• 제목/요약/키워드: machine learning

검색결과 5,196건 처리시간 0.041초

머신러닝 모델을 이용한 일일 COVID-19 확진자 수 예측 (Predicting the number of confirmed COVID-19 daily using machine learning models)

  • 민송하;오명호;김종민
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2022년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.697-700
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    • 2022
  • 최근 코로나-19(COVID-19)는 2022년 3월 18일 현재 확진자 8,250,000명, 사망자 11,481명으로 2020년 발생이후 계속해서 증가하고 있으며, 코로나-19 확산으로 인해 모임·행사·영업시간 등에 인원과 시간을 제한하여 우리의 일상생활이 코로나 확진자 수에 따라 변화하는 모습을 보이고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 일상생활 제한에 대한 피해를 최소화하는데 기여할 다음 날 확진자 수를 예측하는 알고리즘을 구현하였다. 본 알고리즘은 3일 동안의 확진자 수 데이터를 가지고 그다음 날의 확진자 수를 예측하는 알고리즘으로, Sequential 모델을 사용하여 RNN, Dense 레이어를 추가하는 방식으로 예측하였으며, 지역별로 세분화된 인원 제한을 예측하기 위해 서울을 기준으로 일별 확진자 수에 따른 인원 제한을 매칭시켰다.

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Automated Prioritization of Construction Project Requirements using Machine Learning and Fuzzy Logic System

  • Hassan, Fahad ul;Le, Tuyen;Le, Chau;Shrestha, K. Joseph
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.304-311
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    • 2022
  • Construction inspection is a crucial stage that ensures that all contractual requirements of a construction project are verified. The construction inspection capabilities among state highway agencies have been greatly affected due to budget reduction. As a result, efficient inspection practices such as risk-based inspection are required to optimize the use of limited resources without compromising inspection quality. Automated prioritization of textual requirements according to their criticality would be extremely helpful since contractual requirements are typically presented in an unstructured natural language in voluminous text documents. The current study introduces a novel model for predicting the risk level of requirements using machine learning (ML) algorithms. The ML algorithms tested in this study included naïve Bayes, support vector machines, logistic regression, and random forest. The training data includes sequences of requirement texts which were labeled with risk levels (such as very low, low, medium, high, very high) using the fuzzy logic systems. The fuzzy model treats the three risk factors (severity, probability, detectability) as fuzzy input variables, and implements the fuzzy inference rules to determine the labels of requirements. The performance of the model was examined on labeled dataset created by fuzzy inference rules and three different membership functions. The developed requirement risk prediction model yielded a precision, recall, and f-score of 78.18%, 77.75%, and 75.82%, respectively. The proposed model is expected to provide construction inspectors with a means for the automated prioritization of voluminous requirements by their importance, thus help to maximize the effectiveness of inspection activities under resource constraints.

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Patch loading resistance prediction of steel plate girders using a deep artificial neural network and an interior-point algorithm

  • Mai, Sy Hung;Tran, Viet-Linh;Nguyen, Duy-Duan;Nguyen, Viet Tiep;Thai, Duc-Kien
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.159-173
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    • 2022
  • This paper proposes a hybrid machine-learning model, which is called DANN-IP, that combines a deep artificial neural network (DANN) and an interior-point (IP) algorithm in order to improve the prediction capacity on the patch loading resistance of steel plate girders. For this purpose, 394 steel plate girders that were subjected to patch loading were tested in order to construct the DANN-IP model. Firstly, several DANN models were developed in order to establish the relationship between the patch loading resistance and the web panel length, the web height, the web thickness, the flange width, the flange thickness, the applied load length, the web yield strength, and the flange yield strength of steel plate girders. Accordingly, the best DANN model was chosen based on three performance indices, which included the R^2, RMSE, and a20-index. The IP algorithm was then adopted to optimize the weights and biases of the DANN model in order to establish the hybrid DANN-IP model. The results obtained from the proposed DANN-IP model were compared with of the results from the DANN model and the existing empirical formulas. The comparison showed that the proposed DANN-IP model achieved the best accuracy with an R^2 of 0.996, an RMSE of 23.260 kN, and an a20-index of 0.891. Finally, a Graphical User Interface (GUI) tool was developed in order to effectively use the proposed DANN-IP model for practical applications.

