• Title/Summary/Keyword: meteorological-economic

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A study on the estimation of onion's bulb weight using multi-level model (다층모형을 활용한 양파 구중 추정 연구)

  • Kim, Junki;Choi, Seung-cheon;Kim, Jaehwi;Seo, Hong-Seok
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.763-776
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    • 2020
  • Onions show severe volatility in production and price because crop conditions highly depend on the weather. The government has designated onions as a sensitive agricultural product, and prepared various measures to stabilize the supply and demand. First of all, preemptive and reliable information on predicting onion production is essential to implement appropriate and effective measures. This study aims to contribute to improving the accuracy of production forecasting by developing a model to estimate the final weight of onions bulb. For the analysis, multi-level model is used to reflect the hierarchical data characteristics consisting of above-ground growth data in individual units and meteorological data in parcel units. The result shows that as the number of leaf, stem diameter, and plant height in early May increase, the bulb weight increases. The amount of precipitation as well as the number of days beyond a certain temperature inhibiting carbon assimilation have negative effects on bulb weight, However, the daily range of temperature and more precipitation near the harvest season are statistically significant as positive effects. Also, it is confirmed that the fitness and explanatory power of the model is improved by considering the interaction terms between level-1 and level-2 variables.

The Estimation of Users' Benefit in Next Generation Urban and Rural Smart Weather Service Technique Research and Development Project (차세대 도시.농림 융합 스마트 기상서비스기술 개발 사업의 이용자 측면 편익 추정)

  • Lee, Joo Suk;Yoo, Seung Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.630-649
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    • 2013
  • Korea Meteorological Administration has promoted the next generation urban and rural smart weather service project. The purpose of this project is to provide the necessary information to urban and rural districts by using the subdivided meteorological information. This study attempts to assess the value of the next generation urban and rural smart weather service project by using contingent valuation method. According to estimating result, annual mean willingness to pay per household for the next generation urban and rural smart weather service project is 2,947 won.

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Establishment of Remote Monitoring System for Wind Turbine Test Sites Based on Hierarchical Architecture (계층적 구조를 갖는 풍력발전 실증단지 원격 풍황 모니터링 시스템 구축)

  • Cho, Byung-Ha;Lee, Jeong-Wan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.26 no.9
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, remote monitoring system for wind turbine site is developed. This system is a hierarchical reliable monitoring system connected by wireless communication channels between monitoring host computer and modular slave measuring subsystems. The design of this systems; the slave measuring subsystems is placed in meteorological tower and wind turbine, and the supervisory host computer is in the safety zone. The slave measuring subsystems signals are from a meteorological tower, wind turbine generator and tower. For monitoring and command function, the supervisory computer is implemented with a PC using graphic user interface. This system can be transferred the information among host computer and remote computers through the Ethernet. Consequently we can get reliability but economic system. The system has the concept of universality and modularity, so it is simple and easy to implement in wind turbine test sites.

Analysis of Wind Energy Potential on the West Coast of South Korea Using Public Data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (기상청 공공데이터를 활용한 대한민국 서해안 일대의 바람자원 분석)

  • Sangkyun Kang;Sung-Ho Yu;Sina Hadadi;Dae-Won Seo;Jungkeun Oh;Jang-Ho Lee
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.14-24
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    • 2023
  • The significance of renewable energy has been on the rise, as evidenced by the 3020 renewable energy plan and the 2050 carbon neutrality strategy, which seek to advance a low-carbon economy by implementing a power supply strategy centered around renewable energy sources. This study examines the wind resources on the west coast of South Korea and confirms the potential for wind power generation in the area. Wind speed data was collected from 22 automatic weather system stations and four light house automatic weather system stations provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration to evaluate potential sites for wind farms. Weibull distribution was used to analyze the wind data and calculate wind power density. Annual energy production and capacity factors were estimated for 15-20 MW-class large wind turbines through the height correction of observed wind speeds. These findings offer valuable information for selecting wind power generation sites, predicting economic feasibility, and determining optimal equipment capacity for future wind power generation sites in the region.

