• Title/Summary/Keyword: long short-time memory neural network

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Power Quality Disturbances Detection and Classification using Fast Fourier Transform and Deep Neural Network (고속 푸리에 변환 및 심층 신경망을 사용한 전력 품질 외란 감지 및 분류)

  • Senfeng Cen;Chang-Gyoon Lim
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2023
  • Due to the fluctuating random and periodical nature of renewable energy generation power quality disturbances occurred more frequently in power generation transformation transmission and distribution. Various power quality disturbances may lead to equipment damage or even power outages. Therefore it is essential to detect and classify different power quality disturbances in real time automatically. The traditional PQD identification method consists of three steps: feature extraction feature selection and classification. However, the handcrafted features are imprecise in the feature selection stage, resulting in low classification accuracy. This paper proposes a deep neural architecture based on Convolution Neural Network and Long Short Term Memory combining the time and frequency domain features to recognize 16 types of Power Quality signals. The frequency-domain data were obtained from the Fast Fourier Transform which could efficiently extract the frequency-domain features. The performance in synthetic data and real 6kV power system data indicate that our proposed method generalizes well compared with other deep learning methods.

Non-Intrusive Speech Intelligibility Estimation Using Autoencoder Features with Background Noise Information

  • Jeong, Yue Ri;Choi, Seung Ho
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.220-225
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigates the non-intrusive speech intelligibility estimation method in noise environments when the bottleneck feature of autoencoder is used as an input to a neural network. The bottleneck feature-based method has the problem of severe performance degradation when the noise environment is changed. In order to overcome this problem, we propose a novel non-intrusive speech intelligibility estimation method that adds the noise environment information along with bottleneck feature to the input of long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network whose output is a short-time objective intelligence (STOI) score that is a standard tool for measuring intrusive speech intelligibility with reference speech signals. From the experiments in various noise environments, the proposed method showed improved performance when the noise environment is same. In particular, the performance was significant improved compared to that of the conventional methods in different environments. Therefore, we can conclude that the method proposed in this paper can be successfully used for estimating non-intrusive speech intelligibility in various noise environments.

A Study on Trend Using Time Series Data (시계열 데이터 활용에 관한 동향 연구)

  • Shin-Hyeong Choi
    • Advanced Industrial SCIence
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2024
  • History, which began with the emergence of mankind, has a means of recording. Today, we can check the past through data. Generated data may only be generated and stored at a certain moment, but it is not only continuously generated over a certain time interval from the past to the present, but also occurs in the future, so making predictions using it is an important task. In order to find out trends in the use of time series data among numerous data, this paper analyzes the concept of time series data, analyzes Recurrent Neural Network and Long-Short Term Memory, which are mainly used for time series data analysis in the machine learning field, and analyzes the use of these models. Through case studies, it was confirmed that it is being used in various fields such as medical diagnosis, stock price analysis, and climate prediction, and is showing high predictive results. Based on this, we will explore ways to utilize it in the future.

A SE Approach for Real-Time NPP Response Prediction under CEA Withdrawal Accident Conditions

  • Felix Isuwa, Wapachi;Aya, Diab
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.75-93
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    • 2022
  • Machine learning (ML) data-driven meta-model is proposed as a surrogate model to reduce the excessive computational cost of the physics-based model and facilitate the real-time prediction of a nuclear power plant's transient response. To forecast the transient response three machine learning (ML) meta-models based on recurrent neural networks (RNNs); specifically, Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and a sequence combination of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and LSTM are developed. The chosen accident scenario is a control element assembly withdrawal at power concurrent with the Loss Of Offsite Power (LOOP). The transient response was obtained using the best estimate thermal hydraulics code, MARS-KS, and cross-validated against the Design and control document (DCD). DAKOTA software is loosely coupled with MARS-KS code via a python interface to perform the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty Quantification (BEPU) analysis and generate a time series database of the system response to train, test and validate the ML meta-models. Key uncertain parameters identified as required by the CASU methodology were propagated using the non-parametric Monte-Carlo (MC) random propagation and Latin Hypercube Sampling technique until a statistically significant database (181 samples) as required by Wilk's fifth order is achieved with 95% probability and 95% confidence level. The three ML RNN models were built and optimized with the help of the Talos tool and demonstrated excellent performance in forecasting the most probable NPP transient response. This research was guided by the Systems Engineering (SE) approach for the systematic and efficient planning and execution of the research.

A Baltic Dry Index Prediction using Deep Learning Models

  • Bae, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Gunwoo;Park, Keun-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.17-36
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This study provides useful information to stakeholders by forecasting the tramp shipping market, which is a completely competitive market and has a huge fluctuation in freight rates due to low barriers to entry. Moreover, this study provides the most effective parameters for Baltic Dry Index (BDI) prediction and an optimal model by analyzing and comparing deep learning models such as the artificial neural network (ANN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM). Design/methodology - This study uses various data models based on big data. The deep learning models considered are specialized for time series models. This study includes three perspectives to verify useful models in time series data by comparing prediction accuracy according to the selection of external variables and comparison between models. Findings - The BDI research reflecting the latest trends since 2015, using weekly data from 1995 to 2019 (25 years), is employed in this study. Additionally, we tried finding the best combination of BDI forecasts through the input of external factors such as supply, demand, raw materials, and economic aspects. Moreover, the combination of various unpredictable external variables and the fundamentals of supply and demand have sought to increase BDI prediction accuracy. Originality/value - Unlike previous studies, BDI forecasts reflect the latest stabilizing trends since 2015. Additionally, we look at the variation of the model's predictive accuracy according to the input of statistically validated variables. Moreover, we want to find the optimal model that minimizes the error value according to the parameter adjustment in the ANN model. Thus, this study helps future shipping stakeholders make decisions through BDI forecasts.

