• 제목/요약/키워드: maximum sustainable catch

검색결과 18건 처리시간 0.022초

통영 연기해역의 바지락자원 적정관리에 관한 연구 (Ecologically Sustainable Management of Short-necked Clam, Ruditapes philippinarum, on the Coast of Yeongi at Tongyeong, Korea)

  • 조상만;정우건;이상준
    • 한국패류학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2008
  • In order to develop the sustainable ecological management, short-necked clams, Ruditapes philippinarum, were collected from Yoengi coast in Tongyoeng, Korea. The growth of the clam was estimated as: $L_f=68.08{\cdot}(1-e^{-0.145(t+0.324)})$ from ring radius composition of shell. Instantaneous co-efficiency of total mortality and natural mortality were calculated as: 0.991/year and 0.494/year, respectively. The age of the clams from the first capture was estimated to be 3.28. The total biomass was estimated to be 212 MT in the fisheries area (6.4 ha). Applied by these parameters, the annual recruit biomass and the current yield per recruit were calculated to be 649.5 individual/$m^2$ and $0.7\;g/m^2$, respectively. The current fishing intensity was much lower for maximum sustainable yield and acceptable biological catch. Although higher yield per recruit could be achieved by increasing fishing intensity, it is favorable to retain the current fishing intensity because of the unique fishing attitude on Yeongi coast in Tongyoeng, Korea.

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카리브호수 카펜타 자원량 추정을 위한 최대엔트피모델과 분석적 모델의 비교분석 (A Comparative Analysis of Maximum Entropy and Analytical Models for Assessing Kapenta (Limnothrissa miodon) Stock in Lake Kariba)

  • 이타이 텐다우펜유;표희동
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.613-639
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    • 2017
  • 카리브호수의 카펜타 자원량을 추정하기 위해 최대엔트로피(ME)모델과 분석적 모델이 적용된다. ME모델을 이용하여 25,372톤의 최대지속가능 어획량(MSY)과 MSY의 어획노력량인 109,731의 어획일수(fishing nights)를 추정하였는데, 이는 현재 어획노력량 수준이 과잉투자됨으로써 1988년 이후 2009년 현재까지 자원량을 감소시키는 요인인 것을 나타낸다. 분석적 모델은 매년의 생물학적 허용 어획량(ABC)과 연간 1.21의 어획사망계수(일반적 어획사망계수인 0.927 보다 큰)를 추정한다. 이 두 모델은 1982년 기준년도의 자원량 추정에 적용할 수 있는 유사한 자원량을 추정한다. ME모델에 의하면 1988년의 최대 자원량(156,047톤)에 대해 1/3수준이하 까지 점점 하락하는 결과를 추정하였는데, 이는 최근의 어획량이 MSY 수준 이하이지만 ABC수준보다 높게 나타나 남획된 것을 암시한다. 다시 말해서, 분석적 모델은 ME모델에서의 MSY보다 더 보수적인 ABC를 제공함으로써, 보수적인 어업관리정책(총허용어획량제도, 어획노력감소정책 등)을 적극적으로 고려해야함을 내포하고 있다.

부트스트랩과 베이지안 방법으로 추정한 수산자원관리에서의 생물학적 기준점의 신뢰구간 (Application of Bootstrap and Bayesian Methods for Estimating Confidence Intervals on Biological Reference Points in Fisheries Management)

  • 정석근;최일수;장대수
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2008
  • To evaluate uncertainty and risk in biological reference points, we applied a bootstrapping method and a Bayesian procedure to estimate the related confidence intervals. Here we provide an example of the maximum sustainable yield (MSY) of turban shell, Batillus cornutus, estimated by the Schaefer and Fox models. Fitting the time series of catch and effort from 1968 to 2006 showed that the Fox model performs better than the Schaefer model. The estimated MSY and its bootstrap percentile confidence interval (CI) at ${\alpha}=0.05$ were 1,680 (1,420-1,950) tons for the Fox model and 2,170 (1,860-2,500) tons for the Schaefer model. The CIs estimated by the Bayesian approach gave similar ranges: 1,710 (1,450-2,000) tons for the Fox model and 2,230 (1,760-2,930) tons for the Schaefer model. Because uncertainty in effort and catch data is believed to be greater for earlier years, we evaluated the influence of sequentially excluding old data points by varying the first year of the time series from 1968 to 1992 to run 'backward' bootstrap resampling. The results showed that the means and upper 2.5% confidence limit (CL) of MSY varied greatly depending on the first year chosen whereas the lower 2.5% CL was robust against the arbitrary selection of data, especially for the Schaefer model. We demonstrated that the bootstrap and Bayesian approach could be useful in precautionary fisheries management, and we advise that the lower 2.5% CL derived by the Fox model is robust and a better biological reference point for the turban shells of Jeju Island.

