• Title/Summary/Keyword: long term variation

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Long-term Environmental Changes: Interpretations from a Marine Benthic Ecologist's Perspective (II) -Eutrophication and Substratum Properties

  • Yoo Jae-Won;Hong Jae-Sang;Lee Jae June
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.210-217
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    • 1999
  • Chemical oxygen demand (COD), phytoplankton cell number and chlorophyll-a concentration (Chl-a), sediment mean grain size and ignition loss were studied to determine their temporal trends in the study area. Historical data of COD, cell number and Chl-a were gathered from the late 1960s or early 1980s to 1997, and trends in temporal domain were obtained from a simple regression. Sediments for grain size and ignition loss (as organic contents in sediments) were sampled from the Chokchon macrotidal flat bimonthly from September 1990 to November 1996, and were analyzed using the decomposition method of time series analysis. In general, the first three data showed increasing trends based on regression analysis. The trends of sediment grain size fluctuated in a neutral pathway while those of ignition loss yielded no increasing pattern. In contrast with the suggestions from Ahn and Choi (1998) who reported a coarsening variation in sediment grain size to be a cause of the directional and remarkable changes of macrofaunal communities in this area, we could not find such a corresponding variation pattern from our samples. In diagnosing eutrophication, a paradoxical phenomenon was encountered between the trends in water column (COD, cell number and Chl-a) and sediment (ignition loss) data. In this paper, we inferred the possible processes that produce the discrepancy. Some explanations and biological responses to eutrophication were predicted and discussed.

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Damage detection of a cable-stayed bridge based on the variation of stay cable forces eliminating environmental temperature effects

  • Chen, Chien-Chou;Wu, Wen-Hwa;Liu, Chun-Yan;Lai, Gwolong
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.859-880
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to establish an effective methodology for the detection of instant damages occurred in cable-stayed bridges with the measurements of cable vibration and structural temperatures. A transfer coefficient for the daily temperature variation and another for the long-term temperature variation are firstly determined to eliminate the environmental temperature effects from the cable force variation. Several thresholds corresponding to different levels of exceedance probability are then obtained to decide four upper criteria and four lower criteria for damage detection. With these criteria, the monitoring data for three stay cables of Ai-Lan Bridge are analyzed and compared to verify the proposed damage detection methodology. The simulated results to consider various damage scenarios unambiguously indicate that the damages with cable force changes larger than ${\pm}1%$ can be confidently detected. As for the required time to detect damage, it is found that the cases with ${\pm}2%$ of cable force change can be discovered in no more than 6 hours and those with ${\pm}1.5%$ of cable force change can be identified in at most 9 hours. This methodology is also investigated for more lightly monitored cases where only the air temperature measurement is available. Under such circumstances, the damages with cable force changes larger than ${\pm}1.5%$ can be detected within 12 hours. Even though not exhaustively reflecting the environmental temperature effects on the cable force variation, both the effective temperature and the air temperature can be considered as valid indices to eliminate these effects at high and low monitoring costs.

Data Archive Project of 44-year Full Disk CaII K Images at Kyoto University

  • Kitai, Reizaburo;Uenoi, Satoru;Asai, Ayumi;Isobe, Hiroaki;Hayashi, Hiroo
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.90.2-90.2
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    • 2011
  • At Kyoto University, a continuous solar full-disk observation in CaII K line had been done during 44 years of 1926 - 1969. The observation was done with a Askania spectroheliograph on daily base. The images were taken on photographic plates. We started a project to archive these image data into a digital database which will be open to the public for scientific researches. One of the scientific usage of the database is to study the long term variation of the solar chromospheres. Since the area of CaII K plage area is a measure of solar chromospheric heating, we can do comparative study of the sunspot cycle and the chromospheric heating cycle of the sun. Another interesting field of scientific utilization of the database is the long term variation of the heating of terrestrial upper atmosphere. As was shown by Yokoyama, Masuda and Sato (2005), the area of the CaII K plage is a good proxy measure of solar EUV irradiation onto the upper atmosphere of the earth. Thus the completion of our database will serve to supply a basic and long-span data for upper atmospheric heating issues by the cooperative study with the Inter-university Upper atmosphere Global Observation NETwork (IUGONET) developed in Japan.

