• 전기학회논문지
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• 제58권3호
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• pp.467-477
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• 2009

Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) is a regulatory policy that requires the generation companies to increase the proportion of renewable energy sources such as wind, solar, LFG, fuel cell, and small hydro. Recently, Korean government decided to increase the portion of renewable energy to 3% to total electricity generation by 2012 from the current level of 0.13%. To achieve this goal, an innovative plan for market competitiveness would be required in addition to the present Feed-In-Tariff (FIT). That is Korean government has taken it into consideration to introduce a Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) as an alternative to FIT. This paper reviews the impact of RPS on the long-term fuel mix in 2020. The studies have been carried out with the GATE-PRO (Generation And Transmission Expansion PROgram) program, a mixed-integer non-linear program developed by Hongik university and Korea Energy Economics Institute. Detailed studies on long-term fuel mix in Korea have been carried out with four RPS scenarios of 3%, 5%, 10% and 20%. The important findings and comments on the results are given to provide an insight on future regulatory policies.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제58권4호
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• pp.708-717
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• 2009

Recently, Korea government decided to introduce RPS (Renewable Portfolio Standard) mechanism which requires electricity providers to gradually increase the amount of renewable energy sources such as wind, solar, bioenergy, and geothermal. As a consequence, it is expected that the long-term fuel mix would be changed to result in more expensive production and the increased production costs would be distributed to the rate payers via electricity tariffs. This paper presents the change in long-term fuel mix in year 2020 with the four RPS scenarios of 3%, 5%, 10% and 20%, and the methodologies for collecting the increased production costs through new tariff schedule. The studies on long-term fuel mix have been carried out with the GATE-PRO (Generation And Transmission Expansion Program) optimization package, a mixed-integer program developed by the Korea Energy Economics Institute and Hongik university. Three methodologies for distributing the production costs to the rate payers have also been demonstrated.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.149-151
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• 2005

A new approach considering CO2 air pollution constraints in the long-term generation mix is proposed under uncertain circumstances. A characteristic feature of the presented approach in this paper is what effects give the air pollution constraints in long term best generation mix. Best generation mix problem is formulated by linear programming with fuel and construction cost minimization with load growth, reliability (reserve margin rate) and air pollutionconstraints. The proposed method accommodates the operation of pumped-storage generator. It was assumed in this study that the construction planning of the hydro power plants is given separately from the other generation plans. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated by applying to the best generation mix problem of KEPCO-system, which contains nuclear, coal, LNG, oil and pumped-storage hydro plant multi-years.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1993년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.159-162
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• 1993

A new approach using fuzzy dynamic programming is proposed for the flexible long-term generation mix under uncertain circumstances. A characteristic feature of the presented approach is that not only fuzziness in fuel and construction cost. load growth and reliability but also many constraints of generation mix can easily be taken into account by using fuzzy dynamic programming. The method can accommodate arbitrary shape of membership function as well as the operation of pump-generator. And so more realistic solution can be obtained. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated by the best generation mix problem of KEPCO-system which contains nuclear, coal, LNG, oil and pump-generator hydro plant in multi-years.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제61권6호
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• pp.804-809
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• 2012

This paper presents the economic impact of consumer participation in Real-Time Pricing (RTP). A computer model was developed to analyze the impact of real-time pricing on the average price, electricity sales, and the social welfare. Four revenue reconciliation alternative were introduced to illustrate the effect of RTP. Finally a case study was done to analyze the consequent impact of the dynamic load profile on the long-term fuel mix, and the results were compared with those of $5^{th}$ national power development plan.

• 조명전기설비학회논문지
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• 제25권10호
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• pp.28-37
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• 2011

Though Korea has introduced CBP(Cost Based pool) power trading system since 2001, long-term Generation system planning has been executed by government for Cost minimization every 2 years. Until currently the model which is used for Generation system planning and best-mix only considers cost minimization and total yearly or quarterly electricity demand every year. In a view point of one day power supply operation, technical characteristics, like the ramp up/down rate of total generation system, minimum up/down time and GFRQ(Governor Free Response Quantity), are very important. this paper analyzes Optimal Fuel-Mix for 2022 Korea generation system satisfying these constraints of each fuel type and considering pump storage plants, construction cost and $CO_2$ emission charge Using MILP(Mixed Integer Linear Programming) method. Also the sensitivity analysis which follows in future power industry environmental change accomplished.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제37권3호
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• pp.135-150
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• 2012

