• Title/Summary/Keyword: model based predictive control

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A descriptive study of on-farm biosecurity and management practices during the incursion of porcine epidemic diarrhea into Canadian swine herds, 2014

  • Perri, Amanda M.;Poljak, Zvonimir;Dewey, Cate;Harding, John CS.;O'Sullivan, Terri L.
    • Journal of Veterinary Science
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.25.1-25.16
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    • 2020
  • Porcine epidemic diarrhea virus (PEDV) emerged into Canada in January 2014, primarily affecting sow herds. Subsequent epidemiological analyses suggested contaminated feed was the most likely transmission pathway. The primary objective of this study was to describe general biosecurity and management practices implemented in PEDV-positive sow herds and matched control herds at the time the virus emerged. The secondary objective was to determine if any of these general biosecurity and farm management practices were important in explaining PEDV infection status from January 22, 2014 to March 1, 2014. A case herd was defined as a swine herd with clinical signs and a positive test result for PEDV. A questionnaire was used to a gather 30-day history of herd management practices, animal movements on/off site, feed management practices, semen deliveries and biosecurity practices for case (n = 8) and control (n = 12) herds, primarily located in Ontario. Data was analyzed using descriptive statistics and random forests (RFs). Case herds were larger in size than control herds. Case herds had more animal movements and non-staff movements onto the site. Also, case herds had higher quantities of pigs delivered, feed deliveries and semen deliveries on-site. The biosecurity practices of case herds were considered more rigorous based on herd management, feed deliveries, transportation and truck driver practices than control herds. The RF model found that the most important variables for predicting herd status were related to herd size and feed management variables. Nonetheless, predictive accuracy of the final RF model was 72%.

An evaluation scenario of safety performance for extraordinary service permission of autonomous vehicle (자율주행 자동차 임시운행 허가를 위한 안전 성능 평가 시나리오)

  • Jeong, Yonghwan;Yi, Kyongsu;Choi, In Seong;Min, Kyong Chan
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.44-49
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents an evaluation scenario of safety performance for extraordinary service permission of autonomous vehicle driving on a motorway. Based on advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) which is already mass-production, an autonomous vehicle driving on motorway is tested on the public roads and also getting close to mass-production. Before the autonomous vehicle tested, the safety of autonomous driving system should be evaluated based on a proper test scenario. Prior to develop the test scenario, this paper reviews the licensing standards for an autonomous vehicle in California and Nevada, and the international regulations of each ADAS. To develop the scenario, the driving conditions of motorway are categorized into five modes and fundamental evaluation requirements of elements of autonomous driving system are derived. An evaluation scenario, which represents the real driving conditions, has been developed to assess the safety of autonomous vehicle. This scenario has validated by computer simulation using model predictive control (MPC) based autonomous driving algorithm.

The Measurement and Estimation of Lower Flash Point for 2-Propanol+Acid Systems Using Cleveland Open Cup Apparatus (클리브랜드 개방식 장치를 이용한 2-propanol+acid류 계의 하부 인화점 측정 및 예측)

  • Ha, Dong-Myeong;Lee, Sung-Jin
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.32-37
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    • 2007
  • An accurate knowledge of the flash point is important in developing appropriate preventive and control measures in industrial fire protection. The lower flash points for the 2-propanol+acetic acid and 2-propanol+-n-propionic acid systems were measured by Cleveland open cup apparatus. The experimental data were compared with the values calculated by the Raoult's law, the Wilson equation and the NRTL(non random two liquids) equation. The calculated values based on the Wilson and NRTL equations were found to be better than those based on the Raoult's law. And the predictive curve of the flash point prediction model, based on NRTL equation described the experimentally-derived data were more effective than the case of the Wilson equation.

Laser micro-drilling of CNT reinforced polymer nanocomposite: A parametric study using RSM and APSO

  • Lipsamayee Mishra;Trupti Ranjan Mahapatra;Debadutta Mishra;Akshaya Kumar Rout
    • Advances in materials Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2024
  • The present experimental investigation focuses on finding optimal parametric data-set of laser micro-drilling operation with minimum taper and Heat-affected zone during laser micro-drilling of Carbon Nanotube/Epoxy-based composite materials. Experiments have been conducted as per Box-Behnken design (BBD) techniques considering cutting speed, lamp current, pulse frequency and air pressure as input process parameters. Then, the relationship between control parameters and output responses is developed using second-order nonlinear regression models. The analysis of variance test has also been performed to check the adequacy of the developed mathematical model. Using the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and an Accelerated particle swarm optimization (APSO) technique, optimum process parameters are evaluated and compared. Moreover, confirmation tests are conducted with the optimal parameter settings obtained from RSM and APSO and improvement in performance parameter is noticed in each case. The optimal process parameter setting obtained from predictive RSM based APSO techniques are speed=150 (m/s), current=22 (amp), pulse frequency (3 kHz), Air pressure (1 kg/cm2) for Taper and speed=150 (m/s), current=22 (amp), pulse frequency (3 kHz), air pressure (3 kg/cm2) for HAZ. From the confirmatory experimental result, it is observed that the APSO metaheuristic algorithm performs efficiently for optimizing the responses during laser micro-drilling process of nanocomposites both in individual and multi-objective optimization.

