• Title/Summary/Keyword: kernel density analysis

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Drought Assessment of the Korean Peninsula through Drought Frequency Analysis (가뭄빈도해석을 통한 한반도의 가뭄 평가)

  • Kim, Seong-Sil;Moon, Young-Il;Park, Gu-Soon;Oh, Tae-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.32-36
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    • 2011
  • 가뭄은 홍수와 같이 단기간에 피해를 발생시키는 것이 아니라 장기간에 걸쳐 서서히 진행되므로 그 심각성을 인식하기 어렵고 국가 차원의 대책 또한 미비한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 가뭄의 발생특성을 파악하기 위해 기상학적 가뭄지수를 산정하여 가뭄빈도해석을 실시하였다. 빈도해석방법은 weibull분포를 이용한 매개변수적 방법과 경계핵밀도함수(Boundary Kernel Density Function)를 이용한 비매개변수적 방법을 병행하여 재현기간별 가뭄심도를 산정하였다.

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Empirical Analyses of Asymmetric Conditional Heteroscedasticities for the KOSPI and Korean Won-US Dollar Exchange Rate (KOSPI지수와 원-달러 환율의 변동성의 비대칭성에 대한 실증연구)

  • Maeng, Hye-Young;Shin, Dong-Wan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1033-1043
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we use a nested family of models of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity(GARCH) to verify asymmetric conditional heteroscedasticity in the KOSPI and Won-Dollar exchange rate. This study starts from an investigation of whether time series data have asymmetric features not explained by standard GARCH models. First, we use kernel density plot to show the non-normality and asymmetry in data as well as to capture asymmetric conditional heteroscedasticity. Later, we use three representative asymmetric heteroscedastic models, EGARCH(Exponential Garch), GJR-GARCH(Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle), APARCH(Asymmetric Power Arch) that are improved from standard GARCH models to give a better explanation of asymmetry. Thereby we highlight the fact that volatility tends to respond asymmetrically according to positive and/or negative values of past changes referred to as the leverage effect. Furthermore, it is verified that how the direction of asymmetry is different depending on characteristics of time series data. For the KOSPI and Korean won-US dollar exchange rate, asymmetric heteroscedastic model analysis successfully reveal the leverage effect. We obtained predictive values of conditional volatility and its prediction standard errors by using moving block bootstrap.

Selection of New Particulate Matter Monitoring Stations using Kernel Analysis - Elementary Schools, Seoul, Korea (커널분석을 활용한 미세먼지 신규 측정소 선정 - 서울시 초등학교를 대상으로 -)

  • Jeong, Jong-Chul
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2019
  • The particulate matters show high values in winter and spring season, it has a bad influence on the outdoor people. That's why government needs to come up with countermeasures for social weak people like elementary school students. In this paper, new particulate matter stations select ed about elementary schools using spatial analysis. Seoul city areas were divided with 608 hexagon grids(500m), and then implement spatial analysis such as kernel analysis. Finally, new particulate matter stations select through the results of kernel density analysis and point displacement. The results show that, 10 hexagon grids about new particulate matter stations were selected and listed 15 elementary schools including 10 hexagon grids. The 15 elementary schools were including Gangbuk gu, Eunpyeong gu, Guro gu, Dong gu, Geumcheon gu, Dongdaemun gu, Gangdong gu, Songpa gu, Gwangjin gu and Gangnam gu. The results suggests a new management plan direction according to the spatial analysis, result in the process of selecting the measures for the '2018 School Fine Dust Comprehensive Management Measures' announced by the Ministry of Education. Also, this study can be expanded by adding specific buildings as well as the school.

A Study on the Deriving of Areas of Concern for Crime using the Mental Map (멘탈 맵을 이용한 범죄발생 우려 지역 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Su Jeong;Shin, Dong Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.177-188
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    • 2019
  • Recently, citizens are feeling anxious as 'Motiveless Crime' increases. The quality of citizens life is degraded and the degree of crime fear is increasing. In this study, based on various variables related to crime other than actual crime occurrence status, crime occurrence points (point line polygon) felt by citizens are created by using mental map methodology. And the purpose of this study is to derive the area of concern for crime through spatial overlap analysis using kernel density estimation analysis. It also uses spatial overlay analysis using kernel density estimation to derive areas of concern for crime occurrence. As a result, the local residents' request point and the areas of concern for crime were overlapped. In addition, the mental map indicating the fear of crime was constructed by mapping mainly the areas between the facilities, the non-construction area such as the narrow area, the security CCTV, the streetlight. This study is meaningful in that it tried to derive a crime occurrence concern area by using mental map method unlike the previous study related to crime. The results of this study, such as mental map, could be used in various fields such as construction of fragile crime map, guideline of crime prevention through environment design.

