Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.15681/KSWE.2021.37.5.369

Probabilistic Evaluation of the Effect of Drought on Water Temperature in Major Stream Sections of the Nakdong River Basin  

Seo, Jiyu (Division of Earth Environmental System Science (Major of Environmental Engineering), Pukyong National University)
Won, Jeongeun (Division of Earth Environmental System Science (Major of Environmental Engineering), Pukyong National University)
Lee, Hosun (National Drought Information Analysis Center, Korea Water Resources Corporation)
Kim, Sangdan (Department of Environmental Engineering, Pukyong National University)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment / v.37, no.5, 2021 , pp. 369-380 More about this Journal
Abstract
In this work, we analyzed the effects of drought on the water temperature (WT) of Nakdong river basin major river sections using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and WT data. The analysis was carried out on a seasonal basis. After calculating the optimal time scale of the SPI through the correlation between the SPI and WT data, we used the copula theory to model the joint probability distribution between the WT and SPI on the optimal time scale. During spring and fall, the possibility of environmental drought caused by high WT increased in most of the river sections. Notably, in summer, the possibility of environmental drought caused by high WT increased in all river sections. On the other hand, in winter, the possibility of environmental drought caused by low WT increased in most river sections. From the risk map, which quantified the sensitivity of WT to the risk of environmental drought, the river sections Nakbon C, Namgang E, and Nakbon K showed increased stress in the water ecosystem due to high WT when drought occurred in summer. When drought occurred in winter, an increased water ecosystem stress caused by falling WT was observed in the river sections Gilan A, Yongjeon A, Nakbon F, Hwanggang B, Nakbon I, Nakbon J, Nakbon K, Nakbon L, and Nakbon M. The methodology developed in this study will be used in the future to quantify the effects of drought on water quality as well as WT.
Keywords
Copula; Environmental drought; Nakdong river watershed; Water temperature;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 2  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Mulholland, P. J., Best, G. R., Coutant, C. C., Hornberger, G. M., Meyer, J. L., Robinson, P. J., Stenberg, J. R., Turner, R. E., Vera-Herrera, F., and Wetzel, R. G. (1997). Effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems of the south-eastern United States and the Gulf Coast of Mexico, Hydrological Processes, 11(8), 949-970.   DOI
2 Ahmadalipour, A. and Moradkhani, H. (2017). Analyzing the uncertainty of ensemble-based gridded observations in land surface simulations and drought assessment, Journal of hydrology, 555, 557-568.   DOI
3 Ahmadalipour, A., Moradkhani, H., and Demirel, M. C. (2017). A comparative assessment of projected meteorological and hydrological droughts: Elucidating the role of temperature, Journal of Hydrology, 553, 785-797.   DOI
4 Ahmadi, B., Ahmadalipour, A., and Moradkhani, H. (2019). Hydrological drought persistence and recovery over the CONUS: A multi-stage framework considering water quantity and quality, Water research, 150, 97-110.   DOI
5 Bardossy, A. and Pegram, G. G. S. (2009). Copula based multisite model for daily precipitation simulation, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 13(12), 2299-2314.   DOI
6 Brumbaugh, R., Werick, W., Teitz, W., and Lund, J.. (1994). Lessons Learned From the California Drought (1987-1992), Alexandria (VA): US Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water Resources, IWR Report 94-NDS-6.
