• Title/Summary/Keyword: life prediction method

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Life Analysis and Reliability Prediction of Micro-Switches based on Life Prediction Method

  • Ji, Jung-Geon;Shin, Kun-Young;Lee, Duk-Gyu;Song, Moon-Shuk;Lee, Hi-Sung
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2012
  • Reliability means that a product maintains its initial quality and performance at a certain period of time (time, distance, cycle etc) under given condition without failure. The given conditions include both environmental condition and operating condition. Environmental condition means a common natural environment such as temperature, humidity, vibration, and working condition means an artificial environment such as voltage, current load, place for installment, and hours of use, which occurs during the life of the product. In the field of railway vehicles, it is mandatory to use a part with the proved reliability as the extension of the life of vehicle become highly necessary. But the reliable assessment method for the reliability of the part is insufficient. If the reliability of the railway vehicle parts could be assessed by using the field data, the reliability of the entire system could also be evaluated reliably. In this study, life span of micro-switch for master controller is analyzed and prediction is performed based on its field data given by an operator considering the special circumstances of railway vehicles such as the operation of a large number of trains on the same line.

Severity Test of Road Surface Profile by Using the Fatigue Life Prediction Method (피로수명 예측법을 이용한 각 도로가 차량의 내구성에 미치는 가혹도 평가)

  • Jung, W.W.;Kang, S.S.
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.3 no.6
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    • pp.154-161
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    • 1995
  • There are several kinds of driving conditions according to the characteristic of each vehicle diver. Automaker produces vehicle strong enough to satisfy this several driving conditions at the point of vehicle durability. In order to develop the car in a short period, Automaker engineer tests vehicle at serveral accelerated durability test roads. Before testing the vehicle durability, test engineer must know how much this test road severe than general field road which is composed of high way, city road, paved road and unpaved road. This paper suggests two types of road severity test method that is using relative fatigue life prediction method and using absolute fatigue life prediction method, and also present the merits and demerits of two test methods.

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Creep Life Prediction of Friction Welded Joints (Cu-Alloy/STS316L) for Nuclear Power Plant (원자력 발전소용 마찰용접재 (Cu합금/STS316L)의 크리프 수명예측)

  • 유인종;공유식;오세규;김선진
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.258-263
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, the real-time prediction of high temperature creep life was carried out for the friction welded joints of dissimilar heat resistintg steels (CulCr0.5Zr-STS316L). Various life prediction methods such as LMP (Larson-Miller Parameter) and ISM (initial strain method) were applied. The creep behaviors of those steels and the welds under static load were examined by ISM combined with LMP at 300, 400 and 50$0^{\circ}C$, and the relationship between these two methods was investigated. A real-time creep life (tsub/r/, hr) prediction equation by initial strain ($\varepsilon_0$, %) under any creep stress ($\sigma$, MP$\alpha$) at any high temperature (T, K) was developed

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Evaluation on the Creep Life Prediction Using Initial Strain Method (초기 연신율법을 이용한 크리프 수명예측 평가)

  • Kong, Yu-Sik;Lim, Man-Bae;Lee, Sang-Pill;Yoon, Han-Ki;Oh, Sae-Kyoo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1069-1076
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    • 2002
  • The high temperature creep behavior of heat machine systems such as aircraft engines, boilers and turbines in power plants and nuclear reactor components have been considered as an important and needful fact. There are considerable research results available for the design of high temperature tube materials in power plants. However, few studies on the Initial Strain Method (ISM) capable of securing repair, maintenance, cost loss and life loss have been made. In this method, 3 long time prediction Of high temperature creep characteristics can be dramatically induced through a short time experiment. The purpose of present study is to investigate the high temperature creep lift of Udimet 720, SCM 440-STD61 and 1Cr-0.5Mo steel using the ISM. The creep test was performed at 40$0^{\circ}C$ to $700^{\circ}C$ under a pure loading. In the prediction of creep life for each materials, the equation of ISM was superior of Larson-Miller Parameter(LMP). Especially, the long time prediction of creep life was identified to improve the reliability.

