• 제목/요약/키워드: linear transition rates

검색결과 25건 처리시간 0.025초

Breast Cancer in Surat Thani, a Province in Southern Thailand: Analysis of 2004-2012 Incidence and Future Trends

  • Tassanasunthornwong, Sukit;Chansaard, Wasan;Sriplung, Hutcha;Bilheem, Surichai
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권15호
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    • pp.6735-6740
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    • 2015
  • Background: With the recent epidemiologic transition in Thailand, featuring decreasing incidences of infectious diseases along with increasing rates of chronic conditions, cancer is becoming a serious problem for the country. Breast cancer has the highest incidence rates among females, not only in the southern regions, but throughout Thailand. Surat Thani is a province in the upper part of Southern Thailand. A study was needed to identify the current burden, and the future trends of breast cancer. Materials and Methods: Here we used cancer incidence data from the Surat Thani Cancer Registry to characterize the incidences of breast cancer. Joinpoint analysis was used to investigate the incidences in the province from 2004 to 2012 and to project future trends from 2013 to 2030. Results: Age-standardized incidence rates (world) of breast cancer in the upper parts of Southern Thailand increased from 35.1 to 59.2 cases per 100,000 female population, which is equivalent to an annual percentage change of 4.5-4.8%. Linear drift effects played a role in shaping the increase of incidence. Joinpoint projection suggested that incidence rates would continue to increase in the future with incidence for women aged 50 and above, at a higher rate than for women below the age of 50. Conclusions: The current early detection measures increase detection rates of early disease. Preparation of a budget for treatment facilities and human resources, both in surgical and medical oncology, is essential.

가구주율법에 의한 장래가구추계 (A Household Projections Using Headship Rate Method)

  • 김형석
    • 한국조사연구학회지:조사연구
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.65-90
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    • 2002
  • 가구는 인구, 사회, 경제적으로는 물론 통계적으로 매우 중요한 단위이다. 전통적으로 가족주의에 기반을 둔 한국 사회가 최근산업화, 도시화 등의 영향으로 가구 구조에서 많은 변화를 겪고 있어, 장래 가구를 추정하는 것은 비단 산업이나 학문뿐 아니라 가족복지 정책을 수립하는데도 매우 중요하다. 장래가구를 추계하는 방법으로는 가구주율법이 단순하면서 자료에 대한 제한이 적을뿐더러, 한국 사회처럼 혼인 연령이 빠르게 상승하는 사회에 적합한 방법으로 나타났다. 장래 가구 주율은 가구주가 35세미만인 경우에는 선형로그식, 35세이상인 경우에는 순천이율(net transition rate)로 추정하는 것이 가장 바람직하였다. 장래 가구주율 추정결과를 보면, 남자는 35-39세까지 급격히 증가한 후 50-54세에 정점에 달하는 일봉(one peak)패턴을, 여자는 20대에 증가하다가 30-34세에 감소한 후 다시 증가하는 쌍봉(two peaks)패턴을 보였다. 한편 가구추계의 정도를 높이기 위해서는 20대 및 노인층을 중심으로 빠르게 늘어나는 1인 가구에 대해 가구형성과 해체 패턴을 좀 더 면밀히 검토할 필요가 나타났다.

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회전원판 유동의 제2형 불안정성 공간증폭에 관한 이론적 연구 (A study of the spatial amplification of the Type II instability for the Rotating-disk flow)

  • 이윤용;이광원;황영규
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2001년도 추계학술대회논문집B
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    • pp.481-486
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    • 2001
  • The hydrodynamic instability of the three-dimensional boundary layer on a rotating disk introduces a periodic modulation of the mean flow in the form of stationary cross flow vortices. Detailed numerical values of the growth rates, neutral curves and other characteristics have been calculated for the Type II-instabilities. Presented are the neutral stability results concerning the two instability modes by solving new linear stability equations reformulated not only by considering whole convective terms but by correcting some errors in the previous stability equations. The present stability results are agree with the previously known ones within reasonable limit. The spatial amplification contours have been calculated for the moving disturbance wave, whose azimuth angle is between $\varepsilon=-10^{\circ}$ and $-20^{\circ}$. The transition flow of the moving disturbance wave will be developed at $\varepsilon=-15^{\circ}$ and Re=352 corresponding at the growth rates n = 5.8 from the spatial amplification contours.

