• Title/Summary/Keyword: kriging analysis

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A Study on Rainfall Regional Frequency Analysis Based A Bayesian Hierarchical Kriging Approach (Bayesian Hierarchical Kriging 기법을 이용한 강우지역빈도해석 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.466-466
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    • 2015
  • 지역빈도해석은 수문학에서 오랜 역사를 갖고 있으며, 수년에 걸쳐 수문학적 변량의 정량적 추정을 위해 다양한 접근방법들이 제안되어 왔다. 그러나 제안된 방법들의 가설설정 수준이 높기 때문에 실제 적용에 제약이 많고, 적용 시에도 예측에 대한 불확실성이 높은 문제점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점을 개선하기 위한 방법으로 계층적 베이지안 모델을 이용한 지역빈도해석 모형을 제안하고자 한다. 본 모형은 2개의 계층적 구조로 구성된다. 첫번째 계층은 재현기간별 GEV 분포의 매개변수를 정규화하여 주변분포로 설정하고, Kriging 기법을 이용하여 지형학적, 기상학적 정보들과 극치강수량 효과를 적합시켜 공간적 이질성과 미계측 유역에 대한 효과적인 보간을 가능하게 한다. 두번째 계층은 지점의 특성을 나타내는 매개변수들간의 공분산을 Bayesian 모델에 연계하여 매개변수들의 공간적 변동성을 나타낸다. 2개 계층의 결합확률분포는 MCMC 기법을 이용하여 예측값에 대한 불확실성을 정량적으로 분석하게 된다. 본 모형을 통해 홍수량 추정 시 필요한 시간 단위 극치강수량의 공간적 분포를 효과적으로 추정할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Improvement on optimal design of dynamic absorber for enhancing seismic performance of nuclear piping using adaptive Kriging method

  • Kwag, Shinyoung;Eem, Seunghyun;Kwak, Jinsung;Lee, Hwanho;Oh, Jinho;Koo, Gyeong-Hoi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.1712-1725
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    • 2022
  • For improving the seismic performance of the nuclear power plant (NPP) piping system, attempts have been made to apply a dynamic absorber (DA). However, the current piping DA design method is limited because it cannot provide the globally optimum values for the target design seismic loading. Therefore, this study proposes a seismic time history analysis-based DA optimal design method for piping. To this end, the Kriging approach is introduced to reduce the numerical cost required for seismic time history analyses. The appropriate design of the experiment method is used to increase the efficiency in securing response data. A gradient-based method is used to efficiently deal with the multi-dimensional unconstrained optimization problem of the DA optimal design. As a result, the proposed method showed an excellent response reduction effect in several responses compared to other optimal design methods. The proposed method showed that the average response reduction rate was about 9% less at the maximum acceleration, about 5% less at the maximum value of the response spectrum, about 9% less at the maximum relative displacement, and about 4% less at the maximum combined stress compared to existing optimal design methods. Therefore, the proposed method enables an effective optimal DA design method for mitigating seismic response in NPP piping in the future.

A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS METHOD FOR ESTIMATING GROUNDWATER CONTAMINANT CONCENTRATION

  • LEE, YOUNG CHEON
    • Honam Mathematical Journal
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2004
  • A practical estimation method for groundwater contaminant concentration is introduced. Using geostatistical techniques and symmetry, experimental variograms show significant improved correlation compared with those from conventional techniques. Numrical experiments are performed using a field data set.

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Synthesis of Radar Measurements and Ground Measurements using the Successive Correction Method(SCM) (연속수정법을 이용한 레이더 자료와 지상 강우자료의 합성)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Jun;Choi, Jeong-Ho;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.7
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    • pp.681-692
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    • 2008
  • This study investigated the application of the successive correction method(SCM), a simple data assimilation method, for synthesizing the radar and rain gauge data. First, the number of iteration and influence radius for the SCM application were decided based on their sensitivity analysis. Also, for the evaluation of synthetic rainfall, the distributed rainfall field using the dense rainfall gauge network was assumed to be the true one. The synthetic rainfall field based on the SCM was also compared quantitatively with the one based on the co-Kriging frequently used nowadays. As the results, the SCM, a simple and economical data assimilation method, was found to secure the accuracy and statistical characteristics of the co-Kriging application.