Study on the Academic Competency Assessment of Herbology Test using Rasch Model (라쉬 모델을 사용한 본초학 시험의 학업역량 분석 연구)

  • Chae, Han;Lee, Soo Jin;Han, Chang-ho;Cho, Young Il;Kim, Hyungwoo
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.27-41
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: There should be an objective analysis on the academic competency for incorporating Computer-based Test (CBT) in the education of traditional Korean medicine (TKM). However, the Item Response Theory (IRT) for analyzing latent competency has not been introduced for its difficulty in calculation, interpretation and utilization. Methods: The current study analyzed responses of 390 students of 8 years to the herbology test with 14 items by utilizing Rasch model, and the characteristics of test and items were evaluated by using characteristic curve, information curve, difficulty, academic competency, and test score. The academic competency of the students across gender and years were presented with scale characteristic curve, Kernel density map, and Wright map, and examined based on T-test and ANOVA. Results: The estimated item, test, and ability parameters based on Rasch model provided reliable information on academic competency, and organized insights on students, test and items not available with test score calculated by the summation of item scores. The test showed acceptable validity for analyzing academic competency, but some of items revealed difficulty parameters to be modified with Wright map. The gender difference was not distinctive, however the differences between test years were obvious with Kernel density map. Conclusion: The current study analyzed the responses in the herbology test for measuring academic competency in the education of TKM using Rasch model, and structured analysis for competency-based Teaching in the e-learning era was suggested. It would provide the foundation for the learning analytics essential for self-directed learning and competency adaptive learning in TKM.

Dynamic analysis of a magneto-electro-elastic material with a semi-infinite mode-III crack under point impact loads

  • Feng, Wenjie;Liu, Jinxi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.609-623
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    • 2007
  • The problem of a semi-infinite magneto-electro-elastically impermeable mode-III crack in a magneto-electro-elastic material is considered under the action of impact loads. For the case when a pair of concentrated anti-plane shear impacts, electric displacement and magnetic induction impacts are exerted symmetrically on the upper and lower surfaces of the crack, the magneto-electro-elastic field ahead of the crack tip is determined in explicit form. The dynamic intensity factors and dynamic energy density factor are obtained. The method adopted is to reduce the mixed initial-boundary value problem, by using the Laplace and Fourier transforms, into three simultaneous dual integral equations, one of which is converted into an Abel's integral equation and the others into a singular integral equation with Cauchy kernel. Based on the obtained fundamental solutions of point impact loads, the solutions of two kinds of different loading cases are evaluated by integration. For some particular cases, the present results reduce to the previous results.

Analysis of ASEAN's Stock Returns and/or Volatility Distribution under the Impact of the Chinese EPU: Evidence Based on Conditional Kernel Density Approach

  • Mohib Ur Rahman;Irfan Ullah;Aurang Zeb
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.33-60
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    • 2023
  • This paper analyzes the entire distribution of stock market returns/volatility in five emerging markets (ASEAN5) and figures out the conditional distribution of the CHI_EPU index. The aim is to examine the impact of CHI_EPU on the stock returns/volatility density of ASEAN5 markets. It also examined whether changes in CHI_EPU explain returns at higher or lower points (abnormal returns). This paper models the behaviour of stock returns from March 2011 to June 2018 using a non-parametric conditional density estimation approach. The results indicate that CHI_EPU diminishes stock returns and augments volatility in ASEAN5 markets, except for Malaysia, where it affects stock returns positively. The possible reason for this positive impact is that EPU is not the leading factor reducing Malaysian stock returns; but, other forces, such as dependency on other countries' stock markets and global factors, may have a positive impact on stock returns (Bachmann and Bayer, 2013). Thus, the risk of simultaneous investment in Chinese and ASEAN5 stock markets, except Malaysia, is high. Further, the degree of this influence intensifies at extreme high/low intervals (positive/negative tails). The findings of this study have significant implications for investors, policymakers, market agents, and analysts of ASEAN5.

