• Title/Summary/Keyword: localized heavy rain

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A study on spatial error occurrence characteristics of precipitation estimation of rainfall radar (강우레이더 강수량 관측의 공간적 오차 발생 특성 연구)

  • Hwang, Seokhwana;Yoon, Jung Soo;Kang, Narae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.12
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    • pp.1105-1114
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    • 2022
  • A study on a method to overcome the limitations of the topographical and hydrological observation environment for estimating the QPE with high consistency with the ground rainfall by utilizing the spatiotemporal observation advantages of the rainfall radar for use in flood forecasting, and quantitative observations of localized rainfall due to these limiting conditions Uncertainty should be identified in terms of flood analysis. Against this background, in this study, 22 major heavy rain events in 2016 were analyzed for each of Mt. Biseul (BSL), Mt. Sobaek (SBS), Mt. Gari (GRS), Mt. Mohu (MHS), and Mt. Seodae (SDS) to determine the observation distance and altitude. The uncertainty of observation was quantified and an error map was derived. As a result of the analysis, it was found that, on average, the rainfall radar exceeded 10% up to 100 km and 30% over 150 km. Based on the average radar operating altitude angle, it was found that the error for the altitude was approximately 10% or less up to the second altitude angle, 20% at the third or higher altitude angle, and more than 50% at the fourth altitude angle or higher.

A study on prediction method for flood risk using LENS and flood risk matrix (국지 앙상블자료와 홍수위험매트릭스를 이용한 홍수위험도 예측 방법 연구)

  • Choi, Cheonkyu;Kim, Kyungtak;Choi, Yunseok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.9
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    • pp.657-668
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    • 2022
  • With the occurrence of localized heavy rain while river flow has increased, both flow and rainfall cause riverside flood damages. As the degree of damage varies according to the level of social and economic impact, it is required to secure sufficient forecast lead time for flood response in areas with high population and asset density. In this study, the author established a flood risk matrix using ensemble rainfall runoff modeling and evaluated its applicability in order to increase the damage reduction effect by securing the time required for flood response. The flood risk matrix constructs the flood damage impact level (X-axis) using flood damage data and predicts the likelihood of flood occurrence (Y-axis) according to the result of ensemble rainfall runoff modeling using LENS rainfall data and as well as probabilistic forecasting. Therefore, the author introduced a method for determining the impact level of flood damage using historical flood damage data and quantitative flood damage assessment methods. It was compared with the existing flood warning data and the damage situation at the flood warning points in the Taehwa River Basin and the Hyeongsan River Basin in the Nakdong River Region. As a result, the analysis showed that it was possible to predict the time and degree of flood risk from up to three days in advance. Hence, it will be helpful for damage reduction activities by securing the lead time for flood response.

Temporal distritution analysis of design rainfall by significance test of regression coefficients (회귀계수의 유의성 검정방법에 따른 설계강우량 시간분포 분석)

  • Park, Jin Heea;Lee, Jae Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 2022
  • Inundation damage is increasing every year due to localized heavy rain and an increase of rainfall exceeding the design frequency. Accordingly, the importance of hydraulic structures for flood control and defense is also increasing. The hydraulic structures are designed according to its purpose and performance, and the amount of flood is an important calculation factor. However, in Korea, design rainfall is used as input data for hydrological analysis for the design of hydraulic structures due to the lack of sufficient data and the lack of reliability of observation data. Accurate probability rainfall and its temporal distribution are important factors to estimate the design rainfall. In practice, the regression equation of temporal distribution for the design rainfall is calculated using the cumulative rainfall percentage of Huff's quartile method. In addition, the 6th order polynomial regression equation which shows high overall accuracy, is uniformly used. In this study, the optimized regression equation of temporal distribution is derived using the variable selection method according to the principle of parsimony in statistical modeling. The derived regression equation of temporal distribution is verified through the significance test. As a result of this study, it is most appropriate to derive the regression equation of temporal distribution using the stepwise selection method, which has the advantages of both forward selection and backward elimination.

Analysis for Rainfall Infiltration Using Electrical Resistivity Monitoring Survey (강우 침투 특성 분석을 위한 전기비저항 모니터링 탐사)

  • Kim, Sung-Wook;Choi, Eun-Kyeong;Park, Dug-Keun;Yoon, Yeo-Jin;Lee, Kyu-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2012
  • During rainfall period, to identify the characteristics of the infiltration of moisture, electrical resistivity monitering survey was carried out to weathered zone. Four regions of geophysical exploration areas with different rock types, four regions were selected. An area consists of mafic granite and three areas are composed of sedimentary rocks (Sandstone, Shale, Unconsolidated Mudstone). Survey was conducted from June (rainy season) to November (dry season), and during the period the change in resistivity was observed. According to the result of monitoring exploration on Geumjeong and Jinju areas, for the estimation of the standard rainfall, it is necessary to estimate the effects of the antecedent rainfall during the rainy season based on the overall rainfall from June till October and also necessary to consider this for the estimation of the half period. Also, the vertical distribution of the low resistivity anomaly zone does not show that the infiltration of moisture does not occur uniformly from the surface of the ground to the lower ground but shows that it occurs along the relaxed gap of the crack or soil stratum of the weathering zone. In Pohang area, the type of moisture infiltration is different from that of the granite or sedimentary rock. Since, after the rainfall, the rate of infiltration to the lower ground is high and the period of cultivation to the lower bedrock aquifer is short, it has similar effect to that of the antecedent rainfall applied for the estimation of the standard rainfall being presently used. In Danyang, due to the degree of water content of the ground, the duration period of the low resistivity anomaly zone observed in the lower ground of the place where clastic sedimentary rock is distributed is similar to that in Pohang area. The degree of lateral water diffusion at the time of localized heavy rain is the same as that of the sedimentary rock in Jinju. According to the above analysis results, in Danyang area, the period when the antecedent rainfall has its influence is estimated as three weeks or so.