• Title/Summary/Keyword: model errors

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PREDICTION OF DIAMETRAL CREEP FOR PRESSURE TUBES OF A PRESSURIZED HEAVY WATER REACTOR USING DATA BASED MODELING

  • Lee, Jae-Yong;Na, Man-Gyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.355-362
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    • 2012
  • The aim of this study was to develop a bundle position-wise linear model (BPLM) to predict Pressure Tube (PT) diametral creep employing the previously measured PT diameters and operating conditions. There are twelve bundles in a fuel channel, and for each bundle a linear model was developed by using the dependent variables, such as the fast neutron fluences and the bundle coolant temperatures. The training data set was selected using the subtractive clustering method. The data of 39 channels that consist of 80 percent of a total of 49 measured channels from Units 2, 3, and 4 of the Wolsung nuclear plant in Korea were used to develop the BPLM. The data from the remaining 10 channels were used to test the developed BPLM. The BPLM was optimized by the maximum likelihood estimation method. The developed BPLM to predict PT diametral creep was verified using the operating data gathered from Units 2, 3, and 4. Two error components for the BPLM, which are the epistemic error and the aleatory error, were generated. The diametral creep prediction and two error components will be used for the generation of the regional overpower trip setpoint at the corresponding effective full power days. The root mean square (RMS) errors were also generated and compared to those from the current prediction method. The RMS errors were found to be less than the previous errors.

MODELING FOR PROBING THE PHYSICAL STATES OF HII REGIONS (전리수소 영역의 물리량 측정을 위한 방출선 모형연구)

  • Sung, Hyun-Il
    • Publications of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2011
  • A diagnostic tool has been proposed to convert the observed surface distribution of hydrogen recombination line intensities into the radial distributions of the electron temperature and the density in HII regions. The observed line intensity is given by an integral of the volume emission coefficient along the line of sight, which comprises the Abel type integral equation for the volume emission coefficient. As the emission coefficient at a position is determined by the temperature and density of electrons at the position, the local emission coefficient resulted from the solution of the Abel equation gives the radial distribution of the temperature and the density. A test has been done on the feasibility of our diagnostic approach to probing of HII regions. From model calculations of an HII region of pure hydrogen, we have theoretically generated the observed surface brightness of hydrogen recombination line intensities and analyzed them by our diagnostic tool. The resulting temperatures and densities are then compared with the model values. For this case of uniform density, errors in the derived density are not large at all the positions. For the electron temperature, however, the largest errors appear at the central part of the HII region. The errors in the derived temperature decrease with the radial distance, and become negligible in the outer part of the model HII region.

Sensor Fault-tolerant Controller Design on Gas Turbine Engine using Multiple Engine Models (다중 엔진모델을 이용한 센서 고장허용 가스터빈 엔진제어기 설계)

  • Kim, Jung Hoe;Lee, Sang Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.56-66
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    • 2016
  • Robustness is essential for model based FDI (Fault Detection and Isolation) and it is inevitable to have modeling errors and sensor signal noises during the process of FDI. This study suggests an improved method by applying NARX (Nonlinear Auto Regressive eXogenous) model and Kalman estimator in order to cope with problems caused by linear model errors and sensor signal noises in the process of fault diagnoses. Fault decision is made by the probability of the trend of gradually accumulated errors applying Fuzzy logic, which are robust to instantaneous sensor signal noises. Reliability of fault diagnosis is verified under various fault simulations.

Optimal Coefficient Selection of Exponential Smoothing Model in Short Term Load Forecasting on Weekdays (평일 단기전력수요 예측을 위한 최적의 지수평활화 모델 계수 선정)

  • Song, Kyung-Bin;Kwon, Oh-Sung;Park, Jeong-Do
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.2
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    • pp.149-154
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    • 2013
  • Short term load forecasting for electric power demand is essential for stable power system operation and efficient power market operation. High accuracy of the short term load forecasting can keep the power system more stable and save the power market operation cost. We propose an optimal coefficient selection method for exponential smoothing model in short term load forecasting on weekdays. In order to find the optimal coefficient of exponential smoothing model, load forecasting errors are minimized for actual electric load demand data of last three years. The proposed method are verified by case studies for last three years from 2009 to 2011. The results of case studies show that the average percentage errors of the proposed load forecasting method are improved comparing with errors of the previous methods.