Aquifer Transmissivity Estimation with Kriging Techniques and Numerical Model in the LAN (Kriging기법과 수치모형에 의한 이안지구 대수층의 투수량계수 추정)

  • 조웅현;박영기;김환홍
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Groundwater Environment
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 1994
  • One of the delicate problems in aquifer management is the identification of the spatial distribution of tile hydrological parameters. The observed data are insufficient to identify the distribution of transmissivities in LAN aquifer. To determine the distribution of the transmissivity in LAN aquifer, it would be required to transform the observed heads at the pilot points into transmissivities. Therefore, three procedures wire tackled for the identification of the spatial distribution of the hydrological parameters; geostatistical estimate of the parameter field on the basis of known well point, heads reconstructed by a numerical model, and modification of the values at pilot points by a minimization algorithm. The variogram of Kriging has been applied to a total of 258 transmissivity value in attempt to quantify their distribution of LAN aquifer. Variogram of the observed and optimized transmissivities at pilot points are adapted to the exponential form. So, it is fitted by theoretical one with coefficients of w=0.623, a=2.743. Values of head obtained through numerical analysis are adjusted to the observed values so that heads have been transformed completely into the transmissivities at the observation wells. The procedure represented contour map of the estimated transmissivities and the calculated head.

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Investigation of Indicator Kriging for Evaluating Proper Rock Mass Classification based on Electrical Resistivity and RMR Correlation Analysis (RMR과 전기비저항의 상관성 해석에 기초하여 지시크리깅을 적용한 최적 암반 분류 기법 고찰)

  • Lee, Kyung-Ju;Ha, Hee-Sang;Ko, Kwang-Buem;Kim, Ji-Soo
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.407-420
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    • 2009
  • In this study geostatistical technique using indicator kriging was performed to evaluate the optimal rock mass classification by integrating the various geophysical information such as borehole data and geophysical data. To get the optimal kriging result, it is necessary to devise the suitable technique to integrate the hard (borehole) and soft (geophysical) data effectively. Also, the model parameters of the variogram must be determined as a priori procedure. Iterative non-linear inversion method was implemented to determine the model parameters of theoretical variogram. To verify the algorithm, behaviour of object function and precision of convergence were investigated, revealing that gradient of the range is extremely small. This algorithm for the field data was applied to a mountainous area planned for a large-scale tunneling construction. As for a soft data, resistivity information from AMT survey is incorporated with RMR information from borehole data, a sort of hard data. Finally, RMR profiles were constructed and attempted to be interpreted at the tunnel elevation and the upper 1D level.

Finite element model updating of long-span cable-stayed bridge by Kriging surrogate model

  • Zhang, Jing;Au, Francis T.K.;Yang, Dong
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.74 no.2
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    • pp.157-173
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    • 2020
  • In the finite element modelling of long-span cable-stayed bridges, there are a lot of uncertainties brought about by the complex structural configuration, material behaviour, boundary conditions, structural connections, etc. In order to reduce the discrepancies between the theoretical finite element model and the actual static and dynamic behaviour, updating is indispensable after establishment of the finite element model to provide a reliable baseline version for further analysis. Traditional sensitivity-based updating methods cannot support updating based on static and dynamic measurement data at the same time. The finite element model is required in every optimization iteration which limits the efficiency greatly. A convenient but accurate Kriging surrogate model for updating of the finite element model of cable-stayed bridge is proposed. First, a simple cable-stayed bridge is used to verify the method and the updating results of Kriging model are compared with those using the response surface model. Results show that Kriging model has higher accuracy than the response surface model. Then the method is utilized to update the model of a long-span cable-stayed bridge in Hong Kong. The natural frequencies are extracted using various methods from the ambient data collected by the Wind and Structural Health Monitoring System installed on the bridge. The maximum deflection records at two specific locations in the load test form the updating objective function. Finally, the fatigue lives of the structure at two cross sections are calculated with the finite element models before and after updating considering the mean stress effect. Results are compared with those calculated from the strain gauge data for verification.