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Study of Kinetics of Bromophenol Blue Fading in Alcohol-Water Binary Mixtures by SESMORTAC Model

  • Samiey, Babak;Alizadeh, Kamal;Mousavi, Mir Fazlolah;Alizadeh, Nader
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.384-392
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    • 2005
  • Solvent effects on the kinetics of bromophenol blue fading have been investigated within a temperature range in binary mixtures of methanol, ethanol, 1-propanol, ethylene glycol and 1,2-propanediol with water of varying solvent compositions up to 40% by weight of organic solvent component. Correlation of logk with reciprocal of the dielectric constant was linear. Finally a mechanism was proposed for the bromophenol blue fading upon SESMORTAC (study of effect of solvent mixture on the one-step reaction rates using the transition state theory and cage effect) model, by means of this model, the fundamental rate constants of the fading reaction in these solvent systems were calculated.

연속냉각 중 과냉 된 $Pd_{40}Cu_{30}Ni_{10}P_{20}$ 합금 용탕의 실시간 응고거동 관찰 (In Situ Observation of Solidification Behavior in Undercooled $Pd_{40}Cu_{30}Ni_{10}P_{20}$ Alloy Melts during Linear Cooling)

  • 김지훈
    • 한국주조공학회지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.276-285
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    • 2003
  • In the undercooled melt of $Pd_{40}Cu_{30}Ni_{10}P_{20}$ alloy, the solidification behavior including nucleation and growth of crystals at the micrometer level has been observed in-situ by use of a confocal scanning laser microscope combined with an infrared image furnace. The $Pd_{40}Cu_{30}Ni_{10}P_{20}$ alloy specimens were cooled from the liquid state to glass transition temperature. 575 K, at various cooling late under a helium gas flow. According to the cooling rate, the morphologies of the solidification front are changed among various types, irregular jog like front, columnar dendritic front, cellular grain, star like shape jog and fine grain, etc. The velocities of the solid-liquid interface are measured to be $10^{-5}{\sim}10^{-8}$ m/s which are at least two orders higher than the theoretical crystal growth rates. Combining the morphologies observed in terms of cooling rates and their solidification behaviors, we conclude that phase separation takes place in the undercooled molten $Pd_{40}Cu_{30}Ni_{10}P_{20}$ alloy. The continuous cooling transformation (CCT) diagram was constructed from solidification onset time at various linear cooling conditions with different rate. The CCT diagram suggests that the critical cooling rate for glassy solidification is about 1.5 K/s, which is in agreement with the previous calorimetric findings.

공공사회지출이 자살률에 미치는 영향: OECD 국가를 중심으로 (The Association Between Public Social Expenditure and Suicides: Evidence from OECD Countries)

  • 박유진;김명희;권순만;신영전
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.123-129
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : This study aimed to examine the association between public social expenditure(PSE) and suicides in the 27 countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development(OECD) from 1980 to 2003. Methods : The age-standardized suicide rates and their annual change(%) were obtained from the OECD Health Data 2007. As a measure of social protection, the PSE(% GDP) was used. The covariates included the annual divorce rate(/100,000 population), fertility rate(number of children/woman aged 15 to 49 years), GDP per capita(US$ PPP), male unemployment rate(%), life expectancy(years) and alcohol consumption(liter/capita) for each country, which were all obtained from the OECD Health Data 2007 and the OECD Social Indicators 2006. Using hierarchical linear models that included these covariates, the effects of PSE on suicides(Model 1) and the annual percent change (Model 2) were examined(Model 3). Also, sub-sample analyses were done for six countries that experienced political/economic transition. Results : We could not find significant effects of PSE on suicides(Model 1), but we observed significantly negative effects on the annual percent change for men and women(Model 2). Such findings were replicated in the sub-sample analysis, and moreover, the effect size was much larger(Model 3). Conclusions : Our finding suggests that social welfare protection can be a pivotal factor for suicide epidemiology, and especially in countries experiencing a social crisis or transition.

cis-$[Co(en)_2ClNO_2]^+$ 착이온의 가용매 분해반응에 미치는 용매의 영향과 그 반응 메카니즘 (Solvent Effects on the Solvolysis of cis-$[Co(en)_2ClNO_2]^+$ Ion and Its Mechanism)

