• Title/Summary/Keyword: logistic model

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Modeling of Breast Cancer Prognostic Factors Using a Parametric Log-Logistic Model in Fars Province, Southern Iran

  • Zare, Najaf;Doostfatemeh, Marzieh;Rezaianzadeh, Abass
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1533-1537
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    • 2012
  • In general, breast cancer is the most common malignancy among women in developed as well as some developing countries, often being the second leading cause of cancer mortality after lung cancer. Using a parametric log-logistic model to consider the effects of prognostic factors, the present study focused on the 5-year survival of women with the diagnosis of breast cancer in Southern Iran. A total of 1,148 women who were diagnosed with primary invasive breast cancer from January 2001 to January 2005 were included and divided into three prognosis groups: poor, medium, and good. The survival times as well as the hazard rates of the three different groups were compared. The log-logistic model was employed as the best parametric model which could explain survival times. The hazard rates of the poor and the medium prognosis groups were respectively 13 and 3 times greater than in the good prognosis group. Also, the difference between the overall survival rates of the poor and the medium prognosis groups was highly significant in comparison to the good prognosis group. Use of the parametric log-logistic model - also a proportional odds model - allowed assessment of the natural process of the disease based on hazard and identification of trends.

Prediction on Busan's Gross Product and Employment of Major Industry with Logistic Regression and Machine Learning Model (로지스틱 회귀모형과 머신러닝 모형을 활용한 주요산업의 부산 지역총생산 및 고용 효과 예측)

  • Chae-Deug Yi
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.69-88
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    • 2022
  • This paper aims to predict Busan's regional product and employment using the logistic regression models and machine learning models. The following are the main findings of the empirical analysis. First, the OLS regression model shows that the main industries such as electricity and electronics, machine and transport, and finance and insurance affect the Busan's income positively. Second, the binomial logistic regression models show that the Busan's strategic industries such as the future transport machinery, life-care, and smart marine industries contribute on the Busan's income in large order. Third, the multinomial logistic regression models show that the Korea's main industries such as the precise machinery, transport equipment, and machinery influence the Busan's economy positively. And Korea's exports and the depreciation can affect Busan's economy more positively at the higher employment level. Fourth, the voting ensemble model show the higher predictive power than artificial neural network model and support vector machine models. Furthermore, the gradient boosting model and the random forest show the higher predictive power than the voting model in large order.

APPLICATION OF LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL AND ITS VALIDATION FOR LANDSLIDE SUSCEPTIBILITY MAPPING USING GIS AND REMOTE SENSING DATA AT PENANG, MALAYSIA

  • LEE SARO
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.310-313
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study is to evaluate the hazard of landslides at Penang, Malaysia, using a Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing. Landslide locations were identified in the study area from interpretation of aerial photographs and from field surveys. Topographical and geological data and satellite images were collected, processed, and constructed into a spatial database using GIS and image processing. The factors chosen that influence landslide occurrence were: topographic slope, topographic aspect, topographic curvature and distance from drainage, all from the topographic database; lithology and distance from lineament, taken from the geologic database; land use from TM satellite images; and the vegetation index value from SPOT satellite images. Landslide hazardous area were analysed and mapped using the landslide-occurrence factors by logistic regression model. The results of the analysis were verified using the landslide location data and compared with probabilistic model. The validation results showed that the logistic regression model is better prediction accuracy than probabilistic model.

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Small Area Estimation Techniques Based on Logistic Model to Estimate Unemployment Rate

  • Kim, Young-Won;Choi, Hyung-a
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.583-595
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    • 2004
  • For the Korean Economically Active Population Survey(EAPS), we consider the composite estimator based on logistic regression model to estimate the unemployment rate for small areas(Si/Gun). Also, small area estimation technique based on hierarchical generalized linear model is proposed to include the random effect which reflect the characteristic of the small areas. The proposed estimation techniques are applied to real domestic data which is from the Korean EAPS of Choongbuk. The MSE of these estimators are estimated by Jackknife method, and the efficiencies of small area estimators are evaluated by the RRMSE. As a result, the composite estimator based on logistic model is much more efficient than others and it turns out that the composite estimator can produce the reliable estimates under the current EAPS system.

Extraction of Potential Area for Block Stream and Talus Using Spatial Integration Model (공간통합 모델을 적용한 암괴류 및 애추 지형 분포가능지 추출)

  • Lee, Seong-Ho;JANG, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzed the relativity between block stream and talus distributions by employing a likelihood ratio approach. Possible distribution sites for each debris slope landform were extracted by applying a spatial integration model, in which we combined fuzzy set model, Bayesian predictive model, and logistic regression model. Moreover, to verify model performance, a success rate curve was prepared by cross-validation. The results showed that elevation, slope, curvature, topographic wetness index, geology, soil drainage, and soil depth were closely related to the debris slope landform sites. In addition, all spatial integration models displayed an accuracy of over 90%. The accuracy of the distribution potential area map of the block stream was highest in the logistic regression model (93.79%). Eventually, the accuracy of the distribution potential area map of the talus was also highest in the logistic regression model (97.02%). We expect that the present results will provide essential data and propose methodologies to improve the performance of efficient and systematic micro-landform studies. Moreover, our research will potentially help to enhance field research and topographic resource management.