쉐퍼모형 응용을 통한 어로활동수준 검정 (Test of Fishing Activity Levels using Schaefer Model)

  • 이광남
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.157-165
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    • 2009
  • The study examined overuse of the fishery resource. Influence of fishing activity was estimated by application of Schaefer model's. Fishing efforts that produced the maximum sustainable yield were determined in the model, allowing the effect of overfishing to be assessed. In the model, a wide variety of fish species as well as crustaceans and shellfish were susceptible to overfishing, while mollusks were not. Overfishing by modern techniques exacted a greater toll than more traditional methods. The results of the modeling study suggest that the 'Buy bag' input-control system of fisheries resource management warrants consideration, as does modernization, expansion and strengthening of self-control management of the fishery resource. Finally, more effective efforts in dissemination of policy information and education concerning the fishery resource are needed.

한국 동해 명태 어업의 적정어획노력량 추정 -동해구기선저인망어업과 동해구트롤어업의 경제성분석을 근거로- (Estimation on Optimum Fishing Effort of Walleye Pollock Fishery in the East Coast of Korea : Based on the Economic Analysis between Danish Seine Fishery and Trawl Fishery for Walleye Pollock)

  • 이장욱
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.75-99
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    • 1991
  • A quantitative analysis was carried out to monitor the commercial yield level of walleye pollock Theragra chalcogramma in the east coast of Korea, based on available data on catch and fishing effort, catch per unit of effort including fish prices from 1911 to 1988, using a traditional yield model. The results from the quantitative assessment were based to estimate maximum economic yield (MEY) and optimal fishing effort (E-opt) at MEY. On the other hand, interaction aspects between danish seine fishery and trawl fishery mainly targeting walleye pollock in the east coast of Korea were studied to predict optimal situation in fishing effort level from economic point of view which gives the most benefits to the two fisheries. Total production of walleye pollock in 1911 when its catch record was begun for the first time was about 12, 000 metric tons(M/T), and then the catch trend maintained nearly at the level of 50, 000 M/T per annum, showing a decreasing trend until 1930. The highest production from historical data base on walleye pollock fishery statistics was from the years in 1939 and 1940, about 270, 000 M/T and 26, 000 M/T, respectively. No production of the fish species was recorded during the years from 1943 to 1947, and from 1949 to 1951. From 1952 onwards annual production was only available from the southern part of 38$^{\circ}$N in the east coast. During two decades from 1952 to 1970, the production had sustained about less than 30, 000 M/T every year. Annual production showed an increasing trend from 1971, reaching a maximum level of approximately 162, 000 M/T in 1981. Afterwards, it has deceased sharply year after year and amounted to 180, 000 M/T in 1988. The catch composition of walleye pollock for different fishery segments during 1970~1988 showed that more than 70% of the total catch was from danish seine fishery until 1977 but from 1978 onwards, the catch proportion did not differ from one another, accounting for the nearly same proportion. Catch per unit of effort (CPUE) for both danish seine fishery and trawl fishery maintained a decline tendency after 1977 when the values of CPUE were at level of 800 kg/haul for the former fishery and 1, 300 kg/haul for the latter fishery, respectively. CPUEs of gillnet fishery during 1980~1983 increased to about 3.5 times as high value as in the years, 1970~1979 and during 1987~1988 it decreased again to the level of the years, 1970~1978. The bottom longline fishery's CPUE wa at a very low level (20 kg/basket) through the whole study years, with exception of the value (60 kg/basket) in 1980. Fishing grounds of walleye pollock in the east coast of Korea showed a very limited distribution range. Danish seine fishery concentrated fishing around the coastal areas of Sokcho and Jumunjin during January~February and October~December. Distributions of fishing grounds of trawl fishery were the areas along the coastal regions in the central part of the east coast. Gillnet and bottom longline fisheries fished walleye pollock mainly in the areas of around Sokcho and Jumunjin during January~February and December. Relationship between CPUEs' values from danish seine fishery and trawl fishery was used to standardize fishing effort to apply to surplus production model for estimating maximum sustainable yield (MSY) and optimum fish effort (F-opt) at MSY. The results suggested a MSY of 114, 000 M/T with an estimated F-opt of 173, 000 hauls per year. Based on the estimates of MSY and F-opt, MEY was estimated to be about 94, 000 M/T with a range of 81, 000 to 103, 000 M/T and E-opt 100, 000 hauls per year with a range of 80, 000 to 120, 000 hauls. The estimated values of MEY and E-opt corresponded to 82% of MSY and 58% of F-opt, respectively. An optimal situation in the fishing effort level, which can envisage either simultaneously maximum yield or maximum benefit for both danish seine fishery and trawl fishery, was determined from relationship between revenue and cost of running the fleet : the optimal fishing effort of danish seine fishery was about 52, 000 hauls per year, corresponding to 50 danish seiners and 27, 000 hauls per year which is equal nearly to 36 trawlers, respectively. It was anticipated that the net income from sustainable yield estimated from the respective optimal fishing effort of the two fisheries will be about 3, 800 million won for danish seine fishery and 1, 000 million won for trawl fishery.

