• Title/Summary/Keyword: life cycle risk assessment

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Methodology for Risk Assessment for Exposure to Hurricane Conditions

  • Edge, Billy L.;Jung, Kwang-Hyo
    • International Journal of Ocean System Engineering
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 2012
  • An analysis of potential flooding by storm surge and wave run-up and overtopping can be used to evaluate protection afforded by the existing storm protection system. The analysis procedure can also be used to evaluate various protection alternatives for providing typhoon flood protection. To determine risk, the storm surges for both historical and hypothetical are compiled with tide conditions to represent high, slack and low water for neap, spring and mid range tides to use with the statistical procedure known as the Empirical Simulations Technique (EST). The EST uses the historic and hypothetical events to generate a large population of life-cycle databases that are used to compute mean value maximum storm surge elevation frequency relationships. The frequency-of-occurrence relationship is determined for all relevant locations along the shoreline at appropriate locations to identify the effect using the Empirical Storm Simulation (EST). To assist with understanding the process, an example is presented for a study of storm surge analysis for Freeport, Texas. This location is in the Gulf of Mexico and is subject to hurricanes and other tropical storms that approach from the Atlantic Ocean.

Reliability Analysis of Axially Loaded Large-scale Pile Foundations (대형말뚝기초의 축하중 거동에 대한 수치해석기반 신뢰성 해석)

  • Huh, Jung-Won;Park, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Ju-Hyung;Ha, Sung-Han;Kwak, Ki-Seok;Chung, Moon-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2009.03a
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2009
  • Reliability analyses were performed to quantify the risk in axially loaded large-scale pile foundations in consideration of pile-soil interaction and uncertainties on various design variables. The finite difference method based on an equivalent soil spring model and a load transfer method and Monte Carlo simulation method are integrated in the framework of reliabilty analysis. The applicability and efficiency of the proposed method in the safety assessment of axially loaded pile-soil system was verified using a realistic example. Since the proposed method can explicitly consider uncertainties in various design variables, and quantify failure probability of a pile foundation, it can be used to estimate risk, to obtain basic informations for life cycle cost analysis, and to develop code requirements for a reliability-based design of pile foundations.

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Perspectives on the systematic review for the 2020 Dietary Reference Intakes for Koreans for calcium

  • Bu, So Young;Choi, Mi Ja;Choi, Da Seul;Jung, You-Mi;Jang, In-Sil;Yang, Narae;Kim, Kirang;Park, Clara Yongjoo
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.16 no.sup1
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    • pp.89-112
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    • 2022
  • An accurate assessment of the recommended calcium (Ca) intake may contribute to reducing the risk of fractures and chronic diseases, ultimately improving quality of life. This review was performed to summarize key findings of Ca studies, investigate the effect of Ca intake on health outcomes, and determine the adequacy of evidence to revise the 2015 Dietary Reference Intakes for Koreans (KDRIs) for Ca in 2020. Databases were searched for intervention studies that assessed health outcomes by providing Ca in diets or as supplements. The framework of the systematic review comprised conducting literature searches, data extraction, quality assessment of the literature, and summarizing key findings relevant to set the Estimated Average Requirement (EAR) and Tolerable Upper Intake Level (UL) for Ca for the 2020 KDRI. The final search was performed in June 2019. A total of 13,309 studies were identified through databases and manual search. Sixtyfive studies were included in the final quality assessment and were summarized according to health indicators. As bone health was used as an indicator of the EAR for Ca, literature reports on bone health were further categorized by the life-cycle stage of the participants. This systematic review did not find new evidence that could be applied to the general Korean adult population, including postmenopausal women, for defining a new EAR for Ca in the 2020 KDRIs. Evidence in most of the reviewed literature was considered weak; however, some evidence was found that could improve the criteria on how the EAR for Ca was determined in children and adolescents. A review of the literature for the 2020 KDRIs for Ca did not find strong evidence in order to change the recommended values of the 2015 KDRIs. More clinical interventions are required among Koreans to strengthen the body of evidence to warrant the revision of the KDRIs.