This paper presents a portfolio model for a long-term power generation mix problem. The proposed portfolio model evaluates generation mix by considering the tradeoffs between the expected cost for power generation and its variability. Unlike conventional portfolio models measuring variance, we introduce Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) in designing the variability with aims to considering events that are enormously expensive but are rare such as nuclear power plant accidents. Further, we consider uncertainties associated with future electricity demand, fuel prices and their correlations, and capital costs for power plant investments. To obtain an objective generation by each energy source, we employ the sample average approximation method that approximates the stochastic objective function by taking the average of large sample values so that provides asymptotic convergence of optimal solutions. In addition, the method includes Monte Carlo simulation techniques in generating random samples from multivariate distributions. Applications of the proposed model and method are demonstrated through a case study of an electricity industry with nuclear, coal, oil (OCGT), and LNG (CCGT) in South Korea.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.147-176
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• 2019

본 연구에서는 국내의 균등화 발전비용에 대한 연구결과를 기초로 하여 전원 구성에 있어서 원자력의 비중이나 이용률이 발전의 사회적 비용에 어느 정도 영향을 주는지를 시뮬레이션을 통해 도출한다. 원전이 상대적으로 증가되도록 설계되었던 제7차 전력수급기본계획과 원전의 비중을 축소하고 신재생에너지 발전의 비중을 증가시킨 제8차 전력수급기본계획을 비교하여 전원 믹스에 따른 발전의 사회적 비용, 발전단가, 전기요금의 변화 정도를 추정한다. 8차 수급계획의 환경급전 관련 변수를 고려하고, 국내 두 기관의 균등화 발전비용 연구결과를 이용한 시뮬레이션 결과, 사회적 비용은 향후 10년 내에 22%까지 증가할 수 있고, 직접적인 전력생산비용에 기초하고 있는 발전단가 역시 22% 증가하고, 전기요금은 최대 18%까지 증가할 수 있음을 도출하였다. 따라서 제8차 전력수급기본계획에 따른 전원믹스는 발전에 따른 외부 비용까지 고려한 사회적 비용차원에서 검토할 경우 7차 수급계획의 전원믹스와 비교할 때 사회적 비용을 증가시킨다.

• 경영과학
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.139-148
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• 2013

A nuclear energy has been one of the most important sources to securely supply electricity in South Korea. Its weight in the national electricity supply has kept increasing since the first nuclear reactor was built in 1978. The country relies on the nuclear approximately 31.4% in 2012 and it is expected to increase to 48.5% in 2024 based on the long-term electricity supply plan announced by the Korean government. However, Fukushima disaster due to 9.0 magnitude earthquake followed by the tsunami has raised deep concerns on the security of the nuclear power plants. The policy makers of the country are much interested in analyzing the cost structure of the power supply in the case that the nuclear is diminished from the current supply portion. This research uses a stochastic model that aims to evaluate the long-term power supply plan and provides an extensive cost analysis on the changes of the nuclear power supply. To evaluate a power supply plan, the research develops a few plausible energy mix scenarios by changing the installed capacities of energy sources from the long-term electricity supply plan. The analyses show that the nuclear is still the most attractive energy source since its fuel cost is very much stable compared to the other sources. Also the results demonstrate that a large amount of financial expenditure is additionally required every year if Koreans agree on the reduction of nuclear to increase national security against a nuclear disaster.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.22-29
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• 2013

중온 아스팔트 포장공법은 밀입도 아스팔트 포장공법 대비 생산 및 포설온도를 낮추어 생산 및 시공이 가능한 포장공법으로 연료 소모량과 온실가스 배출량 면에서 효과가 우수하다. 본 연구에서는 중온 개질 아스팔트 포장의 장기 현장 공용성을 평가하기 위하여 시험포장이 실시 된 구간에 대해 미끄럼 저항성, 소성변형, 평탄성과 같은 현장실험을 수행하였다. 현장실험 결과 미끄럼 저항성은 공용 20개월 후에도 공용초기와 같이 S1 위험도 1기준을 만족시켰으나 소성변형, 평탄성에서는 공용기간에 따라 다소 감소추세를 보였다. 그러나 현장실험이 수행된 구간은 버스정류장으로 중차량 통행량이 많고 중차량인 버스의 출발과 정지가 반복되는 가혹한 환경조건에 노출되어 있음을 고려하였을 때 소성변형, 평탄성의 감소추세는 수용할 수 있는 정도이다. 균열의 경우 공용 11개월 후에는 관찰되지 않았으나 공용 20개월 후 에는 미세한 균열이 발생한 것을 관찰 할 수 있었는데 이는 첨가된 섬유로 인해 혼합물의 균열 저항성이 향상된 것으로 판단된다.