• 제목/요약/키워드: localized heavy rain

검색결과 74건 처리시간 0.026초

앙상블 기상예측 자료를 활용한 도시지역의 홍수위험도 예측 방안에 관한 연구 (Research on flood risk forecast method using weather ensemble prediction system in urban region)

  • 최영제;이재응
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제52권10호
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    • pp.753-761
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    • 2019
  • 여름철 집중호우는 도시지역의 홍수피해를 발생시키는 주요한 원인 중 하나이다. 우리나라의 최근 재해통계에 따르면 도시홍수의 발생빈도는 점점 잦아지고 있으며, 그 규모 또한 커지고 있다. 하지만 국지성 집중호우는 예측이 어려워 실제 홍수 대응을 담당하는 지자체 공무원들의 업무에 어려움이 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이러한 도시홍수 대응에 시간적 여유 확보를 통한 피해 저감을 위해 앙상블 기상예측 자료를 활용한 홍수위험 매트릭스를 구축하고, 그 적용성을 판단하고자 하였다. 홍수위험 매트릭스는 홍수위험도의 정도를 나타내는 잠재적 영향(X축), 위험 기상현상이 발생할 확률인 발생가능성(Y축)으로 구성된 2차원 매트릭스로 확률예보에 기반한 홍수위험 예측 방안이다. 이를 위해 부산 및 대구광역시 내 기초지자체 각각 1곳을 대상으로 과거 홍수피해기록과 확률강우량 자료를 활용하여 지역별 홍수위험 매트릭스를 구축하고, 과거 호우사상에 대해 기상청의 LENS 자료를 적용하여 그 적용성을 판단하였다. 그 결과 최대 3일전 홍수위험에 대한 예측이 가능한 것으로 분석되었으며 실제 활용 시 홍수 대응시간을 확보하여 피해 저감에 도움이 되리라 판단된다.

깎기비탈면 안정성의 통계적 예측기법 (Statistical Estimate Technique of Cut Slope Stability)

  • 이문세;신창건;전국재;이승우
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2010년도 추계 학술발표회
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    • pp.727-735
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    • 2010
  • The collapse of cut slope near national roads in Korea mostly occurs in every summer when typhoon or localized heavy rain comes. Such collapse brings about a loss of many lives and property and recently the damage is on rapidly increasing trend. Therefore, we may reduce the loss of many lives and property in great deals if we can predict and prepare for the collapse of cut slope. However, it is not easy to predict collapse because there are many factors causing collapse in combination and all they have different levels of contribution. Therefore, this study completed prediction formula by using a statistic technique for quantitative analysis on the interaction of those factors so as to predict the stability of slopes. Consequently, it is judged that effective slope management will be possible by selecting dangerous slopes quantitatively among cut slopes near national roads and by preparing for the collapse in advance.

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농업생산기반정비사업 계획설계기준 배수편 개정 (Revision of Agricultural Drainage Design Standards)

  • 김경찬;김영화;송재도;정상옥
    • 한국관개배수논문집
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.32-44
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    • 2014
  • In Korea, global warming caused by the climate changes impacted on weather system with increase in frequency and intensity of precipitation, and the rainfall pattern changes significantly by regional groups. Furthermore, it is expected that the regional and annual fluctuation ranges of the rainfall in the future would be more severe. Nowadays, agricultural drainage system designed by the existing standard of 20-year return period and 2 days of fixation time cannot deal with the increment rainfall such as localized heavy rain and local torrential rainfalls. Therefore, it is required to reinforce the standard of the drainage system in order to reduce the agricultural flood damage brought by unusual weather. In addition, it is needed to improve the standard of agricultural drainage design in order to cultivate farm products in paddy fields as facility vegetable cultivation and up-land field crop have been damaged by the moisture injury and flooding. In order to prepare for the changes of rainfall pattern due to climate changes and improve the agricultural drainage design standards by the increase of cultivating farm products, the purpose of this study is to examine the impact of climate changes, the changes of relative design standard, and the analytic situation of agricultural flood damages, to consider the drainage design standard revision, and finally to prepare for enhanced agricultural drainage design standards.

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델파이 기법을 활용한 토석류 피해조사 항목 개발 (Development of the Damage Investigation Item to Debris Flow using the Delphi Method)

  • 변요셉;김민기;박경한;오태근;성주현
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of localized heavy rain and typhoon due to the abnormal climate has increased, and especially the damage by an avalanche of earth and rocks similar to the landslide of Umyeon Mountain has become a social issue. However, the standardized damage investigation method doesn't yet exist, so the systematic analysis of the data has not been carried out. In this regard, this study developed assessment items to conduct standardized damage investigation of debris flow. To achieve this, preliminary assessment items were derived from analysis of literature review and the Delphi technique of 12 experts who are engaged in research facility, academia and industry was conducted. As a result, 29 assessment items which can be classified into 6 groups were determined. Surveying the relevant hand-on workers, details assessment items in each group were determined by exploratory factor analysis and reliability analysis.

유효강우량과 유량에 따른 하천 부유쓰레기 이동량 산출 (Estimation of Movement Amount of River Floating Debris Based on Effective Rainfall and Flow Rate)

  • 장선웅;윤홍주
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.237-242
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    • 2017
  • 장마나 집중호우 등에 의한 지속적인 강우는 비점오염원의 유출과 더불어 유량을 증가시킨다. 그리고 유량의 증가로 수위가 상승하게 되면 하천 주변에 산재되어 있던 부유쓰레기는 빨라진 유속에 의해 이동하게 된다. 하지만 현재 국내외에서 강우량과 유량을 분석하여 부유쓰레기의 이동량을 정량적으로 산출한 연구 사례는 없었다. 이에 본 연구에서는 SCS-CN 방법을 이용하여 산출한 유효 강우량과 유량 변화에 따른 이동 경로 모니터링 결과를 토대로 부유쓰레기의 이동량을 산정하였다.

