• Title/Summary/Keyword: macroeconomic value

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Economic Effects of South Korea's Smart Healthcare Industry (S-헬스케어산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Ahn, Jeong-Min;Suh, Jeong-Kyo
    • The Korean Journal of Health Service Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2017
  • Objectives : Recently, concerns about the smart healthcare industry has increased worldwide. This study estimates the economic effects of the smart healthcare industry by employing input-output analysis. Methods : In this study, $29{\times}29$ sector statistics were also used as the major research method for the industry. The main analysis tools of this study, thus, included a comparison of backward and forward-linkage effects and the inducement effects of the own-industry and other industries, as well as inducement coefficients, including production, value-added, employee's pay, operating surplus, production tax, and employment. Results : The results of the analysis show that the industry has an immense economic impact, affecting major macroeconomic factors including value-added and forward - linkage effects. Additionally, the inducement effects of the smart healthcare industry are significant compared to other industries in terms of production, employee's pay, operating surplus, production tax, and employment. Conclusions : The smart healthcare industry is a growth engines for national development, because it is the industry of high value-added services. This paper offers alternatives for efficient industrial policies.

Macroeconomic Effects of the Global Resource Crisis (글로벌 자원위기의 거시경제적 효과분석)

  • Song, Tae-Jung;Kim, Gi-Seung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.259-267
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    • 2008
  • This research will examine the probabilities of future global resource crisis and what significance and effect will come upon our economy through the rise of the cost of resources. From now on, the lack of the supply of global resources will dull the world economic growth. Not only that, but the direction of each country's economic development will be decided by the appropriate measure to the resource crisis. If we are to sustain this inefficient industrial structure, as a country with high dependancy on foreign resources, Korea might face macroeconomic shock and the loss of industrial competitiveness. Therefore, we must increase the efficiency of the resource usage in the manufacturing industry such as the chemical and steel industry, and now is a period when we must add high value to our products. Henceforth, the structural constraints of supply will be the root cause of resource crisis. Thus, we must lead the subject of the economic agencies, such as companies and consumers, so that they will be able to adapt to a new paradigm called the fundamental lack of resources, rather than temporal crisis management. The Korean economy must adjust the environment for industry transformation to be achieved.

House Price Channel: Effects of House Prices on Macroeconomy (주택가격채널: 거시경제에 미치는 영향을 중심으로)

  • Song, Inho
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.171-205
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    • 2014
  • This paper investigates the manner in which house prices affect macroeconomic variables through a house price channel by applying the method of Iacoviello (2005) to Korean data, and establishing a DSGE model with complementarity. This paper found that higher LTV ratio coupled with stronger complementarity results in the co-movement in both consumption and housing. For instance, the results show that when the LTV ratio and complementarity stands respectively at 50% and 0.42, an 1% rise in house prices increases consumption by 0.057%, and when the complementarity parameter increases to 0.52 with LTV remains unchanged at 50%, consumption rises by 0.047% per 1% increase in house prices. An increase in house prices leads credit constraints for borrowers to become more loose as value of a house rises as a collateral. The increase in household credit enables more consumer spending, eventually leading to increased consumption. A key link in which house prices are connected to macroeconomic variables is change in consumption. To put it simply, a rise in house prices leads to an increase in consumption, which consequently impacts the overall macro-economy. At this point, complementarity is found, in that the elasticity of intra-temporal substitution between housing and consumption is estimated at 0.42, which plays an important role in the house price channel by amplifying the effects of house prices on consumption.

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Stock prediction using combination of BERT sentiment Analysis and Macro economy index

  • Jang, Euna;Choi, HoeRyeon;Lee, HongChul
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2020
  • The stock index is used not only as an economic indicator for a country, but also as an indicator for investment judgment, which is why research into predicting the stock index is ongoing. The task of predicting the stock price index involves technical, basic, and psychological factors, and it is also necessary to consider complex factors for prediction accuracy. Therefore, it is necessary to study the model for predicting the stock price index by selecting and reflecting technical and auxiliary factors that affect the fluctuation of the stock price according to the stock price. Most of the existing studies related to this are forecasting studies that use news information or macroeconomic indicators that create market fluctuations, or reflect only a few combinations of indicators. In this paper, this we propose to present an effective combination of the news information sentiment analysis and various macroeconomic indicators in order to predict the US Dow Jones Index. After Crawling more than 93,000 business news from the New York Times for two years, the sentiment results analyzed using the latest natural language processing techniques BERT and NLTK, along with five macroeconomic indicators, gold prices, oil prices, and five foreign exchange rates affecting the US economy Combination was applied to the prediction algorithm LSTM, which is known to be the most suitable for combining numeric and text information. As a result of experimenting with various combinations, the combination of DJI, NLTK, BERT, OIL, GOLD, and EURUSD in the DJI index prediction yielded the smallest MSE value.