1D-CNN을 이용한 항만내 선박 이동시간 예측 (Prediction of Ship Travel Time in Harbour using 1D-Convolutional Neural Network)

  • 유상록;김광일;정초영
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2022년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.275-276
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    • 2022
  • 해상교통관제사는 항로폭이 협소한 항만에서 선박 충돌사고 예방을 위해 one-way로 항해하도록 선박의 입·출항 대기 지시를 한다. 현재 해상교통관제사의 입·출항대기 지시는 과학적이고 통계적인 데이터를 기반으로 하지 않고 해상교통관제사의 개인 역량에 따라 편차가 크다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 항만에서의 선박 입·출항 대기 지시를 위한 정확한 이동 시간을 예측하기 위해 선박 및 기상 데이터를 수집하여 1d-합성곱신경망 모델을 구축하였다. 제안한 모델이 다른 앙상블 기계학습 모델보다 4.5% 이상 개선된 것을 확인하였다. 본 연구를 통해 다양한 상황에서도 선박 입·출항 소요시간 예측이 가능하여 해상교통관제사는 선박에게 정확한 정보 제공 및 대기지시 판단에 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

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The evaluation of Spectral Vegetation Indices for Classification of Nutritional Deficiency in Rice Using Machine Learning Method

  • Jaekyeong Baek;Wan-Gyu Sang;Dongwon Kwon;Sungyul Chanag;Hyeojin Bak;Ho-young Ban;Jung-Il Cho
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2022년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.88-88
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    • 2022
  • Detection of stress responses in crops is important to diagnose crop growth and evaluate yield. Also, the multi-spectral sensor is effectively known to evaluate stress caused by nutrient and moisture in crops or biological agents such as weeds or diseases. Therefore, in this experiment, multispectral images were taken by an unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) under field condition. The experiment was conducted in the long-term fertilizer field in the National Institute of Crop Science, and experiment area was divided into different status of NPK(Control, N-deficiency, P-deficiency, K-deficiency, Non-fertilizer). Total 11 vegetation indices were created with RGB and NIR reflectance values using python. Variations in nutrient content in plants affect the amount of light reflected or absorbed for each wavelength band. Therefore, the objective of this experiment was to evaluate vegetation indices derived from multispectral reflectance data as input into machine learning algorithm for the classification of nutritional deficiency in rice. RandomForest model was used as a representative ensemble model, and parameters were adjusted through hyperparameter tuning such as RandomSearchCV. As a result, training accuracy was 0.95 and test accuracy was 0.80, and IPCA, NDRE, and EVI were included in the top three indices for feature importance. Also, precision, recall, and f1-score, which are indicators for evaluating the performance of the classification model, showed a distribution of 0.7-0.9 for each class.

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Radionuclide identification based on energy-weighted algorithm and machine learning applied to a multi-array plastic scintillator

  • Hyun Cheol Lee ;Bon Tack Koo ;Ju Young Jeon ;Bo-Wi Cheon ;Do Hyeon Yoo ;Heejun Chung;Chul Hee Min
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권10호
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    • pp.3907-3912
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    • 2023
  • Radiation portal monitors (RPMs) installed at airports and harbors to prevent illicit trafficking of radioactive materials generally use large plastic scintillators. However, their energy resolution is poor and radionuclide identification is nearly unfeasible. In this study, to improve isotope identification, a RPM system based on a multi-array plastic scintillator and convolutional neural network (CNN) was evaluated by measuring the spectra of radioactive sources. A multi-array plastic scintillator comprising an assembly of 14 hexagonal scintillators was fabricated within an area of 50 × 100 cm2. The energy spectra of 137Cs, 60Co, 226Ra, and 4K (KCl) were measured at speeds of 10-30 km/h, respectively, and an energy-weighted algorithm was applied. For the CNN, 700 and 300 spectral images were used as training and testing images, respectively. Compared to the conventional plastic scintillator, the multi-arrayed detector showed a high collection probability of the optical photons generated inside. A Compton maximum peak was observed for four moving radiation sources, and the CNN-based classification results showed that at least 70% was discriminated. Under the speed condition, the spectral fluctuations were higher than those under dwelling condition. However, the machine learning results demonstrated that a considerably high level of nuclide discrimination was possible under source movement conditions.

스마트관광 시대의 관광숙박업 영업 예측 모형: 코로나19 팬더믹을 중심으로 (Predictive Models for the Tourism and Accommodation Industry in the Era of Smart Tourism: Focusing on the COVID-19 Pandemic)

  • 조유진;김차미;손승연;노미진
    • 스마트미디어저널
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    • 제12권8호
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    • pp.18-25
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    • 2023
  • 2020년 발생한 코로나19는 전세계적으로 지속적인 피해를 미쳤으며, 특히 하늘길 봉쇄 및 외출 자제로 인해 스마트 관광산업은 경제적 직격탄을 맞았다. 해외여행과 국내여행이 크게 감소된 상황에서 계속되는 적자로 인해 휴업과 폐업을 하는 관광호텔들이 늘어나고 있는 상황이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 행정안전부의 인허가 데이터를 수집한 후 시각화하여 관광숙박업의 운영 현황을 파악하였다. 머신러닝 분류 알고리즘을 적용하여 관광호텔의 생존 예측 모델을 구현하였고 앙상블 알고리즘을 활용하여 예측 모델의 성능을 최적화하였으며 5-Fold 교차검증으로 모델의 성능을 평가하였다. 관광호텔의 생존율이 다소 감소할 것으로 예측되었으나 실제 생존율을 코로나19 이전과 큰 차이를 보이지 않는 것으로 분석되었다. 본 논문의 호텔업 영업 상태 예측을 통해 관광숙박업 전체의 운영 가능성 및 발전 동향을 파악할 수 있는 근거로 활용할 수 있다.

