• 제목/요약/키워드: labor force participation rate

검색결과 41건 처리시간 0.02초

노동력수급의 요인분석과 전망 (An Empirical Analysis of The Determinants and Long-term Projections for The Demand and Supply of Labor force)

  • 김중수
    • 한국인구학
    • /
    • 제9권1호
    • /
    • pp.41-53
    • /
    • 1986
  • The purpose of this paper is two-fold. One is to investigate the determinants of the demand supply of labor, and another is to project long-term demand and supply of labor. The paper consists of three parts. In the first part, theoretical models and important hypotheses are discussed: for the case of a labor supply model, issues regarding discouraged worker model, permanent wage hypothesis, and relative wage hypothesis are examined and for the case of a demand model, issues regarding estimating an employment demand equation within the framework of an inverted short-run produc- tion function are inspected. Particularly, a theoretical justification for introducing a demographic cohort variable in a labor supply equation is also investigated. In the second part, empirical results of the estimated supply and demand equations are analyzed. Supply equations are specified differently between primary and secondary labor force. That is, for the case of primary labor force groups including males aged 25 and over, attempts are made to explain the variations in participation behavior within the framework of a neo-classical economics oriented permanent wage hypothesis. On the other hand, for the case of females and young male labor force, variations in participation rates are explained in terms of a relative wage hypothesis. In other words, the participation behavior of primary labor force is related to short-rum business fluctuations, while that of secondary labor force is associated with intermediate swings of business cycles and demographic changes in the age structure of population. Some major findings arc summarized as follows. (1) For the case of males aged 14~19 and 2O~24 groups and females aged 14∼19, the effect of schhool enrollment rate is dominant and thus it plays a key role in explaining the recent declining trend of participation rates of these groups. (2) Except for females aged 20∼24, a demographic cohort variable, which captures the impact of changes in the age structure on participation behavior, turns out to show positive and significant coefficients for secondary labor force groups. (3) A cyclical variable produce significant coefficients for prime-age males and females reflecting that as compared to other groups the labor supply behavior of these groups is more closely related to short-run cyclical variations (4) The wage variable, which represents a labor-leisure trade-off turns out to yield significant coefficients only for older age groups (6O and over) for both males and females. This result reveals that unlike the experiences of other higer-income nations, the participation decision of the labor force of our nation is not highly sensitive with respect to wage changes. (5)The estimated result of the employment demand equation displays that given that the level of GNP remains constant the ability of the economy to absord labor force has been declining;that is, the elasticity of GNP with respect to labor absorption decreasre over time. In the third part, the results of long-term projections (for the period of 1986 and 1995) for age-sex specific participation rates are discussed. The participation rate of total males is anticipated to increase slightly, which is contrary to the recent trend of declining participation rates of this group. For the groups aged 25 and below, the participation rates are forecast to decline although the magnitude of decrease is likely to shrink. On the other hand, the participation rate of prime- age males (25 to 59 years old) is predicted to increase slightly during 1985 and 1990. For the case of females, except for 20∼24 and 25∼34 age groups, the participation rates are projected to decrease: the participation rates of 25∼34 age group is likely to remain at its current level, while the participation rate of 20∼24 age group is expected to increase considerably in the future (specifi- cally, from 55% in 1985 to 61% in 1990 and to 69% in 1995). In conclusion, while the number of an excess supply of labor will increase in absolute magnitude, its size as a ratio of total labor force is not likely to increase. However, the age composition of labor force is predicted to change; that is, the proportion of prime-age male and female labor force is projected to increase.

  • PDF

성인여성의 경제활동 참가 및 노동이동 의사의 상호관련성 (Woman's Labor Force Participation and Mobility Willingness in the Labor Market)

  • 김순미
    • 대한가정학회지
    • /
    • 제36권1호
    • /
    • pp.65-79
    • /
    • 1998
  • The purposes of this study were to establish a conceptual model on the woman's labor force participation and mobility in the labor market and to analyze the correlation between them. Included in those models were two independent variable sets. The one was related to household's financial conditions and the other was associated to the woman's role such as marital status, the number of children and the existence of young children. KHPS's national data was used and the Binomial Probit Model and Bivariate Probit Model were employed to analyse the effects of independent variables and the correlations between two dependent variables. The results of this study were as follows. The rate of women's labor force participation and the percentage of mobility willingness were 15.4% and 22.0%. Among the variables which have affected women's labor force participation were total wage income, non-wage income, expenditure on children's education and the subject judgement of their financial status. The existence of children under the age of 6 and marital status had significant influences on women's mobility willingness. The correlation between women's labor force participation and mobility willingness was very significant statistically. These findings clarified the status of woman as a secondary worker and pointed that a woman's economic activity would be subject to the woman's condition rather than her human capital.

