• Title/Summary/Keyword: joint probability

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A Kinematical Characteristic Analysis of a Iron fade-shot with a Golf Swills (아이언 페이드샷의 운동학적 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Kyung-Il;Oh, Jong-Sun;Chung, Jin-Young
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.311-322
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    • 2009
  • Using the 3-D analysis, this study winpared and analyzed the 'fade-shot swing' which is one of the golf technique. The subjects of this study were 3 male pro golfers they experimented with only a 7 iron. The purpose was to enhance their performance by producing the important kinematical parameters, finding out the features in them and providing the data to a coach and players. As a result, the position of the club head showed from the outside orbit to the inside orbit. When position of the center of mass moved backwards, the probability of the failure of the fade-shot increased. Cocking angle had an effect on easing the wrist for a smooth follow-through after the impact. It showed that the changes in the shoulder movement was made first and followed by the waist. The hip joint angular velocity achieved a smooth fade-shot motion due to the hitting delay also the velocity of the club-head was faster when uncocking was released at the time of impact.

Population Pharmacokinetics for Gentamicin in American and Korean-American Appendicitis Patients Using Nonparametric Expected Maximum(NPEM) Algorithm (비모수적 기대최대치(NPEM)연산방법에 의한 미국인과 재미동포 충수돌기염 환자에게 겐타마이신의 모집단 약물동태학)

  • ;;Stanford Jhee;Gill, Mark A.
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 1995
  • Population pharmacokinetics for gentamicin were compared with 24 American patients (16 male and 8 female) and 16 Korean-American appendicitis patients(12 male and 4 female). Two to six blood specimens were collected from all patients at the following times: just before a regularly scheduled infusion and at 1/2 hour after the end of a 1/2 hour infusion. Nonparametric expected maximum(NPEM) algorithm for population modeling was used. The estimated parameters were the elimination rate constant(K), the slope of the relationship between K versus creatinine clearance(KS), the apparent volume of distribution(V), the slope of the relationship between V versus weight(VS), gentamicin clearance(CL) and the slope of the relationship between CL versus creatinine clearance and the VS(CS). The output includes a 3-dimensional plot of the joint probability density function(PDF), two marginal PDF, means, medians, modes, variance, skewness, kurtosis, and CV%. The mean K(KS) were 0.424$\pm$0.139(0.00429$\pm$0.00164) and 0.411$\pm$0.135 hr$^{-1}$ (0.00475$\pm$0.00180[hr.mL/min/1.73m$^{2}]^{-1}$) for American and Korean-American populations, respectively. The mean V(VS) were not different at 15.6$\pm$4.77(0.233$\pm$0.0526) and 15.1$\pm$3.84L(0.239$\pm$0.0492 L/kg) for American and Korean-American populations, respectively (P>0.2). The mean CL (CS) were 6.28$\pm$1.85(0.0634$\pm$0.0191) and 5.70$\pm$1.77 L/hr(0.0701$\pm$0.0215 L/kg[hr.mL/min/1.73m$^{2}$)] for American and Korean-American populations, respectively. There are no differences in gentamicin pharmacokinetics between American and Korean-American Appendicitis patients.

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Short-term fatigue analysis for tower base of a spar-type wind turbine under stochastic wind-wave loads

  • Li, Haoran;Hu, Zhiqiang;Wang, Jin;Meng, Xiangyin
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2018
  • Due to integrated stochastic wind and wave loads, the supporting platform of a Floating Offshore Wind Turbine (FOWT) has to bear six Degrees of Freedom (DOF) motion, which makes the random cyclic loads acting on the structural components, for instance the tower base, more complicated than those on bottom-fixed or land-based wind turbines. These cyclic loads may cause unexpected fatigue damages on a FOWT. This paper presents a study on short-term fatigue damage at the tower base of a 5 MW FOWT with a spar-type platform. Fully coupled time-domain simulations code FAST is used and realistic environment conditions are considered to obtain the loads and structural stresses at the tower base. Then the cumulative fatigue damage is calculated based on rainflow counting method and Miner's rule. Moreover, the effects of the simulation length, the wind-wave misalignment, the wind-only condition and the wave-only condition on the fatigue damage are investigated. It is found that the wind and wave induced loads affect the tower base's axial stress separately and in a decoupled way, and the wave-induced fatigue damage is greater than that induced by the wind loads. Under the environment conditions with rated wind speed, the tower base experiences the highest fatigue damage when the joint probability of the wind and wave is included in the calculation. Moreover, it is also found that 1 h simulation length is sufficient to give an appropriate fatigue damage estimated life for FOWT.