A Policy Suggestion for the Adaptation of Climate Change in Korea (우리나라의 기후변화 대응방안에 관한 정책 제언)

  • Shin, Im Chul;Kim, Yeongsin
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to describe the roles of carbon dioxide in the climate change, and carbon dioxide reduction policies in some countries. In addition, ways to cope with climate change in Korea are also discussed. Currently, global temperatures are rising due to the carbon dioxide produced by human beings. Global temperatures will rise approximately $6^{\circ}C$ until 2100 if we emit carbon dioxide at a present rate. Temperature rise will affect the terrestrial and oceanic resources, and ultimately influence the socio-economic structures including political stability. Most of the carbon dioxide comes from fossil fuels. Therefore, it is urgent to reduce the use of energy, which comes from fossil fuels. Solving the climate change due to the increases in carbon dioxide is a global problem. Korea should participate in the international community and cooperate with each other in order to reduce the carbon dioxide concentration. No policy was announced for the reduction of carbon dioxide so far. Korea should make a policy for the reduction of carbon dioxide in a specific year compared to that of certain standard year such as 1990 or 2005. Making policy should be based on the scientific result of the amount of carbon dioxide emitted and absorbed. Germanwatch announced the Climate Change Performance Index (CCPI) in order to evaluate an effort to reduce the carbon dioxide for 56 countries which emits 90 % of global carbon dioxide. Ranking for Korea is 51 among 56 countries. This clearly indicates that the appropriate carbon dioxide reduction has not been exercised yet in Korea. Researchers have a moral responsibility to provide updated new ideas and knowledges regarding climate change. Politicians should have a sharp insight to judge the ideas provided by researchers. People need an ethics to reduce the carbon dioxide in every day's life. Scientific research should not be influenced by stress caused by external budget and negative impact of capitalism. Science should be based on the pure curiosity.

Flash Drought Onset and Development Mechanisms Using Flash Drought Intensity Index (FDII) Based on Satellite-Based Soil Moisture (위성영상 토양수분 기반 FDII를 활용한 돌발가뭄의 메커니즘 분석)

  • Lee, Hee-Jin;Nam, Won-Ho;Sur, Chanyang;Jason A. Otkin;Yafang Zhong;Mark D. Svoboda
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.3
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2023
  • A flash drought is a rapid-onset drought that develops over a short period of time as weather and environmental factors change rapidly, unlike general droughts, due to meteorological abnormalities. Abnormally high evapotranspiration rates and rapid declines in soil moisture increase vegetation stress. In addition, crop yields may decrease due to flash droughts during crop growth and may damage agricultural and economic ecosystems. In this study, Flash Drought Intensity Index (FDII) based on soil moisture data from Gravity Recovery Climate Experiment (GRACE) was used to analyze flash drought. FDII, which is calculated using soil moisture percentile, is expressed by multiplying two factors: the rate of intensification and the drought severity. FDII was developed for domestic flash drought events from 2014 to 2018. The flash drought that occurred in 2018, Chungcheongbuk-do showed the highest FDII. FDII was higher in heat wave flash drought than in precipitation deficit flash drought. The results of this study show that FDII is reliable flash drought analysis tool and can be applied to quantitatively analyze the characteristics of flash drought in South Korea.

A Statistical Analysis of External Force on Electric Pole due to Meteorological Conditions (기상현상에 의한 전주 외력의 통계적 분석)

  • Park, Chul Young;Shin, Chang Sun;Cho, Yong Yun;Kim, Young Hyun;Park, Jang Woo
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.6 no.11
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2017
  • Electric Pole is a supporting beam used for power transmission/distribution which is sensitive to external force change of environmental factors. Therefore, power facilities have many difficulties in terms of maintenance/conservation from external environmental changes and natural disasters that cause a great economic impact. The aerial wire cause elasticity due to the influence of temperature, or factors such as wind speed and wind direction, that weakens the electric pole. The situation may lead to many safety risk in day-to-day life. But, the safety assessment of the pole is carried out at the design stage, and aftermath is not considered. For the safety and maintenance purposes, it is very important to analyze the influence of weather factors on external forces periodically. In this paper, we analyze the acceleration data of the sensor nodes installed in electric pole for maintenance/safety purpose and use Kalman filter as noise compensation method. Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) is performed to analyze the influence of each meteorological factor, along with the meteorological factors on frequency components. The result of the analysis shows that the temperature, humidity, solar radiation, hour of daylight, air pressure, wind direction and wind speed were influential factors. In this paper, the influences of meteorological factors on frequency components are different, and it is thought that it can be an important factor in achieving the purpose of safety and maintenance.

