• Title/Summary/Keyword: learning curve model

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Online anomaly detection algorithm based on deep support vector data description using incremental centroid update (점진적 중심 갱신을 이용한 deep support vector data description 기반의 온라인 비정상 탐지 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Kibae;Ko, Guhn Hyeok;Lee, Chong Hyun
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.199-209
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    • 2022
  • Typical anomaly detection algorithms are trained by using prior data. Thus the batch learning based algorithms cause inevitable performance degradation when characteristics of newly incoming normal data change over time. We propose an online anomaly detection algorithm which can consider the gradual characteristic changes of incoming normal data. The proposed algorithm based on one-class classification model includes both offline and online learning procedures. In offline learning procedure, the algorithm learns the prior data to be close to centroid of the latent space and then updates the centroid of the latent space incrementally by new incoming data. In the online learning, the algorithm continues learning by using the updated centroid. Through experiments using public underwater acoustic data, the proposed online anomaly detection algorithm takes only approximately 2 % additional learning time for the incremental centroid update and learning. Nevertheless, the proposed algorithm shows 19.10 % improvement in Area Under the receiver operating characteristic Curve (AUC) performance compared to the offline learning model when new incoming normal data comes.

Classification Algorithm for Liver Lesions of Ultrasound Images using Ensemble Deep Learning (앙상블 딥러닝을 이용한 초음파 영상의 간병변증 분류 알고리즘)

  • Cho, Young-Bok
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.101-106
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    • 2020
  • In the current medical field, ultrasound diagnosis can be said to be the same as a stethoscope in the past. However, due to the nature of ultrasound, it has the disadvantage that the prediction of results is uncertain depending on the skill level of the examiner. Therefore, this paper aims to improve the accuracy of liver lesion detection during ultrasound examination based on deep learning technology to solve this problem. In the proposed paper, we compared the accuracy of lesion classification using a CNN model and an ensemble model. As a result of the experiment, it was confirmed that the classification accuracy in the CNN model averaged 82.33% and the ensemble model averaged 89.9%, about 7% higher. Also, it was confirmed that the ensemble model was 0.97 in the average ROC curve, which is about 0.4 higher than the CNN model.

Prediction model of hypercholesterolemia using body fat mass based on machine learning (머신러닝 기반 체지방 측정정보를 이용한 고콜레스테롤혈증 예측모델)

  • Lee, Bum Ju
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.413-420
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of the present study is to develop a model for predicting hypercholesterolemia using an integrated set of body fat mass variables based on machine learning techniques, beyond the study of the association between body fat mass and hypercholesterolemia. For this study, a total of six models were created using two variable subset selection methods and machine learning algorithms based on the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) data. Among the various body fat mass variables, we found that trunk fat mass was the best variable for predicting hypercholesterolemia. Furthermore, we obtained the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value of 0.739 and the Matthews correlation coefficient value of 0.36 in the model using the correlation-based feature subset selection and naive Bayes algorithm. Our findings are expected to be used as important information in the field of disease prediction in large-scale screening and public health research.

Fault Prediction Using Statistical and Machine Learning Methods for Improving Software Quality

  • Malhotra, Ruchika;Jain, Ankita
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.241-262
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    • 2012
  • An understanding of quality attributes is relevant for the software organization to deliver high software reliability. An empirical assessment of metrics to predict the quality attributes is essential in order to gain insight about the quality of software in the early phases of software development and to ensure corrective actions. In this paper, we predict a model to estimate fault proneness using Object Oriented CK metrics and QMOOD metrics. We apply one statistical method and six machine learning methods to predict the models. The proposed models are validated using dataset collected from Open Source software. The results are analyzed using Area Under the Curve (AUC) obtained from Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) analysis. The results show that the model predicted using the random forest and bagging methods outperformed all the other models. Hence, based on these results it is reasonable to claim that quality models have a significant relevance with Object Oriented metrics and that machine learning methods have a comparable performance with statistical methods.

Prediction model of peptic ulcer diseases in middle-aged and elderly adults based on machine learning (머신러닝 기반 중노년층의 기능성 위장장애 예측 모델 구현)

  • Lee, Bum Ju
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.289-294
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    • 2020
  • Peptic ulcer disease is a gastrointestinal disorder caused by Helicobacter pylori infection and the use of nonsteroid anti-inflammatory drugs. While many studies have been conducted to find the risk factors of peptic ulcers, there are no studies on the suggestion of peptic ulcer prediction models for Koreans. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to implement peptic ulcer prediction model using machine learning based on demographic information, obesity information, blood information, and nutritional information for middle-aged and elderly people. For model building, wrapper-based variable selection method and naive Bayes algorithm were used. The classification accuracy of the female prediction model was the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.712, and males showed an AUC of 0.674, which is lower than that of females. These results can be used for prediction and prevention of peptic ulcers in the middle and elderly people.