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우리나라 멸치자원량추정을 위한 잉여생산모델과 최대엔트로피모델의 비교분석 (A Comparative Analysis of Surplus Production Models and a Maximum Entropy Model for Estimating the Anchovy's Stock in Korea)

  • 표희동
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2006
  • For fishery stock assessment and optimum sustainable yield of anchovy in Korea, surplus production(SP) models and a maximum entropy(ME) model are employed in this paper. For determining appropriate models, five traditional SP models-Schaefer model, Schnute model, Walters and Hilborn model, Fox model, and Clarke, Yoshimoto and Pooley (CYP) model- are tested for effort and catch data of anchovy that occupies 7% in the total fisheries landings of Korea. Only CYP model of five SP models fits statistically significant at the 10% level. Estimated intrinsic growth rates are similar in both CYP and ME models, while environmental carrying capacity of the ME model is quite greater than that of the CYP model. In addition, the estimated maximum sustainable yield(MSY), 213,287 tons in the ME model is slightly higher than that of CYP model (198,364 tons). Biomass for MSY in the ME model, however, is calculated 651,000 tons which is considerably greater than that of the CYP model (322,881 tons). It is meaningful in that two models are compared for noting some implications about any significant difference of stock assessment and their potential strength and weakness.

제주 해녀의 어획노력량 분석 (Analysis for Fishing Effort of Diving Women In Cheju-Do)

  • 정상철
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.196-200
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    • 1989
  • 최근 몇 년간 제주도의 소라 생산량이 급감하고 있는바, 그 원인 규명을 위한 목적으로 노력당 어획고의 변동 및 최대지속생산량을 추정하기 위하여, 1968년에서 1986년까지의 제주도 소라어획통계자료와 1984년에서 1986년까지의 동귀리(복제주군 애월읍) 어촌계의 작업일지를 분석하였으며, 그 결과는 다음과 같다. 동귀리 어촌계의 경우, 소라 어획량은 제주도 총 소라 어획량의 $1\%$에 지나지 않으며, 실제 조업한 해녀수는 등록된 해녀수의 $53.4\%$인 63명이었다. 그리고 어획노력량으로서는 작업일수 보다 해녀수를 선정함이 양호하다. 제주도의 연간 최대지속생산량은 $2,500\~2,800$톤으로 추정되었으며 1982년에서 '85년까지의 어획량은 $3,100\~3,650$톤으로 과잉의 어획시기였고, 그로 인해 1986년은 매우 감소한 1,400톤이었다. 이전 상태로 어업을 지속할 경우 매우 심각한 상태에 도달할 것으로 예상된다.