7 Buskey, E. J., Liu, H., Collumb, C., and Bersano, J. G. F. (2001). The decline and recovery of a persistent Texas brown tide algal bloom in the Laguna Madre (Texas, USA), Estuaries, 24(3), 337-346.   DOI
8 Zhang, L. and Singh, V. P. (2007). Bivariate rainfall frequency distributions using Archimedean copulas, Journal of Hydrology, 332(1-2), 93-109.   DOI
9 Salvadori, G. and De Michele, C. (2004). Frequency analysis via copulas: Theoretical aspects and applications to hydrological events, Water Resources Research, 40(12), W12511.   DOI
10 Murdoch, P. S., Baron, J. S., and Miller, T. L. (2000). Potential effects of climate change on surface-water quality in North America, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 36(2), 347-366.   DOI
11 Sadegh, M., Ragno, E., and AghaKouchak, A. (2017). Multivariate Copula Analysis Toolbox (MvCAT): describing dependence and underlying uncertainty using a Bayesian framework, Water Resources Research, 53(6), 5166-5183.   DOI
12 Sprague, L. A. (2005). Drought effects on water quality in the south platte river basin, colorado 1, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41(1), 11-24.   DOI
13 Chang, Y., Kim, S., and Choi, G. (2006). A study of drought spatio-temporal characteristics using SPI-EOF analysis, Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, 39(8), 691-702. [Korean Literature]   DOI
14 Davies, A. W. (1978). Pollution problems arising from the 1975-76 drought, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 363(1712), 97-107.   DOI
15 Ha, K., Cho, E. A., Kim, H. W., and Joo, G. J. (1999). Microcystis bloom formation in the lower Nakdong River, South Korea: Importance of hydrodynamics and nutrient loading, Marine and Freshwater Research, 50(1), 89-94.   DOI
16 Boulton, A. and Lake, P. (1992). The ecology of two intermittent streams in Victoria, Australia: II. Comparisons of faunal composition between habitats, rivers and years, Freshwater Biology, 27(1), 99-121.   DOI
17 Ryu, J., Ahn, J., and Kim, S. (2012). An application of drought severity-area-duration curves using copulas-based joint drought index, Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, 45(10), 1043-1050. [Korean Literature]   DOI
18 Zielinski, P., Gorniak, A., and Piekarski, M. K. (2009). The effect of hydrological drought on chemical quality of water and dissolved organic carbon concentrations in lowland rivers, Polish Journal of Ecology, 57(2), 217-227.
19 Van Vliet, M. T. H. and Zwolsman, J. J. G. (2008). Impact of summer droughts on the water quality of the Meuse river, Journal of Hydrology, 353(1-2), 1-17.   DOI
20 Whitehead, P. G., Wilby, R. L., Battarbee, R. W., Kernan, M., and Wade, A. J. (2009). A review of the potential impacts of climate change on surface water quality, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 54(1), 101-123.   DOI
21 Caruso, B. S. (2002). Temporal and spatial patterns of extreme low flows and effects on stream ecosystems in Otago, New Zealand, Journal of Hydrology, 257(1-4), 115-133.   DOI
22 Israel, M. and Lund, J. R. (1995). Recent California water transfers: Implications for water management, Natural Resources Journal, 35, 1-32.
23 Kim, S., Ryu, J., Oh, K., and Jeong, S. (2012). An application of copulas-based joint drought index for determining comprehensive drought conditions, Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation, 12(1), 223-230. [Korean Literature]   DOI
24 Lake, P. S. (2011). Drought and aquatic ecosystems: Effects and responses, John Wiley & Sons.
25 Dai, A. (2013). Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models, Nature climate change, 3(1), 52-58.   DOI
26 Heudorfer, B. and Stahl, K. (2016). Comparison of different threshold level methods for drought propagation analysis in Germany, Hydrology Research, 48(5), 1311-1326.   DOI
27 Ministry of Environment (ME). (2016). Establishment of monitoring system and integrated model for estimating environmental ecological flow, TRKO201900000641, Bio-Monitoring Center, 155-221. [Korean Literature]
28 Mosley, L. M., Zammit, B., Leyden, E., Heneker, T. M., Hipsey, M. R., Skinner, D., and Aldridge, K. T. (2012). The impact of extreme low flows on the water quality of the Lower Murray River and Lakes (South Australia), Water Resources Management, 26(13), 3923-3946.   DOI
29 Lake, P. S. (2003). Ecological effects of perturbation by drought in flowing waters, Freshwater biology, 48(7), 1161-1172.   DOI
30 Leigh, C., Bush, A., Harrison, E. T., Ho, S. S., Luke, L., Rolls, R. J., and Ledger, M. E. (2015). Ecological effects of extreme climatic events on riverine ecosystems: Insights from Australia, Freshwater Biology, 60(12), 2620-2638.   DOI
31 Laux, P., Vogl, S., Qiu, W., Knoche, H. R., and Kunstmann, H. (2011). Copula-based statistical refinement of precipitation in RCM simulations over complex terrain, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15(7), 2401-2419.   DOI
32 Sklar, M. (1959). Fonctions de Repartition a n Dimensions et Leurs Marges, Publications de l'Institut Statistique de l'Universite de Paris, 8, 229-231.