Frequency-Code Domain Contention in Multi-antenna Multicarrier Wireless Networks

  • Lv, Shaohe;Zhang, Yiwei;Li, Wen;Lu, Yong;Dong, Xuan;Wang, Xiaodong;Zhou, Xingming
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.218-226
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    • 2016
  • Coordination among users is an inevitable but time-consuming operation in wireless networks. It severely limit the system performance when the data rate is high. We present FC-MAC, a novel MAC protocol that can complete a contention within one contention slot over a joint frequency-code domain. When a node takes part in the contention, it generates randomly a contention vector (CV), which is a binary sequence of length equal to the number of available orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) subcarriers. In FC-MAC, different user is assigned with a distinct signature (i.e., PN sequence). A node sends the signature at specific subcarriers and uses the sequence of the ON/OFF states of all subcarriers to indicate the chosen CV. Meanwhile, every node uses the redundant antennas to detect the CVs of other nodes. The node with the minimum CV becomes the winner. The experimental results show that, the collision probability of FC-MAC is as low as 0.05% when the network has 100 nodes. In comparison with IEEE 802.11, contention time is reduced by 50-80% and the throughput gain is up to 200%.

Construction of Robust Bayesian Network Ensemble using a Speciated Evolutionary Algorithm (종 분화 진화 알고리즘을 이용한 안정된 베이지안 네트워크 앙상블 구축)

  • Yoo Ji-Oh;Kim Kyung-Joong;Cho Sung-Bae
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.31 no.12
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    • pp.1569-1580
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    • 2004
  • One commonly used approach to deal with uncertainty is Bayesian network which represents joint probability distributions of domain. There are some attempts to team the structure of Bayesian networks automatically and recently many researchers design structures of Bayesian network using evolutionary algorithm. However, most of them use the only one fittest solution in the last generation. Because it is difficult to combine all the important factors into a single evaluation function, the best solution is often biased and less adaptive. In this paper, we present a method of generating diverse Bayesian network structures through fitness sharing and combining them by Bayesian method for adaptive inference. In order to evaluate performance, we conduct experiments on learning Bayesian networks with artificially generated data from ASIA and ALARM networks. According to the experiments with diverse conditions, the proposed method provides with better robustness and adaptation for handling uncertainty.

Quantitative Analysis of GIS-based Landslide Prediction Models Using Prediction Rate Curve (예측비율곡선을 이용한 GIS 기반 산사태 예측 모델의 정량적 비교)

  • 지광훈;박노욱;박노욱
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the landslide prediction models quantitatively using prediction rate curve. A case study from the Jangheung area was used to illustrate the methodologies. The landslide locations were detected from remote sensing data and field survey, and geospatial information related to landslide occurrences were built as a spatial database in GIS. As prediction models, joint conditional probability model and certainty factor model were applied. For cross-validation approach, landslide locations were partitioned into two groups randomly. One group was used to construct prediction models, and the other group was used to validate prediction results. From the cross-validation analysis, it is possible to compare two models to each other in this study area. It is expected that these approaches will be used effectively to compare other prediction models and to analyze the causal factors in prediction models.

Natech Risk Assessment of Chemical Facilities in the Event of Earthquake in Korea using RAPID-N (RAPID-N을 이용한 국내 지진 발생 시 화학시설 Natech 위험성 평가)

  • Park, Jaehyuk;Yeon, Eungjin;Lee, Hak Tae;Jung, Seungho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2019
  • Accidents occurring due to natural disasters in chemical process facilities where technologies are concentrated can cause secondary damage. The concept of the relationship between natural disasters and highly intensive technologies has evolved into the Natech (Natural Hazards Triggered Technological Disaster) research. Currently, the number of earthquakes is increasing all over the Korean peninsula. To assess the risk of Natech when an earthquake has occurred in South Korea, the Rapid Natech Risk Assessment Tool (RAPID-N) developed by the European Commission's Joint Research Center (EC JRC) was used in the present study. The RAPID-N can be used for Natech risk assessment based on mapping and can be utilized for sufficient preparation for reduction of the effects of Natech accidents. A total of 261 chemical facilities actually existing in Pohang were initially analyzed to select eight facilities and the Pohang earthquake that occurred in 2017 was implemented in the RAPID-N utilizing the shake map. High risk areas were selected through Natech risk assessments for the selected eight work places and countermeasures for the areas were suggested. High risk areas exist depending on the location, since the damage influence ranges could be overlapped and each chemical facility has an independent probability of Natech. Therefore, studies on Natech emergency plans and emergency evacuation routes should be actively conducted considering such high risk areas. The present study was conducted to demonstrate the feasibility of Natech risk assessment in South Korea through the RAPID-N. These findings can be used as a reference material to lay a foundation for Natech risk assessment and related policies in South Korea.