An Analysis on the Economic Effects of the Medical and Measuring Instrument Industry (한국 의료 및 측정기기산업의 투자파급효과 분석)

  • Suh, Jeong-Kyo
    • The Korean Journal of Health Service Management
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.219-229
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    • 2012
  • In these days, the interest on medical industry is increasing around the world. This paper attempts to estimate the economic effects of the medical and measuring instrument industry through the Input-Output Analysis. Especially, 78*78 Sector Tables were used as the first analysis tool. So then, 79*79 Sector Tables adjusted were used for that industry. The main analysis tools of this study are comparing and analyzing backward and forward linkage effect, the induced effect of the self industry and other industries and the induced coefficients such as products, value-added, employee's pay, sales surplus, employment. According to the result of analysis, the medical and measuring instrument industry has great economic impacts which affects the major macroeconomic factors such as production and backward linkage effect. And the induced effects of the self medical and measuring instrument industry are significant compared to other industries in aspects of production, employee's pay and sales surplus.

Implementation Strategies for Virtual Enterprise (가상기업의 구축전략)

  • 정동길;정철용
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.27-50
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    • 1996
  • In this paper. we present a definition of the term virtual enterprise (VE) and discuss some related terms and concepts. The definition was given based on Porter's Value Chain Theory. Then we discuss some positioning strategies for entering or joining a virtual enterprise from an executive's viewpoint. which show a framework for making decisions on for what. when and how a (real) enterprise need to participate or form a virtual enterprise and whom the partners should be. The major pert of the paper is on underlying information technologies and architectures for building virtual enterprises. Requirements for modeling virtual enterprises and core technologies needed for implementation are discussed. A virtual enterprise reference architecture based on NIIIP's model is presented. Finally we discuss some points that should. addressed from a macroeconomic and public policies viewpoints. These are the issues of IT standardization and investments in IT infrastructure.

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Use of Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Estimating the Economy Model

  • Lee, Seung Moon
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.127-132
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    • 2008
  • This project follows the heterogeneous agent market segmented model of Landon-Lane and Occhino (2007) with using Korean data, M1 and GDP deflator from 1882:I to 2007:II. This paper estimates parameters with Monte Carlo Markov Chain. The fraction of traders, ${\lambda}$, in Korea is 15.64%. The quarterly preferences discount factor's, ${\beta}$, posterior mean is 0.9922. The posterior mean of the inverse of the elasticity of the labor supply to the real wage, ${\varphi}$, is 0.0316. The elasticity of the labor supply to the real wage has a very large value. By Hansen (1985) and Christiano and Eichenbaum (1992) and Cooley and Hansen (1989), models having large elasticity of the aggregate labor supply better match macroeconomic data.

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Input-Output Structure and Economic Effects of Oriental Medicine Industry in Korea (한방의료 관련 산업의 국민경제적 기여도 및 파급효과)

  • Kim Jin-Hyun;Lim Byung-Mook
    • Journal of Society of Preventive Korean Medicine
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.163-186
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this parer is to identify the input-output structure of oriental medicine and its alternative medicine industries in an inter-industry context and to estimate its forward and backward effects on macroeconomic variables such as production, employment and price level. Input-output tables released by The Bank of Korea were used as data in this research and inter-industry analysis was adopted as research methodology. The industry takes less share of production, price and trade in a Korean economy, compared with other industry. However, the industry's capability of creating value added is estimated to be well above that of other industry and that of making new employments is as more than 4 times as other industries. This result gives us policy implications that the government should enhance its subsidy policy and economic (tax) incentives for oriental medicine and its related alternative medicine industries.

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Investment and Business Cycles: Focusing on Firms' Capital Adjustment Costs

  • NAM, CHANGWOO
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.77-98
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    • 2022
  • This paper empirically verifies that the types of capital adjustment costs serve as an important mechanism in relation to investment decision-making after confirming that the investment dispersion of Korean firms is pro-cyclical and can affect business cycles. Specifically, it is found through empirical methods using corporate financial data that capital adjustment costs generally assumed to take a quadratic form in macroeconomics are asymmetric and irreversible in the Korean economy. In particular, capital adjustment costs are empirically proven to cause investment dispersion to expand given that the substitution effect of the marginal value to the marginal cost for one unit of investment in the inter-temporal investment decision is affected by that cost with regard to the resale of owned equipment assets, as opposed to new investments in equipment assets. We ultimately show, albeit indirectly, that investment dispersion can affect business cycles as capital adjustment costs influences investment decisions. What is implied is that the capital adjustment cost is not merely an exogenously deep parameter that fits the dynamics of business cycles in a macroeconomic model but could instead be a policy variable that can be endogenized through government policies.

Investigating the Construction Industry from Key Performance Measurements

  • Choi, Kunhee;Lee, Hyun Woo;Bae, Junseo;Ryu, Kyeong Rok
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.150-153
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    • 2015
  • The construction industry is an integral part of any nation's economy, whether measured by dollar volume or workforce size. In spite of its strong influence, there has been very little specifically aimed at evaluating the current industry performance. This research investigates the macroeconomic performance of the construction industry by accounting for crucial performance affecting factors such as labor productivity and gross margin. A clustering analysis, followed by a series of statistical analyses, yielded a notable finding that labor productivity is the most important factor that affects industry's profitability. The results of the analysis also revealed that the states with the strongest labor productivity show the highest level of profitability in terms of gross margin. This study should be of value to decision-makers when plotting a roadmap for future growth and rendering a strategic business decision.

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