• 경영과학
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2014

This study suggests the two types DEA models such as DEA CCR model and Super Efficiency model to evaluate the value of a company and to apply them for the investments. 14 kinds of real data of companies such as EV/EBITDA, EPS growth rate, PCR, PER, dividend yield, PBR, stock price/net current asset, debt ratio, current ratio, ROE, operating margin, inventory turnover, accounts receivable turnover, and sales growth ratio were used as input variables of DEA models. 12 year data from December 30, 2000 up to December 30, 2012 were collected, and the data with negative, missing and 0 values were removed reflecting the characteristics of the DEA. In order to verify the effectiveness of the models, we compared the historical variability and rate of return of both models those of the market. Study results are as follows. First, two DEA models are more stable than market in terms of rate of return because the historical variability of both models are less than that of market. Second, Super Efficiency model is more stable than CCR model. Lastly, the cumulative rate of return of Super Efficiency model (434%) is greater than that of the CCR model (420%) and that of the market (269%).

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2012년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.277-278
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• 2012

After the introduction of CM(construction management) for improving productability in construction industry, the CM market was shown to actively grow shape until 2007 but suddenly appears passive movement of the market after in 2008. However, on one hand, the CM corporations has increased, because the construction supervision market come to the CM market area by reduction their work place. Because of this, it was discussed that will intensify competition between companies in the CM market. Therefore, this paper want to analyze to status of the CM market structure for studying about the CM industry status and change during last 3 years. As a result, by decreasing the Market concentration, the CM market competition rate did not too high with business despite that CM market downsize and has been increased the number of companies.

• STI Policy Review
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.75-93
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• 2017

Recently, global competition in the manufacturing sector is driving firms in the manufacturing sector to conduct product innovation projects to maintain their competitive edge. The key points of product innovation projects are 1) what the purpose of the project is and 2) what expected results in the target market can be achieved by implementing the innovation. Therefore, this study focuses on the performance of innovation projects with a business viewpoint. In this respect, this study proposes the "achievement rate" of product innovation projects as a measurement of project performance. Then, this study finds the best strategies from various innovation activities to optimize the achievement rate of product innovation projects. There are three major innovation activities for the projects, including three types of R&D activities: Internal, joint and external R&D, and five types of non-R&D activities - acquisition of machines, equipment and software, purchasing external knowledge, job education and training, market research and design. This study applies decision tree modeling, a kind of data-mining methodology, to explore effective innovation activities. This study employs the data from the 'Korean Innovation Survey (KIS) 2014: Manufacturing Sector.' The KIS 2014 gathered information about innovation activities in the manufacturing sector over three years (2011-2013). This study gives some practical implication for managing the activities. First, innovation activities that increased the achievement rate of product diversification projects included a combination of market research, new product design, and job training. Second, our results show that a combination of internal R&D, job training and training, and market research increases the project achievement most for the replacement of outdated products. Third, new market creation or extension of market share indicates that launching replacement products and continuously upgrading products are most important.

• 재무관리연구
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.73-94
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• 2003

일반적으로 이자율예측모형은 특정한 이자율 분포모형을 가정하여 모수적 방법에 의해 추정되었다. 그러나 특정한 분포모형을 가정한다는 것은 예측능력을 저하시킬 수 있다는 단점이 있다. 따라서 이자율변화에 특정한 분포모형을 가정하지 않는 비모수적 추정이 이자율 예측의 우월한 방법으로 제시되었다. 본 논문에서는 통화안정증권을 대상으로 이자율 예측 모형을 모수적 방법과 비모수적 방법으로 추정한다. 다음 이자율의 시장위험과 채권가격을 결정하여 두 방법 사이에 유의한 차이가 있는가를 분석한다. 1999년 8월 9일부터 2003년 2월 7일까지 통화안정증권의 일별, 주별 자료를 사용하여 분석한다. 액면이자 효과를 제거하기 위해 복리채만을 분석대상으로 한다. 모수적 방법을 이용할 때 이자율 변화의 추세항은 선형으로 나타나지만 변동성항은 이자율변화에 비해 급격히 변하는 비선형을 나타낸다. 비모수적 분석방법을 이용할 때 추세항과 변동성항 모두 이자율 변화에 비해 급격히 변하는 비선형을 나타낸다. 모수적 방법과 비교하여 추세항은 다른 결과를, 그리고 변동성항은 같은 결과를 보인다. 추세항과 변동성항의 예측을 감안하여 이자율의 시장위험 및 채권가격을 산출한 결과 모수적 방법과 비모수적 방법은 유의적인 차이를 보인다. 이는 이자율 및 이자율의 시장위험가격 예측은 비모수적 방법을 사용하는 것이 적합하다는 것을 뜻한다.