A Study on the Learning Curve and Productivity (한국 정유산업의 학습곡선과 생산성에 관한 연구)

  • 이종철;강규철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.20 no.43
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    • pp.175-195
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    • 1997
  • The learning curve has an important effect the growth of corporation. But, in Korea, the study and inference on the learning rate of each industry are unprepared, and so, Korean industires have difficult in productivity and cost. At this point, this study infers the learning rate of the oil industries and investigates the productivity and growth of them. In conclusion, this study presents the direction of the oil industries' development. With the intention of this objects, this study seizes the status which is concerned the total quantity, the operating rate, the plant capacity, the indicators concerning productivity, the investment of R & D and the scales, and then, infers and verifies the relevancy in connection with the learning rate. In the oil industry, the average rate of learning is 65.96% from 1982 to 1994 which the total quantity and the average operation time are used to infer the rate. To observe the low rate within a same period of time, this study takes the consequences that the learning rate is almost indentical with them each year. This steady state is caused by a difference between the employee and the decision maker about the acquirement and assimiliated of technology. When the high-quality technologies posses the environment to applicate in the scene of labor with them, this technology applies to the productivities. As the learning rate increases, the productivity has more effectiveness. The result of analysis about the effectiveness of the learning rate follows that the R & D unfoldes to exist and does not contribute to the growth of the oil industry. To analyze the variables of the growth, such as the learning rate, the investement of R & D, the operating rate and the gross value added to property, plant and equipment, the model is established and examined. The business strategy in the oil industry must be developed to achive the internal growth as well as the external.

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Review of Statistical Methods for Evaluating the Performance of Survival or Other Time-to-Event Prediction Models (from Conventional to Deep Learning Approaches)

  • Seo Young Park;Ji Eun Park;Hyungjin Kim;Seong Ho Park
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.1697-1707
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    • 2021
  • The recent introduction of various high-dimensional modeling methods, such as radiomics and deep learning, has created a much greater diversity in modeling approaches for survival prediction (or, more generally, time-to-event prediction). The newness of the recent modeling approaches and unfamiliarity with the model outputs may confuse some researchers and practitioners about the evaluation of the performance of such models. Methodological literacy to critically appraise the performance evaluation of the models and, ideally, the ability to conduct such an evaluation would be needed for those who want to develop models or apply them in practice. This article intends to provide intuitive, conceptual, and practical explanations of the statistical methods for evaluating the performance of survival prediction models with minimal usage of mathematical descriptions. It covers from conventional to deep learning methods, and emphasis has been placed on recent modeling approaches. This review article includes straightforward explanations of C indices (Harrell's C index, etc.), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, calibration plot, other methods for evaluating the calibration performance, and Brier score.

Use of a Machine Learning Algorithm to Predict Individuals with Suicide Ideation in the General Population

  • Ryu, Seunghyong;Lee, Hyeongrae;Lee, Dong-Kyun;Park, Kyeongwoo
    • Psychiatry investigation
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.1030-1036
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    • 2018
  • Objective In this study, we aimed to develop a model predicting individuals with suicide ideation within a general population using a machine learning algorithm. Methods Among 35,116 individuals aged over 19 years from the Korea National Health & Nutrition Examination Survey, we selected 11,628 individuals via random down-sampling. This included 5,814 suicide ideators and the same number of non-suicide ideators. We randomly assigned the subjects to a training set (n=10,466) and a test set (n=1,162). In the training set, a random forest model was trained with 15 features selected with recursive feature elimination via 10-fold cross validation. Subsequently, the fitted model was used to predict suicide ideators in the test set and among the total of 35,116 subjects. All analyses were conducted in R. Results The prediction model achieved a good performance [area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)=0.85] in the test set and predicted suicide ideators among the total samples with an accuracy of 0.821, sensitivity of 0.836, and specificity of 0.807. Conclusion This study shows the possibility that a machine learning approach can enable screening for suicide risk in the general population. Further work is warranted to increase the accuracy of prediction.

Predictive of Osteoporosis by Tree-based Machine Learning Model in Post-menopause Woman (폐경 여성에서 트리기반 머신러닝 모델로부터 골다공증 예측)

  • Lee, In-Ja;Lee, Junho
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.495-502
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the prevalence of osteoporosis was predicted based on 10 independent variables such as age, weight, and alcohol consumption and 4 tree-based machine-learning models, and the performance of each model was compared. Also the model with the highest performance was used to check the performance by clearing the independent variable, and Area Under Curve(ACU) was utilized to evaluate the performance of the model. The ACU for each model was Decision tree 0.663, Random forest 0.704, GBM 0.702, and XGBoost 0.710 and the importance of the variable was shown in the order of age, weight, and family history. As a result of using XGBoost, the highest performance model and clearing independent variables, the ACU shows the best performance of 0.750 with 7 independent variables. This data suggests that this method be applied to predict osteoporosis, but also other various diseases. In addition, it is expected to be used as basic data for big data research in the health care field.

Methodology of Valuing Economics of Offshore Wind Power System Using Learning Curve Model (학습곡선모형을 이용한 해상풍력발전의 경제성평가 기법)

  • Park, Min-Hyug;Lee, Jae-Gul;Kim, Jung-Ju
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.353-356
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    • 2007
  • 환경규제 강화와 화석연료에 대한 대안으로 신/재생에너지에 대한 관심이 고조 되고 있다. 그 중 하나인 풍력발전은 각국마다 풍황 조건과 정책에 의해 다양한 시장을 만들어 내고 있다. 본 연구는 해상풍력발전시스템의 투자 전망에 대하여 기존의 재무적 평가기법에 학습곡선효과를 가미하는 방법론을 제시하고자 하였다. NPV 등의 가치 평가기법이 할인된 현금흐름 분석을 하는 것이라면 이에 더하여 현금의 유출에 있어서 학습율을 반영한 원가를 반영하는 것이 제시하고자 하는 연구 방법론의 핵심이다. 해상풍력발전을 투자자 입장에서 모의 해본 결과 국내 풍력발전은 80% 학습율 수준 정도의 혁신적 개선 없이는 투자 타당성을 찾기 어려우며 이러한 현실적인 문제점을 정책적으로 보완해야 할 수 있는 것이 발전가격을 중심으로 하는 정부의 지원제도임을 제시 하였다.

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