A study on the application of mission-based weapon system cybersecurity test and evaluation (임무 기반의 무기체계 사이버보안 시험평가 적용 연구)

  • Kim, Ik-jae;Kang, Ji-won;Shin, Dong-kyoo
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 2021
  • This paper examines the ongoing research on ways to improve cybersecurity during the entire life cycle of weapons systems applied in advanced countries such as the United States, analyzes restrictions on obtaining domestic weapons systems, and presents effective security evaluation measures. By consistently performing mission-based risk assessment in the cybersecurity test and evaluation plan suitable for domestic circumstances at all stages of acquisition, important information is provided to major decision-making organizations in a timely manner to support decision-making, and to respond to identified vulnerabilities in cybersecurity. It is proposed to set the rules of engagement so that the protection measures can be verified, and a simulated invasion is proposed. In addition, the proposed cybersecurity test and evaluation system was compared with the domestic weapon system test and evaluation. Through this, the mission-based risk assessment element was grafted into the cybersecurity test and evaluation system research conducted so far to identify risks in a timely manner between acquisition projects, thereby supplementing the capability to support major decision-making.

A Study on the Probabilistic Vulnerability Assessment of COTS O/S based I&C System (상용 OS기반 제어시스템 확률론적 취약점 평가 방안 연구)

  • Euom, Ieck-Chae
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.8
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to find out quantitative vulnerability assessment about COTS(Commercial Off The Shelf) O/S based I&C System. This paper analyzed vulnerability's lifecycle and it's impact. this paper is to develop a quantitative assessment of overall cyber security risks and vulnerabilities I&C System by studying the vulnerability analysis and prediction method. The probabilistic vulnerability assessment method proposed in this study suggests a modeling method that enables setting priority of patches, threshold setting of vulnerable size, and attack path in a commercial OS-based measurement control system that is difficult to patch an immediate vulnerability.

Evidence and suggestions for establishing vitamin D intake standards in Koreans for the prevention of chronic diseases

  • Kim, Jung Hyun;Park, Hyoung Su;Pae, Munkyong;Park, Kyung Hee;Kwon, Oran
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.16 no.sup1
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2022
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Vitamin D is produced in the skin during sun exposure and is also ingested from foods. The role of vitamin D needs to be considered in the prevention and management of various diseases. Moreover, since the majority of Koreans spend their days indoors, becoming susceptible to the risk of vitamin D deficiency. The current study aims to prepare a basis for determining dietary reference intake of vitamin D in Korea, by reviewing the evidence against various diseases and risks. MATERIALS/METHODS: Literature published in Korea and other countries between 2014 and 2018 was prioritized based on their study design and other criteria, and evaluated using the RoB 2.0 assessment form and United States Department of Agriculture Nutrition Evidence Library Conclusion Statement Evaluation Criteria. RESULTS: Of the 1,709 studies, 128 studies were included in the final systematic analysis after screening. To set the dietary reference intakes of vitamin D based on the selected articles, blood 25(OH)D levels and indicators of bone health were used collectively. Blood vitamin D levels and ultraviolet (UV) exposure time derived from the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were analyzed to establish the dietary reference intakes of vitamin D for each stage of the life cycle. The adequate intake levels of vitamin D, according to age and gender, were determined to be in the range of 5-15 ㎍/day, and the tolerable upper intake level was established at 25-100 ㎍/day. CONCLUSIONS: The most important variable for vitamin D nutrition is lifestyle. A balanced diet comprising foods with high contents of vitamin D is important, as is vitamin D synthesis after UV exposure. The adequate intake level of vitamin D mentioned in the 2015 Dietary Reference Intakes for Korean (KDRI) remained unchanged in the 2020 KDRI for the management of vitamin D nutrition in Koreans.

Integration of 3D Laser Scanner and BIM Process for Visualization of Building Defective Condition (3D 레이저 스캐닝과 BIM 연동을 통한 건축물 노후 상태 정보 시각화 프로세스)

  • Choi, Moonyoung;Kim, Sangyong;Kim, Seungho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.171-182
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    • 2022
  • The regular assessment of a building is important to understand structural safety and latent risk in the early stages of building life cycle. However, methods of traditional assessment are subjective, atypical, labor-intensive, and time-consuming and as such the reliability of these results has been questioned. This study proposed a method to bring accurate results using a 3D laser scanner and integrate them in Building Information Modeling (BIM) to visualize defective condition. The specific process for this study was as follows: (1) semi-automated data acquisition using 3D laser scanner and python script, (2) scan-to-BIM process, (3) integrating and visualizing defective conditions data using dynamo. The method proposed in this study improved efficiency and productivity in a building assessment through omitting the additional process of measurement and documentation. The visualized 3D model allows building facility managers to make more effective decisions. Ultimately, this is expected to improve the efficiency of building maintenance works.

