• 제목/요약/키워드: model estimation

검색결과 9,467건 처리시간 0.061초

조건부가치측정모형의 최소절대편차추정 (The Least Absolute Deviations Estimation of the Contingent Valuation Model)

  • 김동일
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.515-545
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    • 2001
  • This paper introduces the least absolute deviations estimation of the contingent valuation model, which corresponds to the semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models by Manski (1975, 1985) and Lee (1992). The least absolute deviations estimation is more robust to mis-specified distributional assumptions in the estimation of the contingent valuation model, compared to the maximum likelihood estimation. The full identification and strong consistency of the estimation are proved and its application to different formats of contingent valuation survey data is discussed. Simulation studies are designed to evaluate its operational characteristics including computational strategies, small sample properties and the efficiency gain of a follow-up question. The bias and efficiency of least absolute deviations and maximum likelihood estimation are compared in the presence of heteroskedasticity.

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Measurement-based Estimation of the Composite Load Model Parameters

  • Kim, Byoung-Ho;Kim, Hong-Rae
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제7권6호
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    • pp.845-851
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    • 2012
  • Power system loads have a significant impact on a system. Although it is difficult to precisely describe loads in a mathematical model, accurately modeling them is important for a system analysis. The traditional load modeling method is based on the load components of a bus. Recently, the load modeling method based on measurements from a system has been introduced and developed by researchers. The two major components of a load modeling problem are determining the mathematical model for the target system and estimating the parameters of the determined model. We use the composite load model, which has both static and dynamic load characteristics. The ZIP model and the induction motor model are used for the static and dynamic load models, respectively. In this work, we propose the measurement-based parameter estimation method for the composite load model. The test system and related measurements are obtained using transient security assessment tool(TSAT) simulation program and PSS/E. The parameter estimation is then verified using these measurements. Cases are tested and verified using the sample system and its related measurements.

물류예측모형에 관한 연구 -수도권 물동량 예측을 중심으로- (A Study on Change of Logistics in the region of Seoul, Incheon, Kyunggi)

  • 노경호
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제7권
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    • pp.427-450
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    • 2001
  • This research suggests the estimation methodology of Logistics. This paper elucidates the main problems associated with estimation in the regression model. We review the methods for estimating the parameters in the model and introduce a modified procedure in which all models are fitted and combined to construct a combination of estimates. The resulting estimators are found to be as efficient as the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators in various cases. Our method requires more computations but has an advantage for large data sets. Also, it enables to detect particular features in the data structure. Examples of real data are used to illustrate the properties of the estimators. The backgrounds of estimation of logistic regression model is the increasing logistic environment importance today. In the first phase, we conduct an exploratory study to discuss 9 independent variables. In the second phase, we try to find the fittest logistic regression model. In the third phase, we calculate the logistic estimation using logistic regression model. The parameters of logistic regression model were estimated using ordinary least squares regression. The standard assumptions of OLS estimation were tested. The calculated value of the F-statistics for the logistic regression model is significant at the 5% level. The logistic regression model also explains a significant amount of variance in the dependent variable. The parameter estimates of the logistic regression model with t-statistics in parentheses are presented in Table. The object of this paper is to find the best logistic regression model to estimate the comparative accurate logistics.

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Gompertz 소프트웨어 비용 추정 모델 (A Gompertz Model for Software Cost Estimation)

  • 이상운
    • 정보처리학회논문지D
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    • 제15D권2호
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    • pp.207-212
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문은 소프트웨어 비용추정 모델의 적합성을 평가하고, 가장 적합한 모델을 제시하였다. 먼저, 해당 모델의 함수를 변수변환시켜 선형식으로 만든다. 다음으로 실제 개발 소프트웨어의 비용 데이터가 모델의 선형식에 얼마나 적합한지로 모델의 성능을 평가한다. 모델 성능평가에는 절대오차 대신 상대오차 개념인 MMRE를 적용하였다. 기존의 소프트웨어 비용추정 모델은 Weibull, Gamma와 Rayleigh 함수를 따르고 있다. 본 논문에서는 성장곡선의 일종인 Gompertz 곡선 모델을 제안하였다. 추가로 다른 성장곡선들도 적합성을 검증하였다. 모델 성능평가 결과 Gompertz 성장곡선이 소프트웨어 비용추정 모델로 가장 적합한 성능을 보였다.