재난재해로 인한 통신두절시 오감기술을 이용한 무인 수처리 기술 개발 (Development of Unmanned Irrigation Technology Using Five Senses During the Disconnection of Communication Due to Disasters)

  • 김재열;유관종;정윤수;안태형
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2017
  • Recently, localized heavy rain storms have been occurring frequently due to global warming, and it is difficult to shield a large number of facilities against disaster with limited manpower. The unmanned water treatment system uses five senses to analyze various judgment criteria, which are set according to field situations such as machine vibrations, the temperature of bearings, the sound of the operating machines, and the hydraulic pressure, current, and voltage of the hydraulic floodgates. It thus judges normal or abnormal operation status and conducts unmanned control of such machines. It automatically applies a system to the interruption of communications and therefore improves the reliability of its unmanned irrigation facilities. It maximizes the operational efficiency of managers responsible for various fields, enabling them to discharge water before the situation escalates to a crisis within the golden time, and to protect against damage to humans and property.

GIS 기반의 홍수 피해 감소를 위한 하천관리 시스템 개발 (Development of Rivers Management system to Decrease flood Disaster using GIS)

  • 정인주;박상주;김상용
    • 대한공간정보학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2003
  • 최근 이상기후에 의한 집중호우와 태풍의 피해는 날로 증가하고 있으며, 이에 대한 대책을 마련하기 위하여 많은 노력을 하고 있다. 특히 GIS를 응용하여 대책을 마련함으로써 신속한 정보의 추출 및 객관적인 분석을 수행할 수 있으므로 그 효과를 발휘할 수 있었다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 강우-유출모형과 HEC-RAS를 연계하여 자동으로 모의가 가능하도록 하였으며, 그 결과를 MapObject와 MFC를 이용하여 표현함으로써 위험지구를 쉽게 조회할 수 있으며, 평면도, 종단도, 횡단도를 화면에 동시에 출력할 수 있어서 주위의 피해 상황을 파악하는데 도움을 주어 재해를 미리 예측하고 대비하는데 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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유역인자의 특성이 경계경보발령 기준에 미치는 영향분석 (Effect of watershed characteristics on the criteria of Flash Flood warning)

  • 양인태;김재철;김태환
    • 한국측량학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국측량학회 2004년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.389-392
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    • 2004
  • A recent unusual change in the weather is formed as a localized heavy rain in a short time. This phenomenon has caused a flash flood, and flash floods extensively have damaged human lives many times. In large river's case, the extent of loss of lives and properties has been decreased through the flood warning system by flood control stations of each stream. However, the extent of damage in other small rivers has increased reversely. Therefore, it is necessary to establish a new flood warning system against flash floods instead of the existing flood warning system. It is a specific character that the damage from flash floods in mountain streams brings much more loss of lives than large river's flood. The purpose of this study is calculating the characteristic of flash floods in streams, analyzing topographical characteristics of water basin through applying GIS techniques with the calculation as mentioned above and researching what topographical conditions have influence on hydrological flash floods in water basin. The flash flood prediction model we used is made by GIUH (geomorphoclimatic instantaneous unit hydrograph) with hydrologic-topographical technology. As applying the flash flood prediction model, this is a procedure for calculating topographical information in basin: we made a topological data up out of database with utilizing GIS, and we also produced a DEM (digital elevation model) and used it as a topographical data for determining amount of flash floods.

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하천제방축조재료로서 시멘트혼합토의 특성 (Characterization of Cemented Sand for Building of Levee)

  • 정우섭;김영수
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제6권4호통권23호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2006
  • 최근 이상기후 및 집중호우로 인해 낙동강유역의 많은 지역이 재산 및 인명손실을 크게 입고 있으며 제방축조 재료의 획득 및 운송비등의 증가로 인해 재해방지차원의 제방축조에 여러 가지 어려움을 겪고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강 하상의 모래를 이용하여 소량의 시멘트를 혼합한 시멘트혼합토에 대해 삼축압축실험을 통해 시멘트혼합율에 따른 특성을 규명하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 낙동강유역 하상 모래와 시멘트의 혼합율을 변화시키면서 실내시험을 실시하였다. 제체재료의 적합성 검토, 설계 및 해석에 필요한 기초자료를 제공하기위해 다짐시험 및 표준삼축압축시험을 실시하여 시멘트혼합율에 따른 강도, 변형에 따른 응력 및 거동특성 등을 분석하였다.

함수특성곡선을 고려한 불포화토 사면의 안정성 연구 (A study on the Stability Analysis of Slope in Unsaturated Soil Based on the Soil-Water characteristic curve)

  • 윤민기;김종성;김효중;이영생
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2008년도 추계 학술발표회
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    • pp.1029-1037
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    • 2008
  • The finite element analysis of transient water flow through unsaturated soils was used to investigate effects of hydraulic characteristics, initial relative degree of saturation, methods to consider boundary condition, and rainfall intensity and duration on water pressure in slopes. The finite element method with shear strength reduction technique was used to evaluate the stability of slopes under rainfall. The slope-related disasters in Korea usually occur between July and September during the typhoon and localized heavy rain. This means that the rainfall is the most important factor that leads to the slope-related disasters. The slope-related disasters can happen at very short time and lead to big damage. To forecast the change of the heave of the groundwater in slope the Seep/w program was used.

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