  • PDF

여성근로자의 노동시장 및 작업환경 특성 연구 - 성인지적 비교분석으로 통해 본 - (A Study on Characteristics of Labor Force Participation Rate and Work Environment of Female Workers)

  • 이관형
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제28권5호
    • /
    • pp.78-82
    • /
    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to review the labor force partitpation rate and work environment characteristics of female workers to provide basic information for establishment and implementation of effective policies related to accident prevention and workers health protection for female workers. It was analyzed employment status, work environment and injuries and illnesses based on economic activity census results, compensation of industrial injury and the second working condition survey. According to economic activity census results, female labor force participation rate has been steadily increased, whereas male labor force participation rate has been decreased since 1970. Industrial accident rate has been declined in male workers but that in female workers has been steadily increased even though male workers were higher accident rate than female workers. It was evaluated that female workers are vulnerable to industrial injuries and illnesses in the aspect of their working environment and employment status. Also, Substantial differences between female and male workers in occupational exposure patterns, occupational disease and occupational environments were observed. Therefore it was recommended that special care programs for female workers such as a specialized monitoring and management program should be introduced in the near future.

여성의 경제활동참가율이 출산율에 미치는 영향 : OECD 국가를 대상으로 (The Effects of Female Labor Force Participation, Family Policies, and Gender Equality on Fertility Rate : Focused on OECD Countries)

  • 홍성희
    • 가족자원경영과 정책
    • /
    • 제25권2호
    • /
    • pp.41-52
    • /
    • 2021
  • 본 연구의 목적은 여성의 경제활동참가율과 가족정책변수, 양성평등가치변수가 출산율에 미치는 영향을 규명하는 것이다. 이를 위해 1990년부터 2019년까지 30년 간 OECD회원국의 출산율 자료와 UNDP 자료, World Value Survey 자료를 시계열로 결합한 패널데이터를 분석하였다. 종속변수인 출산율에 영향을 미치는 독립변수는 1단계에서 여성의 경제활동참가율과 통제변수를 투입하였고, 가족정책변수, 양성 평등가치변수 순으로 변수를 추가하면서 각 변수들의 변화를 비교하였다. 주요 분석 결과 첫째, 여성의 경제활동참가율은 각 모형에서 출산율에 양의 영향을 보였다. 즉, 여성의 경제활동참가로 인해 출산율이 감소되는 현상이 나타나지 않았다. 둘째, 가족정책변수인 부성 출산휴가기간이 출산율에 정적 영향을, 모성 출산휴가기간이 부적 영향을 미치는 상반된 효과를 보였다. 셋째, 양성평등가치변수인 성불평등지수가 높은 국가에서 출산율이 높았다. 또한 성평등 가치 수준이 높은 국가일수록 출산율이 낮았으며, 성평등 가치관을 3개 하위지표로 분리하여 분석했을 때 대학교육의 중요성에 양성 평등한 가치를 보일수록 출산율이 낮았다. 여성의 경제활동참가율이 출산율에 정적 영향을 미친 결과는 경제활동이 저출산의 원인이 아니며, 경제활동참여와 출산율이 동시에 상승할 수 있음을 보여준다. 또한 남녀의 출산휴가와 같은 정책적 지원, 그리고 남녀의 성평등 가치가 출산율을 조절할 수 있는 요인임이 확인되었다. 따라서 출산율은 가족의 시간, 소득 등 자원에 대한 배분과 관리, 자녀양육분담의 차원에서 이루어지는 의사결정이나 이를 지원하는 가족정책과 성평등 가치가 통용되는 사회적 기반 위에서 제고될 수 있을 것이다.