DSM 모니터링을 위한 확산 모형의 계수 추정 (Parameter Estimation of the Diffusion Model for Demand Side Management Monitoring System)

  • 김진오;최청훈;김정훈;이창호;김창섭
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제48권10호
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    • pp.1183-1189
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents the method of parameter estimation of diffusion model for monitoring Demand-Side Management program. Bass diffusion model was applied in this paper, which has different values according to the following parameters; coefficients of innovation, imitation and potential adopters. Though it is very important to estimate three parameters precisely, there has been no empirical way in practice. Thus, this paper presents the method of parameter estimation in case of few data with constraints to reduce the possibility of bad estimation. The constraints can be empirical results or expert's decision. Case studies show the diffusion curves and forecasted values of the peak for the high-efficient lighting. The feedback and nonlinear least-square parameter estimation methods used in this paper enable us to evaluate the status and to predict the effect of DSM program.

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터빈 사이클 열소비율 정확도 추정 모델 (Uncertainty Estimation Model for Heat Rate of Turbine Cycle)

  • 최기상;김성근;최광희
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.1721-1726
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    • 2004
  • Heat rate is a representative index to estimate the performance of turbine cycle in nuclear power plant. Accuracy of heat rate calculation is dependent on the accuracy of measurement for plant status variables. Uncertainty of heat rate can be modeled using uncertainty propagation model. We developed practical estimation model of heat rate uncertainty using the propagation and regression model. The uncertainty model is used in the performance analysis system developed for the operating nuclear power plant.

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컴퓨터 비젼시스템을 이용한 로봇시스템의 강체 배치 실험에 대한 연구 (A study on the rigid bOdy placement task of robot system based on the computer vision system)

  • 장완식;유창규;신광수;김호윤
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 1995년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1114-1119
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    • 1995
  • This paper presents the development of estimation model and control method based on the new computer vision. This proposed control method is accomplished using a sequential estimation scheme that permits placement of the rigid body in each of the two-dimensional image planes of monitoring cameras. Estimation model with six parameters is developed based on a model that generalizes known 4-axis scara robot kinematics to accommodate unknown relative camera position and orientation, etc. Based on the estimated parameters,depending on each camers the joint angle of robot is estimated by the iteration method. The method is tested experimentally in two ways, the estimation model test and a three-dimensional rigid body placement task. Three results show that control scheme used is precise and robust. This feature can open the door to a range of application of multi-axis robot such as assembly and welding.

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A Study on Mobile Target Estimation Resolution using Effects of Model Errors and Sensitivity Analysis

  • Lee, Kwan Hyeong
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.21-23
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    • 2013
  • The antenna pattern in this case has a main beam pointed in the desired signal direction, and has a null in the direction of the interference.The conventional antenna pattern concepts of beam width, side lobes, and main beams are not used, as the antenna weights are designed to achieve a set performance criterion such as maximization of the output SNR.A new direction of arrival estimation method using effects of model errors and sensitivity analysis is proposed. Two subspaces are used to form a signal space whose phase shift between the reference signal and its effects of model error signal. Through simulation, the performance showed that the proposed method leads to increased resolution and improved accuracy of DOA estimation relative to those achieved with existing method. Since a desired signal is obtained after interference rejection through correction effects of model error, the effect of channel interference on the estimation is significantly reduced.

유전알고리즘을 이용한 연속시스템의 온라인 퍼래미터 추정 (On-line parameter estimation of continuous-time systems using a genetic algorithm)

  • 이현식;진강규
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.76-81
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents an on-line scheme for parameter estimation of continuous-time systems, based on the model adjustment technique and the genetic algorithm technique. To deal with the initialisation and unmeasurable signal problems in on-line parameter estimation of continuous-time systems, a discrete-time model is obtained for the linear differential equation model and approximations of unmeasurable states with the observable output and its time-delayed values are obtained for the nonlinear state space model. Noisy observations may affect these approximation processes and degrade the estimation performance. A digital prefilter is therefore incorporated to avoid direct approximations of system derivatives from possible noisy observations. The parameters of both the model and the designed filter are adjusted on-line by a genetic algorithm, A set of simulation works for linear and nonlinear systems is carried out to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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로봇 비젼시스템을 이용한 강체 배치 실험에 대한 연구 (A Study on Rigid body Placement Task of based on Robot Vision System)

  • 장완식;신광수;안철봉
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제15권11호
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    • pp.100-107
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the development of estimation model and control method based on the new robot vision. This proposed control method is accomplished using the sequential estimation scheme that permits placement of the rigid body in each of the two-dimensional image planes of monitoring cameras. Estimation model with six parameters is developed based on the model that generalizes known 4-axis scara robot kinematics to accommodate unknown relative camera position and orientation, etc. Based on the estimated parameters, depending on each camera the joint angle of robot is estimated by the iteration method. The method is experimentally tested in two ways, the estimation model test and a three-dimensional rigid body placement task. Three results show that control scheme used is precise and robust. This feature can open the door to a range of application of multi-axis robot such as assembly and welding.

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