• 제목/요약/키워드: linear predictive

검색결과 508건 처리시간 0.029초

Fatigue reliability analysis of steel bridge welding member by fracture mechanics method

  • Park, Yeon-Soo;Han, Suk-Yeol;Suh, Byoung-Chul
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.347-359
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    • 2005
  • This paper attempts to develop the analytical model of estimating the fatigue damage using a linear elastic fracture mechanics method. The stress history on a welding member, when a truck passed over a bridge, was defined as a block loading and the crack closure theory was used. These theories explain the influence of a load on a structure. This study undertook an analysis of the stress range frequency considering both dead load stress and crack opening stress. A probability method applied to stress range frequency distribution and the probability distribution parameters of it was obtained by Maximum likelihood Method and Determinant. Monte Carlo Simulation which generates a probability variants (stress range) output failure block loadings. The probability distribution of failure block loadings was acquired by Maximum likelihood Method and Determinant. This can calculate the fatigue reliability preventing the fatigue failure of a welding member. The failure block loading divided by the average daily truck traffic is a predictive remaining life by a day. Fatigue reliability analysis was carried out for the welding member of the bottom flange of a cross beam and the vertical stiffener of a steel box bridge by the proposed model. Results showed that the primary factor effecting failure time was crack opening stress. It was important to decide the crack opening stress for using the proposed model. Also according to the 50% reliability and 90%, 99.9% failure times were indicated.

A comparative study of different active heave compensation approaches

  • Zinage, Shrenik;Somayajula, Abhilash
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.373-397
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    • 2020
  • Heave compensation is a vital part of various marine and offshore operations. It is used in various applications, including the transfer of cargo between two vessels in the open ocean, installation of topsides of an offshore structure, offshore drilling and for surveillance, reconnaissance and monitoring. These applications typically involve a load suspended from a hydraulically powered winch that is connected to a vessel that is undergoing dynamic motion in the ocean environment. The goal in these applications is to design a winch controller to keep the load at a regulated height by rejecting the net heave motion of the winch arising from ship motions at sea. In this study, we analyze and compare the performance of various control algorithms in stabilizing a suspended load while the vessel is subjected to changing sea conditions. The KCS container ship is chosen as the vessel undergoing dynamic motion in the ocean. The negative of the net heave motion at the winch is provided as a reference signal to track. Various control strategies like Proportional-Derivative (PD) Control, Model Predictive Control (MPC), Linear Quadratic Integral Control (LQI), and Sliding Mode Control (SMC) are implemented and tuned for effective heave compensation. The performance of the controllers is compared with respect to heave compensation, disturbance rejection and noise attenuation.

A Robust Energy Consumption Forecasting Model using ResNet-LSTM with Huber Loss

  • Albelwi, Saleh
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권7호
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    • pp.301-307
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    • 2022
  • Energy consumption has grown alongside dramatic population increases. Statistics show that buildings in particular utilize a significant amount of energy, worldwide. Because of this, building energy prediction is crucial to best optimize utilities' energy plans and also create a predictive model for consumers. To improve energy prediction performance, this paper proposes a ResNet-LSTM model that combines residual networks (ResNets) and long short-term memory (LSTM) for energy consumption prediction. ResNets are utilized to extract complex and rich features, while LSTM has the ability to learn temporal correlation; the dense layer is used as a regression to forecast energy consumption. To make our model more robust, we employed Huber loss during the optimization process. Huber loss obtains high efficiency by handling minor errors quadratically. It also takes the absolute error for large errors to increase robustness. This makes our model less sensitive to outlier data. Our proposed system was trained on historical data to forecast energy consumption for different time series. To evaluate our proposed model, we compared our model's performance with several popular machine learning and deep learning methods such as linear regression, neural networks, decision tree, and convolutional neural networks, etc. The results show that our proposed model predicted energy consumption most accurately.

