• 제목/요약/키워드: marginal population

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읍·면지역 한계고령화의 인과순환적 구조분석과 인구소멸 임계점에 대한 시뮬레이션 (Causal Loop-Based Structural Analyses of Marginal Ageing and Critical Mass Simulations for Demographic Extinction Scenarios in Eup and Myeon Regions)

  • 최남희
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.107-134
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    • 2016
  • Accelerated ageing with low fertility is one of the most critical problems in Korea. Because of ageing via low fertility, Korea will face a serious demographic cliff. This research primarily focus on the analyzing the dynamics of the marginal ageing state and decreasing population especially in Eup and Myeon region. This study based on the system dynamics approaches for finding causal loop structure of marginal ageing and critical mass of population disappearing. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First, demographic marginalization trends have already begun in the Eups and Myons of Gun. Second, marginal aging speed in Eup/Myeon areas is causing an population disappearing in the near future. Third, critical mass of population disappearing will begin when the rate of marginal aging is exceed 82% after 2023.

한계마을 정량적 기준제시를 위한 마을공동체 활동변화 분석 - 충청남도 부여군을 대상으로 - (Analysis of Changes in Active Village Community for the Quantitative Criteria Presentation of Marginal Village - As a Target the Chungnam Province Buyeo Country-)

  • 엄성준;리신호;김숙종;정상숙
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this study is to suggest the quantitative standard of a marginal village. For the purpose, the study selected 43 villages with the population of 50 or less, the classification of a marginal village in accordance with advanced research and 47 villages with the population over 50 in Buyeo-gun region. The common reason of occurrence of a marginal village suggested by advanced research is a characteristic of a village or decline and extinction of a village rather than a simple index of population or aging rate. Therefore, the study assumed that decline of functions of the village would be caused by decline a function of communities consisting of the villagers. The study then assumed that the relatively low or 0 number or rate of participants would result in community functions. The study conducted t-test on basis of population and aging rate and an analysis to find the range with relatively large differences in the number of communities, participants and the rate of the participants, etc. The result showed that the community function began to decline when the population was less than 60~70 and the aging rate over 75%~85%. As the decline of functions of communities began in population of 70, the critical point was met when the population was 40 or less. With population of 40 or less, the young and the old group communities became extinct or showed rapid decrease in the number of participants. The study assumed that decline of functions of a village, a reason of occurrence of a marginal village would be decline of functions of communities, but there was no further analysis on decline or extinction of a village with population of 40 or less. There shall be further studies about whether a village of population of 40 or less is led to decline of a function or extinction of village communities.

A Modified Computing Algorithm for Raking Ratio Estimation Subject to Partial Marginal Information

  • Son, Chang Kyoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.419-433
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    • 2004
  • We suggest the modified computing algorithm for raking ratio estimation under the assumption that the population total is partially known, and the sample total is completely known about survey variable in contingency table. We show that the proposed estimation procedure is useful to estimate the population cell count in this situation through an empirical study.

일본 '한계취락(限界聚落)'의 인구감소 대책방안 사례연구 (Study of Countermeasures of Population Decrease in Marginal Village in Japan)

  • 정경희;이재훈;김병량
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2014
  • Korea is the most rapidly aging country in the OECD countries, becoming 'an aging society' in 2010, when over 12% of the population had reached the age 65 and beyond. Along with the population aging, problems of the elderly have become a social issue. Also, the elderly population in most farming villages is increasing due to the cityward concentration of younger generation and the rapid urbanization centered around the capital area. Yet no definite success in revitalization of these villages has been reported despite the acknowledgement of the problems arising from such phenomena. Therefore, by examining "marginal villages" (communities whose joint social activities are difficult to maintain as over 50% of the population is 65 years or older) in Japan, which at this point has entered "the ultra-aged society" before Korea, this study intends to compare and analyze the countermeasure plans for the population decrease in these villages. The case study has been done with the focus on the literary references published in Japan such as papers, various reports, statistics, newspapers, and journals.

남산공원 내 애기나리와 큰애기나리 군락의 동태 및 종간 경쟁의 추정 (On the Population Dynamics and Interspecific Competition of Disporum smilacinum and D. viridescens (Liliaceae) in Mt. Nam Park)