DBSCAN과 통계적 검증 알고리즘을 사용한 배터리 열폭주 셀 탐지 (Battery thermal runaway cell detection using DBSCAN and statistical validation algorithms)

  • 김진근;윤유림
    • 문화기술의 융합
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.569-582
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    • 2023
  • 납축전지는 가장 오래된 충전식 배터리 시스템으로 현재까지 충전식 배터리 분야에서 자리를 지키고 있다. 이 배터리는 다양한 이유로 열폭주 현상이 생기는데 이는 큰 사고로 이어질 가능성이 있다. 그렇기 때문에 열폭주 현상을 예방하는 것은 배터리 관리 시스템의 핵심부분이다. 최근에는 열폭주 위험 배터리 셀을 기계학습으로분류하는 연구가 진행 중이다. 본 논문에서는 비지도학습인 DBSCAN 클러스터링과 통계적 방법을 사용하여 열폭주 위험 셀 탐지 및 검증 알고리즘을 제안하였다. BMS에서 측정한 lead-acid 배터리의 저항 값만을 사용하여 열폭주 위험 셀 분류 실험을 진행하였고 본 논문에서 제안한 알고리즘이 열폭주 위험 셀을 정확히 검출해 냄을 보여주었다. 또한 본 논문에서 제안한 알고리즘을 사용하여 배터리 내 열폭주 위험이 있는 셀과 노이즈가 심한 셀을 분류할 수 있었으며 그리드 서치를 통한 DBSCAN 파라미터 최적화를 통해 열폭주 위험 셀을 초기에 검출해 낼 수 있었다.

통합적인 인공 신경망 모델을 이용한 발틱운임지수 예측 (Predicting the Baltic Dry Bulk Freight Index Using an Ensemble Neural Network Model)

  • 소막
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.27-43
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    • 2023
  • 해양 산업은 글로벌 경제 성장에 매우 중요한 역할을 하고 있다. 특히 벌크운임지수인 BDI는 글로벌 상품 가격과 매우 밀접한 상관 관계를 지니고 있기 때문에 BDI 예측 연구의 중요성이 증가하고 있다. 본연구에서는 글로벌 시장 상황 불안정성으로 인한 정확한 BDI 예측 어려움을 해결하고자 머신러닝 전략을 도입하였다. CNN과 LSTM의 이점을 결합한 예측 모델을 설정하였고, 모델 적합도를 위해 27년간의 일일 BDI 데이터를 수집하였다. 연구 결과, CNN을 통해 추출된 BDI 특징을 기반으로 LSTM이 BDI를 R2 값 94.7%로 정확하게 예측할 수 있었다. 본 연구는 해운 경제지표 연구 분야에서 새로운 머신 러닝 통합 접근법을 적용했을 뿐만 아니라 해운 관련기관과 금융 투자 분야의 위험 관리 의사결정에 대한 시사점을 제공한다는 점에서 그 의의가 있다.

An AutoML-driven Antenna Performance Prediction Model in the Autonomous Driving Radar Manufacturing Process

  • So-Hyang Bak;Kwanghoon Pio Kim
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제17권12호
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    • pp.3330-3344
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    • 2023
  • This paper proposes an antenna performance prediction model in the autonomous driving radar manufacturing process. Our research work is based upon a challenge dataset, Driving Radar Manufacturing Process Dataset, and a typical AutoML machine learning workflow engine, Pycaret open-source Python library. Note that the dataset contains the total 70 data-items, out of which 54 used as input features and 16 used as output features, and the dataset is properly built into resolving the multi-output regression problem. During the data regression analysis and preprocessing phase, we identified several input features having similar correlations and so detached some of those input features, which may become a serious cause of the multicollinearity problem that affect the overall model performance. In the training phase, we train each of output-feature regression models by using the AutoML approach. Next, we selected the top 5 models showing the higher performances in the AutoML result reports and applied the ensemble method so as for the selected models' performances to be improved. In performing the experimental performance evaluation of the regression prediction model, we particularly used two metrics, MAE and RMSE, and the results of which were 0.6928 and 1.2065, respectively. Additionally, we carried out a series of experiments to verify the proposed model's performance by comparing with other existing models' performances. In conclusion, we enhance accuracy for safer autonomous vehicles, reduces manufacturing costs through AutoML-Pycaret and machine learning ensembled model, and prevents the production of faulty radar systems, conserving resources. Ultimately, the proposed model holds significant promise not only for antenna performance but also for improving manufacturing quality and advancing radar systems in autonomous vehicles.