• Title/Summary/Keyword: location prediction

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A Modeling Study of Lake Thermal Dynamics and Turbid Current for an Impact Prediction of Dam Reconstruction (댐 재개발이 호수 수온 및 탁수 거동 변화에 미치는 영향 예측을 위한 모델 연구)

  • Jeong, Seon-A;Park, Seok-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.27 no.8
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    • pp.813-821
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a modeling study of thermal dynamics and turbid current in the Obong Lake, Kangreung. The lake formed by the artificial dam in 1983 for agricultural water supply, is currently under consideration of reconstruction in order to expand the volume of reservoir for water supply and flood control in downstream area. The US Army Corps of Engineers' CE-QUAL-W2, a two-dimensional laterally averaged hydrodynamic and water quality model, was applied to the lake after reconstruction as well as the present lake. The model calibration and verification were conducted against surface water levels and temperature of the lake measured during the years of 2001 and 2003. The model results showed a good agreement with fold measurements both in calibration and verification. Utilizing the validated model, an impact of dam reconstruction on vertical temperature and hydrodynamics were predicted. The model results showed that steep temperature gradient between epilimnion and hypolimnion would be formed during summer, along with extension of cold deep water after reconstruction. During winter and spring seasons, however, the vertical temperature profiles was predicted to be quite similar both before and after reconstruction. This results indicated that thermal stratification would become stronger during summer and stay longer after dam reconstruction. From the examination of predicted water movements, it was noticed that the upstream turbid current would infiltrate into the interface between metalimnion and hypolimnion and then suspended solids would slowly settle down to the bottom before reconstruction. After reconstruction, however, it was shown that the upstream turbid current would stay longer in metalimnion with similar density due to strong stratification. The model also predicted that dam reconstruction would make suspended solids near the dam location significantly decrease.

Case Study on Stability Assessment of Pre-existing Fault at CO2 Geologic Storage (CO2 지중저장 시 단층 안정성 평가)

  • Kim, Hyunwoo;Cheon, Dae-Sung;Choi, Byung-Hee;Choi, Hun-Soo;Park, Eui-Seob
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.13-30
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    • 2013
  • Increase of pore fluid pressure resulting from injection of $CO_2$ may reactivate pre-existing faults, and the induced seismic activities can raise the safety issues such as seal integrity, restoration of storage capacity, and, in the worst case, removal of previously injected $CO_2$. Thus, fault stability and potential for $CO_2$ leakage need to be assessed at the stage of site selection and planning of injection pressure, based on the results of large-scale site investigations and numerical modeling for various scenarios. In this report, studies on the assessment of fault stability during injection of $CO_2$ were reviewed. The seismic activities associated with an artificial injection of fluids or a release of naturally trapped high-pressure fluids were first examined, and then site investigation methods for the magnitude and orientation of in situ stresses, the distribution and change of pore fluid pressure, and the location of faults were generally summarized. Recent research cases on possibility estimation of fault reactivation, prediction of seismic magnitude, and modeling of $CO_2$ leakage through a reactivated fault were presented.

Soil Moisture Modelling at the Topsoil of a Hillslope in the Gwangneung National Arboretum Using a Transfer Function (전이함수를 통한 광릉 산림 유역의 토양수분 모델링)

  • Choi, Kyung-Moon;Kim, Sang-Hyun;Son, Mi-Na;Kim, Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2008
  • Soil moisture is one of the important components in hydrological processes and also controls the subsurface flow mechanism at a hillslope scale. In this study, time series of soil moisture were measured at a hillslope located in Gwangneung National Arboretum, Korea using a multiplex Time Domain Reflectometry(TDR) system measuring soil moisture with bi-hour interval. The Box-Jenkins transfer function and noise model was used to estimate spatial distributions of soil moisture histories between May and September, 2007. Rainfall was used as an input parameter and soil moisture at 10 cm depth was used as an output parameter in the model. The modeling process consisted of a series of procedures(e.g., data pretreatment, model identification, parameter estimation, and diagnostic checking of selected models), and the relationship between soil moisture and rainfall was assessed. The results indicated that the patterns of soil moisture at different locations and slopes along the hillslope were similar with those of rainfall during the measurment period. However, the spatial distribution of soil moisture was not associated with the slope of the monitored location. This implies that the variability of the soil moisture was determined more by rainfall than by the slope of the site. Due to the influence of vegetation activity on soil moisture flow in spring, the soil moisture prediction in spring showed higher variability and complexity than that in early autumn did. This indicates that vegetation activity is an important factor explaining the patterns of soil moisture for an upland forested hillslope.