Priority Analysis of Project Stage-wise Risk Factors : Focusing on New Product Development Projects in ICT Industry (프로젝트 단계별 리스크 요인들의 우선순위 분석 : ICT(정보통신기술)산업 분야의 신제품 개발 프로젝트를 중심으로)

  • Jang, Heeseok;Choi, Sungyong;Lee, Minho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.72-82
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we identify risk factors that are likely to occur during the lifecycle of a new product development (NPD) project from the literatures, and identify the three objectives or three constraints that will ultimately be achieved for project success in the ICT industry : performance (scope/quality), schedule (time), and cost. Firstly, we interviewed the project experts to classify the risk factors according that the final project objectives are changeable based on scope/quality, time and cost budget constraints. Secondly, the survey for pairwise comparisons between the risk factors was asked to the project managers and members who had ever actually participated in the NPD projects of ICT industry to determine the priority ranks on relative importance using AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process). The risk factors negatively affecting the goals of projects were analyzed by using the AHP respectively in four project stages during the life cycle of the project. The comparison of risk factors within each stage is a different approach unlike the literatures which have covered project's overall risk assessment. There is an advantage that risk management can be effectively performed with priorities according to each stage from the start to the end of the project. In other words, it is necessary to identify what risk factors will occur in each stage, and to have ideas at each stage with the priorities so that they can be mitigated and eliminated before actual occurrence. As a result, risks on scope & quality changes were found to be the most important considerations for initiative stage of NPD projects in the ICT industry, whereas in the final stage, risks on schedule (time) changes were the most important priorities. Among the ICT industry product categories, 'communication and broadcasting devices' and 'IT and communication based devices' generally have a high priority in terms of risks on scope & quality changes when initiating the project. At the closing stage of the project, however, considering that schedule (time) changeable risk is getting higher, these products tend to target at B2B market rather than B2C because the new products must be delivered and launched in time as customer firm required.

Framework of Security Development Method based on Component (컴포넌트기반 보안개발방법의 프레임워크)

  • Hong, Jin-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.926-930
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    • 2010
  • This paper is about a development framework, which is required to develop of security system is based on component. With applying of SDLC(system development life cycle) of information system, the application of information security products DLC is required at this point of time. In this paper, we review NIST requirement specification of development method, requirement criteria of SDLC in each stage, and major security guidelines of risk assessment. Also we are reviewed major security element of SDLC, and to aid understanding of security framework based on component, present the relationship fo security design and DFD in respect of spoofing for the outside entity based on threat tree STRIDE.

Long-Range Water Resources Prediction and Flood Risk Assessment using Climate Information (기후정보 활용 수자원 장기예측 및 중장기 홍수위험도 평가)

  • Yoon, Sunkwon;Choi, Jihyeok;Moon, Young-IL
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.17-17
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    • 2018
  • 재난발생 위험은 불확실성을 내포하고 있으며, 이러한 불확실성 요인을 줄이고 사전에 소멸시키는 일은 매우 중요한 사항이 될 수 있다. 또한 재난관리 관점에서 그것이 발생했을 때 어떤 식으로 대응할지에 대한 과정이 체계적으로 갖추어져 있어야 하며, 복구 및 재발 방지를 위한 지속적인 노력이 수반될 필요성이 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후정보를 활용한 중장기 수문예측을 실시하고 통합홍수위험평가 시스템 구축을 통한 홍수위험도 분석을 실시하였다. 이를 위하여 우리나라 243개 지자체를 대상으로 홍수관련 위해성, 노출성, 취약성 자료를 수집하여 표준화하였으며, 전문가 Delphi-AHP 설문조사 분석을 통하여 가중치를 적용하고 위험도를 예측 평가하였다. 이러한 중장기 위험 예측 정보는 한 달 또는 수개월 전에 지자체 행정력을 집중 및 분산시키고, 수재해(홍수/가뭄 등) 위험관리 계획 수립이 가능하여 재난관리자에게 유용한 정보로 활용될 수 있을 것이다. 또한 재난의 생애주기(Life Cycle)별 예방, 대비, 대응, 복구 단계에 따라 사전과 사후에 가능한 주요 활동들을 구체화 할 수 있으며, 시간 스케일별 기후예측 정보를 활용한 재난관리 패러다임 전환과 골든타임 확보 등 수자원예측 분야 기술적 진보를 이룰 수 있을 것으로 기대한다. 향후 통계 역학 모형 기반 중 장기 예측 정보의 신뢰도가 향상 된다면 보다 다양한 분야 예측 정보 서비스 및 활용이 가능할 것이다.

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