• Title/Summary/Keyword: long short-time memory neural network

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A Robust Energy Consumption Forecasting Model using ResNet-LSTM with Huber Loss

  • Albelwi, Saleh
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.301-307
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    • 2022
  • Energy consumption has grown alongside dramatic population increases. Statistics show that buildings in particular utilize a significant amount of energy, worldwide. Because of this, building energy prediction is crucial to best optimize utilities' energy plans and also create a predictive model for consumers. To improve energy prediction performance, this paper proposes a ResNet-LSTM model that combines residual networks (ResNets) and long short-term memory (LSTM) for energy consumption prediction. ResNets are utilized to extract complex and rich features, while LSTM has the ability to learn temporal correlation; the dense layer is used as a regression to forecast energy consumption. To make our model more robust, we employed Huber loss during the optimization process. Huber loss obtains high efficiency by handling minor errors quadratically. It also takes the absolute error for large errors to increase robustness. This makes our model less sensitive to outlier data. Our proposed system was trained on historical data to forecast energy consumption for different time series. To evaluate our proposed model, we compared our model's performance with several popular machine learning and deep learning methods such as linear regression, neural networks, decision tree, and convolutional neural networks, etc. The results show that our proposed model predicted energy consumption most accurately.

Prediction of Dormant Customer in the Card Industry (카드산업에서 휴면 고객 예측)

  • DongKyu Lee;Minsoo Shin
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.99-113
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    • 2023
  • In a customer-based industry, customer retention is the competitiveness of a company, and improving customer retention improves the competitiveness of the company. Therefore, accurate prediction and management of potential dormant customers is paramount to increasing the competitiveness of the enterprise. In particular, there are numerous competitors in the domestic card industry, and the government is introducing an automatic closing system for dormant card management. As a result of these social changes, the card industry must focus on better predicting and managing potential dormant cards, and better predicting dormant customers is emerging as an important challenge. In this study, the Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) methodology was used to predict potential dormant customers in the card industry, and in particular, Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) was used to efficiently learn data for a long time. In addition, to redefine the variables needed to predict dormant customers in the card industry, Unified Theory of Technology (UTAUT), an integrated technology acceptance theory, was applied to redefine and group the variables used in the model. As a result, stable model accuracy and F-1 score were obtained, and Hit-Ratio proved that models using LSTM can produce stable results compared to other algorithms. It was also found that there was no moderating effect of demographic information that could occur in UTAUT, which was pointed out in previous studies. Therefore, among variable selection models using UTAUT, dormant customer prediction models using LSTM are proven to have non-biased stable results. This study revealed that there may be academic contributions to the prediction of dormant customers using LSTM algorithms that can learn well from previously untried time series data. In addition, it is a good example to show that it is possible to respond to customers who are preemptively dormant in terms of customer management because it is predicted at a time difference with the actual dormant capture, and it is expected to contribute greatly to the industry.

Enhancing Wind Speed and Wind Power Forecasting Using Shape-Wise Feature Engineering: A Novel Approach for Improved Accuracy and Robustness

  • Mulomba Mukendi Christian;Yun Seon Kim;Hyebong Choi;Jaeyoung Lee;SongHee You
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.393-405
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    • 2023
  • Accurate prediction of wind speed and power is vital for enhancing the efficiency of wind energy systems. Numerous solutions have been implemented to date, demonstrating their potential to improve forecasting. Among these, deep learning is perceived as a revolutionary approach in the field. However, despite their effectiveness, the noise present in the collected data remains a significant challenge. This noise has the potential to diminish the performance of these algorithms, leading to inaccurate predictions. In response to this, this study explores a novel feature engineering approach. This approach involves altering the data input shape in both Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) and Autoregressive models for various forecasting horizons. The results reveal substantial enhancements in model resilience against noise resulting from step increases in data. The approach could achieve an impressive 83% accuracy in predicting unseen data up to the 24th steps. Furthermore, this method consistently provides high accuracy for short, mid, and long-term forecasts, outperforming the performance of individual models. These findings pave the way for further research on noise reduction strategies at different forecasting horizons through shape-wise feature engineering.