Predicting Cherry Flowering Date Using a Plant Phonology Model (생물계절모형을 이용한 벚꽃 개화일 예측)

  • Jung J. E.;Kwon E. Y.;Chung U. R.;Yun J. I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.148-155
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    • 2005
  • An accurate prediction of blooming date is crucial for many authorities to schedule and organize successful spring flower festivals in Korea. The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has been using regression models combined with a subjective correction by forecasters to issue blooming date forecasts for major cities. Using mean monthly temperature data for February (observed) and March (predicted), they issue blooming date forecasts in late February to early March each year. The method has been proved accurate enough for the purpose of scheduling spring festivals in the relevant cities, but cannot be used in areas where no official climate and phenology data are available. We suggest a thermal time-based two-step phenological model for predicting the blooming dates of spring flowers, which can be applied to any geographic location regardless of data availability. The model consists of two sequential periods: the rest period described by chilling requirement and the forcing period described by heating requirement. It requires daily maximum and minimum temperature as an input and calculates daily chill units until a pre-determined chilling requirement for rest release. After the projected rest release date, it accumulates daily heat units (growing degree days) until a pre- determined heating requirement for flowering. Model parameters were derived from the observed bud-burst and flowering dates of cherry tree (Prunus serrulata var. spontanea) at KMA Seoul station along with daily temperature data for 1923-1950. The model was applied to the 1955-2004 daily temperature data to estimate the cherry blooming dates and the deviations from the observed dates were compared with those predicted by the KMA method. Our model performed better than the KMA method in predicting the cherry blooming dates during the last 50 years (MAE = 2.31 vs. 1.58, RMSE = 2.96 vs. 2.09), showing a strong feasibility of operational application.

Fatigue Evaluation of a Steel Bridge in Service through Stress History Measurement and Consideration of Stress Category (공용중인 교량의 응력이력 계측 및 응력범주를 고려한 피로평가)

  • Na, Sung-Ok;Kwon, Min-Ho;Cha, Cheol-Jun;Kim, In-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.108-116
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    • 2014
  • The proper stress history measurement should be conducted in order to examine the accurate cause of fatigue cracks or the fatigue safety in the steel bridge. Only one strain gauge is generally installed in the field for the stress history examination because of the field circumstances, economic feasibility, workability, and so on. However, this method may not consider the actual size of the specific structure, the gauge length, and the affect of stress concentration in the welded joint. In addition, it is difficult to apply for the stress analysis. Therefore, this study suggests improvements that are a great number of gauge installations, the gauge location adjustment, and the use of the minimum length gauge. It is drived the correlative equation of strain for the distance between the welding toe and the strain gauge installation, and compare correlative equation with equation of IIW. Also, this study could estimate the remaining life and fatigue damage of bridge in service by selecting the suitable stress category. In conclusion, it is possible to understand the member which is high in the fatigue cracks, and the quantitative relations between the welding toe and the strain gauge installation distances. The proposed approach in this study can make an more accurate fatigue damage and a remaining life prediction so that the improved method should be applied in measuring the strain of bridges from now on.

Evaluation of Information Representation Goodness-of-fit According to Protein Visualization Pattern (단백질 가시화 형태에 따른 정보표현적합도 평가)

  • Byeon, Jaehee;Choi, Yoo-Joo;Suh, Jung-Keun
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2015
  • The information about protein structure gives the clues for the function of protein. It is needed for the improvement for the efficacy and fast development of protein drugs. So, the studies visualizing the structure of protein effectively increase. Most studies of visualization focus on the structural prediction for protein or the improvement on the rendering speed. However, studies of information delivery depending on the form of protein visualization are very limited. The major objective of this study is to analyze the information representation goodness-of-fit for the patterns of the hybrid visualization with primary and secondary structures of protein. Those hybrid visualizations included the patterns which updated current representative visualization services, Chimera, PDB and Cn3D. Information factor to analyze information representation goodness-of-fit is assorted by protein primary structure, secondary protein structure, the location of amino acid and ratio information about protein secondary structure, based on the result of subject-analysis. Subject is the group of experts who are involved in protein drug development over 5 years. The result of this study shows the meaningful difference in the information representation goodness-of-fit by the patterns of hybrid visualization and proves the difference in the information by the pattern of visualization.

