• Title/Summary/Keyword: model change

Search Result 10,978, Processing Time 0.037 seconds

The Influence of Traffic Information based on VMS(Variable Message Sign) on the Selection of Drivers' Route (VMS(Variable Message Sign)를 통한 교통정보 제공이 운전자의 운행경로 전환에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Jung, Hun Young;Son, Su Ran;Lee, Jeong Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.31 no.2D
    • /
    • pp.193-201
    • /
    • 2011
  • The provision of traffic information plays an important role in increasing social benefit not only by saving travel time for individuals but also by improving the efficiency of road operation. VMS(Variable Message Sign) helps on-wheel drivers easily understand the road situation, and also provides real-time traffic information to people on the streets. However, it has not been sufficiently studied on how traffic information based on VMS influences on the drivers' selection of route. This study investigated how drivers use VMS traffic information and how they are satisfied with it. Then, the model of drivers' route selection was specified with the types of traffic information and the expected travel time to examine the influence on the selection of drivers' route. The model was estimated and analyzed in three types according to the condition of detour roads, and the rate of route change and the degree of sensitivity was calculated from the estimation. The results of analysis are as follows. the $1^{st}$ type model showed the 10% of route change for the travel time saving of 5minutes, and the 81.6% of route change for the travel time saving of 20minutes. The $2^{nd}$ type led to the range of route change from 14.2% to 92.7% over the 5 through 20 minutes of travel time saving. The $3^{rd}$ model resulted in the 99.1% of route change. The sensitivity of route change showed the highest for the travel time saving of 11 minutes with the $1^{st}$ type model, 9 minutes with the $2^{nd}$ type model, and 5 minutes with the $3^{rd}$ type model respectively.

Fashion Change and Social Change in Korea : A Model - Adoption and Change of Western Fashion since Kapokyungchang(1984) - (한국 복식 변천과 사회 변천 양상에 관한 연구 - 갑오경장이후 서양패션의 수용과 변화를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Minja;Rim, Wonja;Rhee, Eunyoung;Koo, Miji;Kim, Yoonhee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.315-327
    • /
    • 1993
  • The purpose of this study was to clarify the model of fashion change related to the cyclical variations suggested by Kroeber and Young and the selected social changes factors since Kapokyungchang(1894) in Korea. The sample was drawn from illustrations and photos in newspapers and magazines such as Chosunilbo, Dongailbo, and Yeowon. Documentary research and a content analysis have been done. The results were as follows : 1. Cyclical variations in dress were apparent for skirt length and silhouette. However, Kroeber's model and Young's model that regulary recurring cycles exist did not fit the data for 1970 to 1990 in Korea. For skirt length, the cycles appeared to be approximately five to six years for 1970 to 1990. 2. Social and institutional factors tended to account for more the variance in dress dimensions than political factors.

  • PDF

The Change of Beach Processes at the Coastal Zone with the Impact of Tide (조석(潮汐)의 영향(影響)이 있는 연안(沿岸)해역(海域)에서의 해안과정(海岸過程)의 변화(變化))

  • Kim, Sang-Ho;Lee, Joong-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2002.05a
    • /
    • pp.257-262
    • /
    • 2002
  • Numerical model introduced in this study combines wave refraction-diffraction, breaking, bottom friction, lateral mixing, and critical shear stress and three sub-models for simulating waves, currents, and bottom change were briefly discussed. Simulations of beach processes and harbor sedimentation were also described at the coast neighboring Bangpo Harbor, Anmyundo, Chungnam, where the area has suffered from accumulation of drifting sand in a small fishing harbor with a wide tidal range. We also made model test for the case of a narrow tidal range at Nakdong river's estuary area to understand the effect of water level variation on the littoral drift. Simulations are conducted in terms of incident wave direction and tidal level. Characteristics of wave transformation, nearshore current, sediment transport, and bottom change are shown and analyzed. We found from the simulation that the tidal level impact to the sediment transport is very important and we should apply the numerical model with different water level to analyze sediment transport mechanism correctly. Although the model study gave reasonable description of beach processes and harbor sedimentation mechanism, it is necessary to collect lots of field observation data, including waves, tides and bottom materials, etc. for better prediction.

  • PDF

Characteristics of the Strength Change of Dredged Soil by Tide Influence (조석 영향에 의한 해성준설토의 강도변화 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Chun, Byung-Sik;Kim, Bong-Su;Lee, Won-Taek;Do, Jong-Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2008.03a
    • /
    • pp.1071-1074
    • /
    • 2008
  • In this study, the behavior of dredged soil was measured by repeated tide and analyzed the change of settlements and cone penetration resistance by centrifuge model about dredged soil of Kunsan-Janghang site that maximum tidal range is 7.4m. Consequently the settlements of dredged soil by repeated tide in the 2nd month was 0.489 m. After 12th month, the total settlements was 0.524 m in the model. It meaned the settlements of dredged soil by repeated tide in the 2th month was 80% of the settlements. Also, with the lapse of time, cone penetration resistance increased centrifuge model test for catching the strength change of dredged soil by repeated tide. After 10th month, there were not almost changes. cone penetration resistance in 10th month was measured more 3.5~5.6 times than that in its early stages. Also, with the lapse of time, cone penetration resistance increased almost linearly. And, when we surveyed the relation between cone penetration resistance and time, as depth increased, cone penetration resistance rose.

