• Title/Summary/Keyword: life prediction method

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Estimation of Tearing Energy for Fatigue Life Prediction of Rubber Material (고무의 피로 수명 예측을 위한 찢김에너지 수식화)

  • Kim, Ho;Kim, Heon-young
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.172-177
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    • 2004
  • Fatigue life prediction is based on fracture mechanics and database which is established from experimental method. Rubber material also uses the same way for fatigue life prediction. But the absence of standardization of rubber material, various way of composition by each rubber company and uncertainty of fracture criterion makes the design of fatigue life by experimental method almost impossible. Tearing energy which has its origin in energy release rate is evaluated as fracture criterion of rubber material and the applicability of fatigue life prediction method are considered. The system of measuring tearing energy using the principal of virtual crack extension method and fatigue life prediction by the minimum number of experiments are proposed.

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Method using XFEM and SVR to predict the fatigue life of plate-like structures

  • Jiang, Zhansi;Xiang, Jiawei
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.73 no.4
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    • pp.455-462
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    • 2020
  • The hybrid method using the extended finite element method (XFEM) and the forward Euler approach is widely employed to predict the fatigue life of plate structures. Due to the accuracy of the forward Euler approach is determined by a small step size, the performance of fatigue life prediction of the hybrid method is not agreeable. Instead the forward Euler approach, a prediction method using midpoint method and support vector regression (SVR) is presented to evaluate the stress intensity factors (SIFs) and the fatigue life. Firstly, the XFEM is employed to calculate the SIFs with given crack sizes. Then use the history of SIFs as a function of either number of fatigue life cycles or crack sizes within the current cycle to build a prediction model. Finally, according to the prediction model predict the SIFs at different crack sizes or different cycles. Three numerical cases composed by a homogeneous plate with edge crack, a composite plate with edge crack and center crack are introduced to verify the performance of the proposed method. The results show that the proposed method enables large step sizes without sacrificing accuracy. The method is expected to predict the fatigue life of complex structures.

High Efficiency Life Prediction and Exception Processing Method of NAND Flash Memory-based Storage using Gradient Descent Method (경사하강법을 이용한 낸드 플래시 메모리기반 저장 장치의 고효율 수명 예측 및 예외처리 방법)

  • Lee, Hyun-Seob
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.44-50
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    • 2021
  • Recently, enterprise storage systems that require large-capacity storage devices to accommodate big data have used large-capacity flash memory-based storage devices with high density compared to cost and size. This paper proposes a high-efficiency life prediction method with slope descent to maximize the life of flash memory media that directly affects the reliability and usability of large enterprise storage devices. To this end, this paper proposes the structure of a matrix for storing metadata for learning the frequency of defects and proposes a cost model using metadata. It also proposes a life expectancy prediction policy in exceptional situations when defects outside the learned range occur. Lastly, it was verified through simulation that a method proposed by this paper can maximize its life compared to a life prediction method based on the fixed number of times and the life prediction method based on the remaining ratio of spare blocks, which has been used to predict the life of flash memory.

Improvement of Long-term Creep Life Prediction Method of Gr. 91 steel for VHTR Pressure Vessel (초고온가스로 압력용기용 Gr. 91 강의 장시간 크리프 수명 예측 방법 개선)

  • Park, Jae-Young;Kim, Woo-Gon;EKAPUTRA, I.M.W.;Kim, Seon-Jin;Kim, Min-Hwan
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.64-69
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    • 2014
  • Gr. 91 steel is used for the major structural components of Generation-IV reactor systems, such as a very high temperature reactor(VHTR) and sodium-cooled fast reactor(SFR). Since these structures are designed for up to 60 years at elevated temperatures, the prediction of long-term creep life is important for a design application of Gr. 91 steel. In this study, a number of creep rupture data were collected through world-wide literature surveys, and using these data, the long-term creep life was predicted in terms of three methods: the single-C method in Larson-Miller(L-M) parameter, multi-C constant method in the L-M parameter, and a modified method("sinh" equation) in the L-M parameter. The results of the creep-life prediction were compared using the standard deviation of error value, respectively. Modified method proposed by the "sinh" equation revealed better agreement in creep life prediction than the single-C L-M method.

The Development of Life Prediction Method for Hot Forming Dies (열간단조용 금형형의 수명예측기법 개발)

  • 이진호;김병민
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 1998.06b
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 1998
  • In this study, two kinds of life prediction method for hot forming die are developed . One is empirical method requiring some experiment that evaluate thermal softening of die material accoring to operating conditions. The other is analyticl method that calcuate wear quantity of die occuring during the forming process. Wear is a predominant factor as well as plastic deformation and heat checking . And, these methods are applied to prodict tool life real die producting part for automobile. Thus , the applicability and the accuracy of the presented methods are investigated. Using the verified life prediction method above , optimal blocker die design minimizing the finisher die is done.