스파크에서 스칼라와 R을 이용한 머신러닝의 비교 (Comparison of Scala and R for Machine Learning in Spark)

  • 류우석
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 2023
  • 보건의료분야 데이터 분석 방법론이 기존의 통계 중심의 연구방법에서 머신러닝을 이용한 예측 연구로 전환되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 머신러닝 도구들을 살펴보고, 보건의료분야에서 많이 사용하고 있는 통계 도구인 R을 빅데이터 머신러닝에 적용하기 위해 R과 스파크를 연계한 프로그래밍 모델들을 비교한다. 그리고, R을 스파크 환경에서 수행하는 SparkR을 이용한 선형회귀모델 학습의 성능을 스파크의 기본 언어인 스칼라를 이용한 모델과 비교한다. 실험 결과 SparkR을 이용할 때의 학습 수행 시간이 스칼라와 비교하여 10~20% 정도 증가하였다. 결과로 제시된 성능 저하를 감안한다면 기존의 통계분석 도구인 R을 그대로 활용 가능하다는 측면에서 SparkR의 분산 처리의 유용성을 확인하였다.

Effect of bolt preloading on rotational stiffness of stainless steel end-plate connections

  • Yuchen Song;Brian Uy
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제48권5호
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    • pp.547-564
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    • 2023
  • This study investigates the effect of bolt preloading on the rotational stiffness of stainless steel end-plate connections. An experimental programme incorporating 11 full-scale joint specimens are carried out comparing the behaviours of fully pre-tensioned (PT) and snug-tightened (ST) flush/extended end-plate connections, made of austenitic or lean duplex stainless steels. It is observed from the tests that the presence of bolt preloading leads to a significant increase in the rotational stiffness. A parallel finite element analysis (FEA) validated against the test results demonstrates that the geometric imperfection of end-plate has a strong influence on the moment-rotation response of preloaded end-plate connections, which is crucial to explain the observed "two-stage" behaviour of these connections. Based on the data obtained from the tests and FE parametric study, the performance of the Eurocode 3 predictive model is evaluated, which exhibits a significant deviation in predicting the rotational stiffness of stainless steel end-plate connections. A modified bi-linear model, which incorporates three key properties, is therefore proposed to enable a better prediction. Finally, the effect of bolt preloading is demonstrated at the system (structure) level considering the serviceability of semi-continuous stainless steel beams with end-plate connections.

DRAM-PCM 하이브리드 메인 메모리에 대한 동적 다항식 회귀 프리페처 (Dynamical Polynomial Regression Prefetcher for DRAM-PCM Hybrid Main Memory)

  • ;김정근;김신덕
    • 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보처리학회 2020년도 추계학술발표대회
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    • pp.20-23
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    • 2020
  • This research is to design an effective prefetching method required for DRAM-PCM hybrid main memory systems especially used for big data applications and massive-scale computing environment. Conventional prefetchers perform well with regular memory access patterns. However, workloads such as graph processing show extremely irregular memory access characteristics and thus could not be prefetched accurately. Therefore, this research proposes an efficient dynamical prefetching algorithm based on the regression method. We have designed an intelligent prefetch engine that can identify the characteristics of the memory access sequences. It can perform regular, linear regression or polynomial regression predictive analysis based on the memory access sequences' characteristics, and dynamically determine the number of pages required for prefetching. Besides, we also present a DRAM-PCM hybrid memory structure, which can reduce the energy cost and solve the conventional DRAM memory system's thermal problem. Experiment result shows that the performance has increased by 40%, compared with the conventional DRAM memory structure.