기혼 여성의 경제활동참가 행동변화 분석: 1980-2005 (Changes in Labor Force Participation of Married Women in Korea: 1980-2005)

  • 권정현
    • 노동경제논집
    • /
    • 제31권2호
    • /
    • pp.129-156
    • /
    • 2008
  • 이 논문은 1980~2005년까지 기혼여성의 경제활동참가 행동의 변화에 대해 통계청의 인구주택총조사 마이크로 샘플 데이터를 이용하여 분석하였다. 기혼 여성의 경제활동참가는 꾸준한 증가를 보였으며, 특히 고학력 대졸 여성의 경제활동참가가 빠르게 증가해 왔다. 또한 남성 배우자가 고학력인 기혼 여성의 경제활동참가가 증가해, 기존의 기혼 여성 경제활동의 주요 특징이었던 "고학력일수록 낮은 수준의 경제활동참가"와 다른 패턴을 보인다. 이러한 변화는 분석에 포함된 기혼 여성 가운데에서도 최근 코호트에게서 강하게 나타난다. 배우자의 특성이 기혼 여성의 경제활동참가 결정에 있어 영향력이 줄어들고 있는 반면, 자녀의 존재는 여전히 기혼 여성의 경제활동참가의 장애 요인으로 나타난다.

  • PDF

여성인구변동과 노동시장 (The Effects of Demographic Factors on the Change of Female Labor Market)

  • 장지연
    • 한국인구학
    • /
    • 제21권2호
    • /
    • pp.5-36
    • /
    • 1998
  • 본 논문은 지난 30여년간 여성노동시장의 변화의 추이를 출산력 감소 등 인구학적 요인의 변화의 영향을 중심으로 살펴 보았다. 여성의 경제활동 참가율에 영향을 미칠 것으로 여겨지는 인구학적 요인들로는 교육, 혼인상태, 출산 등이 중요하다. 여성의 학력 수준이 평균적으로 높아지고, 결혼을 늦게 하는 추세이며, 자녀 수는 줄어드는 추세이다. 이러한 경향이 인구의 구성에 미치는 영향은 경제활동가능인구 중 고학력 여성의 비율이 증가하고 어린 자녀를 둔 여성의 비율은 줄었으며, 기혼 여성의 비율은 큰 변화가 없는 상황이다. 이러한 인구 구성의 변화가 여성의 경제활동참가율을 증가 시킨 것은 사실이다. 이에 더하여, 같은 인구학적 특성을 갖는 여성 집단의 노동력공급행태도 변화하였다. 고학력으로 분류할 수 있는 고졸, 대졸 여성의 경제활동참여율이 초졸, 중졸 여성의 참여율보다 빠르게 증가하였고, 혼인하여 배우자가 있는 여성의 경제활동참가율이 미혼여성의 그것보다 빨랐다. 출산이 경제활동참여를 억제하는 정도도 줄어든 것 같다. 즉, 지난 30년간 여성인구구성의 변화나 행위양식의 변화는 여성의 경제활동의 증가를 지원하는 방향으로 변하였다. 그러나 경기가 하강국면에 접어들 때, 여성은 더 먼저 노동시장 밖으로 밀려나는 경향이 있으며, 이 때 저연령, 저학력 등 인적자본이 열세인 여성, 그리고 여성노동자의 비율이 높은 산업, 직업에 속해 있는 여성이 더욱 취약한 것으로 보인다.

  • PDF

증감 노동생명표에 의한 노동기대여명의 측정과 전망 (Estimation and Projection of Work-life Expectancy by Increment/Decrement Work-Life Table Method)

  • 박경애;최기홍
    • 한국인구학
    • /
    • 제29권3호
    • /
    • pp.51-72
    • /
    • 2006
  • 우리나라의 노동생명표 대부분은 Wolfbein & Wool의 전통적 방법에 의해 작성되고 있다. 그러나 여성의 경제활동참가율이 M자 형태를 보이므로, 이러한 방법은 여성의 노동기대여명 측정에 부적합하다. 한편. 증감 노동생명표는 여성에게도 동일하게 적용될 수 있으나, 개인의 경제활동 상태 전이에 대한 자료가 필요하다. 본 연구는 Garfinkle과 Pollard et al.의 노동생명표가 Hoem, Schoen & Woodrow에 의해 개발되고, 미국 노동통계국이 채택하고 있는 증감 노동생명표와 본질적으로 동일하다는 점을 보여주고 있다. 또한 이들의 노동생명표는 전통적인 방법에 의한 생명표와 마찬가지로 일반적인 증감노동생명표처럼 개인의 경제활동 상태간 전이확률을 추정하지 않고, 공표된 거시적 경제활동참가율을 사용할 수 있는 장점이 있음을 보여주고 있다. 아울러, 통계청이 발표한 2000-2050년의 간이생명표를 바탕으로 성 연령별 경제활동참가율 전망치를 추정하고, Garfinkle-Pollard의 증감 노동생명표 방법론에 의한 노동기대여명을 전망하였다. 그 결과 2000년에서 2050년 동안 65세의 노동기대여명은 남자 5.8년에서 7.7년, 여자 4.1년에서 5.1년으로 증가되었다. 그러나, 65세 이상 고령자의 경우는 자료처리 방법 및 향후 사망확률 가정에 따라 노동기대여명이 다소 차이를 보였다. 정확한 노동기대여명의 측정 및 전망을 위해서는 고령자의 경제활동에 대한 상세한 자료가 필요함은 물론, 향후 사망력 가정에 대한 심층 연구가 수반되어야 할 것이다.

