• Title/Summary/Keyword: mode choice model

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Estimating Walk Access and Auto Access Ridership for Transit Demand Forecast (대중교통수요예측을 위한 보행접근 및 승용차접근 잠재수요의 추정)

  • Yun, Seong-Soon;Yun, Dae-Sic
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a new method for estimating potential transit ridership residential population and number of employees that have accesses to transit services. A standard procedure that can be used to determine transit accessibility by pedestrians ad automobiles are developed to improve its transit demand forecasting capability. The analysis results are compared with those from the traditional buffer method as well as the network ratio method. It was found that the proposed method is more accurate than the traditional methods. The new method can be used to better estimate the "Walk Access" transit trips and "Auto Access" transit trips in the Mode Choice Model.

A Mode Choice Model with Market Segmentation of Beneficiary Group of New Transit Facility (신교통수단 수혜자의 시장분할을 고려한 수단선택 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Duck Nyung;Choi, A Reum;Hwang, Jae-Min;Kim, Dong-Kyu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.667-677
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    • 2013
  • The introduction of a new transit facility affects mode share of travel alternatives. The multinomial logit model, which has been the most commonly used for estimating mode share, has difficulty in reflecting heterogeneity of travelers' choices, and it has a limitation on grasping their characteristics of mode choice. The limitation may lead to over- or under-estimation of the new transit facility and bring about significant social costs. This paper aims to find a methodology to overcome the problem of preference homogeneity. It also applies market segmentation structure of separating the whole population into direct and indirect beneficiary to consider their preference heterogeneity. A mode choice model is estimated on data from Jeju Province and statistically tested. The results show that mode transfer rate of direct beneficiaries that inhabit in downtown areas increases as the new transit facility provides more advanced services with higher costs. The results and the model suggested in this study can contribute to improving the accuracy of demand forecasting of new transit facilities by reflecting heterogeneity of mode-transfer patterns.

Estimation of Optimal Modal Split Considering the Subsidy Policy - In the Case of Dual Mode Trailer (보조금 정책을 고려한 적정 수송 분담률 추정 모형 - Dual Mode Trailer(DMT) 사례를 중심으로)

  • Park, Bum-Hwan;Kim, Chung-Soo;Lee, Kang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 2009
  • There is need to reform the road-based logistic transportation system into the railway-based logistics transportation system in order to decrease the total social cost related with logistics transportation. And new transportation modes such as dual mode trailer (DMT) are under consideration, which are expected to decrease current market share of road. But, most of current studies about estimating economical efficiency are focused on developing the probabilistic choice model and then estimating the market share of each mode. We present an approach to compute the optimal market share of each mode in terms of total social cost. To do so, we suggest an optimization model capturing both user choice to maximize his utility and subsidy policy intended to minimize total social cost, simultaneously. Using this model, we present the optimal modal split of container freight.

Effect of Attitudinal Factors on Stated Preference of Low-carbon Transportation Services (개인성향 요인이 탄소저감형 교통서비스 잠재선호에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Yoonhee Lee;Gyeongjae Lee;Sangho Choo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.49-65
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    • 2023
  • In response to the growing global concern for the environment, the international community has recently committed to achieving 'carbon neutrality.' As a result, numerous studies have been conducted on mode choice models that include carbon emissions as a variable. However, few studies have established a correlation between individual preferences and carbon emissions. In this study, a new mode of transportation named sustainable public transit (SPT), incorporating carbon-reducing transport options like electric scooters, is proposed. Analyzing the individual preferences of commuters on carbon emissions through factor analysis, a stated preference (SP) survey was conducted. A mode choice model for SPT was constructed using multinomial logit models. The results of the analysis showed that gender, income, and specific preferences, such as a passion for exploring new routes, a preference for intermodal transfers, knowledge of carbon reduction, and carbon reduction practices, significantly influence latent preferences for SPT. Therefore, this study is significant as it considers carbon emissions as an attribute variable during the construction of mode choice models and reflects the individual preference variables associated with carbon reduction.

A Study on the Determinant of Foreign Market Entry Mode and Performance of Korean Manufacturing Firms (한국제조기업의 해외시장진입방식 선택요인과 성과)

  • Park, Tae-Ho;Kim, Seog-Soo;Seo, Min-Kyo
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.183-214
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    • 2009
  • We identify key theoretical approaches, constructs, and primary variables of interest that exist in the foreign market entry mode articles. This provides fertile ground for continued development in our foreign market entry mode research. Using the integrated framework, this paper examines the determinants of foreign market entry mode choice by Korean firms and the impact of the entry mode choice on performance in a unified model. Using a database of KIS-VALUE in Korea from 2003 to 2005, we find that the hypothesized effects of related factors on entry modes are partially supported.

