• Title/Summary/Keyword: logistic regression model

Search Result 1,460, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Prediction of Galloping Accidents in Power Transmission Line Using Logistic Regression Analysis

  • Lee, Junghoon;Jung, Ho-Yeon;Koo, J.R.;Yoon, Yoonjin;Jung, Hyung-Jo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.969-980
    • /
    • 2017
  • Galloping is one of the most serious vibration problems in transmission lines. Power lines can be extensively damaged owing to aerodynamic instabilities caused by ice accretion. In this study, the accident probability induced by galloping phenomenon was analyzed using logistic regression analysis. As former studies have generally concluded, main factors considered were local weather factors and physical factors of power delivery systems. Since the number of transmission towers outnumbers the number of weather observatories, interpolation of weather factors, Kriging to be more specific, has been conducted in prior to forming galloping accident estimation model. Physical factors have been provided by Korea Electric Power Corporation, however because of the large number of explanatory variables, variable selection has been conducted, leaving total 11 variables. Before forming estimation model, with 84 provided galloping cases, 840 non-galloped cases were chosen out of 13 billion cases. Prediction model for accidents by galloping has been formed with logistic regression model and validated with 4-fold validation method, corresponding AUC value of ROC curve has been used to assess the discrimination level of estimation models. As the result, logistic regression analysis effectively discriminated the power lines that experienced galloping accidents from those that did not.

Landslide susceptibility mapping using Logistic Regression and Fuzzy Set model at the Boeun Area, Korea (로지스틱 회귀분석과 퍼지 기법을 이용한 산사태 취약성 지도작성: 보은군을 대상으로)

  • Al-Mamun, Al-Mamun;JANG, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.109-125
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study aims to identify the landslide susceptible zones of Boeun area and provide reliable landslide susceptibility maps by applying different modeling methods. Aerial photographs and field survey on the Boeun area identified landslide inventory map that consists of 388 landslide locations. A total ofseven landslide causative factors (elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, geology, soil, forest and land-use) were extracted from the database and then converted into raster. Landslide causative factors were provided to investigate about the spatial relationship between each factor and landslide occurrence by using fuzzy set and logistic regression model. Fuzzy membership value and logistic regression coefficient were employed to determine each factor's rating for landslide susceptibility mapping. Then, the landslide susceptibility maps were compared and validated by cross validation technique. In the cross validation process, 50% of observed landslides were selected randomly by Excel and two success rate curves (SRC) were generated for each landslide susceptibility map. The result demonstrates the 84.34% and 83.29% accuracy ratio for logistic regression model and fuzzy set model respectively. It means that both models were very reliable and reasonable methods for landslide susceptibility analysis.

Extraction of Potential Area for Block Stream and Talus Using Spatial Integration Model (공간통합 모델을 적용한 암괴류 및 애추 지형 분포가능지 추출)

  • Lee, Seong-Ho;JANG, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-14
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study analyzed the relativity between block stream and talus distributions by employing a likelihood ratio approach. Possible distribution sites for each debris slope landform were extracted by applying a spatial integration model, in which we combined fuzzy set model, Bayesian predictive model, and logistic regression model. Moreover, to verify model performance, a success rate curve was prepared by cross-validation. The results showed that elevation, slope, curvature, topographic wetness index, geology, soil drainage, and soil depth were closely related to the debris slope landform sites. In addition, all spatial integration models displayed an accuracy of over 90%. The accuracy of the distribution potential area map of the block stream was highest in the logistic regression model (93.79%). Eventually, the accuracy of the distribution potential area map of the talus was also highest in the logistic regression model (97.02%). We expect that the present results will provide essential data and propose methodologies to improve the performance of efficient and systematic micro-landform studies. Moreover, our research will potentially help to enhance field research and topographic resource management.

An Analysis of Factors Relating to Agricultural Machinery Farm-Work Accidents Using Logistic Regression

  • Kim, Byounggap;Yum, Sunghyun;Kim, Yu-Yong;Yun, Namkyu;Shin, Seung-Yeoub;You, Seokcheol
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
    • /
    • v.39 no.3
    • /
    • pp.151-157
    • /
    • 2014
  • Purpose: In order to develop strategies to prevent farm-work accidents relating to agricultural machinery, influential factors were examined in this paper. The effects of these factors were quantified using logistic regression. Methods: Based on the results of a survey on farm-work accidents conducted by the National Academy of Agricultural Science, 21 tentative independent variables were selected. To apply these variables to regression, the presence of multicollinearity was examined by comparing correlation coefficients, checking the statistical significance of the coefficients in a simple linear regression model, and calculating the variance inflation factor. A logistic regression model and determination method of its goodness of fit was defined. Results: Among 21 independent variables, 13 variables were not collinear each other. The results of a logistic regression analysis using these variables showed that the model was significant and acceptable, with deviance of 714.053. Parameter estimation results showed that four variables (age, power tiller ownership, cognizance of the government's safety policy, and consciousness of safety) were significant. The logistic regression model predicted that the former two increased accident odds by 1.027 and 8.506 times, respectively, while the latter two decreased the odds by 0.243 and 0.545 times, respectively. Conclusions: Prevention strategies against factors causing an accident, such as the age of farmers and the use of a power tiller, are necessary. In addition, more efficient trainings to elevate the farmer's consciousness about safety must be provided.