What Causes Children to Work in Indonesia?

  • SANDRA, Heri;MAJID, M. Shabri Abd.;DAWOOD, Taufiq C.;HAMID, Abdul
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제7권11호
    • /
    • pp.585-593
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study contributes to the existing literature by empirically exploring the causes of child labor in the Indonesian labor market. Factors identified include rate of poverty, average wages, education participation, and quality of education. This study utilized an aggregate data of 301 districts and cities across 34 provinces sourced from the National Labor Force Survey and the National School/Madrasah Accreditation Board of the Republic of Indonesia. Using a multiple regression analysis, the study found strong evidence of the positive effect of poverty on child labor. Conversely, the study documented the adverse impact of average wages on child labor in Indonesia. Similarly, the participation in the education system also contributed negatively to the child labor. Finally, the quality of education services is found to have a negative effect on child labor in Indonesia. The findings of this study suggest that, in efforts to reduce the involvement of children in the workforce, the poverty eradication program should be enhanced. The wages should be continuously improved, at least, in par with the changes in prices. Finally, the quality of education and its services ought to be further enhanced to attract more child student participation rates across junior high schools nationwide.

지역 합계출산율에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석: 횡단면 의존성을 고려한 모형을 이용하여 (Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Total Fertility Rate: Using a Model Considering Cross-sectional Dependence)

  • 김소연;류수열
    • 아태비즈니스연구
    • /
    • 제15권1호
    • /
    • pp.335-352
    • /
    • 2024
  • Purpose - Low fertility rate is a serious problem, and this study analyzes factors affecting total fertility rate using panel data from 16 metropolitan cities and provinces in Korea from 2000 to 2022. Design/methodology/approach - Estimating the SAR model considering the weak cross-sectional dependence that exists in variables related to the regional total fertility rate, and using the DKSE estimation method considering the strong cross-sectional dependence. Findings - Estimation results considering weak and strong cross-sectional dependence were similar, confirming the robustness of the results. Female labor force participation rate has a positive effect on total fertility rate, and employment rate has no effect. However, the interaction term is a negative (-) sign. Crude marriage rate has a positive effect on total fertility rate, and apartment price has a slightly positive effect. Environmental factor has no effect, and policy factor has a negative effect. Research implications or Originality - In order for an increase in the female labor force participation rate to lead to an increase in the total fertility rate, qualitative improvements in female employment must be made. Financial investment policies for childbirth must increase their effectiveness. The problem of low fertility rate requires not only population policy but also social, economic, cultural, environmental, and policy conditions to be considered.

편모가계 여성가장의 취업 및 가계의 경제상태 : 양부모 가계와의 비교 분석 (Female-Heads' Employment and Household Economic Status of the Single-Mother Households)

  • 이성림
    • 가정과삶의질연구
    • /
    • 제22권1호
    • /
    • pp.169-179
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study investigated female-head's employment and household economic status of the single-mother households compared to those in the two-parent households using the data from the Korean Labor and Income Panel Study. Major findings are: first, female-heads showed lower educational attainment, lower labor force participation rate, lower occupational status, and lower wage rates than male-heads; second, the level of household income was as 1.3 times as the Minimum Living Cost and the level of household expenditure was close to the Minimum Living Cost; third, one-thirds of single-mother households were in poverty. Based on the results, the implications to public policy were suggested.