A Study on Genetic Nature of Korean Local Corn Lines (한국 재래종 옥수수의 유전적 특성)

  • ;Bong-Ho Chae
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.473-480
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    • 1983
  • To obtain basic information on the Korean local com lines a total of 57 lines were selected from 1,000 Korean local collection at Chungnam National University, and classified by principal component analysis, and genetic nature was investigated. There were a great variation in mean values of plant characters of the lines. The mean values of plant characters except for density of kernels varied with types of crossing. All characters except for tasselling dates were reduced in magnitude when selfed, while those characters were increased when topcrossed. The inbreeding depression varied with plant characters and lines. The characters such as yield, kernel weight per ear, ear weight and plant height showed great degree of inbreeding depression. Group I showed high inbreeding depression in such characters as 100 kernel weight, leaf number, plant height and days to tasselling, while group II showed high inbreeding depression in other plant characters. Heterosis of plant characters varied also with lines. The ear weight, kernel weight per ear, yield, 100 kernel weight, and plant height were some of the plant characters showing high heterosis. Group II showed high values of heterosis in such characters as ear length, ear diameter, ear weight, kernel weight per ear, 100 kernel weight and leaf length, while group I was high in heterosis in other plant characters. The degree of homozygosity was highest in ear weight (79.1%) and lowest in ear number per plant (-2.1%). Group II showed higher degree of homozygosity than group I. Correlation coefficients between characters of sibbed and topcrossed lines were positive for all characters. Highly significant correlation coefficients between sibbed and topcrossed lines were obtained especially for characters such as ear number per plant, plant height, leaf length and yield per plot.

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Movements and Home-range of Mallards by GPS-Mobile based Telementary (WT-200) in Korea (야생동물위치추적기(WT-200)를 이용한 청둥오리의 이동거리 및 행동권 연구)

  • Kang, Tehan;Kim, Dal-Ho;Cho, Hae-Jin;Shin, Young-Un;Lee, Hansoo;Suh, Jae-Hwa;Hwang, Jongkyung
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.642-649
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    • 2014
  • Mallard (Anas platyrhynchos) is the abundant winter visitor in South Korea. Mallard migrates long distances between Russian Siberia and Korea. This species prefers a rice paddy area as their winter habitat. We captured birds using cannon-net, and attached the GPS-Mobile phone based Telemetry(WT-200) on Seven Mallards in the winter of 2011~2013. We were monitored wintering home-range and movement distance. We analyzed the tracking location data using ArcGIS 9.0 and calculated Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) and Minimum Convex Polygon (MCP). The average home-range in the wintering ground by MCP was $118.8km^2$(SD=70.1, n=7)and the maximum home-rang was $221.8km^2$ and the minimum was $27.7km^2$. Extents of home-range by KDE were $60.0km^2$(KDE 90%), $23.0km^2$(KDE 70%) and $11.6km^2$(KDE 50%). Mallard moved an average of 19.4 km from start site(attach to WT-200 site), maximum moved was 33.2 km and minimum moved was 9.4 km. The average distance of 0.8 km between GPS fixed point(range 0.2~1.6 km), maximum moved was 19.7 km. Mallard moved a very short distance in wintering season and showed a very high water-dependent trends in wintering site.

Approach for visualizing research trends: three-dimensional visualization of documents and analysis of relative vitalization

  • Yea, Sang-Jun;Kim, Chul
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes an approach for visualizing research trends using theme maps and extra information. The proposed algorithm includes the following steps. First, text mining is used to construct a vector space of keywords. Second, correspondence analysis is employed to reduce high-dimensionality and to express relationships between documents and keywords. Third, kernel density estimation is applied in order to generate three-dimensional data that can show the concentration of the set of documents. Fourth, a cartographical concept is adapted for visualizing research trends. Finally, relative vitalization information is provided for more accurate research trend analysis. The algorithm of the proposed approach is tested using papers about Traditional Korean Medicine.