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Drastic Change of Phytoplankton Community at the Station 'Mankyeong Bridge' of the New Saemankeum Lake during 2006-2007 (2006-2007 기간 중 신생 새만금호 '만경대교' 정점에서 식물플랑크톤 군집 급변에 대한 연구)

  • Jang, Keon-Gang;Park, Jong-Woo;Park, Jang-Ho;Ha, Na;Yih, Won-Ho
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2009
  • Drastic changes in the water quality and phytoplankton community of the new Saemankeum Lakeduring the first decade following the construction of the Saemankeum Sea Wall has been considered to be unavoidable. Input of eutrophicated water through the Mankyeong River and Dongjin River might produce more direct effects on the water quality and phytoplankton community, which lead us to launch a long-term semi-weekly investigation at the "Mankyeong Bridge" monitoring point to resolve its short-term effect as well as long-term stabilization of the ecosystem in the new Saemankeum Lake. During 15 months starting from June 2006, the water temperature varied in accordance with the typical seasonal variations in temperate on the coasts, and no significant daily variations evoked by tidal cycle could be detected. However, there was an inverse relationship between seasonal precipitation and salinity even though the range in annual variation was drastically reduced right after the construction of the Saemankeum Sea Wall. Species richness in the phytoplankton community was also reduced due to the narrowed annual range of salinity, which would eliminate the mid-high salinity species from the Mankyeong Bridge monitoring point. Similarly, species diversity was decreased with increased dominance of the phytoplankton community after the construction. Between the two summer seasons during the present study, species diversity was higher in 2007 than in 2006, which might indicate the early stage of a gradual stabilization in the ecosystem including the phytoplankton community at the monitoring station. The phytoplankton community thus needs to be monitored on a long-term basis to identify indirect signals that can be used to assess the stability of the ecosystem in the young Saemankeum Lake.

Cepstrum Analysis of Terrestrial Impact Crater Records

  • Chang, Heon-Young;Han, Cheong-Ho
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2008
  • Study of terrestrial impact craters is important not only in the field of the solar system formation and evolution but also of the Galactic astronomy. The terrestrial impact cratering record recently has been examined, providing short- and intermediate-term periodicities, such as, ${\sim}26$ Myrs, ${\sim}37$ Myrs. The existence of such a periodicity has an implication in the Galactic dynamics, since the terrestrial impact cratering is usually interpreted as a result of the environmental variation during solar orbiting in the Galactic plane. The aim of this paper is to search for a long-term periodicity with a novel method since no attempt has been made so far in searching a long-term periodicity in this research field in spite of its great importance. We apply the cepstrum analysis method to the terrestrial impact cratering record for the first time. As a result of the analysis we have found noticeable peaks in the Fourier power spectrum appear ing at periods of ${\sim}300$ Myrs and ${\sim}100$ Myrs, which seem in a simple resonance with the revolution period of the Sun around the Galactic center. Finally we briefly discuss its implications and suggest theoretical study be pursued to explain such a long-term periodicity.

Prediction of long-term wind speed and capacity factor using Measure-Correlate-Predict method (측정-상관-예측법을 이용한 장기간 풍속 및 설비이용률의 예측)

  • Ko, Kyung-Nam;Huh, Jong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2012
  • Long-term variations in wind speed and capacity factor(CF) on Seongsan wind farm of Jeju Island, South Korea were derived statistically. The selected areas for this study were Subji, having a year wind data at 30m above ground level, Sinsan, having 30-year wind data at 10m above ground level and Seongsan wind farm, where long-term CF was predicted. The Measure-Correlate-Predict module of WindPRO was used to predict long-tem wind characteristics at Seongsan wind farm. Eachyear's CF was derived from the estimated 30-year time series wind data by running WAsP module. As a result, for the 30-year CFs, Seongsan wind farm was estimated to have 8.3% for the coefficien to fvariation, CV, and-16.5% ~ 13.2% for the range of variation, RV. It was predicted that the annual CF at Seongsan wind farm varied within about ${\pm}4%$.