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A study on the Factors Influencing Traveler's Mode Choice (통행수단선택에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구 - 지역특성이 통행수단선택에 미치는 영향에 대해서 -)

  • Gwon, Se-Na;Kim, Hyeong-Jin;Son, Bong-Su
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.181-190
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of the regional characteristics on traveler's mode choice - private car, bus, and subway - by developing multinomial legit model for commuting and shopping trips respectively. In results, this study argues that the regional characteristics affecting commuting trips are very different from those influencing shopping trips. The research on the regional characteristics and their impact on the individuals' travel mode choice can find these variables have a significance.

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Lead time analysis for transportation mode decision making (수송수단의 선택을 위한 리드타임 분석)

  • 문상원
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 1996
  • Rapid globalization of production and marketing functions makes choice of international transportation mode of great importance. In this paper, transportation mode is characterized by two factors, mean and variability of transportation lead time. We developed a simple mathematical model to estimate the relative impact of mean lead time, lead time variance and demand variance on the required average inventory level under specified service rates.

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Analyzing the Difference between the Stated Preference and the Revealed Preference before/after the High-speed Rail Service in Korea

  • Lee, Jang-Ho
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.24-33
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    • 2014
  • The Korean high-speed rail (HSR) began its commercial service in 2004. This service has been created significant changes in the system of intercity passenger travels of Korea. However, the actual ridership was approximately half of the estimated one in the planning stage. In this background, this paper presents the difference between the stated preference (SP) before the HSR service and the revealed preference (RP) after it using the intercity travel mode choice models. Several meaningful differences are found in terms of the factors affecting the travel mode choice, the estimation results of model, the monetary values of time, and elasticities. While the access/egress travel time of high-speed rail is less important than in-vehicle travel time in the SP sample, they have same weight in the RP sample. Also the RP models show that the probability of choosing HSR can be decreased by the increase of the number of vehicles in household contrary to the results from the SP models. The monetary values of travel time are relatively high and the direct and cross elasticities in response to changes in level-of-service of HSR are relatively low in the RP sample. This Korean case is expected to offer referable material for preparing high-speed rail services in other countries by showing the difference between the SP and RP before/after the actual service, identifying the importance of access/egress travel time and lower direct elasticities of HSR demand.

Estimating a Mode Choice Model Considering Shared E-scooter Service - Focused on Access Travel and Neighborhood Travel - (공유 전동킥보드를 고려한 수단선택모형 추정 - 접근통행과 생활권통행을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Ji yoon;Kim, Su jae;Lee, Gyeong jae;Choo, Sangho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.22-39
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    • 2021
  • This study estimated mode choice models for access travel and neighborhood travel from an SP survey in metropolitan areas where shared e-scooter services are offered. Model results show that travel time and travel cost have negative effects on mode utility. It is also revealed that people are more sensitive to travel time in access travel, whereas they are more influenced by travel cost in neighborhood travel. Looking at individual and household attributes, it has a positive effect when under 40 yerars of age, owning bikes, being a public transportation user, while it has been shown a negative effect in less than 3 million won in monthly household income and owning individual cars.

Development of Mode Choice Model and Applications Considering Connectivity of Express Way (고속도로 연계성을 반영한 고속철도 수단선택모형 개발 및 적용)

  • Cho, Hang-Ung;Chung, Sung-Bong;Kim, Si-Gon;Oh, Jae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.383-389
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    • 2011
  • Until now, in planning and constructing KTX and the Express Way, the connectivity and transfer between these facilities have not been considered. In this study the effect of mode choice behavior by connecting KTX and the Express Way is analyzed through estimating Multinomial Logit Model and Binary Logit Model. The SP and RP surveys to develop these models were carried out and the data were selected from the passengers using the KTX station, Express Bus Terminals and Rest Areas in the Express Way. To test the effect of connectivity and transfer in the field, the case study for Dongtan KTX station was carried out. According to the results, connecting the KTX station and the Express Way has the effect of increasing the demand by 30%. And this is caused by saving about 120 minutes of traveling time from Seoul to Pusan. This study shows that the connectivity and transfer can increase the efficiency of transportation system and the improvement in the mobility and accessibility will maximize the usages of these two facilities.