• Title/Summary/Keyword: model based

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Estimating the Impact of DMZ Punchbowl Trail as a National Forest Trail on Local Economy using the Regional Input-Output Model (지역산업연관모델을 이용한 국가숲길의 지역경제 파급효과 분석: DMZ펀치볼둘레길을 중심으로)

  • Sugwang Lee;Jae Dong Yang;Jeonghee Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.113 no.2
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    • pp.170-186
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    • 2024
  • This study was conducted to identify the usage characteristics of the DMZ Punchbowl Trail (DPT) as a national forest trail (NFT) and to estimate its ripple effects on the local economy. The objective of this study is to provide policy implications for sustainable operational management. Out of the 500 questionnaires distributed, 215 respondents provided their complete travel itineraries and expenditures. The respondents, mainly aged 50 and above and residing in the Seoul Metropolitan Area, spend 3.5 hours of travel time to the DPT. Together with their families, the respondents typically spend approximately 4 hours for leisurely activities, primarily appreciation of scenic views and relaxation by visiting the "O-yubatgil." Furthermore, they extend their travels to other parts of Gangwon Province, where the DPT is situated. Within Gangwon Province, Yanggu County is the most visited destination. The respondents reported a notably higher average expenditure per visitor compared with the typical local walking tourists. Estimates show that the DPT generates an annual average of KRW 2.1 billion in direct expenditure (based on an average of 10,000 visitors for over five years), KRW 2.8 billion in production, and KRW 1.3 billion in added value, and it has created 40 jobs in Gangwon Province. The results of this study lies in empirically determining the specific economic scale and ripple effects of DPT as an NFT in the major sector, which occupies a significant portion of the Gangwon Province's local economy. The results will be instrumental in validating NFT policies and informing policy making for sustainable forest utilization.

Imaging Predictors of Survival in Patients with Single Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Transarterial Chemoembolization

  • Chan Park;Jin Hyoung Kim;Pyeong Hwa Kim;So Yeon Kim;Dong Il Gwon;Hee Ho Chu;Minho Park;Joonho Hur;Jin Young Kim;Dong Joon Kim
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.213-224
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    • 2021
  • Objective: Clinical outcomes of patients who undergo transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for single small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are not consistent, and may differ based on certain imaging findings. This retrospective study was aimed at determining the efficacy of pre-TACE CT or MR imaging findings in predicting survival outcomes in patients with small HCC upon being treated with TACE. Besides, the study proposed to build a risk prediction model for these patients. Materials and Methods: Altogether, 750 patients with functionally good hepatic reserve who received TACE as the first-line treatment for single small HCC between 2004 and 2014 were included in the study. These patients were randomly assigned into training (n = 525) and validation (n = 225) sets. Results: According to the results of a multivariable Cox analysis, three pre-TACE imaging findings (tumor margin, tumor location, enhancement pattern) and two clinical factors (age, serum albumin level) were selected and scored to create predictive models for overall, local tumor progression (LTP)-free, and progression-free survival in the training set. The median overall survival time in the validation set were 137.5 months, 76.1 months, and 44.0 months for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, respectively (p < 0.001). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves of the predictive models for overall, LTP-free, and progression-free survival applied to the validation cohort showed acceptable areas under the curve values (0.734, 0.802, and 0.775 for overall survival; 0.738, 0.789, and 0.791 for LTP-free survival; and 0.671, 0.733, and 0.694 for progression-free survival at 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively). Conclusion: Pre-TACE CT or MR imaging findings could predict survival outcomes in patients with small HCC upon treatment with TACE. Our predictive models including three imaging predictors could be helpful in prognostication, identification, and selection of suitable candidates for TACE in patients with single small HCC.

A Tracer Study on Mankyeong River Using Effluents from a Sewage Treatment Plant (하수처리장 방류수를 이용한 추적자 시험: 만경강 유역에 대한 사례 연구)

  • Kim Jin-Sam;Kim Kang-Joo;Hahn Chan;Hwang Gab-Soo;Park Sung-Min;Lee Sang-Ho;Oh Chang-Whan;Park Eun-Gyu
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.82-91
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    • 2006
  • We investigated the possibility of using effluents from a municipal sewage treatment plant (STP) as tracers a tracer for hydrologic studies of rivers. The possibility was checked in a 12-km long reach downstream of Jeonju Municipal Sewage Treatment Plant (JSTP). Time-series monitoring of the water chemistry reveals that chemical compositions of the effluent from the JSTP are fluctuating within a relatively wide range during the sampling period. In addition, the signals from the plant were observed at the downstream stations consecutively with increasing time lags, especially in concentrations of the conservative chemical parameters (concentrations f3r chloride and sulfate, total concentration of major cations, and electric conductivity). Based on this observation, we could estimate the stream flow (Q), velocity (v), and dispersion coefficient (D). A 1-D nonreactive solute-transport model with automated optimization schemes was used for this study. The values of Q, v, and D estimated from this study varied from 6.4 to $9.0m^3/sec$ (at the downstream end of the reach), from 0.06 to 0.10 m/sec, and from 0.7 to $6.4m^2/sec$, respectively. The results show that the effluent from a large-scaled municipal STP frequently provides good, multiple natural tracers far hydrologic studies.