Study for Prediction of Contact Forces between Wheel and Rail Using Vibrational Transfer Function of the Scaled Squeal Noise Test Rig (축소 스킬소음 시험장치의 진동전달특성을 이용한 차륜/레일의 접촉력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Junheon;Kim, Jiyong;Ji, Eun;Kim, Daeyong;Kim, Kwanju
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2016
  • Curved squeal noise may result when railway vehicles run on curved tracks. Contact between the wheels and the rails causes a stick-slip phenomenon, which generates squeal noise. In order to identify the mechanism of the squeal noise systematically, a scaled test rig has been fabricated. Knowledge of the contact forces between the wheels and the rail rollers is essential for investigating the squeal noise characteristics; however, it is difficult to measure there contact force. In this study, contact forces have been calculated indirectly according to the modal behavior of the subframe that supports the rail roller and the responses at specific positions of that subframe. In order to verify the estimated contact forces, the displacements at the contact points between the wheels and rail rollers have been calculated from the estimated forces; the resulting values have been compared with the measured displacement values. The SPL at the specific location has been calculated using the estimated contact forces and this also has been compared with the SPL, measured in a semi-anechoic chamber. The comparisons in displacements and SPLs show good correlation.

A Study on Shape Optimization and Hemolysis Evaluation of Axial Flow Blood Pump by Using Computational Fluid Dynamics Analysis (CFD해석을 이용한 축류형 혈액펌프의 용혈평가 및 형상개량에 관한 기초연구)

  • 김동욱;임상필
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2004
  • The non pulsation blood pump is divided into axial flow and centrifugal style according to the direction of inlet and outlet flow. An axial flow blood pump can be made smaller than a centrifugal blood pump because centrifugal pump's rpm is fewer than axial flow pump. Hemolysis is an important factor for the development of an axial flow blood pump. It is difficult to identify the areas where hemolysis occurs. Evaluation of hemolysis both in in-vitro and in-vivo test requires a long-time and more expensive. Computational fluid dynamics(CFD) analysis enables the engineer to predict hemolysis on a computer which just can get not only amount of htmolysis but also location of hemolysis. It takes shorter time and less expensive than in-vitro test. The purpose of this study is to git Computational fluid dynamics in axial flow pump and to verify the accuracy of prediction by the possibility of design comparing CFD results with in-vitro experimental results. Also, wish to figure out the correction method that can bring improvement in shape of axial flow blood pump using CFD analysis.

Development of GIS-based Integrated DB Management System for the Analysis of Climate Environment Change (기후.환경 변화 분석을 위한 GIS기반의 통합DB 관리시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Na-Young;Kim, Kye-Hyun;Park, Yong-Gil
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2011
  • Climate change affects all components of the global environment system and, in turn, all components mutually interact and affect climate change through non-linear feedback processes. It is thus necessary to study the interaction between the climate and the environment, in order to comprehensively understand and predict climate and environment change. However, current relevant systems are limited to particular areas and do not sufficiently support the mutual linking of research studies. Therefore, this study develops prototype a GIS based integrated DB management system for supporting the climate and environment data storage, management and distribution. The integrated DB management system was developed using VB.NET languages and ArcObjects component. First, considering the demands of climate environment experts, the study areas are selected and the methods of data management and utilization were defined. In addition, a location-based GIS DB was created in order to aid in understanding climate change through visual representation. Finally, the integrated DB management system provides an efficient data management and distribution data and it creates synergistic effect on climate and environment study. It also contributes significantly to the comprehensive diagnosis and prediction of climate change and environment systems.

Improving Reliability of Bus Arrival Time Predictions Considering delay Time at Signalized Intersection (신호교차로 지체시간을 고려한 버스도착시간 예측 신뢰성 향상 연구)

  • Um, Ki Hun;Lee, Soong-bong;Lee, Jinsoo;Lee, Young-Ihn
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2017
  • This study propose a method to predict the bus arrival time by considering the signal delay time which is an element which can not be considered in the current bus arrival prediction information generation algorithm. In order to consider the signal delay time, travel time is divided into three components: service time, cruising travel time, and signal delay time. Signal delay time was estimated using intersection arrival time and TOD. The results show that most of the errors that occurred in predicting the arrival time are within about 30 seconds. Some of the estimates have large errors due to the nature of this methodology that uses the estimated value of the intersection arrival time rather than the observation value. It is also difficult to predict the arrival time of the express buses using this method. Future studies such as improving this through real-time location information will greatly improve the accuracy of the methodology.