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한·중·일 해역의 살오징어(Todarodes pacificus) 자원평가 연구 (A Study on Stock Assessment of Japanese Flying Squid (Todarodes pacificus) in Korea·China·Japan Waters)

  • 임성수;김도훈;홍재범
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.451-480
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 한국에서 상업적 중요성을 가지며 국민 선호도가 높은 살오징어의 자원상태를 파악해 보고자 하였다. 본 연구에서는 기존 살오징어 자원평가 연구와의 차별성으로 두 가지를 고려하였다. 첫째, 한국에서 살오징어를 어획하는 업종들의 어획 자료를 자원평가 분석에 최대한 활용하였다. 둘째, 살오징어를 공동 어획하는 인접국인 중국과 일본의 어획 자료를 모두 포함하여 자원평가를 실시하였다. 구체적인 분석에 있어서는 어획량 기반 자원평가 모델인 Monte Carlo 방법을 활용한 CMSY(catch-maximum sustainable yield) 모델과 Schaefer 함수를 기반으로 한 Bayesian state-space(BSS) 모델을 이용하여 활용 가능한 자료의 종류와 범위에 따라 '한국' 그리고 '한·중·일'로 해역 범위를 구분하여 분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과, 살오징어 자원량은 감소하는 추세를 보이고 있으며, 현재 최대지속어획량을 달성할 수 있는 자원량 수준보다 낮은 것으로 추정되었다. 살오징어 자원을 지속적으로 이용하기 위해서는 개별 국가들의 적극적인 자원관리 노력이 필요하며, 특히 한·중·일 공동 자원조사 및 평가 그리고 관리 방안 마련이 필요하다.

한국 동해안 기름가자미(Glyptocephalus stelleri)의 자원평가 및 적정어획량 추정 (Stock Assessment and Optimal Catch of Blackfin Flounder Glyptocephalus stelleri in the East Sea, Korea)

  • 손명호;양재형;박정호;이해원;최영민;이재봉
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.598-606
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    • 2013
  • The blackfin flounder Glyptocephalus stelleri is a commercially important species in the East Sea of Korea, but its catches and biomass have decreased gradually in recent years. This study estimated the optimal catch (acceptable biological catch, ABC) for the effective management of this species by estimating population ecology parameters and the stock biomass of blackfin flounder in the East Sea of Korea. The estimated instantaneous coefficient of total mortality (Z) of blackfin flounder was 1.0542/year, the survival rate (S) was 0.3485, and the instantaneous coefficient of natural mortality (M) was 0.3637/year. From the values of S and M, the instantaneous coefficient of fishing mortality (F) was calculated to be 0.6905/year. The age at first capture was 1.304 years, and the total length was 11.5 cm at that time. On the basis of these parameters, the annual biomass was estimated by a biomass-based cohort analysis using annual catch data in weight by year for 1991-2012 in the East Sea of Korea. The annual biomass peaked in 1997 at about 12,800 mt and then subsequently declined continuously to a level of 10,500 mt in 2004 and to 9,800 mt in 2011 and 2012. The maximum sustainable yield and $F_{0.1}$ were estimated as 3,547 mt and 0.3595/year, respectively. Using these estimations, the ABC was estimated to be 3,571 mt in tier 5, 3,397 mt in tier 4, and 2,622 mt in tier 3.

생물경제모형을 이용한 참조기의 자원평가에 관한 연구 - 단일어종·다수어업 사례를 중심으로 (A Stock Assessment of Yellow Croaker using Bioeconomic Model: a Case of Single Species and Multiple Fisheries)

  • 심성현;남종오
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.161-177
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the stock assessment of yellow croaker caught mainly by the Korean stow net and gill net fisheries focusing on single species and multiple fisheries. This study standardizes fishing efforts for the two fisheries using the general linear model and uses a surplus production model based on the exponential growth model. The Clarke Yoshimoto Pooley model estimates a maximum sustainable yield(MSY), an allowable biological catch(ABC), fishing efforts for MSY($E_{MSY}$) and for ABC($E_{ABC}$). The bio-economic model is used to estimate the maximum economic yield(MEY) and fishing efforts for MEY($E_{MSY}$). Also, the study employs an economic analysis to estimate the economic interaction between stow net and gill net fisheries. The economic analysis shows the profit accruing to the two fisheries from estimated ABC. Finally, the study compares TACs based on single species and single fishery to TAC based on single species and multiple fisheries. The study proposes that the TAC assessment is necessary for single species and multiple fisheries in order to preserve resources.