• 제목/요약/키워드: model atmosphere

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한국형수치예보모델 KIM의 폭염 예측 성능 검증 (Evaluation of Heat Waves Predictability of Korean Integrated Model)

  • 정지영;이은희;박혜진
    • 대기
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.277-295
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    • 2022
  • The global weather prediction model, Korean Integrated Model (KIM), has been in operation since April 2020 by the Korea Meteorological Administration. This study assessed the performance of heat waves (HWs) in Korea in 2020. Case experiments during 2018-2020 were conducted to support the reliability of assessment, and the factors which affect predictability of the HWs were analyzed. Simulated expansion and retreat of the Tibetan High and North Pacific High during the 2020 HW had a good agreement with the analysis. However, the model showed significant cold biases in the maximum surface temperature. It was found that the temperature bias was highly related to underestimation of downward shortwave radiation at surface, which was linked to cloudiness. KIM tended to overestimate nighttime clouds that delayed the dissipation of cloud in the morning, which affected the shortage of downward solar radiation. The vertical profiles of temperature and moisture showed that cold bias and trapped moisture in the lower atmosphere produce favorable conditions for cloud formation over the Yellow Sea, which affected overestimation of cloud in downwind land. Sensitivity test was performed to reduce model bias, which was done by modulating moisture mixing parameter in the boundary layer scheme. Results indicated that the daytime temperature errors were reduced by increase in surface solar irradiance with enhanced cloud dissipation. This study suggested that not only the synoptic features but also the accuracy of low-level temperature and moisture condition played an important role in predicting the maximum temperature during the HWs in medium-range forecasts.

2006년 광릉 활엽수림에서 순 생태계 탄소 교환량의 모의에 대한 modified Soil-Plant-Atmosphere (mSPA) 모델의 평가 (Evaluation of Modified Soil-Plant-Atmosphere Model (mSPA) to Simulate Net Ecosystem Carbon Exchange Over a Deciduous Forest at Gwangneung in 2006)

  • 이영희;임희정
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.87-99
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    • 2009
  • 2006년 광릉 활엽수림지역에서 관측된 자료를 활용하여 수정된 토양-식생-대기 모델을 보정하고 연간 순생태 교환량의 계절변동성에 대한 모델의 모의 능력을 평가하고 탄소교환을 조절하는 주요 인자에 대하여 조사하였다. 수정된 토양-식생-대기 모델(mSPA model)을 1000 LST부터 1400 LST까지 관측된 낮 시간의 평균 순 생태 교환량(Net ecosystem exchange)을 모의하도록 보정한 후 총 일차 생산량(Gross primary productivity)을 계산하는데 사용하였고 생태 호흡량(Ecosystem respiration)은 관측지에서 개발된 경험식을 사용하여 추정하였다. 모델 결과는 여름철에 낮 시간의 평균 기공 전도도는 일사량과 매우 높은 상관성이 있음을 나타내었고 수증기 포차는 기공전도도의 변화에 큰 영향을 미치지는 않음을 보였다. 모델은 성장기간에 두 개의 극대값을 갖는 관측된 순 생태교환량의 계절 변동성을 모의하였다. 모델에서 계산된 연간 총 생산량과 생태호흡량, 그리고 순 생태 교환량은 각각 $964gC\;m^{-2}\;yr^{-1}$, $733gC\;m^{-2}\;yr^{-1}$ 그리고 $-231gCm\;^{-2}\;yr^{-1}$이었다. 관측값에 기반하여 산정된 연구결과와 비교할 때 모델 추정값이 약 $140gC\;m^{-2}\;yr^{-1}$ 더 많은 탄소 흡수를 보였다. 복잡한 지형에서 연간 생태 교환량 추정의 불확실성에 대하여 논의하였다.