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Prediction model of service life for tunnel structures in carbonation environments by genetic programming

  • Gao, Wei;Chen, Dongliang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.373-389
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    • 2019
  • It is important to study the problem of durability for tunnel structures. As a main influence on the durability of tunnel structures, carbonation-induced corrosion is studied. For the complicated environment of tunnel structures, based on the data samples from real engineering examples, the intelligent method (genetic programming) is used to construct the service life prediction model of tunnel structures. Based on the model, the prediction of service life for tunnel structures in carbonation environments is studied. Using the data samples from some tunnel engineering examples in China under carbonation environment, the proposed method is verified. In addition, the performance of the proposed prediction model is compared with that of the artificial neural network method. Finally, the effect of two main controlling parameters, the population size and sample size, on the performance of the prediction model by genetic programming is analyzed in detail.

Fatigue Life Prediction by Elastic-Plastic Fracture mechanics for Surface Flaw Steel (표면결함재에 관한 탄소성 파괴역학에 의한 피로수명 예측)

  • Gang, Yong-Gu;Seo, Chang-Min;Lee, Jong-Sik
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.112-122
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    • 1995
  • In this work, prediction of fatigue life and fatigue crack growth are studied. 4th order polynominal function is presented to describe the crack growth behaviors from artifical pit of SM45C steel. Crack growth curves obtained from 4th order polyminal growth equations are in good agreement with experimental data The crack growth behaviors at arbitrary stress levels and investigated by the concept of elastic-plastic fracture mechanics using ${\Delta}J$. Fatigue life prediction are carried out by numerical integral method. Prediction lives obtained by proposed method in this study, is in good agreement with the experimental ones. Life prediction results calculated by using of ${\Delta}J$ better than those of ${\Delta}K$.

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A fuzzy residual strength based fatigue life prediction method

  • Zhang, Yi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.56 no.2
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    • pp.201-221
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    • 2015
  • The fatigue damage problems are frequently encountered in the design of civil engineering structures. A realistic and accurate fatigue life prediction is quite essential to ensure the safety of engineering design. However, constructing a reliable fatigue life prediction model can be quite challenging. The use of traditional deterministic approach in predicting the fatigue life is sometimes too dangerous in the real practical designs as the method itself contains a wide range of uncertain factors. In this paper, a new fatigue life prediction method is going to be proposed where the residual strength is been utilized. Several cumulative damage models, capable of predicting the fatigue life of a structural element, are considered. Based on Miner's rule, a randomized approach is developed from a deterministic equation. The residual strength is used in a one to one transformation methodology which is used for the derivation of the fatigue life. To arrive at more robust results, fuzzy sets are introduced to model the parameter uncertainties. This leads to a convoluted fuzzy based fatigue life prediction model. The developed model is illustrated in an example analysis. The calculated results are compared with real experimental data. The applicability of this approach for a required reliability level is also discussed.

Life Prediction by Lethargy Coefficient under Dynamic Load (동적인장하중시 무기력상수에 의한 수명 예측)

  • Kwon, S.J.;Song, J.H.;Kang, H.Y.;Yang, S.M.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 1997
  • Because of a complicated behavior of fatigue in mechanical structures, the analysis of fatigue is in need of much researches on life prediction. A method is developed for the dynamic tensile strength analysis by simple tensile test, which is for the failure life prediction by lethargy coefficient of various materials. Then it is programed to analyze the failure life prediction of mechanical system by virtue of fracture. Thus the dynamic tensile strength analysis is performed to evaluate life parameters as a numerical example, using the developed method.

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Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Litium-Ion Batteries Using EMD-CNN-LSTM Hybrid Method (EMD-CNN-LSTM을 이용한 하이브리드 방식의 리튬 이온 배터리 잔여 수명 예측)

  • Lim, Je-Yeong;Kim, Dong-Hwan;Noh, Tae-Won;Lee, Byoung-Kuk
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2022
  • This paper proposes a battery remaining useful life (RUL) prediction method using a deep learning-based EMD-CNN-LSTM hybrid method. The proposed method pre-processes capacity data by applying empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and predicts the remaining useful life using CNN-LSTM. CNN-LSTM is a hybrid method that combines convolution neural network (CNN), which analyzes spatial features, and long short term memory (LSTM), which is a deep learning technique that processes time series data analysis. The performance of the proposed remaining useful life prediction method is verified using the battery aging experiment data provided by the NASA Ames Prognostics Center of Excellence and shows higher accuracy than does the conventional method.