Machine learning model for residual chlorine prediction in sediment basin to control pre-chlorination in water treatment plant (정수장 전염소 공정제어를 위한 침전지 잔류염소농도 예측 머신러닝 모형)

  • Kim, Juhwan;Lee, Kyunghyuk;Kim, Soojun;Kim, Kyunghun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.spc1
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    • pp.1283-1293
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to predict residual chlorine in order to maintain stable residual chlorine concentration in sedimentation basin by using artificial intelligence algorithms in water treatment process employing pre-chlorination. Available water quantity and quality data are collected and analyzed statistically to apply into mathematical multiple regression and artificial intelligence models including multi-layer perceptron neural network, random forest, long short term memory (LSTM) algorithms. Water temperature, turbidity, pH, conductivity, flow rate, alkalinity and pre-chlorination dosage data are used as the input parameters to develop prediction models. As results, it is presented that the random forest algorithm shows the most moderate prediction result among four cases, which are long short term memory, multi-layer perceptron, multiple regression including random forest. Especially, it is result that the multiple regression model can not represent the residual chlorine with the input parameters which varies independently with seasonal change, numerical scale and dimension difference between quantity and quality. For this reason, random forest model is more appropriate for predict water qualities than other algorithms, which is classified into decision tree type algorithm. Also, it is expected that real time prediction by artificial intelligence models can play role of the stable operation of residual chlorine in water treatment plant including pre-chlorination process.

CNN-LSTM based Wind Power Prediction System to Improve Accuracy (정확도 향상을 위한 CNN-LSTM 기반 풍력발전 예측 시스템)

  • Park, Rae-Jin;Kang, Sungwoo;Lee, Jaehyeong;Jung, Seungmin
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.18-25
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we propose a wind power generation prediction system that applies machine learning and data mining to predict wind power generation. This system increases the utilization rate of new and renewable energy sources. For time-series data, the data set was established by measuring wind speed, wind generation, and environmental factors influencing the wind speed. The data set was pre-processed so that it could be applied appropriately to the model. The prediction system applied the CNN (Convolutional Neural Network) to the data mining process and then used the LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) to learn and make predictions. The preciseness of the proposed system is verified by comparing the prediction data with the actual data, according to the presence or absence of data mining in the model of the prediction system.

Real-Time Lip Reading System Implementation Based on Deep Learning (딥러닝 기반의 실시간 입모양 인식 시스템 구현)

  • Cho, Dong-Hun;Kim, Won-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.267-269
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    • 2020
  • 입모양 인식(Lip Reading) 기술은 입술 움직임을 통해 발화를 분석하는 기술이다. 본 논문에서는 일상적으로 사용하는 10개의 상용구에 대해서 발화자의 안면 움직임 분석을 통해 실시간으로 분류하는 연구를 진행하였다. 시간상의 연속된 순서를 가진 영상 데이터의 특징을 고려하여 3차원 합성곱 신경망 (Convolutional Neural Network)을 사용하여 진행하였지만, 실시간 시스템 구현을 위해 연산량 감소가 필요했다. 이를 해결하기 위해 차 영상을 이용한 2차원 합성곱 신경망과 LSTM 순환 신경망 (Long Short-Term Memory) 결합 모델을 설계하였고, 해당 모델을 이용하여 실시간 시스템 구현에 성공하였다.

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1D-CNN-LSTM Hybrid-Model-Based Pet Behavior Recognition through Wearable Sensor Data Augmentation

  • Hyungju Kim;Nammee Moon
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.159-172
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    • 2024
  • The number of healthcare products available for pets has increased in recent times, which has prompted active research into wearable devices for pets. However, the data collected through such devices are limited by outliers and missing values owing to the anomalous and irregular characteristics of pets. Hence, we propose pet behavior recognition based on a hybrid one-dimensional convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short- term memory (LSTM) model using pet wearable devices. An Arduino-based pet wearable device was first fabricated to collect data for behavior recognition, where gyroscope and accelerometer values were collected using the device. Then, data augmentation was performed after replacing any missing values and outliers via preprocessing. At this time, the behaviors were classified into five types. To prevent bias from specific actions in the data augmentation, the number of datasets was compared and balanced, and CNN-LSTM-based deep learning was performed. The five subdivided behaviors and overall performance were then evaluated, and the overall accuracy of behavior recognition was found to be about 88.76%.