Prediction of the DO concentration using the machine learning algorithm: case study in Oncheoncheon, Republic of Korea

  • Lim, Heesung;An, Hyunuk;Choi, Eunhyuk;Kim, Yeonsu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.1029-1037
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    • 2020
  • The machine learning algorithm has been widely used in water-related fields such as water resources, water management, hydrology, atmospheric science, water quality, water level prediction, weather forecasting, water discharge prediction, water quality forecasting, etc. However, water quality prediction studies based on the machine learning algorithm are limited compared to other water-related applications because of the limited water quality data. Most of the previous water quality prediction studies have predicted monthly water quality, which is useful information but not enough from a practical aspect. In this study, we predicted the dissolved oxygen (DO) using recurrent neural network with long short-term memory model recurrent neural network long-short term memory (RNN-LSTM) algorithms with hourly- and daily-datasets. Bugok Bridge in Oncheoncheon, located in Busan, where the data was collected in real time, was selected as the target for the DO prediction. The 10-month (temperature, wind speed, and relative humidity) data were used as time prediction inputs, and the 5-year (temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, and rainfall) data were used as the daily forecast inputs. Missing data were filled by linear interpolation. The prediction model was coded based on TensorFlow, an open-source library developed by Google. The performance of the RNN-LSTM algorithm for the hourly- or daily-based water quality prediction was tested and analyzed. Research results showed that the hourly data for the water quality is useful for machine learning, and the RNN-LSTM algorithm has potential to be used for hourly- or daily-based water quality forecasting.

A Stock Price Prediction Based on Recurrent Convolution Neural Network with Weighted Loss Function (가중치 손실 함수를 가지는 순환 컨볼루션 신경망 기반 주가 예측)

  • Kim, HyunJin;Jung, Yeon Sung
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes the stock price prediction based on the artificial intelligence, where the model with recurrent convolution neural network (RCNN) layers is adopted. In the motivation of this prediction, long short-term memory model (LSTM)-based neural network can make the output of the time series prediction. On the other hand, the convolution neural network provides the data filtering, averaging, and augmentation. By combining the advantages mentioned above, the proposed technique predicts the estimated stock price of next day. In addition, in order to emphasize the recent time series, a custom weighted loss function is adopted. Moreover, stock data related to the stock price index are adopted to consider the market trends. In the experiments, the proposed stock price prediction reduces the test error by 3.19%, which is over other techniques by about 19%.

Using machine learning to forecast and assess the uncertainty in the response of a typical PWR undergoing a steam generator tube rupture accident

  • Tran Canh Hai Nguyen ;Aya Diab
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.9
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    • pp.3423-3440
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    • 2023
  • In this work, a multivariate time-series machine learning meta-model is developed to predict the transient response of a typical nuclear power plant (NPP) undergoing a steam generator tube rupture (SGTR). The model employs Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), including the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and a hybrid CNN-LSTM model. To address the uncertainty inherent in such predictions, a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) was implemented. The models were trained using a database generated by the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) methodology; coupling the thermal hydraulics code, RELAP5/SCDAP/MOD3.4 to the statistical tool, DAKOTA, to predict the variation in system response under various operational and phenomenological uncertainties. The RNN models successfully captures the underlying characteristics of the data with reasonable accuracy, and the BNN-LSTM approach offers an additional layer of insight into the level of uncertainty associated with the predictions. The results demonstrate that LSTM outperforms GRU, while the hybrid CNN-LSTM model is computationally the most efficient. This study aims to gain a better understanding of the capabilities and limitations of machine learning models in the context of nuclear safety. By expanding the application of ML models to more severe accident scenarios, where operators are under extreme stress and prone to errors, ML models can provide valuable support and act as expert systems to assist in decision-making while minimizing the chances of human error.

Prediction of Short and Long-term PV Power Generation in Specific Regions using Actual Converter Output Data (실제 컨버터 출력 데이터를 이용한 특정 지역 태양광 장단기 발전 예측)

  • Ha, Eun-gyu;Kim, Tae-oh;Kim, Chang-bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.561-569
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    • 2019
  • Solar photovoltaic can provide electrical energy with only radiation, and its use is expanding rapidly as a new energy source. This study predicts the short and long-term PV power generation using actual converter output data of photovoltaic system. The prediction algorithm uses multiple linear regression, support vector machine (SVM), and deep learning such as deep neural network (DNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). In addition, three models are used according to the input and output structure of the weather element. Long-term forecasts are made monthly, seasonally and annually, and short-term forecasts are made for 7 days. As a result, the deep learning network is better in prediction accuracy than multiple linear regression and SVM. In addition, LSTM, which is a better model for time series prediction than DNN, is somewhat superior in terms of prediction accuracy. The experiment results according to the input and output structure appear Model 2 has less error than Model 1, and Model 3 has less error than Model 2.

Malware Classification Possibility based on Sequence Information (순서 정보 기반 악성코드 분류 가능성)

  • Yun, Tae-Uk;Park, Chan-Soo;Hwang, Tae-Gyu;Kim, Sung Kwon
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.44 no.11
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    • pp.1125-1129
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    • 2017
  • LSTM(Long Short-term Memory) is a kind of RNN(Recurrent Neural Network) in which a next-state is updated by remembering the previous states. The information of calling a sequence in a malware can be defined as system call function that is called at each time. In this paper, we use calling sequences of system calls in malware codes as input for malware classification to utilize the feature remembering previous states via LSTM. We run an experiment to show that our method can classify malware and measure accuracy by changing the length of system call sequences.