  • 민병미
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제21권5_3호
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    • pp.649-663
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    • 1998
  • The clarify the ecological properties, and to predict change of understory vegetation of mt. Nam Park, population dynamics and interspecific competition of D. smilacinum and D. viridescens, which grow in understory of deciduous broad-leaved forest and pseudo-annuals, were studied from May 20 to May 30 1998. The depth of litter layer, soil moisture content, soil organic matter and soil texture were surveyed in 18 populations (15 D. smilacinum populations and 3 D. viridescens populations). Mean litter layer of d. smilacimum population was thinner than that of D. viridescens populations). Mean litter layer of D. smilacnum population was thinner than that of D. viridescens population. The contents of soil moisture and organic matter of D. smilacinum population were lower than that of D. viridescens population. The D. smilacinum growed in broad range of soil texture but D. viridescens in loamy soil. Because D. smilacinum could tolerate more broad range of soil moisture and soil texture than D. viridescens, the former covered the herb layer in earlier stage and the latter introduced in later stage when rhizome could grow easily. The numbers of individual in two marginal parts were smaller than that in center in same D. smilacinum patch. And the total numbers of individuals grown in (10 ${\times}$ 10)cm were from 0 to 12. The rhizome (subterranean runner) weight, rhizome length, root weight, shoot weight, lea weight and leaf number per subquadrat (cell) increased along the number of individual, that is, increased from marginal part to center. But rhizome weight and rhizome length per individual were vice versa. Therefore, the individuals in marginal part reproduced longer and stronger asexual propagules than that in center. The distribution pattern of D. smilacinum was contageous and that of D. viridescens was random or regular. Therefore, population growth of former was independent on density and that of latter was dependent on density. The distributions of size-class showed normal curves in two population, but the curves based on data of total dry weight showed positive skewness and those of leaf number showed negative skewness The correlation coefficient (CC) values between the properties of each organ were high in two population and significant at 0.1% level. The CC values of D. viridescens were higher of the two. Therefore, the former allocated the energy to each organ stable. The rhizome depth of d. viridescens was 2 times deeper than that of D. smilacinum. And rhizome length and weight of D. viridescens were longer (2 times) or heavier (4 times) than those of D. smilacinum. The patch size of D. viridescens increased 60 cm per year and that of D. smilacinum 30 cm. On this results, the intrinsic increase velocity of d. viridescens patch was 2 times faster than that of d. smilacinum, therefore, on the competition, the former had an advantage over D. smilacinum. The reason why d. viridescens defeated D. smilacinum resulted from that the leaf area of former was 4 times broader than that of latter. in Mt. Nam Park, it was thought that two disporum Population would change with the 3 thpes of environmental change as followings. First, no human impact and increase of soil moisture content resulted in increase of D. viridescens population. Second, mild human impact and similar condition of soil moisture content resulted in slow increase or no changes of D. smilacinum and d. viridescens population. Third, severe human impact and dry condition resulted in decrease or vanishment of two disporum populations.

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우리나라 한계촌락의 구조적 특성에 관한 연구 - 전라남도 고흥군을 사례로 - (A Study on the Structural Characteristics of Marginal Village : The Case of Goheung-gun in Jeollanamdo)

  • 정원기;안영진
    • 한국지역지리학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.515-528
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    • 2016
  • 1960년대 이후 우리나라는 산업화와 도시화가 진행되면서 이촌향도형 인구이동으로 농촌은 큰 변화를 겪었다. 최근 귀농 및 귀촌으로 인하여 일부 농촌 지역의 인구가 부분적으로 증가하고 있기도 하나, 농촌의 인구감소는 지속 되고 있으며, 인구 고령화도 심화되고 있다. 농촌 인구의 감소와 고령화의 심화는 광범위한 농촌지역에서 인구 과소화는 물론이고 지역 공동체로서의 기능을 유지하기도 어려운 '한계촌락'을 발생시키고 있으며, 한걸음 더 나아가 소멸 가능성도 제기되고 있다. 이 연구는 전라남도 고흥군을 사례로 우리나라 농촌지역의 한계촌락의 구조와 특성을 분석하고자 하였다. 이 연구는 먼저 인구 과소화와 한계촌락에 관한 선행 연구들을 검토하고 한계촌락의 개념을 살펴보고, 인구 자료를 활용하여 전남 시군별 인구 변화와 고령화를 기초로 연구 지역을 선정하였다. 이어서 본 연구는 한계촌락의 구조적 특성을 분석하기 위해 사례지역 농촌 마을의 인구 실태와 고령화, 소득원 및 토지이용, 공동체 활동실태 그리고 주민들의 마을에 대한 인식 등을 고찰하였다.

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한계마을정책 개발을 위한 최근 일본의 한계집락 관련 논의 및 정책 동향 연구 (A Study on the Recent Discussion and Policy Trends of Japan for the Development of Marginal Village Policy)

  • 조영재;사카시타아키히코;신동철
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2018
  • This study is a basic research for the development of 'Marginal Village Policy' in response to the hollowing-out of rural areas. For this purpose, the viewpoint of "Regeneration" & "Reconstruction" of the "Marginal Village Theory" and the recent "Rural Planning Theory of Evacuation" in Japan were reviewed. The background and trends of Marginal Village policy in Japan were also investigated. And based on this, the implications and future tasks for Korea were summarized as follows; (1)It is necessary to be interested in the disappearance of villages and marginal villages and to form positive discussions and social consensus. (2)Continuous field investigation and management of changes in population and village functions at regional and village level are required. (3)In addition to increasing the importance of depopulation problems, it is necessary to establish 'marginal villages' as a public policy target. (4)It is necessary to review and consider the viewpoint of reconstruction along with regeneration. (5)It is necessary to pay attention that the software project is expanded, and the regeneration & reconstruction policies of the rural villages are aimed at revitalizing the rural community. (6)It is necessary to consider the possibility of applying 'spacial construction' along with the expansion of the academic debate on the 'rural planning theory of evacuation'. On the basis of this, in this study, rural villages were classified into 'continuous villages', 'semi-marginal villages' and 'marginal villages' according to the degree of marginalization, and the basic framework of 'Marginal Village Policy' was proposed, which is to encourage the differentiated policies of 'continuous villages' by 'rural village policy', 'semi-marginal villages' and 'marginal villages' by 'marginal village policy'.