Past and Future Regional Climate Change in Korea

  • Kwon, Won-Tae;Park, Youngeun;Min, Seung-Ki;Oh, Jai-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.161-161
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    • 2003
  • During the last century, most scientific questions related to climate change were focused on the evidence of anthropogenic global warming (IPCC, 2001). There are robust evidences of warming and also human-induced climate change. We now understand the global, mean change a little bit better; however, the uncertainties for regional climate change still remains large. The purpose of this study is to understand the past climate change over Korea based on the observational data and to project future regional climate change over East Asia using ECHAM4/HOPE model and MM5 for downscaling. There are significant evidences on regional climate change in Korea, from several variables. The mean annual temperature over Korea has increased about 1.5∼$1.7^{\circ}C$ during the 20th century, including urbanization effect in large cities which can account for 20-30% of warming in the second half of the 20th century. Cold extreme temperature events occurred less frequently especially in the late 20th century, while hot extreme temperature events were more common than earlier in the century. The seasonal and annual precipitation was analyzed to examine long-term trend on precipitation intensity and extreme events. The number of rainy days shows a significant negative trend, which is more evident in summer and fall. Annual precipitation amount tends to increase slightly during the same period. This suggests an increase of precipitation intensity in this area. These changes may influence on growing seasons, floods and droughts, diseases and insects, marketing of seasonal products, energy consumption, and socio-economic sectors. The Korean Peninsular is located at the eastern coast of the largest continent on the earth withmeso-scale mountainous complex topography and itspopulation density is very high. And most people want to hear what will happen in their back yards. It is necessary to produce climate change scenario to fit forhigh-resolution (in meteorological sense, but low-resolution in socio-economic sense) impact assessment. We produced one hundred-year, high-resolution (∼27 km), regional climate change scenario with MM5 and recognized some obstacles to be used in application. The boundary conditions were provided from the 240-year simulation using the ECHAM4/HOPE-G model with SRES A2 scenario. Both observation and simulation data will compose past and future regional climate change scenario over Korea.

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Climate Change Concerns in Mongolia

  • Dagvadorj, D.;Gomboluudev, P.;Natsagdorj, L.
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2003
  • Climate of Mongolia is a driven force on natural conditions as well as socio-economic development of the country. Due to the precariousness of climate conditions and traditional economic structure, natural disasters, specially disasters of meteorological and hydrological origin, have substantial effect upon the natural resources and socio-economic sectors of Mongolia. Mongolia's climate is characterized by high variability of weather parameters, and high frequency and magnitude of extreme climate and weather events. During the last few decades, climate of the country is changing significantly under the global warning. The annual mean air temperature for the whole territory of the country has increased by $1.56^{\circ}C$ during the last 60 years,. The winter temperature has increased by $1.56^{\circ}C$. These changes in temperature are spatially variable: winter warming is more pronounced in the high mountains and wide valleys between the mountains, and less so in the steppe and Gobi regions. There is a slight trend of increased precipitation during the last 60 years. The average precipitation rate is increased during 1940-1998 by 6%. This trend is not seasonally consistent: while summer precipitation increased by 11 %, spring precipitation decreased by 17. The climate change studies in Mongolia show that climate change will have a significant impact on natural resources such as water resources, natural rangeland, land use, snow cover, permafrost as well as major economic activities of arable farming, livestock, and society (i.e. human health, living standards, etc.) of Mongolia. Therefore, in new century, sustainable development of the country is defined by mitigating and adaptation policies of climate change. The objective of the presentation is to contribute one's idea in the how to reflect the changes in climate system and weather extreme events in the country's sustainable development concept.

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Estimation of Adequate Capacity of Ground Source Heat Pump in Energy-saving Pig Farms Using Building Energy Simulation (BES를 사용한 에너지 절감형 양돈장의 지열히트펌프 적정 용량 산정)

  • Lee, Seong-Won;Oh, Byung-Wook;Park, Kwang-Woo;Seo, Il-Hwan
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2022
  • In Korea, attention is being paid to the use of renewable energy in the livestock industry, and Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP), which is advantageous for temperature control, is considered as one of the ways to reduce the use of fossil fuels. But GSHP is expensive to install, which proper capacity calculation is required. GSHP capacity is related to its maximum energy load. Energy loads are affected by climate characteristics and time, so dynamic analysis is required. In this study, the optimal capacity of GSHP was calculated by calculating the heating and cooling load of pig farms using BES (Building Energy Simulation) and economic analysis was performed. After designing the inside of the pig house using TRNSYS, one of the commercial programs of the BES technique, the energy load was calculated based on meteorological data. Through the calculated energy load, three heating devices and GSHP used in pig farms were analyzed for economic feasibility. As a result, GSHP's total cost of ownership was the cheapest, but the installation cost was the highest. In order to reduce the initial cost of GSHP, the capacity of GSHP was divided, and a scenario was created in which some of it was used as an auxiliary heating device, and economic analysis was conducted. In this study, a method to calculate the proper capacity of GSHP through dynamic energy analysis was proposed, and it can be used as data necessary to expand the spread of GSHP.