The Effects of the Visual-Analogical Learning on Student Creativity and Science Achievement in Elementary School Science (초등과학 학습에서의 창의력 향상을 위한 시각적비유학습의 효과)

  • Choi, Sun-Young;Lee, Eun-Jung;Kang, Ho-Kam
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to explore the effects of a visual-analogical learning model based on theoretical research on visual thinking and analogical learning. To examine the effect of visual-analogical learning, both an experimental group and a control group were selected from 6th graders at H elementary school in Yeonsugu, Incheon and tested on creativity and science achievement Results of this study showed as that visual-analogical learning produced statistically significant differences for changes in student creativity, For the individual components of creativity; openness, fluency, and originality, results showed greater increases for the experimental group, whereas flexibility showed only statistically significant differences. In regards to science achievement, the experimental group showed a bigger increase than the control group, but these findings were statistically nonsignificant For changes to creativity in the group divided according to creativity score, this instructional method was more effective in the middle and lower group than the higher group, An investigation of attitude, revealed a positive student reaction students felt these science classes to be more interesting than previous science classes. Moreover, students wanted to create new innovative product themselves.

Internalization of Constructivistic Science Teaching of Science Teachers Participating in a Collaborative Program Between Teachers and Researchers (교사-연구자간 협력적 연수 프로그램에 참여한 과학 교사의 구성주의적 수업에 대한 내면화 과정)

  • Lee, Eun-Jin;Kim, Chan-Jong;Lee, Sun-Kyung;Jang, Shin-Ho;Kwon, Hong-Jin;Yu, Eun-Jeong
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.27 no.9
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    • pp.854-869
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we investigated secondary science teachers' internalization of constructivistic science teaching who participated in a collaborative program between teachers and researchers designed by researchers according to constructivist views. The program consisted of lecture, workshop, and small group activities. New trends in science education and framework for science teaching were introduced during lectures, and understanding about the framework were deepened by analyzing school science classes recorded during workshops. In small group activities, participating teachers and researchers cooperated to design science lesson plans using science teaching frameworks. Five secondary science teachers participated in collaborative workshops. Collaborative programs were video-taped. Semi-structured interviews were conducted before and after workshops. All data recorded were transcribed and analyzed. In the process of internalization, participating teachers attended on different parts. Various and discernable factors such as there own background, beliefs, values, and school context produced tensions with or facilitated internalization of constructivistic science teaching. Teaching experiences and student understanding affected teachers' lesson planning activities. Teachers also showed different understandings on inquiry, application, and model from the framework, and they interpret those concepts in the framework based on their prior understanding. They perceived that too much content should be dealt within relatively limited time. Therefore, they tended to separate science class into two parts when developing science lessons: explaining science content by lecture and science laboratory as a constructivistic activity. The results of the study provide meaningful implications to the constructivist teacher education and professional development.

A Case Study of Middle School Students' Abductive Inference during a Geological Field Excursion (야외 지질 학습에서 나타난 중학생들의 귀추적 추론 사례 연구)

  • Maeng, Seung-Ho;Park, Myeong-Sook;Lee, Jeong-A;Kim, Chan-Jong
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.27 no.9
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    • pp.818-831
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    • 2007
  • Recognizing the importance of abductive inquiry in Earth science, some theoretical approaches that deploy abduction have been researched. And, it is necessary that the abductive inquiry in a geological field excursion as a vivid locale of Earth science inquiry should be researched. We developed a geological field trip based on the abductive learning model, and investigated students' abductive inference, thinking strategies used in those inferences, and the impact of a teacher's pedagogical intervention on students' abductive inference. Results showed that students, during the field excursion, could accomplish abductive inference about rock identification, process of different rock generation, joints generation in metamorpa?ic rocks, and terrains at the field trip area. They also used various thinking strategies in finding appropriate rules to construe the facts observed at outcrops. This means that it is significant for the enhancement of abductive reasoning skills that students experience such inquiries as scientists do. In addition, a teacher's pedagogical interventions didn't ensure the content of students' inference while they helped students perform abductive reasoning and guided their use of specific thinking strategies. Students had found reasoning rules to explain the 01: served facts from their wrong prior knowledge. Therefore, during a geological field excursion, teachers need to provide students with proper background knowledge and information in order that students can reason rues for persuasive abductive inference, and construe the geological features of the field trip area by the establishment of appropriate hypotheses.