33 Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., Van Der Schrier, G., Jones, P. D., Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R., and Sheffield, J. (2014). Global warming and changes in drought, Nature Climate Change, 4(1), 17-22.   DOI
34 Won, J. and Kim, S. (2020). Future drought analysis of SPI and EDDI considering climate change in South Korea, Water Supply, 20(8), 3266-3280. [Korean Literature]   DOI
35 Crausbay, S., Ramirez, A., Carter, S., Cross, M., Hall, K., Bathke, D., Betancourt, J., Colt, S., Cravens, A., Dalton, M., Dunham, J., Hay, L., Hayes, M., McEvoy, J., McNutt, C., Moritz, M., Nislow, K., Raheem, N., and Sanford, T. (2017). Defining ecological drought for the twenty-first century, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(12), 2543-2550.   DOI
36 Hirabayashi, Y., Kanae, S., Emori, S., Oki, T., and Kimoto, M. (2008). Global projections of changing risks of floods and droughts in a changing climate, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53(4), 754-772.   DOI
37 Matthews, W. J. and Marsh-Matthews, E. (2003). Effects of drought on fish across axes of space, time and ecological complexity, Freshwater biology, 48(7), 1232-1253.   DOI
38 Hrdinka, T., Novicky, O., Hanslik, E., and Rieder, M. (2012). Possible impacts of floods and droughts on water quality, Journal of Hydro-environment Research, 6(2), 145-150.   DOI
39 Kim, S., Kim, B., Ahn, T. J., and Kim, H. S. (2011). Spatio-temporal characterization of Korean drought using severity-area-duration curve analysis, Water and Environment Journal, 25(1), 22-30.   DOI
40 Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). (2015). Open MET Data Portal, http://data.kma.go.kr (accessed August. 2020).
41 McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., and Kleist, J. (1993). The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, American Meteorological Society, 179-183.
42 Kim, H., Park, J., Yoon, J., and Kim, S. (2010). Application of SAD curves in assessing climate-change impacts on spatio-temporal characteristics of extreme drought events, Journal of the Korean Society of Civil Engineers B, 30(6B), 561-569. [Korean Literature]
43 Ministry of Environment (ME). (2015). Water Environment Information System (WEIS), http://water.nier.go.kr (accessed August. 2020).
44 Mishra, A., Vu, T., Veettil, A. V., and Entekhabi, D. (2017). Drought monitoring with soil moisture active passive (SMAP) measurements, Journal of Hydrology, 552, 620-632.   DOI
45 Mosley, L. M. (2015). Drought impacts on the water quality of freshwater systems; review and integration, Earth-Science Reviews, 140, 203-214.   DOI
46 Wilbers, G. J., Zwolsman, G., Klaver, G., and Hendriks, A. J. (2009). Effects of a drought period on physico-chemical surface water quality in a regional catchment area, Journal of Environmental Monitoring, 11(6), 1298-1302.   DOI
47 Tallaksen, L. M. and Van Lanen, H. A. (2004). Hydrological drought: processes and estimation methods for streamflow and groundwater, Hydrology and Quantitative Water Management.
48 Van Loon, A. F. and Laaha, G. (2015). Hydrological drought severity explained by climate and catchment characteristics, Journal of hydrology, 526, 3-14.   DOI
49 Van Loon, A. F. and Van Lanen, H. A. (2012). A process-based typology of hydrological drought, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16(7), 1915-1946.   DOI
50 Won, J., Choi, J., Lee, O., and Kim, S. (2020). Copula-based joint drought index using SPI and EDDI and its application to climate change, Science of the Total Environment, 744, 140701.   DOI
51 Zhang, L. and Singh, V. P. (2006). Bivariate flood frequency analysis using the copula method, Journal of hydrologic engineering, 11(2), 150-164.   DOI