Performance Analysis of Pursuit- Evasion Game Based Guidance Laws (추적-회피 게임 기반 유도법칙의 성능 분석)

  • Kim, Young-Sam;Tahk, Min-Jea;Ryu, Hyeok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.36 no.8
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    • pp.747-752
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    • 2008
  • We propose a guidance law based on pursuit-evasion game solutions, and analyze its performance. The game solutions are obtained from the pursuit-evasion game solver developed by Tahk. The initial value of the game solution is used for guidance, and then the pursuit-evasion game is solved again at the next time step. In this respect, the proposed guidance laws are similar to the approach of model predictive control. The proposed guidance method is compared with proportional navigation guidance for a pursuit-evasion scenario, in which the evader always tries to maximize the capture time. According to the comparison, it has larger a capture set than ones of proportional navigation guidance law.

Prediction Model of Software Size for 4GL and Database Projects

  • Yoon, myoung-Young
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1999
  • An important task for any software project manager is to be able to predict and control project size. Unfortunately, there is comparatively little work that deals with the problem of building prediction methods for software size in fourth-generation languages and database projects. In this paper, we propose a new estimation method for estimating for software size based on minimum relative error(MRE) criterion. The characteristic of the proposed method is insensitive to the extreme values of the observed measures which can be obtained early in the development life cycle. In order to verify the performance of the proposed estimation method for software size in terms of both quality of fit and predictive quality, the experiments has been conducted for the dataset Ⅰ and Ⅱ, respectively. For the data set Ⅰ and Ⅱ, our proposed prediction method was shown to be superior to the traditional method LS and RLS in terms of both the quality of fit and predictive quality when applied to data obtained from actual software development projects.

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Software Size Estimation Model for 4GL System (4GL 시스템에 대한 소프트웨어 크기 추정 모델)

  • Yoon, Myoung-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 1999.05a
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 1999
  • An important task for any software project manager is to be able to predict and control project size. Unfortunately, there is comparatively little work that deals with the problem of building estimation methods for software size in fourth-generation languages systems. In this paper, we propose a new estimation method for estimating for software size based on minimum relative error(MRE) criterion. The characteristic of the proposed method is insensitive to the extreme values of the observed measures which can be obtained early in the development life cycle. In order to verify the performance of the proposed estimation method for software size in terms of both quality of fit and predictive quality, the experiments has been conducted for the dataset I and II, respectively. For the data set I and II, our proposed estimation method was shown to be superior to the traditional method LS and RLS in terms of both the quality of fit and predictive quality when applied to data obtained from actual software development projects.

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Header-Based Power Gating Structure Considering NBTI Aging Effect (NBTI 노화 효과를 고려한 헤더 기반의 파워게이팅 구조)

  • Kim, Kyung-Ki
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes a novel adaptive header-based power gating structure to compensate for the performance loss and the increased wake-up time of the power gating structures induced by the negative bias temperature instability (NBTI) effect. The proposed structure consists of variable width footers based on the two-pass power gating and a new NBTI sensing circuit for an adaptive control. The simulation results of the proposed structure are compared to those of power gating without the adaptive control and show that both the circuit-delay and wake-up time dependence of the power gating structure on the NBTI stress is minimized with only 3% and 4% increase, respectively while keeping small leakage power and rush-current. In this paper, a 45 nm CMOS technology and predictive NBTI model have been used to implement the proposed circuits.

A Model for Health Promoting Behaviors in Late-middle Aged Woman (중년후기 여성의 건강증진행위 모형구축)