여름강수량의 단기예측을 위한 Multi-Ensemble GCMs 기반 시공간적 Downscaling 기법 개발 (Development of Multi-Ensemble GCMs Based Spatio-Temporal Downscaling Scheme for Short-term Prediction)

  • 권현한;민영미
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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    • pp.1142-1146
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    • 2009
  • A rainfall simulation and forecasting technique that can generate daily rainfall sequences conditional on multi-model ensemble GCMs is developed and applied to data in Korea for the major rainy season. The GCM forecasts are provided by APEC climate center. A Weather State Based Downscaling Model (WSDM) is used to map teleconnections from ocean-atmosphere data or key state variables from numerical integrations of Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models to simulate daily sequences at multiple rain gauges. The method presented is general and is applied to the wet season which is JJA(June-July-August) data in Korea. The sequences of weather states identified by the EM algorithm are shown to correspond to dominant synoptic-scale features of rainfall generating mechanisms. Application of the methodology to seasonal rainfall forecasts using empirical teleconnections and GCM derived climate forecast are discussed.

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식공간 분위기 감성 어휘에 관한 연구 -패밀리 레스토랑을 중심으로- (A Study on the Evaluation of Sensibility Vocabularys for Atmosphere on Food-Space -Centered on Family Restaurants-)

  • 홍종숙;김영갑
    • 동아시아식생활학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.311-315
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this research was to discern how consumers experience the images of sensibility vocabularies for atmosphere of family restaurants and to suggest the applications for restaurant managers and marketers by presenting words that appeal to consumers' needs and emotions. More reliable results were obtained by researching the sensibility vocabularies using free association and stimulus methods. Extracting 8 sensibility words among 28 vocabularies, we constructed the relation of evaluation concepts by using a structural equation model. Overall, the structural equation model, which is a method to select reliable sensibility vocabularies can increase the sensitivity of the model.

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분포형 FLO-2D 수문모형에서 초기토양함수가 유출결과에 미치는 영향 (Impacts of Initial Soil Moisture on Hydrologic Outflow in a Distributed FLO-2D Model)

  • 이길하
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제30권8호
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    • pp.613-619
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    • 2021
  • Soil water enters the atmosphere via evapotranspiration, where it transforms into atmospheric water vapor and plays important role in the surface-atmosphere energy exchange. Soil conditions have a direct influence on the effective rainfall, and initial soil moisture conditions are important for quantitatively evaluating the effective rainfall in a watershed. To examine the sensitivity of the initial saturation to hydrologic outflow, a two-dimensional distributed FLO-2D hydrologic model was applied to a small watershed. The initial saturation was set to 0.3, 0.5, and 0.7 and the obtained results were compared. The Green-ampt model was chosen to calculate the penetration loss. Depending on the initial soil moisture, the peak flow rate varied by up to 60%, and the total water volume in the watershed by approximately 40%.

Thermospheric Wind Observation and Simulation during the Nov 4, 2021 Geomagnetic Storm Event

  • Wu, Qian;Lin, Dong;Wang, Wenbin;Ward, William
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2022
  • Thermospheric wind observations from high to mid latitudes are compared with the newly developed Multiscale Atmosphere Geospace Environment (MAGE) model for the Nov 3-4 geomagnetic storm. The observation and simulation comparison shows a very good agreement and is better at high latitudes in general. We were able to identify a thermospheric poleward wind reduction possibly linked to a northward turning of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) at ~22 UT on Nov 3 and an enhancement of the poleward wind to a southward turning near 10 UT on Nov 4 at high latitudes. An IMF southward turning may have led to an enhancement of equatorward winds at Boulder, Colorado near midnight. Simultaneous occurrence of aurora may be associated with an IMF By turning negative. The MAGE model wind simulations are consistent with observations in these cases. The results show the model can be a very useful tool to further study the magnetosphere and ionosphere coupling on short time scales.