  • 정종재;박영호
    • 대한화학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 1986
  • 물-글리세롤, 물-에틸렌 글리콜, 물-이소프로필 알코올 및 물-t-부틸 알코올의 2성분 혼합용매 중에서 cis-$[Co(en)_2ClNO_2]^+$착이온의 가용매 분해반응을 분광광도법으로 연구하였다. 용매의 극성이 커짐에 따라 반응속도도 커지는 경향이 있었으며 반응속도의 대수값과 $\frac{D-1}{2D+1}$값을 도시한 결과 비직선적인 관계를 나타내는 것으로 보아서 용매의 수소결합이나 분산력등의 비정전기적인 상호작용이 지배적으로 작용함을 알 수 있었다. log k와 Grundwald-Winstein의 Y값을 도시한 직선의 기울기와 Kivinen식에서 구한 전이상태에 관여하는 물분자의 수 n값으로부터 실험에 사용한 착물의 가용매 분해반응은 Id메카니즘으로 진행됨을 알았다. 한편 자유에너지 사이클의 결과는 초기상태에서 보다 전이상태에서 용매구조의 효과가 더 큼을 알 수 있었다.

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Effects of thermal boundary conditions and microgravity environments on physical vapor transport of $Hg_2Cl_2-Xe$ system

  • Kim, Geug-Tae;Kwon, Moo-Hyun;Lee, Kyong-Hwan
    • 한국결정성장학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.172-183
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    • 2009
  • For the effects of the nonlinear temperature profiles and reduced-gravity conditions we conduct a two-dimensional numerical modeling and simulations on the physical vapor transport processes of $Hg_2Cl_2-Xe$ system in the horizontal orientation position. Our results reveal that: (1) A decrease in aspect ratio from 5 to 2 leads to an increasingly nonuniform interfacial distribution and enhances the growth rate by one-order magnitude for normal gravity and linear wall temperature conditions. (2) Increasing the molecular weight of component B, Xenon results in a reduction in the effect of solutal convection. (3) The effect of aspect ratio affects the interfacial growth rates significantly under normal gravity condition rather than under reduced gravitational environments. (4) The transition from the convection-dominated regime to the diffusion-dominated regime ranges arises near at 0.1g$_0$ for operation conditions under consideration in this study.

재성형된 이암풍화토를 이용한 정규압밀영역의 압밀 및 투수특성 (The Characteristics of Consolidation and Permeability in Normally Consolidated Region Using a Remolded Decomposed Mudstone Soil)

  • 김영수;김기영;이상웅
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2000
  • When clay foundations of embankments are treated with vertical drain, essentially, the strain occurs to vertical direction but the water flow is radial. The initial horizontal permeability and its variation with the vertical compression are key parameters for the choice of the type of drains, their spacing, and affect to the cost of the project. In this study, CRS consolidation test is performed to investigate the anisotropic characteristics of decomposed mudstone soil and direct permeability test is performed on the same specimens. The results of testing show that Ch is larger than Cv. specially, the Cv - $\sigma$v relationship for a soil sample is viewed from three different curve segments corresponding to overconsolidated, transition and normally consolidated states. The anisotropic ratio, rk(kh/kv) is 2.19. Coefficient of permeability in normally consolidated state is related to its void ratio and permeability parameter n. C can be determined from a linear plot of log[k(1+e)] versus log e. The slope, n, of graphs is the same, whereas the vertical intercept, log C, seems to vary somewhat for anisotropic.

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프레임 분류와 합성필터의 변형을 이용한 적은 지연을 갖는 음성 부호화기의 성능 (Improving LD-CELP using frame classification and modified synthesis filter)

  • 임은희;이주호;김형명
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.1430-1437
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    • 1996
  • 중간 주파수 대역(8kbps) 이하에서 적은 지연을 갖는 벡터여기 선형예측 음성 부호화기(LD-CELP)에 대하여 고려한다. 합성필터를 입력 프레임의 종류에 따라 변화시켜 음성 부호화기의 성능을 향상시키고자 한다. 먼저 프레임을 유성음과 무성음 그리고 개시 프레임으로 분류한다. 유성음과 무성음 프레임에서는 합성필터의 스펙트럼 포락을 음운의 특성에 적합하도록 변화시킨다. 개시 프레임에서는 합성필터의 성격을 바꾸어주기 위하여 바이어스 필터를 이용한다. 제안된 부호화기는 다른 적은 지연을 갖는 벡터여기 선형예측 음성 부호화기들에 비하여 비슷한 지연시간을 갖으면서 더 나은 음질을 제공하였다.

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