Analyzing Factors Affecting the Use of Landowner's Purchase Requisition Policy in Bukhansan National Park (북한산국립공원 내 토지매수 청구 제도 활용 요인 분석)

  • Chan Yong Sung;Young Jae Yi
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.499-507
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    • 2023
  • This study conducted an empirical analysis on a land purchase requisition policy in Bukhansan National Park to draw the efficacy, limitations and implications of this policy. A logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify factors that affected the landowners' decision on applying for land purchase requisition using the government's records on acquisition of private lands in the park since 2006 when this policy began to be implemented. Results illustrate that the probability that a landowner applied for purchase requisition increased if the land was classified as forest, if a large proportion of the land was designated as the nature conservation district, if it was located farther from park boundary, and if it had higher appraised value per square meter. These results indicate that as the landowners had less chance to utilize their lands, they more likely apply for purchase requisition. These results also imply that the government can achieve a high conservation performance level if private lands are acquire by the land acquisition requisition policy. The logistic regression model also predict that 401m2 of the private lands in Bukhansan National Park will likely be purchase-requested in future. Despites its usefulness in mitigating landowners' complaints in national parks, the land purchase requisition policy has not been widely utilized. Based on these empirical results, this study provides policy implications to facilitate the ulitization of this policy.

A Study on the Use of Retailtech and Intention to Accept Technology based on Experiential Marketing (체험마케팅에 기반한 리테일테크 활용과 기술수용의도에 관한 연구)

  • Sangho Lee;Kwangmoon Cho
    • Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to determine how the use of retailtech technology affects consumers' purchase intention. Furthermore, this study aims to investigate the mediating effects of technology usefulness and ease of use on this influence relationship and whether experiential marketing moderates consumers' purchase intention. The survey was conducted from August 1, 2023 to September 30, 2023, and a total of 257 people participated in the study. For statistical analysis, hierarchical regression analysis, three-stage mediation regression analysis, and hierarchical three-stage controlled regression analysis were conducted to test the hypothesis. The results of the study are as follows. First, it was confirmed that big data-AI utilization, mobile-SNS utilization, live commerce utilization, and IoT utilization affect purchase intention in retail technology utilization. Second, technology usefulness has a mediating effect on IoT utilization, mobile-SNS utilization, and big data-AI utilization. Third, perceived ease of use of technology mediated the effects of IoT utilization, mobile-SNS utilization, live-commerce utilization, and big data-AI utilization. Fourth, escapist experience has a moderating effect on mobile SNS utilization and live commerce utilization. Fifth, esthetic experience has a moderating effect on mobile-SNS utilization and big data-AI utilization. Through this study, we hope that the domestic distribution industry will contribute to national competitiveness by securing the competitive advantage of companies by utilizing new technologies in entering the global market.

Dynamic Shear Behavior Characteristics of PHC Pile-cohesive Soil Ground Contact Interface Considering Various Environmental Factors (다양한 환경인자를 고려한 PHC 말뚝-사질토 지반 접촉면의 동적 전단거동 특성)

  • Kim, Young-Jun;Kwak, Chang-Won;Park, Inn-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2024
  • PHC piles demonstrate superior resistance to compression and bending moments, and their factory-based production enhances quality assurance and management processes. Despite these advantages that have resulted in widespread use in civil engineering and construction projects, the design process frequently relies on empirical formulas or N-values to estimate the soil-pile friction, which is crucial for bearing capacity, and this reliance underscores a significant lack of experimental validation. In addition, environmental factors, e.g., the pH levels in groundwater and the effects of seawater, are commonly not considered. Thus, this study investigates the influence of vibrating machine foundations on PHC pile models in consideration of the effects of varying pH conditions. Concrete model piles were subjected to a one-month conditioning period in different pH environments (acidic, neutral, and alkaline) and under the influence of seawater. Subsequent repeated direct shear tests were performed on the pile-soil interface, and the disturbed state concept was employed to derive parameters that effectively quantify the dynamic behavior of this interface. The results revealed a descending order of shear stress in neutral, acidic, and alkaline conditions, with the pH-influenced samples exhibiting a more pronounced reduction in shear stress than those affected by seawater.

Estimation of the Spring and Summer Net Community Production in the Ulleung Basin using Machine Learning Methods (기계학습법을 이용한 동해 울릉분지의 봄과 여름 순군집생산 추정)

  • DOSHIK HAHM;INHEE LEE;MINKI CHOO
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2024
  • The southwestern part of the East Sea is known to have a high primary productivity compared to those in the northern and eastern parts, which is attributed to nutrients supplies either by Tsushima Warm Current or by coastal upwelling. However, research on the biological pump in this area is limited. We developed machine learning models to estimate net community production (NCP), a measure of biological pump, with high spatial and time scales of 4 km and 8 days, respectively. The models were fed with the input parameters of sea surface temperature, chlorophyll-a, mixed layer depths, and photosynthetically active radiation and trained with observed NCP derived from high resolution measurements of surface O2/Ar. The root mean square error between the predicted values by the best performing machine model and the observed NCP was 6 mmol O2 m-2 d-1, corresponding to 15% of the average of observed NCP. The NCP in the central part of the Ulleung Basin was highest in March at 49 mmol O2 m-2 d-1 and lowest in June and July at 18 mmol O2 m-2 d-1. These seasonal variations were similar to the vertical nitrate flux based on the 3He gas exchange rate and to the particulate organic carbon flux estimated by the 234Th disequilibrium method. To expand this method, which produces NCP estimate for spring and summer, to autumn and winter, it is necessary to devise a way to correct bias in NCP by the entrainment of subsurface waters during the seasons.