수변 경계종인 쥐방울덩굴의 유전적 다양성 분석 (An analysis of the genetic diversity of a riparian marginal species, Aristolochia contorta)

  • 남보은;박현준;손가연;김재근
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.100-105
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    • 2020
  • 수변 및 육상 식생의 경계에 서식하는 쥐방울덩굴(Aristolochia contorta)은 국내 취약종인 꼬리명주나비(Sericinus montela) 유충의 유일한 기주식물이라는 점에서 높은 보전가치를 지닌다. 개체군의 장기적인 유지에 있어서 유전적 다양성은 반드시 고려되어야 하며, 이를 위하여 기존 개체군의 유전적 다양성을 파악하는 과정이 선행되어야 한다. 쥐방울덩굴 개체군이 장기적으로 유지되고 있는 네 서식처의 개체군을 대상으로 개체들의 잎을 채집하여 DNA를 추출하였으며, 5개의 무작위 프라이머를 이용한 RAPD-PCR을 수행하여 각 개체군의 유전적 다양성을 비교하고 개체군 간의 유연관계를 파악하였다. 개체군 내 유전적 다양성은 4개 개체군 중 가평 개체군(GP)이 가장 높았으나, 전반적인 유전적 다양성은 다른 종에 비해 낮은 편으로 나타났다(h: 0.0607 ~ 0.1491; I: 0.0819 ~ 0.1759). 또한 가평 개체군의 경우 지리적 거리와 무관하게 다른 개체군들과의 유전적 거리가 큰 편으로 나타났다. 이는 파편화된 서식지와 더불어 낮은 유성생식 비율에서 기인한 것으로 추정된다. 쥐방울덩굴 개체군의 보전을 위해서는 개체군 혼합 식재와 적절한 차광이나 물리적 지지와 같이 쥐방울덩굴의 유성생식 을 촉진하는 환경이 적극적으로 고려되어야 할 것이다.

농촌마을의 공동화와 과소·고령화 현상의 관련성 연구 - 충남 금산군을 중심으로 - (A Study on the Relation between the Hollowization and the Phenomenon of Decreasing and Aging Population in Rural Villages - Focused on Geumsan-gun -)

  • 조영재;김두환;조은정
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate how the hollowization in rural villages which causes marginal villages appears in Korean rural villages and whether the hollowization has relation with decrease and aging of population or not. For achieving the research objective, survey was carried out focused on Geumsan-gun. As a result, it confirmed that rural out-migration and rural decline especially in 'people', 'land(economic situation)' and 'community' have being progressed. Also variance analysis and regression analysis were executed with using the number of population and the ratio of people over 65 as dependent variables and using each survey contents(variables) as independent variables. The results of analysis showed that the ratio of people over 65(+), the income level per household(-), the rate of fallow lands(+), the number of empty houses(+), programs for urban-rural interchange(+), and the implementing public projects(+), etc. have a relation with the number of population(-) and the number of population(-), the income level per household(-), the rate of fallow lands(+), the number of empty houses(+), activities of communities(+), and the implementing public projects(+), etc. have a relation with the ratio of people over 65(+) (+: increase, -: decrease). So the hollowization in people', 'land(economic situation)' and 'community' has direct relation with decrease and aging of population in rural areas.

디지털 방식을 이용하여 제작한 전부 지르코니아 수복물의 변연 적합도 평가 (Evaluation of marginal fit of monolithic zirconia restoration by digital impression)

  • 윤미정;김소연;강은숙
    • 대한치과의사협회지
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    • 제56권7호
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    • pp.366-374
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    • 2018
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study was to compare the marginal fit of monolithic zirconia restorations fabricated form the conventional and the digital impression technique. Materials and methods : Ten patients were restored with monolithic zirconia restorations fabricated from the digital and the conventional impression technique. Before definitive insertion, silicone replicas were produced from all twenty crowns. The silicone replicas were cut in three sections; each section was evaluated at two points. The measurement was carried out by using a measuring microscope (Olympus BX 51) and I-Solution. Data from the silicone replica scores were analyzed by Shapiro-Wilk test for normal distribution and the t-test for equality of two population's mean. All tests were performed with ${\alpha}-level$ of 0.05. Results : The average marginal gaps of monolithic zirconia restorations were $133.81{\pm}36.46{\mu}m$ for the conventional impression technique, $90.07{\pm}9.47{\mu}m$ for the digital impression technique. No statistical differences were found between the two impression techniques Conclusion : Both prostheses presented clinically acceptable results with comparing the marginal fit.

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