  • Park, Chai-Soon
    • Women's Health Nursing
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.298-331
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    • 1996
  • Recent improvements in living standard and development in medical care led to an increased interest in life expectancy and personal health, and also led to a more demand for higher quality of life. Thus, the problem of women's health draw a fresh interest nowadays. Since late-middle aged women experience various physical and socio-psychological changes and tend to have chronic illnesses, these women have to take initiatives for their health control by realizing their own responsibility. The basic elements for a healthy life of these women are understanding of their physical and psychological changes and acceptance of these changes. Health promoting behaviors of an individual or a group are actions toward increasing the level of well-being and self-actualization, and are affected by various variables. In Pender's health promoting model, variables are categorized into cognitive factors(individual perceptions), modifying factors, and variables affecting the likelihood for actions, and the model assumes the health promoting behaviors are affected by cognitive factors which are again affected by demographic factors. Since Pender's model was proposed based on a tool broad conceptual frame, many studies done afterwards have included only a limited number of variables of Pender's model. Furthermore, Pender's model did not precisely explain the possibilities of direct and indirect paths effects. The objectives of this study are to evaluate Pender's model and thus propose a model that explains health promoting behaviors among late-middle aged women in order to facilitate nursing intervention for this group of population. The hypothetical model was developed based on the Pender's health promoting model and the findings from past studies on women's health. Data were collected by self-reported questionnaires from 417 women living in Seoul, between July and November 1994. Questionnaires were developed based on instruments of Walker and others' health promotion lifestyle profile, Wallston and others' multidimensional health locus of control, Maoz's menopausal symptom check list and Speake and others' health self-rating scale. IN addition, items measuring self-efficacy were made by the present author based on past studies. In a pretest, the questionnaire items were reliable with Cronbach's alpha ranging from .786 to .934. The models for health promoting behaviors were tested by using structural equation modelling technique with LISREL 7.20. The results were summarized as follows : 1. The overall fit of the hypothetical model to the data was good (chi-square=4.42, df=5, p=.490, GFI=.995, AGFI=.962, RMSR=.024). 2. Paths of the model were modified by considering both its theoretical implication and statistical significance of the parameter estimates. Compared to the hypothetical model, the revised model has become parsimonious and had a better fit to the data (chi-square =4.55, df=6, p=.602, GFI=.995, AGFI=.967, RMSR=.024). 3. The results of statistical testing were as follows : 1) Family function internal health locus of control, self-efficacy, and education level exerted significant effects on health promoting behaviors(${\gamma}_{43}$=.272, T=3.714; ${\beta}_[41}$=.211, T=2.797; ${\beta}_{42}$=.199, T=2.717; ${\gamma}_{41}$=.136, T=1.986). The effect of economic status, physical menopausal symptoms, and perceived health status on health promoting behavior were insignificant(${\gamma}_{42}$=.095, T=1.456; ${\gamma}_{44}$=.101, T=1.143; ${\gamma}_{43}$=.082, T=.967). 2) Family function had a significance direct effect on internal health locus of control (${\gamma}_{13}$=.307, T=3.784). The direct effect of education level on internal health locus of control was insignificant(${\gamma}_{11}$=-.006, T=-.081). 3) The directs effects of family functions & internal health locus of control on self-efficacy were significant(${\gamma}_{23}$=.208, T=2.607; ${\beta}_{21}$=.191, T=2.2693). But education level and economic status did not exert a significant effect on self-efficacy(${\gamma}_{21}$=.137, T=1.814; ${\beta}_{22}$=.137, T=1.814; ${\gamma}_{22}$=.112, T=1.499). 4) Education level had a direct and positive effect on perceived health status, but physical menopausal symptoms had a negative effect on perceived health status and these effects were all significant(${\gamma}_{31}$=.171, T=2.496; ${\gamma}_{34}$=.524, T=-7.120). Internal health locus and self-efficacy had an insignificant direct effect on perceived health status(${\beta}_{31}$=.028, T=.363; ${\beta}_{32}$=.041, T=.557). 5) All predictive variables of health promoting behaviors explained 51.8% of the total variance in the model. The above findings show that health promoting behaviors are explained by personal, environmental and perceptual factors : family function, internal health locus of control, self-efficacy, and education level had stronger effects on health promoting behaviors than predictors in the model. A significant effect of family function on health promoting behaviors reflects an important role of the Korean late-middle aged women in family relationships. Therefore, health professionals first need to have a proper evaluation of family function in order to reflect the family function style into nursing interventions and development of strategies. These interventions and strategies will enhance internal health locus of control and self-efficacy for promoting health behaviors. Possible strategies include management of health promoting programs, use of a health information booklets, and individual health counseling, which will enhance internal health locus of control and self-efficacy of the late-middle aged women by making them aware of health responsibilities and value for oneself. In this study, an insignificant effect of physical menopausal symptoms and perceived health status on health promoting behaviors implies that they are not motive factors for health promoting behaviors. Further analytic researches are required to clarify the influence of physical menopausal symptoms and perceived health status on health promoting behaviors with-middle aged women.

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A Case Study of Discontinuous Innovation Based on Cusp Catastrophe Model : Implications for Predictive Risk Management (첨점 격변 모형에 기반 한 불연속 혁신의 유형별 사례 연구: 예측적 위기관리 측면)

  • Kim, Sung-Cheol;Shin, Minsoo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.2140-2149
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    • 2013
  • Managing uncertainty or discontinuity in an innovation is still a challenge to most companies. For sustainable corporate survival over the long term, one of the problems caused by discontinuous innovation is the innovator's dilemma. In specific, the dynamics between discontinuous innovation and incumbents inspires the interestof researchers and managers. This paper employs catastrophe theory as a theoretical basis to explain the driving force of new discontinuous change. In other words, we extract the control variables overcoming innovation dilemma by interpreting the dynamics of corporate strategy for discontinuous innovation from the perspective of catastrophe theory. First, we define four types of discontinuity such as technology discontinuity, product discontinuity, business discontinuity, and consumer preference discontinuity. Second, we analyze the dynamics of the competition between companies by interpreting the cases of discontinuous innovation. This analyzing process enables us to identify the control variable which can, in advance, respond to the discontinuous situation.