A Study of Weighing System to Apply into Hydraulic Excavator with CNN (CNN기반 굴삭기용 부하 측정 시스템 구현을 위한 연구)

  • Hwang Hun Jeong;Young Il Shin;Jin Ho Lee;Ki Yong Cho
    • Journal of Drive and Control
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.133-139
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    • 2023
  • A weighing system calculates the bucket's excavation amount of an excavator. Usually, the excavation amount is computed by the excavator's motion equations with sensing data. But these motion equations have computing errors that are induced by assumptions to the linear systems and identification of the equation's parameters. To reduce computing errors, some commercial weighing system incorporates particular motion into the excavation process. This study introduces a linear regression model on an artificial neural network that has fewer predicted errors and doesn't need a particular pose during an excavation. Time serial data were gathered from a 30tons excavator's loading test. Then these data were preprocessed to be adjusted by MPL (Multi Layer Perceptron) or CNN (Convolutional Neural Network) based linear regression models. Each model was trained by changing hyperparameter such as layer or node numbers, drop-out rate, and kernel size. Finally ID-CNN-based linear regression model was selected.

A study on Angle Spectrum of Arrival using RMS Model Errors Effects (RMS 모델 오차 효과를 이용한 도래각 스펙트럼에 관한 연구)

  • Ga, Gwan-U;Ham, Sung-Min;Lee, Kwan-Hyeong
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.148-151
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    • 2013
  • A new direction of arrival estimation method using effects of model errors and sensitivity analysis is proposed. Since a desired signal is obtained after interference rejection through correction effects of model error, the effect of channel interference on the estimation is significantly reduced. Through simulation, we show that the proposed method offers significantly improved estimation resolution and accuracy relative to existing method.

Planar Error Sensitivity Analysis in a CNC Turning Cen (2차원 CNC 선반에서 평면오차 민감도 분석)

  • 여규환;이진현;양승한
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.1017-1021
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    • 1995
  • Geometric and thermal errors are responsible for major components of the errors of a computer numerically controlled turning center. The planar error of a CNC turning center are comprised of 11 geometric and thermal error components. The error synthesis model is formulated by homogeneous coordinate transformation method and expresses the effect of such error components on the planar error of a CNC turning center. In this paper, the sensitivity analysis of the model on the noises through sensing and the change of temperature is addressed. The sensitivity analysis show that the error systhesis model is robust on the noses and z planar error is much affected by the change of temperatures.

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An Approximate Analysis of a Stochastic Fluid Flow Model Applied to an ATM Multiplexer (ATM 다중화 장치에 적용된 추계적 유체흐름 모형의 근사분석)

  • 윤영하;홍정식;홍정완;이창훈
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we propose a new approach to solve stochastic fluid flow models applied to the analysis of ceil loss of an ATM multiplexer. Existing stochastic fluid flow models have been analyzed by using linear differential equations. In case of large state space, however. analyzing stochastic fluid flow model without numerical errors is not easy. To avoid this numerical errors and to analyze stochastic fluid flow model with large state space. we develope a new computational algorithm. Instead of solving differential equations directly, this approach uses iterative and numerical method without calculating eigenvalues. eigenvectors and boundary coefficients. As a result, approximate solutions and upper and lower bounds are obtained. This approach can be applied to stochastic fluid flow model having general Markov chain structure as well as to the superposition of heterogeneous ON-OFF sources it can be extended to Markov process having non-exponential sojourn times.

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A Comparison of Efficiency Estimation Methods via Monte Carlo Analysis (몬테카를로 분석에 의한 효율성 추정방법의 비교)

  • 최태성;김성호
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 2002
  • In this Paper we investigate the performance of the five efficiency estimation methods which include the stochastic frontier model estimated by maximum likelihood (SFML), the stochastic frontier model estimated by corrected ordinary least squares (SFCOLS), the data envelopment analysis (DIA) model, the combined estimation of SFML and DEA (SFML + DEA), and the combined estimation of SFCOLS arid DIA (SFCOLS+ DEA) using Monte Carlo analysis. The results include: 1) SFML provides most accurate efficiency estimates for the sample sloe 150 or over,2) SFML+DEAor SFCOLS + DIA Perform better for the cases with sample sloe 25, 50, and low random errors, 3) SFCOLS performs better for the close with sample sloe 25, 50, and very high random errors.

Two-Phase Neuro-System Identification Based on Artificial System (모조 시스템 형성에 기반한 2단계 뉴로 시스템 인식)

  • 배재호;왕지남
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 1998
  • Two-phase neuro-system identification method is presented. The 1$^{st}$-phase identification uses conventional neural network mapping for modeling an input-output system. The 2$^{nd}$ -phase modeling is also performed sequentially using the 1$^{st}$-phase modeling errors. In the 2$^{nd}$ a phase modeling, newly generated input signals, which are obtained by summing the 1st-phase modeling error and artificially generated uniform series, are utilized as system's I-O mapping elements. The 1$^{st}$-phase identification is interpreted as a “Real Model” system identification because it uses system's real data(i.e., observations and control inputs) while the 2$^{nd}$ -phase identification as a “Artificial Model” identification because of using artificial data. Experimental results are given to verify that the two-phase neuro-system identification could reduce the overall modeling errors.rrors.

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