• 문화기술의 융합
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.119-124
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• 2023

본 연구는 우리나라에서 부동산시장의 상승과 하락이 실업률에 어떤 영향을 미치는지를 분석하였다. 2013년 1월부터 2023년 2월까지의 월별 자료를 대상으로 다중회귀분석 모형으로 분석을 하였으며, 주요한 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 부동산 경기와 실업률 간에는 유의한 인과관계가 존재하였다. 즉, 부동산시장의 상승은 실업률의 유의한 하락을 가져오고 부동산시장의 하락은 실업률의 유의한 상승을 가져왔다. 이는 대부분의 선행연구들의 결과와 일치하는 것이다. 둘째, 대출금리 상승은 실업률을 유의하게 하락시키는 것으로 나타나, 금리의 상승은 고용에 호재로 작용하는 것으로 나타났다. 물가 상승은 실업률을 유의하게 상승시키는 것으로 나타나, 물가가 오르면 고용이 유의하게 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 주택건설인허가실적의 증가는 실업률을 유의하게 감소시키는 것으로 나타나, 주택건설인허가가 단기적으로는 고용에는 호재로 작용하는 것으로 나타났다. 마지막으로, 변수들을 대체하여 강건성 검증을 하여도 분석결과는 크게 달라지지 않았다. 이는 부동산 경기가 실업률에 미치는 영향이 강건하다는 것을 확인해 주는 것이라 할 수 있다. 이상의 분석결과, 우리나라에서 부동산 가격의 상승과 하락이 실업률의 감소와 증가로 이어진다는 것은 부동산 경기의 안정적 운용이 실업률의 안정에도 도움이 될 수 있다는 것을 시사한다.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제2권3호
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• pp.161-187
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• 2001

Starting with the meaning of the word quality, diverse concepts connoted by the term are examined. Instead of a bathtub curve, the desirable shape of a failure rate covering the entire life of a good product, which might be called hockey-stick line, is introduced. From the hockey-stick line and the definition of reliability, two measurements are extracted. The terms reliability, failure rate, product life, and durability are explained. From the customer's standpoint, the concept of product quality is classified in five factors, according to related technology: performance, reliability, conformance to specifications, customer perception, and fundamentals advantage. The correlation of the five factors for a first-class product is discussed, Since the market share of a company is determined as the competition result of its product value, defined as product quality and price, the market share increase is derived mathematically from the increment of product value. The market share increase, $\Delta$S, can be calculated from the present market share, S, and the oriented relative value increment of new product, R, to the current product in the same company for the same market target: $\Delta$S : $\Delta$(1-S). R/(1+S.R). Finally, the importance of separating warranty cost from the profit equation for the durables is explained.

• 사회복지연구
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• 제36호
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• pp.5-28
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• 2008

본 연구는 최근 우리사회에서 중요한 화두가 되고 있는 저출산 고령화 대책, 사회적 일자리 창출 등의 영향으로 사회적 주목의 대상이 되고 있는 사회서비스 정책의 동향을 살펴보고, 거시적인 관점에서 대안을 제시하는데 목적을 두고 있다. 현재의 사회서비스 정책은 중앙과 지방의 단절, 최소생활보장 장치의 미흡, 서비스 일자리와 취약한 서비스 대상자에 대한 균형의 결여 등이 문제로 제기되었다. 이에 대하여 이용자의 선택과 참여를 증진하는 수단으로서의 시장기제의 도입과 시장의 부정적인 영향을 최소화할 수 있도록 하는 견제장치로서의 반시장기제의 통합을 대안으로 제시하였다.

