• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.45-59
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• 2022

Purpose - This study investigates the performance of investment strategies incorporating estimated stock market cycle based on a lead-lag relationship between business cycle and stock market cycle, thereby deriving empirical implications on risk management. Design/methodology/approach - The data period ranges from June 1953 to September 2022 and de-trended short rate, term spread, credit spread, stock market volatility are considered as major input variables to estimate business cycle and stock market cycle by applying probit model. Based on the estimated stock market cycle, two types of strategies are constructed and their performance relative to the benchmark is empirically examined. Findings Two types of strategies based on stock market cycle are considered: The first strategy is to long(short) on stocks when stock market stage is expected to be an expansion(a recession), and the second one is to long on stocks(bonds) when expecting an expansion(a recession). The empirical results show that the strategies based on stock market cycle outperforms a simple buy and hold strategy in both in-sample and out-of-sample investigation. Also the out-of-sample evidence suggests that the second strategy which is in line with asset allocation is more profitable than the first one. Research implications or Originality The strategies considered in this study are based on the estimated stock market cycle which only depends on a few easily available financial variables, thereby making easier to establish such a strategy. It implies that investors enhance investment performance by constructing a relatively simple trading strategies if they set their position on stocks or choose which asset class to buy conditioning on stock market cycle.

• Journal of Distribution Science
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.91-104
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• 2009

The Purpose of this study is to reveal interactive relation between Product Life Cycle and Market Risk Management. PLC analyzes consumer buying behavior, volatility of price and sales at market place from the viewpoint of Marketing so that company can improve management result. This study is attempt to analyze PLC from a comprehensive and integrating angle by using MRM. In order to find out relationship between two theories, this study is an extraction of the factors that affects the management result commonly on PLC and MRM. Then, this study analyzes the factors of PLC from the viewpoint of MRM. The result shows that the factors of PLC and MRM have relation with in terms of volatility of price, trade risk and market share.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.58 no.4
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• pp.694-699
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• 2009

Combined cycle plants which feature distinct advantages for power generation such as fast response, high efficiency, environmental friendliness, fuel flexiblity represent the majority of new generating plant installations across the globe. Combined cycle plants have different operating modes where the operating parameters can differ greatly depending which mode is operating at the time. This paper addresses the bidding strategy model of combined cycle plants in a competitive electricity market by using a characteristic of multiple operating modes of combined cycle plants. Simulation results of case studies show that an operating mode among multiple ones is selected strategically in generation bidding for more profit of generation company.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.37 no.4
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• pp.168-176
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• 2014

The enterprise life cycle derived from the product life cycle consists of introduction, growth, maturity and decline. The enterprise tries to reach the growth stage early and stay at the maturity stage stably through expanding its businesses and investing for the new technology. The public enterprise is not different but its life cycle is more prone to be affected by the national development and policy. A typical example can be found in the case of the quasi market SOC public enterprise which spends massive amount of fund to provide social infrastructure. After the fulfillment of its mandated mission it is exposed to the pressure of a merger or a closure usually because large portion of the debt is directly linked to the national financial stability and credit ratings. This research is focused on the variables that influence the life cycle of the quasi market SOC public Enterprise for its future competitiveness is in connection with its normalization, advancement and rationalization. In this respect, categorical variables system centering on public characteristics and profitability drew eight categorical variables such as policy outcomes, public benefit, finance and business values etc.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.43-60
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• 2002

This paper describes the forecast of wholesale price in competitive Korean electricity market using the system dynamics approach. The system dynamics concepts have been implemented with the Ithink software. This software facilitates the development of stock and flow model with information feedback. Using this model, the future wholesale electricity price can be computed hour by hour, quarterly, and yearly. This model also gives the energy planner the opportunity to create different scenarios for the future of deregulated wholesale markets in Korea. Also It will lead to increased understanding of competitive wholesale market as a complex, dynamic system. Research results show that the plant construction appeared in waves of boom and bust in Korean electricity market like real estate construction. That is, the Korea wholesale market's new power plants and the market price will appear the Boom and Bust cycle. It is very similar behavior as real estate industry. In case of consideration of DSM program, The DSM savings lead to a somewhat different timing of the booms in construction and of price spikes. But the DSM programs do not eliminated the fundamental dynamics of the boom and bust. And the wholesale price is maintained at the lower level compared to the case of without DSM program. However, the unexpected result is found that due to the lower market price, Investor make significantly less investment in new CCs, which leads to the higher wholesale price after 2010. It suggests that the DSM Policy must be implemented with the dynamics of competitive Electricity Market.

• Korean Business Review
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• v.11
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• pp.149-171
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• 1998

The most important thing in the Tourist Market Segmentation is to find descriptive variables which can describe the changes of tourist demand properly. There are many descriptive variables. Among them, vital statistical variables were proved to be effective. The strongest variable but which was studied much less is the Family Life Cycle. This study will focus on the relation between Family Life Cycle and Travel Behavior of Destination Choice. In this study, I will verify the validity of Family Life Cycle as a descriptive variable of Tourist Market Segmentation, and try to find the meaningful variable at each steps. Therefore, The purpose of this study is to explain the relation between Family Life Cycle and Travel Behavior of Destination Choice, to verify the validity of Family Life Cycle as descriptive variable and to find the strategy to respond to the increase in quantity and diversity of quality of Tourist Market. The studies on the Family Life Cycle should be updated continuously according to the change of family structure and it should be understood as standard for Tourist Market Segmentation in the public and private sphere.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.592-609
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• 2019

This study attempts to expand the leverage cycle theory using the subprime real estate investors. The leverage cycle theory has demonstrated asset price fluctuations irrelevant to changes in fundamentals through the restructuring of transaction composition centered on optimistic buyers. However, it needs to understand how this theory works in the depressed housing market with low-income residential regions to explain the geographic origins of the financial crisis. In the depressed housing market, the subprime real estate investors focused on low-income residential regions. Through this spatial focus, the low-income residential regions solely have real estate investor-oriented composition of new purchase transactions in the depressed housing market. The discovery of the subprime real estate investors as new actors lays the foundation for applying the leverage cycle theory to the depressed housing market which has been a underserved area for capital investment. This attempt illustrates how the geographical reinterpretation of an economic theory reestablishes spatio-temporal context of economic phenomena.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.25-35
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• 2005

This paper describes the mechanism for new investment to appear in waves of boom and bust causing alternative periods of over and under supply of electricity in Korean market. A system dynamics model was developed to describe the dynamic behavior of new investment in Korean market. The simulation results show the boom and bust cycle in the new investments. When the market price is high, investors decide to build new power plants. However, it takes some delay time to complete new power plants. When the new power plants are being added into the grid, the supply increases and the wholesale price begins to decrease. This causes the cancellation of new power plant or delay the construction. This mechanism causes the boom and bust cycle in new investment.

• 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2009.10a
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• pp.1208-1211
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• 2009

This study compares and contrasts the market size, growth rates, business cycles, supply and demand of the of the FPD and Photovoltaic (PV) industries. Using historic, market metric, cycle, capacity and other comparative analysis techniques, implications for implementing effective business strategies are formed.

• Proceedings of the CALSEC Conference
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• 2001.02a
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• pp.499-520
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• 2001

◈ B2B e-commerce is set to grow significantly in the next 5 years ◈ There is a growing trend towards leveraging the information asset to win new business in the Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO) market ◈ After-market service is forecast to be a significant element of the B2B market ◈ Existing standards do not fully address the product support requirement ◈ PLCS standards will allow support information to be aligned with the changing product over its entire life cycle ◈ Adoption of PLCS standard will lead to reduced operating costs and increased product availability.(omitted)