foundation of lifelong education for the disabled. The above two factors first establish the internal universality of the support system for lifelong education for the disabled, and in connection with the types of sensory disabilities and the general lifelong education. As a result, the long-term stability of the overall support system for lifelong education for the disabled was analyzed.

Development of Expandable Steel Pipe Piles to Improve Bearing Capacity (지지력 향상을 위한 확장형 강관말뚝에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Uiseok;Kim, Junghoon;Kim, Jiyoon;Min, Byungchan;Choi, Hangseok
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.22 no.12
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2021
  • Expandable steel pipe piles have been developed to ensure stability and reduce construction costs during underground floor remodeling and extension work. Expandable steel pipe piles are more economical and stable than micropiles. Extensible steel pipe pile is a method of improving the performance of steel pipes by expanding steel pipes underground. In this paper, the changes in buckling strength according to the shape of steel pipes in an extended steel pipe pile were identified, a numerical analysis model was developed to determine the expended part effect of bumps due to steel pipe expansion, and the optimal steel pipe expansion was calculated through material tests. The larger the expansion diameter of the steel pipe and the greater the number of expanded part, the greater the buckling strength. Numerical results showed that the number of expanded part has a greater effect on buckling strength than the expansion rate. When the expansion rate is more than 1.2 times, it can be seen that as the number of expanded part increases, the effect of increasing buckling strength increases significantly. It was also noted that the expanded part effect of the bumps occur significantly when the extension angle is less than 45° and the expansion rate is 1.3 times higher. When the steel pipe is failure, the expanded rate is 20 to 32%, averaging 25.4%. Through the material test, it was analyzed that it is desirable to limit the maximum expansion rate for performing steel pipes to 16%.

Development of Three-dimensional Inversion Algorithm of Complex Resistivity Method (복소 전기비저항 3차원 역산 알고리듬 개발)

  • Son, Jeong-Sul;Shin, Seungwook;Park, Sam-Gyu
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.180-193
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    • 2021
  • The complex resistivity method is an exploration technique that can obtain various characteristic information of underground media by measuring resistivity and phase in the frequency domain, and its utilization has recently increased. In this paper, a three-dimensional inversion algorithm for the CR data was developed to increase the utilization of this method. The Poisson equation, which can be applied when the electromagnetic coupling effect is ignored, was applied to the modeling, and the inversion algorithm was developed by modifying the existing algorithm by adopting comlex variables. In order to increase the stability of the inversion, a technique was introduced to automatically adjust the Lagrangian multiplier according to the ratio of the error vector and the model update vector. Furthermore, to compensate for the loss of data due to noisy phase data, a two-step inversion method that conducts inversion iterations using only resistivity data in the beginning and both of resistivity and phase data in the second half was developed. As a result of the experiment for the synthetic data, stable inversion results were obtained, and the validity to real data was also confirmed by applying the developed 3D inversion algorithm to the analysis of field data acquired near a hydrothermal mine.