Development of Patient Classification System in Long-term Care Hospitals (요양병원 환자분류체계 개발)

  • Lee, Ji-Yun;Yoon, Ju-Young;Kim, Jung-Hoe;Song, Seong-Hee;Joo, Ji-Soo;Kim, Eun-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing Administration
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.229-240
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: To develop the patient classification system based on the resource utilization for reimbursement of long-term care hospitals in Korea. Method: Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service (HIRA) conducted a survey in July 2006 that included 2,899 patients from 35 long-term care hospitals. To calculate resource utilization, we measured care time of direct care staff (physicians, nursing personnel, physical and occupational therapists, social workers). The survey of patient characteristics included ADL, cognitive and behavioral status, diseases and treatments. Major category criteria was developed by modified delphi method from 9 experts. Each category was divided into 2-3 groups by ADL using tree regression. Relative resource use was expressed as a case mix index (CMI) calculated as a proportion of mean resource use. Result: This patient classification system composed of 6 major categories (ultra high medical care, high medical care, medium medical care, behavioral problem, impaired cognition and reduced physical function) and 11 subgroups by ADL score. The differences of CMI between groups were statistically significant (p<.0001). Homogeneity of groups was examined by total coefficient of variation (CV) of CMI. The range of CV was 29.68-40.77%. Conclusions: This patient classification system is feasible for reimbursement of long-term care hospitals.

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A Study on the Long-Term Behavior Characteristics of Buoyancy-Resistant Permanent Anchor (부력저항 영구앵커의 장기거동 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Huh, Byungjoo;Kim, Chanki;Jung, Yonggun;Chun, Byungsik
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2010
  • The structures built under the groundwater level are affected by the buoyancy force, which is hydrostatic pressure in the up direction. Recently, buoyancy-resistant anchor method has been applied in many cases of the construction of the important structure of large size, which is built under the groundwater level so that it takes high uplift pressure. Even if the construction cost of the method is very high, it surely increases the safety rate. However, the diagnosis of the performance of the buoyancy-resistant permanent anchor and the investigation of resistance mechanism are still insufficient. Especially, the long-term behavior of the anchor has not been studied well due to the difficulty in observation procedure. The contribution of this paper is the establishment of reasonable design methodology. We have measured anchor axial forces for 10 years after the construction, by using an automated measurement and a manual measurement by establishing a load cell in anchor head. Through the data collected from the measurements, we analyze the construction-step behavior of the anchor according to the self-weight variation of the building and the long-term behavior (i.e. movement within 10 years after the construction) of the anchor according to the passage of time.

Prediction of Long-Term River Bed Changes in Saemangeum Area (새만금지구 장기 하상변동 예측)

  • Jung, Jae-Sang;Song, Hyun Ku;Lee, Jong Sup;Kim, Gweon Su
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.394-398
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    • 2016
  • Numerical analysis was conducted using Delft3D developed by Deltares in Netherlands to predict long-term river bed changes in Saemangeum Area. Tidal flow, discharge through the drainage gates and river bed changes in numerical model was verified by comparing to the results of field observation and hydraulic experiments. We calculated long-term river bed changes in Saemangeum area for 10 years from 2031 to 2040 after completion of development in Saemangeum. It is shown that 70 cm and 139 cm of accumulation occur in estuaries of Dongjin River and Mankyong River, respectively. Variation of flood level was also investigated considering long-term river bed changes. There was no change in estuary of Dongjin River but maximum flood level in estuary of Mankyong River increased 81 cm.

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PERIOD CHANGE OF W UMa TYPE CONTACT BINARY AB And (W UMa형 접촉쌍성 AB And의 주기변화)

  • Jin, Ho;Han, Won-Yong;Kim, Chun-Hwey;Lee, Jae-Woo;Lee, Woo-Baik
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.242-250
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    • 1997
  • The CCD photometric observations of W UMa-type eclipsing binary AB And were made from September 1994 to October 1996. New four primary minimum times were obtained from these observations. The analysis of times of minimum light for AB And confirms other previous studies that the orbital period of AB And have been changing as a form of sinusoidal variation. In this paper, we calculated the new orbital elements with linear and nonlinear quadratic term, and the best fit equation is derived with the assumption that the period variation of AB And changes sinusoidal pattern. From the sinusoidal term of this orbital element, we calculate period variation as 92 years with amplitude of $0.^{d}059$. However this result considering only sinusoidal term, was not satisfied with our recent observations. Thus, by assuming another parabolic period variation with the sinusoidal pattern, we derived the best fit orbital elements. From the quadratic coefficient of this orbital elements, we calculated the secular variation of 0.73 seconds, and from the sinusoidal term, the period variation turned out to be 62.9 years with amplitude of $0.^{d}024$. If we assume only the sinusoidal period variation of AB And, the period has to be decreased within 10 years. However if we consider quadratic term with the sinusoidal period variation of the light elements, the period is expected to be increased. Therefore long-term observations of this binary system are required to confirm this issue.

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