• 한국전자통신학회논문지
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.377-386
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• 2014

본 연구는 근린상가 시장에 대한 대체투자재의 영향을 분석하여 근린상가의 투자시장과 관련된 이해당사자 들에게 합리적 의사결정의 기준을 제시하였으며, 근린상가 낙찰가율에 대한 영향의 형태와 설명력을 추정한 결과 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 부동산 경기를 포함한 대표적인 거시경제지표인 종합주가지수와 지가변동률의 상승은 경기활성화의 방증으로 근린상가 시장에 긍정적인 영향을 미치나 대체투자재인 이자율의 상승은 근린상가에 대한 상대적 수익률을 감소시켜 근린상가시장의 투자에 대한 매력을 감소시킨다. 소비재 특성을 지닌 주택과 자본재 특성을 지닌 근린상가는 상호 영향적 측면에서 이질적인 시장으로 나타나 큰 영향을 미치지 않음을 알 수 있다.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제11권10호
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• pp.63-72
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• 2013

Purpose - This study analyzes the relationship and dynamic interactions between stock price index, interest rate, price index, and housing price indices using Korean monthly data from 2000 to 2013, based on a VAR model. This study also examines Granger causal relationships among these variables in order to determine whether the time series of one is useful in forecasting another, or to infer certain types of causal dependency between stochastic variables. Research design, data, and methodology - We used Korean monthly data for all variables from 2000: M1 to 2013: M3. First, we checked the correlations among different variables. Second, we conducted the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and the co-integration test using the VAR model. Third, we employed Granger Causality tests to quantify the causal effect from time series observations. Fourth, we used the impulse response function and variance decomposition based on the VAR model to examine the dynamic relationships among the variables. Results - First, stock price Granger affects interest rate and all housing price indices. Price index Granger, in turn, affects the stock price and six metropolitan housing price indices. However, none of the Granger variables affect the price index. Therefore, it is the stock markets (and not the housing market) that affects the housing prices. Second, the impulse response tests show that maximum influence on stock price is its own, and though it is influenced a little by interest rate, price index affects it negatively. One standard deviation (S.D.) shock to stock price increases the housing price by 0.08 units after two months, whereas an impulse shock to the interest rate negatively impacts the housing price. Third, the variance decomposition results report that the shock to the stock price accounts for 96% of the variation in the stock price, and the shock to the price index accounts for 2.8% after two periods. In contrast, the shock to the interest rate accounts for 80% of the variation in the interest rate after ten periods; the shock to the stock price accounts for 19% of the variation; however, shock to the price index does not affect the interest rate. The housing price index in 10 periods is explained up to 96.7% by itself, 2.62% by stock price, 0.68% by price index, and 0.04% by interest rate. Therefore, the housing market is explained most by its own variation, whereas the interest rate has little impact on housing price. Conclusions - The results of the study elucidate the relationship and dynamic interactions among stock price index, interest rate, price index, and housing price indices using VAR model. This study could help form the basis for more appropriate economic policies in the future. As the housing market is very important in Korean economy, any changes in house price affect the other markets, thereby resulting in a shock to the entire economy. Therefore, the analysis on the dynamic relationships between the housing market and economic variables will help with the decision making regarding the housing market policy.

• 한국항해학회지
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.31-49
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• 1994

In the meantime Korean Insurance Industry has been developed a steady growth under government's political protection. But insurance market seems to be opened unavoidably owing to the liberalization of international trade by the Agreements of UR and the bloc of economy by EC Integration and the Organization of NAFTA. By the above reason, especially, in case of hull insurance, the rate of hull insurance is being instituted as a problem. Accordingly the recognition for the problem like this, in thsi study, explained the major objectives of rate making and described the basic rate making methods that are used in property and liability insurance, and searched the rate making schemes of hull insurance rate of the major nations by comparing method. And as a conclusion, the writer presented several schemes including new rate making scheme of hull insurance rate and the security of statistical data about loss ratio, and the establishment of Korean Hull Insurance Association.