Service Life Prediction for Building Materials and Components with Stochastic Deterioration (추계적 열화모형에 의한 건설자재의 사용수명 예측)

  • Kwon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2007
  • The performance of a building material degrades as time goes by and the failure of the material is often defined as the point at which the performance of the material reaches a pre-specified degraded level. Based on a stochastic deterioration model, a performance based service life prediction method for building materials and components is developed. As a stochastic degradation model, a gamma process is considered and lifetime distribution and service life of a material are predicted using the degradation model. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the use of the proposed service life prediction method.

Service Life Prediction of Components or Materials Based on Accelerated Degradation Tests (가속열화시험에 의한 부품·소재 사용수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Young Il
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Accelerated degradation tests can speed time to market and reduce the test time and costs associated with long term reliability tests to verify the required service life of a product or material. This paper proposes a service life prediction method for components or materials using an accelerated degradation tests based on the relationships between temperature and the rate of failure-causing chemical reaction. Methods: The relationship between performance degradation and the rate of a failure-causing chemical reaction is assumed and least square estimation is used to estimate model parameters from the degradation model. Results: Methods of obtaining acceleration factors and predicting service life using the degradation model are presented and a numerical example is provided. Conclusion: Service life prediction of a component or material is possible at an early stage of the degradation test by using the proposed method.

A Proposal of parameter Determination Method in the Residual Strength Degradation Model for the Prediction of Fatigue Life(II) (피로수명예측을 위한 잔류강도 저하모델의 파라미터 결정법 제안(II))

  • Kim, Sang-Tae;Jang, Seong-Su
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.25 no.9
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    • pp.1452-1460
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    • 2001
  • A new method of parameter determination in the fatigue residual strength degradation model is proposed. The new method and minimization technique is compared experimentally to account for the effect of tension-compression fatigue loading of spheroidal graphite cast iron and graphite/epoxy laminate. It is shown that the correlation between the experimental results and the theoretical prediction on the fatigue life and residual strength distribution using the proposed method is very reasonable. Therefore, the proposed method is more adjustable in the determination of the parameter than minimization technique for the prediction of the fatigue characteristics.

Investigation of random fatigue life prediction based on artificial neural network

  • Jie Xu;Chongyang Liu;Xingzhi Huang;Yaolei Zhang;Haibo Zhou;Hehuan Lian
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.435-449
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    • 2023
  • Time domain method and frequency domain method are commonly used in the current fatigue life calculation theory. The time domain method has complicated procedures and needs a large amount of calculation, while the frequency domain method has poor applicability to different materials and different spectrum, and improper selection of spectrum model will lead to large errors. Considering that artificial neural network has strong ability of nonlinear mapping and generalization, this paper applied this technique to random fatigue life prediction, and the effect of average stress was taken into account, thereby achieving more accurate prediction result of random fatigue life.

Life Analysis of Relays based on Life Prediction Method (수명예측 방법에 따른 계전기의 수명분석)

  • Shin, Kun-Young;Lee, Duk-Gyu;Lee, Hi Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 2012
  • In order to establish preventive maintenance standards through analysis & reliability prediction of about 60,000pcs of 20kindsof relays and contractors used for Seoul subway trains, several life prediction methodologies were applied. Firstly, Occurrence, Severity, Detection were defined and predicted by applying operation characteristic of EMU to the number of actions of relays & contactors which the manufacturers generally offer as the life cycle data. Secondly, failure distribution and average life of parts were analyzed through interpretation of field data based on a lot of experience which had built up in the field for a long time. Finally, using the 217PLUS standard as a reliability prediction program, comparative analysis of use reliability and inherent reliability was done through reliability prediction at the part level and system level.

Development of a Tool Life Prediction Program for Increasing Reliability of Cutting Tools (공구의 신뢰성 향상을 위한 수명 예측 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim Bong-Suk;Kang Tae-Han;Kang Jae-Hun;Song Jun-Yeob;Lee Soo-Hun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2005
  • The prediction for tool life is one of the most important factors for increasing reliability, stability, and productivity of manufacturing system. This paper deals with a tool life prediction method in view of reliability assessment for cutting tools. In this study, flank wear was focused among multi-factors deciding the tool wear state. First, tool life was predicted by correlation between flank wear and cutting time, based on the extended Taylor tool life equation of turning, including parameters of cutting speed, feed rate, and cutting depth. Second, each of cutting conditions of end-milling was equivalently converted to apply ball end-mill data to the extended Taylor equation. The web-based prediction program for tool life was developed as one of reliability assessment programs for machine tools.