WRF 모델에서 모의된 2005년 장마 기간 강수의 동조성 연구 (A Study on the Coherence of the Precipitation Simulated by the WRF Model during a Changma Period in 2005)

  • 변재영;원혜영;조천호;최영진
    • 대기
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2007
  • The present study uses the GOES IR brightness temperature to examine the temporal and spatial variability of cloud activity over the region $25^{\circ}N-45^{\circ}N$, $105^{\circ}E-135^{\circ}E$ and analyzes the coherence of eastern Asian summer season rainfall in Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model. Time-longitude diagram of the time period from June to July 2005 shows a signal of eastward propagation in the WRF model and convective index derived from GOES IR data. The rain streaks in time-latitude diagram reveal coherence during the experiment period. Diurnal and synoptic scales are evident in the power spectrum of the time series of convective index and WRF rainfall. The diurnal cycle of early morning rainfall in the WRF model agrees with GOES IR data in the Korean Peninsula, but the afternoon convection observed by satellite observation in China is not consistent with the WRF rainfall which is represented at the dawn. Although there are errors in strength and timing of convection, the model predicts a coherent tendency of rainfall occurrence during summer season.

Experimental investigation on bubble behaviors in a water pool using the venturi scrubbing nozzle

  • Choi, Yu Jung;Kam, Dong Hoon;Papadopoulos, Petros;Lind, Terttaliisa;Jeong, Yong Hoon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.1756-1768
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    • 2021
  • The containment filtered venting system (CFVS) filters the atmosphere of the containment building and discharges a part of it to the outside environment to prevent containment overpressure during severe accidents. The Korean CFVS has a tank that filters fission products from the containment atmosphere by pool scrubbing, which is the primary decontamination process; however, prediction of its performance has been done based on researches conducted under mild conditions than those of severe accidents. Bubble behavior in a pool is a key parameter of pool scrubbing. Therefore, the bubble behavior in the pool was analyzed under various injection flow rates observed at the venturi nozzles used in the Korean CFVS using a wire-mesh sensor. Based on the experimental results, void fraction model was modified using the existing correlation, and a new bubble size prediction model was developed. The modified void fraction model agreed well with the obtained experimental data. However, the newly developed bubble size prediction model showed different results to those established in previous studies because the venturi nozzle diameter considered in this study was larger than those in previous studies. Therefore, this is the first model that reflects actual design of a venturi scrubbing nozzle.

Development of Spatial Data Management System to Estimate Regional Evapotranspiration Using a Land Surface Parameterization

  • Kim, Kwang-Soo;Chung, U-Ran
    • 한국농림기상학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농림기상학회 2003년도 춘계 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.58-61
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    • 2003
  • A land surface parameterization has been used to simulate influences of the terrestrial surface on the atmosphere. A simple biosphere model (SiB2), one of land surface parameterization, calculates exchange of radiation, sensible heat, latent heat, and momentum between the surface and the atmosphere (Sellers, et al., 1996).(omitted)

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고강도 내후성강의 온도제어를 위한 ICC 제어기 개발 (Independent Cooling Controller for Temperature Control of High Strength and Atmosphere Corrosion Resisting Steel in Hot Strip Mills)

  • 박철재
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.327-335
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 열간압연 ROT 공정에서 고강도 내후성강을 대상으로 압연 강판의 길이방향의 온도와 재질을 제어하기 위하여 독립냉각제어(ICC) 라는 새로운 제어개념을 제안하였다. ROT 공정을 전단냉각 및 후단냉각으로 분리하였으며, 각각의 독립공정에 대하여 온도제어 모델을 개발하였다. ICC 제어는 열간압연 공장의 온라인 데이터, 제어상의 문제점 및 내후성강의 TTT 선도로부터 도출하였다. 제안된 ICC 제어의 알고리즘은 변태발열에 의한 온도 외란을 이용하여 타당성을 검증하였다. 또한 열연공장에서 온라인으로 테스트 결과 강판의 온도제어 정도가 향상되었음을 입증하였다.