Chart-based Stock Price Prediction by Combing Variation Autoencoder and Attention Mechanisms (변이형 오토인코더와 어텐션 메커니즘을 결합한 차트기반 주가 예측)

  • Sanghyun Bae;Byounggu Choi
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.23-43
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    • 2021
  • Recently, many studies have been conducted to increase the accuracy of stock price prediction by analyzing candlestick charts using artificial intelligence techniques. However, these studies failed to consider the time-series characteristics of candlestick charts and to take into account the emotional state of market participants in data learning for stock price prediction. In order to overcome these limitations, this study produced input data by combining volatility index and candlestick charts to consider the emotional state of market participants, and used the data as input for a new method proposed on the basis of combining variantion autoencoder (VAE) and attention mechanisms for considering the time-series characteristics of candlestick chart. Fifty firms were randomly selected from the S&P 500 index and their stock prices were predicted to evaluate the performance of the method compared with existing ones such as convolutional neural network (CNN) or long-short term memory (LSTM). The results indicated the method proposed in this study showed superior performance compared to the existing ones. This study implied that the accuracy of stock price prediction could be improved by considering the emotional state of market participants and the time-series characteristics of the candlestick chart.

A Comparative Study of Machine Learning Algorithms Using LID-DS DataSet (LID-DS 데이터 세트를 사용한 기계학습 알고리즘 비교 연구)

  • Park, DaeKyeong;Ryu, KyungJoon;Shin, DongIl;Shin, DongKyoo;Park, JeongChan;Kim, JinGoog
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2021
  • Today's information and communication technology is rapidly developing, the security of IT infrastructure is becoming more important, and at the same time, cyber attacks of various forms are becoming more advanced and sophisticated like intelligent persistent attacks (Advanced Persistent Threat). Early defense or prediction of increasingly sophisticated cyber attacks is extremely important, and in many cases, the analysis of network-based intrusion detection systems (NIDS) related data alone cannot prevent rapidly changing cyber attacks. Therefore, we are currently using data generated by intrusion detection systems to protect against cyber attacks described above through Host-based Intrusion Detection System (HIDS) data analysis. In this paper, we conducted a comparative study on machine learning algorithms using LID-DS (Leipzig Intrusion Detection-Data Set) host-based intrusion detection data including thread information, metadata, and buffer data missing from previously used data sets. The algorithms used were Decision Tree, Naive Bayes, MLP (Multi-Layer Perceptron), Logistic Regression, LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory model), and RNN (Recurrent Neural Network). Accuracy, accuracy, recall, F1-Score indicators and error rates were measured for evaluation. As a result, the LSTM algorithm had the highest accuracy.

Prediction System of Running Heart Rate based on FitRec (FitRec 기반 달리기 심박수 예측 시스템)

  • Kim, Jinwook;Kim, Kwanghyun;Seon, Joonho;Lee, Seongwoo;Kim, Soo-Hyun;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.165-171
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    • 2022
  • Human heart rate can be used to measure exercise intensity as an important indicator. If heart rate can be predicted, exercise can be performed more efficiently by regulating the intensity of exercise in advance. In this paper, a FitRec-based prediction model is proposed for estimating running heart rate for users. Endomondo data is utilized for training the proposed prediction model. The processing algorithms for time-series data, such as LSTM(long short term memory) and GRU(gated recurrent unit), are employed to compare their performance. On the basis of simulation results, it was demonstrated that the proposed model trained with running exercise performed better than the model trained with several cardiac exercises.