A Study on the Selection of Logistic Service Quality Priority with TOPSIS (TOPSIS방법을 이용한 물류서비스품질 우선순위 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seok-Cheol;Kang, Kyung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.137-150
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    • 2017
  • Logistic enterprises want to be competitive enterprises in fierce logistic market and worry about the securement of discriminative competitiveness for it. The standards for the judgement of logistic industry's maintenance of competitiveness are not only economic feasibility of logistic costs but also the satisfaction of users because well-established service system for variety and enhancement of logistic needs. Some of the quality attributes sufficiently satisfy expectation of customers, but not guarantee high-quality satisfaction. Therefore, it's difficult to grasp quality attributes with the existing approach of perceived service quality. Quality attribute model suggested by Kano is widely used as the concept is accurate, there is high possibility to be used at the stage of product/service planning, and it can be easily applied. Kano model has a limitation that quality attributes are classified with mode and the differences between strong property of the quality attribute and week property in quality attributes were ignored. Therefore, Timko calculated customer satisfaction coefficient with the result of Kano's survey and effects of customer satisfaction and unsatisfaction through relations between satisfaction coefficient and unsatisfaction coefficient. The purposes of this study are to use ASC, the average of satisfaction coefficient and unsatisfaction, as the satisfaction of quality characteristics, decide the importance of quality characteristics with TOPSIS, a representative multi-standard decision-making method, and calculate strategy improvement propriety of logistic service quality.

Semiparametric Approach to Logistic Model with Random Intercept (준모수적 방법을 이용한 랜덤 절편 로지스틱 모형 분석)

  • Kim, Mijeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1121-1131
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    • 2015
  • Logistic models with a random intercept are useful to analyze longitudinal binary data. Traditionally, the random intercept of the logistic model is assumed to be parametric (such as normal distribution) and is also assumed to be independent to variables. Such assumptions are very strong and restricted for application to real data. Recently, Garcia and Ma (2015) derived semiparametric efficient estimators for logistic model with a random intercept without these assumptions. Their estimator shows the consistency where we do not assume any parametric form for the random intercept. In addition, the method is computationally simple. In this paper, we apply this method to analyze toenail infection data. We compare the semiparametric estimator with maximum likelihood estimator, penalized quasi-likelihood estimator and hierarchical generalized linear estimator.

Comparison of Logistic, Bayesian, and Maxent Modelsfor Prediction of Landslide Distribution (산사태 분포 예측을 위한 로지스틱, 베이지안, Maxent의 비교)

  • Al-Mamun, Al-Mamun;Jang, Dong-Ho;Park, Jongchul
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2017
  • Quantitative forecasting methods based on spatial data and geographic information system have been used in predicting the landslide location. This study compared the simulated results of logistic, Bayesian, and maximum entropy models to understand the uncertainties of each model and identify the main factors that influence landslide. The study area is Boeun gun where 388 landslides occurred in the year of 1998. The verification results showed that the AUC of the three models was 0.84. However, the landslide susceptibility distribution of Maxent model was different from those of the other two models. With the same landslide occurrence data, the result of high susceptible area in Maxent model is smaller than Logistic or Bayesian. Maxent model, however, proved to be more efficient in predicting landslide than the other two models. In Maxent's simulations, the responsible factors for landslide susceptibility are timber age class, land cover, timber diameter, crown closure, and soil drainage. The results suggest that it is necessary to consider the possibility of overestimation when using Logistic or Bayesian model, and forest management around the study area can be an effective way to minimize landslide possibility.

Machine learning-based Predictive Model of Suicidal Thoughts among Korean Adolescents. (머신러닝 기반 한국 청소년의 자살 생각 예측 모델)

  • YeaJu JIN;HyunKi KIM
    • Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2023
  • This study developed models using decision forest, support vector machine, and logistic regression methods to predict and prevent suicidal ideation among Korean adolescents. The study sample consisted of 51,407 individuals after removing missing data from the raw data of the 18th (2022) Youth Health Behavior Survey conducted by the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Analysis was performed using the MS Azure program with Two-Class Decision Forest, Two-Class Support Vector Machine, and Two-Class Logistic Regression. The results of the study showed that the decision forest model achieved an accuracy of 84.8% and an F1-score of 36.7%. The support vector machine model achieved an accuracy of 86.3% and an F1-score of 24.5%. The logistic regression model achieved an accuracy of 87.2% and an F1-score of 40.1%. Applying the logistic regression model with SMOTE to address data imbalance resulted in an accuracy of 81.7% and an F1-score of 57.7%. Although the accuracy slightly decreased, the recall, precision, and F1-score improved, demonstrating excellent performance. These findings have significant implications for the development of prediction models for suicidal ideation among Korean adolescents and can contribute to the prevention and improvement of youth suicide.

Stand Density Management Studies on Pine Stands in Korea (I) - The Simple Logistic Growth Curve and Its Application to Pine Stands - (소나무림(林)의 밀도관리(密度管理)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究)(I) - 단순(單純) logistic 곡선(曲線)과 소나무림(林)에 대한 그의 적용(適用) -)

  • Kwon, O Bok;Lee, Heung Kyun;Woo, Chong Chun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1982
  • The simple logistic growth model on the logistic curve, being originally a kind of population growth curve has also been sometimes utilized to describe growth curves in herbaceous plants such as duckweed and sun-flowers. It has already been recognized that the agreement between the theoretical calculations and the empirical observations is quite satisfactory form a practical point of view. It remains, however, still doubtful whether the logistic curve could be applied to the growth or ordinary woody plants which is quite different in its character from that of herbaceous plants. In this study, the simple logistic model, being a basic tool of stand density management, is applied to yield data from pine stands in order to test the adequacy of the model An attempt of testing the significance of the fit is made by applying the Chi-square test.

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