Prediction of Larix kaempferi Stand Growth in Gangwon, Korea, Using Machine Learning Algorithms

  • Hyo-Bin Ji;Jin-Woo Park;Jung-Kee Choi
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we sought to compare and evaluate the accuracy and predictive performance of machine learning algorithms for estimating the growth of individual Larix kaempferi trees in Gangwon Province, Korea. We employed linear regression, random forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM algorithms to predict tree growth using monitoring data organized based on different thinning intensities. Furthermore, we compared and evaluated the goodness-of-fit of these models using metrics such as the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results revealed that XGBoost provided the highest goodness-of-fit, with an R2 value of 0.62 across all thinning intensities, while also yielding the lowest values for MAE and RMSE, thereby indicating the best model fit. When predicting the growth volume of individual trees after 3 years using the XGBoost model, the agreement was exceptionally high, reaching approximately 97% for all stand sites in accordance with the different thinning intensities. Notably, in non-thinned plots, the predicted volumes were approximately 2.1 m3 lower than the actual volumes; however, the agreement remained highly accurate at approximately 99.5%. These findings will contribute to the development of growth prediction models for individual trees using machine learning algorithms.

Prediction of compressive strength of sustainable concrete using machine learning tools

  • Lokesh Choudhary;Vaishali Sahu;Archanaa Dongre;Aman Garg
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2024
  • The technique of experimentally determining concrete's compressive strength for a given mix design is time-consuming and difficult. The goal of the current work is to propose a best working predictive model based on different machine learning algorithms such as Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Stacked Ensemble (SE), Distributed Random Forest (DRF), Extremely Randomized Trees (XRT), Generalized Linear Model (GLM), and Deep Learning (DL) that can forecast the compressive strength of ternary geopolymer concrete mix without carrying out any experimental procedure. A geopolymer mix uses supplementary cementitious materials obtained as industrial by-products instead of cement. The input variables used for assessing the best machine learning algorithm not only include individual ingredient quantities, but molarity of the alkali activator and age of testing as well. Myriad statistical parameters used to measure the effectiveness of the models in forecasting the compressive strength of ternary geopolymer concrete mix, it has been found that GBM performs better than all other algorithms. A sensitivity analysis carried out towards the end of the study suggests that GBM model predicts results close to the experimental conditions with an accuracy between 95.6 % to 98.2 % for testing and training datasets.

Effect of Silica Nanoparticles on Tear Strength of CR Compounds: A Comparison Study between the ASTM D470 and DIN VDE 0472-613

  • Changsin Park;Byeong-Rea Son;Gi-Bbeum Lee;Changwoon Nah
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • 제59권1호
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    • pp.34-41
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    • 2024
  • In this study, the effects of the type and content of silica on the mechanical and tear properties of chloroprene rubber (CR), which is mainly used as a jacket material for mining cables, were studied. The crosslinking density (ΔM) and reinforcing factor (αf) defined using cure characteristics increased with increasing silica content, whereas the cure rate decreased. The hardness, tensile strength, and modulus of the CR compounds increased depending on the silica content and structural development. The reinforcing behavior of the silica-filled CR compounds according to the silica type and content showed the best fit with the Thomas equation of the predictive model. Tear strength was evaluated using two standard test methods, ASTM D470 and DIN VDE 0472-613, and the results were compared. The tear strength increased as the silica content increased, regardless of the test method, and the different tear strengths obtained by the two standard test methods showed a linear relationship with each other, indicating a high correlation.

순환여과식 양식장 해수 열원 히트펌프 시스템의 전력 소비량 예측을 위한 인공 신경망 모델 (Power consumption prediction model based on artificial neural networks for seawater source heat pump system in recirculating aquaculture system fish farm)

  • 정현석;류종혁;정석권
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제60권1호
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    • pp.87-99
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    • 2024
  • This study deals with the application of an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict power consumption for utilizing seawater source heat pumps of recirculating aquaculture system. An integrated dynamic simulation model was constructed using the TRNSYS program to obtain input and output data for the ANN model to predict the power consumption of the recirculating aquaculture system with a heat pump system. Data obtained from the TRNSYS program were analyzed using linear regression, and converted into optimal data necessary for the ANN model through normalization. To optimize the ANN-based power consumption prediction model, the hyper parameters of ANN were determined using the Bayesian optimization. ANN simulation results showed that ANN models with optimized hyper parameters exhibited acceptably high predictive accuracy conforming to ASHRAE standards.