Design Optimization and Analysis of a RBCC Engine Flowpath Using a Kriging Model Based Genetic Algorithm (Kriging 모델기반 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 RBCC 엔진 유로 최적설계 및 분석)

  • Chae, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Hye-Sung;Yee, Kwan-Jung;Oh, Se-Jong;Choi, Jeong-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2017
  • A design optimization method is applied for the flow path design of RBCC engine, an important factor for the determining the propulsion performance operating at air-breathing mode. A design optimization was carried out to maximize the specific impulse of the RBCC engine by using a genetic algorithm based on the Kriging model. Results are analyzed using ANOVA and SOM. Design conditions of ramjet and scramjet mode are selected as Mach number 4 at 20 km altitude and Mach number 7 at 30 km, respectively. The optimized design presents that the specific impulse is increased by 7% and 10% on each condition than the baseline design.

Kriging Regressive Deep Belief WSN-Assisted IoT for Stable Routing and Energy Conserved Data Transmission

  • Muthulakshmi, L.;Banumathi, A.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2022
  • With the evolution of wireless sensor network (WSN) technology, the routing policy has foremost importance in the Internet of Things (IoT). A systematic routing policy is one of the primary mechanics to make certain the precise and robust transmission of wireless sensor networks in an energy-efficient manner. In an IoT environment, WSN is utilized for controlling services concerning data like, data gathering, sensing and transmission. With the advantages of IoT potentialities, the traditional routing in a WSN are augmented with decision-making in an energy efficient manner to concur finer optimization. In this paper, we study how to combine IoT-based deep learning classifier with routing called, Kriging Regressive Deep Belief Neural Learning (KR-DBNL) to propose an efficient data packet routing to cope with scalability issues and therefore ensure robust data packet transmission. The KR-DBNL method includes four layers, namely input layer, two hidden layers and one output layer for performing data transmission between source and destination sensor node. Initially, the KR-DBNL method acquires the patient data from different location. Followed by which, the input layer transmits sensor nodes to first hidden layer where analysis of energy consumption, bandwidth consumption and light intensity are made using kriging regression function to perform classification. According to classified results, sensor nodes are classified into higher performance and lower performance sensor nodes. The higher performance sensor nodes are then transmitted to second hidden layer. Here high performance sensor nodes neighbouring sensor with higher signal strength and frequency are selected and sent to the output layer where the actual data packet transmission is performed. Experimental evaluation is carried out on factors such as energy consumption, packet delivery ratio, packet loss rate and end-to-end delay with respect to number of patient data packets and sensor nodes.

Applicability Analysis of Measurement Data Classification and Spatial Interpolation to Improve IUGIM Accuracy (지하공간통합지도의 정확도 향상을 위한 계측 데이터 분류 및 공간 보간 기법 적용성 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Yun;Song, Ki-Il;Kang, Kyung-Nam;Kim, Wooram;An, Joon-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.38 no.10
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the interest in integrated underground geospatial information mapping (IUGIM) to ensure the safety of underground spaces and facilities has been increasing. Because IUGIM is used in the fields of underground space development and underground safety management, the up-to-dateness and accuracy of information are critical. In this study, IUGIM and field data were classified, and the accuracy of IUGIM was improved by spatial interpolation. A spatial interpolation technique was used to process borehole data in IUGIM, and a quantitative evaluation was performed with mean absolute error and root mean square error through the cross-validation of seven interpolation results according to the technique and model. From the cross-validation results, accuracy decreased in the order of nonuniform rational B-spline, Kriging, and inverse distance weighting. In the case of Kriging, the accuracy difference according to the variogram model was insignificant, and Kriging using the spherical variogram exhibited the best accuracy.