Probabilistic Evaluation of the Effect of Drought on Water Temperature in Major Stream Sections of the Nakdong River Basin (낙동강 유역 주요하천 구간에서 가뭄이 수온에 미치는 영향의 확률론적인 평가)

  • Seo, Jiyu;Won, Jeongeun;Lee, Hosun;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.369-380
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    • 2021
  • In this work, we analyzed the effects of drought on the water temperature (WT) of Nakdong river basin major river sections using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and WT data. The analysis was carried out on a seasonal basis. After calculating the optimal time scale of the SPI through the correlation between the SPI and WT data, we used the copula theory to model the joint probability distribution between the WT and SPI on the optimal time scale. During spring and fall, the possibility of environmental drought caused by high WT increased in most of the river sections. Notably, in summer, the possibility of environmental drought caused by high WT increased in all river sections. On the other hand, in winter, the possibility of environmental drought caused by low WT increased in most river sections. From the risk map, which quantified the sensitivity of WT to the risk of environmental drought, the river sections Nakbon C, Namgang E, and Nakbon K showed increased stress in the water ecosystem due to high WT when drought occurred in summer. When drought occurred in winter, an increased water ecosystem stress caused by falling WT was observed in the river sections Gilan A, Yongjeon A, Nakbon F, Hwanggang B, Nakbon I, Nakbon J, Nakbon K, Nakbon L, and Nakbon M. The methodology developed in this study will be used in the future to quantify the effects of drought on water quality as well as WT.

Probabilistic evaluation of ecological drought in forest areas using satellite remote sensing data (인공위성 원격 감지 자료를 활용한 산림지역의 생태학적 가뭄 가능성에 대한 확률론적 평가)

  • Won, Jeongeun;Seo, Jiyu;Kang, Shin-Uk;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.9
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    • pp.705-718
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    • 2021
  • Climate change has a significant impact on vegetation growth and terrestrial ecosystems. In this study, the possibility of ecological drought was investigated using satellite remote sensing data. First, the Vegetation Health Index was estimated from the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and Land Surface Temperature provided by MODIS. Then, a joint probability model was constructed to estimate the possibility of vegetation-related drought in various precipitation/evaporation scenarios in forest areas around 60 major ASOS sites of the Meteorological Administration located throughout Korea. The results of this study show the risk pattern of drought related to forest vegetation under conditions of low atmospheric moisture supply or high atmospheric moisture demand. It also identifies the sensitivity of drought risks associated with forest vegetation under various meterological drought conditions. These findings provide insights for decision makers to assess drought risk and develop drought mitigation strategies related to forest vegetation in a warming era.

Expected Life Evaluation of Offshore Wind Turbine Support Structure under Variable Ocean Environment (해양환경의 변동성을 고려한 해상풍력터빈 지지구조물의 기대수명 평가)

  • Lee, Gee-Nam;Kim, Dong-Hyawn;Kim, Young-Jin
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.435-446
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    • 2019
  • Because offshore structures are affected by various environmental loads, the risk of damage is high. As a result of ever-changing ocean environmental loads, damage to offshore structures is expected to differ from year to year. However, in previous studies, it was assumed that a relatively short period of load acts repeatedly during the design life of a structure. In this study, the residual life of an offshore wind turbine support structure was evaluated in consideration of the timing uncertainty of the ocean environmental load. Sampling points for the wind velocity, wave height, and wave period were generated using a central composites design, and a transfer function was constructed from the numerical analysis results. A simulation was performed using the joint probability model of ocean environmental loads. The stress time history was calculated by entering the load samples generated by the simulation into the transfer function. The damage to the structure was calculated using the rain-flow counting method, Goodman equation, Miner's rule, and S-N curve. The results confirmed that the wind speed generated at a specific time could not represent the wind speed that could occur during the design life of the structure.