A Study on Life Cycle analysis and prediction of Contents Service in the Wireless Internet (로지스틱 회귀 모형을 이용한 무선인터넷 콘텐츠 서비스의 life cycle 분석 및 예측)

  • Park, Ji-Hong;Jeon, Joon-Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
    • /
    • 2005.11a
    • /
    • pp.1161-1164
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this paper, we proposed the technique to estimate the life cycle of Internet content services based on the logistic regression model. In this paper, to define parameters of Internet contents estimating life cycle by logistic regression model, we used market size, traffic amount, page view and session-visit number as the parameters of Internet contents estimating life cycle by logistic regression model. In this paper, to compare the performance of our proposed scheme, we estimated life cycle for the download services of bell sound & character contents in mobile network. As a result, using our proposed logistic regression, we were able to estimate exactly the life cycle of the download services of bell sound & character contents.

  • PDF

Comparison of Classification Models for Sequential Flight Test Results (단계별 비행훈련 성패 예측 모형의 성능 비교 연구)

  • Sohn, So-Young;Cho, Yong-Kwan;Choi, Sung-Ok;Kim, Young-Joun
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-14
    • /
    • 2002
  • The main purpose of this paper is to present selection criteria for ROK Airforce pilot training candidates in order to save costs involved in sequential pilot training. We use classification models such Decision Tree, Logistic Regression and Neural Network based on aptitude test results of 288 ROK Air Force applicants in 1994-1996. Different models are compared in terms of classification accuracy, ROC and Lift-value. Neural network is evaluated as the best model for each sequential flight test result while Logistic regression model outperforms the rest of them for discriminating the last flight test result. Therefore we suggest a pilot selection criterion based on this logistic regression. Overall. we find that the factors such as Attention Sharing, Speed Tracking, Machine Comprehension and Instrument Reading Ability having significant effects on the flight results. We expect that the use of our criteria can increase the effectiveness of flight resources.

Model assessment with residual plot in logistic regression (로지스틱회귀에서 잔차산점도를 이용한 모형평가)

  • Kahng, Myung Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.141-150
    • /
    • 2015
  • Graphical paradigms for assessing the adequacy of models in logistic regression are discussed. The residual plot has been widely used as a graphical tool for evaluating the adequacy of the model. However, this approach works well only for linear models with constant variance, and the alternative approach, the marginal model plot, has its defects as well. We suggest a Chi-residual plot that overcomes the potential shortcomings of the marginal model plot.

Nonlinear Regression on Cold Tolerance Data for Brassica Napus

  • Yang, Woohyeong;Choi, Myeong Seok;Ahn, Sung Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.6
    • /
    • pp.2721-2731
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study purposes to derive the predictive model for the cold tolerance of Brassica napus, using the data collected in the Tree Breeding Lab of Gyeongsang National University during July and August of 2016. Three Brassica napus samples were treated at each of low temperatures from $4^{\circ}C$ to $-12^{\circ}C$ by decrement of $4^{\circ}C$, step by step, and electrolyte leakage levels were measured at each stage. Electrolyte leakages were observed tangibly from $-4^{\circ}C$. We tried to fit the six nonlinear regression models to the electrolyte leakage data of Brassica napus: 3-parameter logistic model, baseline logistic model, 4-parameter logistic model, (4-1)-parameter logistic model, 3-parameter Gompertz model, and (3-1)-parameter Gompertz model. The baseline levels of the electrolyte leakage estimated by these models were 4.81%, 4.07%, 4.19%, 4.07%, 4.55%, and 0%, respectively. The estimated median lethal temperature, LT50, were $-5.87^{\circ}C$, $-6.31^{\circ}C$, $-6.05^{\circ}C$, $-6.35^{\circ}C$, $-4.98^{\circ}C$, and $-5.15^{\circ}C$, respectively. We compared and discussed the measures of goodness of fit to select the appropriate nonlinear regression model.

Steal Success Model for 2007 Korean Professional Baseball Games (2007년 한국프로야구에서 도루성공모형)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Choi, Jeong-Min
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.455-468
    • /
    • 2008
  • Based on the huge baseball game records, the steal plays an important role to affect the result of games. For the research about success or failure of the steal in baseball games, logistic regression models are developed based on 2007 Korean professional baseball games. The analyses of logistic regression models are compared of those of the discriminant models. It is found that the performance of the logistic regression analysis is more efficient than that of the discriminant analysis. Also, we consider an alternative logistic regression model based on categorical data which are transformed from uneasy obtainable continuous data.

Penalized logistic regression models for determining the discharge of dyspnea patients (호흡곤란 환자 퇴원 결정을 위한 벌점 로지스틱 회귀모형)

  • Park, Cheolyong;Kye, Myo Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.125-133
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper, penalized binary logistic regression models are employed as statistical models for determining the discharge of 668 patients with a chief complaint of dyspnea based on 11 blood tests results. Specifically, the ridge model based on $L^2$ penalty and the Lasso model based on $L^1$ penalty are considered in this paper. In the comparison of prediction accuracy, our models are compared with the logistic regression models with all 11 explanatory variables and the selected variables by variable selection method. The results show that the prediction accuracy of the ridge logistic regression model is the best among 4 models based on 10-fold cross-validation.