  • PDF

Stochastic Behavior of Plant Water Stress Index and the Impact of Climate Change (식생 물 부족 지수의 추계학적 거동과 기후변화가 그에 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Suhee;Yoo, Gayoung;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.507-514
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this study, a dynamic modeling scheme is presented to describe the probabilistic structure of soil water and plant water stress index under stochastic precipitation conditions. The proposed model has the form of the Fokker-Planck equation, and its applicability as a model for the probabilistic evolution of the soil water and plant water stress index is investigated under a climate change scenario. The simulation results of soil water confirm that the proposed soil water model can properly reproduce the observations and show that the soil water behaves with consistent cycle based on the precipitation pattern. The simulation results of plant water stress index show two different PDF patterns according to the precipitation. The simple impact assessment of climate change to soil water and plant water stress is discussed with Korean Meteorological Administration regional climate model.

The Study for NHPP Software Reliability Growth Model of Percentile Change-point (백분위수 변화점을 고려한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
    • /
    • v.8 no.4
    • /
    • pp.115-120
    • /
    • 2008
  • Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quantification of a critical element of the software testing process: Change-point problem. In this paper, exponential (Goel-Okumoto) model was reviewed, proposes the percentile change-point problem, which maked out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Using NTDS data, The numerical example of percentilechange-point problemi s presented.

  • PDF

The Role of the Spatial Externalities of Irrigation on the Ricardian Model of Climate Change: Application to the Southwestern U.S. Counties

  • Bae, Jinwon;Dall'erba, Sandy
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.212-235
    • /
    • 2021
  • In spite of the increasing popularity of the Ricardian model for the study of the impact of climate change on agriculture, there has been few attempts to examine the role of interregional spillovers in this framework and all of them rely on geographical proximity-based weighting schemes. We remedy to this gap by focusing on the spatial externalities of surface water flow used for irrigation purposes and demonstrate that farmland value, the usual dependent variable used in the Ricardian framework, is a function of the climate variables experienced locally and in the upstream locations. This novel approach is tested empirically on a spatial panel model estimated across the counties of the Southwest USA over 1997-2012. This region is one of the driest in the country, hence its agriculture relies heavily on irrigated surface water. The results highlight how the weather conditions in upstream counties significantly affect downstream agriculture, thus the actual impact of climate change on agriculture and subsequent adaptation policies cannot overlook the streamflow network anymore.

A NONPARAMETRIC CHANGE-POINT ESTIMATOR USING WINDOW IN MEAN CHANGE MODEL

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Jang, Hee-Yoon
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.653-664
    • /
    • 2000
  • The problem of inference about the unknown change-point with a change in mean is considered. We suggest a nonparametric change-point estimator using window and prove its consistency when the errors are from the distribution with the mean zero and the common variance. a comparison study is done by simulation on the mean, the variance, and the proportion of matching the true change-points.

Combined Thermal Radiation with Turbulent Convection Conjugate PCM Model (난류 대류를 도입한 고온 축열 시스템 모델의 열복사 전달에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, K.S.
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.556-565
    • /
    • 1995
  • The physical model of interest is based upon the concentric cylinder, where the outside cylinder is filled with optically thick and high temperature phase change material(PCM). The fluid is flowing through the inside cylinder to transfer the appropriate energy. The fluid is flowing through the inside cylinder to transfer the appropriate energy. The governing equations for the phase change material including internal thermal radiation and for the turbulent transfer fluid have been employed and numerically solved. The optically thick phase change justifies the P-l spherical harmonics approximation, which is believed to be appropriate choice particularly for the much coupled problem like in this study. The solid/liquid interface, temperature distribution within the PCM and the heat flux from the PCM to the transfer fluid have been obtained and compared with those of laminar transfer fluid. The numerical results show that the turbulent transfer fluid accelerates the solid/liquid interface and results in the increase of heat transfer rate from the PCM. The internal thermal radiation within the PCM, however, does not always playa role to increase the heat transfer rate throughout the inside cylinder. It is believed that the combined heat flux has been picked up more in the inflowing area than in the pure conductive phase change material.

  • PDF

Assessment of Future Climate Change Impact on DAM Inflow using SLURP Hydrologic Model and CA-Markov Technique

  • Kim, Seong-Joon;Lim, Hyuk-Jin;Park, Geun-Ae;Park, Min-Ji;Kwon, Hyung-Joong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.25-33
    • /
    • 2008
  • To investigate the hydrologic impacts of climate changes on dam inflow for Soyanggangdam watershed $(2694.4km^2)$ of northeastern South Korea, SLURP (Semi-distributed Land Use-based Runoff Process) model and the climate change results of CCCma CGCM2 based on SRES A2 and B2 were adopted. By the CA-Markov technique, future land use changes were estimated using the three land cover maps (1985, 1990, 2000) classified by Landsat TM satellite images. NDVI values for 2050 and 2100 land uses were estimated from the relationship of NDVI-Temperature linear regression derived from the observed data (1998-2002). Before the assessment, the SLURP model was calibrated and verified using 4 years (1998-2001) dam inflow data with the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies of 0.61 to 0.77. In case of A2 scenario, the dam inflows of 2050 and 2100 decreased 49.7 % and 25.0 % comparing with the dam inflow of 2000, and in case of B2 scenario, the dam inflows of 2050 and 2100 decreased 45.3 % and 53.0 %, respectively. The results showed that the impact of land use change covered 2.3 % to 4.9 % for the dam inflow change.