• Title/Summary/Keyword: iterative methodology

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Using Different Method for petroleum Consumption Forecasting, Case Study: Tehran

  • Varahrami, Vida
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.17-21
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: Forecasting of petroleum consumption is useful in planning and management of petroleum production and control of air pollution. Research Design, Data and Methodology: ARMA models, sometimes called Box-Jenkins models after the iterative Box-Jenkins methodology usually used to estimate them, are typically applied to auto correlated time series data. Results: Petroleum consumption modeling plays a role key in big urban air pollution planning and management. In this study three models as, MLFF, MLFF with GARCH (1,1) and ARMA(1,1), have been investigated to model the petroleum consumption forecasts. Certain standard statistical parameters were used to evaluate the performance of the models developed in this study. Based upon the results obtained in this study and the consequent comparative analysis, it has been found that the MLFF with GARCH (1,1) have better forecasting results.. Conclusions: Survey of data reveals that deposit of government policies in recent yeas, petroleum consumption rises in Tehran and unfortunately more petroleum use causes to air pollution and bad environmental problems.

Analysis of slender structural elements under unilateral contact constraints

  • Silveira, Ricardo Azoubel Da Mota;Goncalves, Paulo Batista
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.35-50
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    • 2001
  • A numerical methodology is presented in this paper for the geometrically non-linear analysis of slender uni-dimensional structural elements under unilateral contact constraints. The finite element method together with an updated Lagrangian formulation is used to study the structural system. The unilateral constraints are imposed by tensionless supports or foundations. At each load step, in order to obtain the contact regions, the equilibrium equations are linearized and the contact problem is treated directly as a minimisation problem with inequality constraints, resulting in a linear complementarity problem (LCP). After the resulting LCP is solved by Lemke's pivoting algorithm, the contact regions are identified and the Newton-Raphson method is used together with path following methods to obtain the new contact forces and equilibrium configurations. The proposed methodology is illustrated by two examples and the results are compared with numerical and experimental results found in literature.

Design Methodology of Preform for Reducing Tool Wear in Cold Forging (냉간 단조 금형의 마멸 감소를 위한 예비성형체 설계방법)

  • 이진호;김태형;김병민
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.118-124
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    • 1998
  • The die wear is one of the main factors affecting die accuracy and tool lifetime. It is desired to reduce die wear by developing simulation method to predict wear based on process variables, and then optimizing the process. Therefore, this paper describes methodology of preform design for minimizing wear of finisher die in multi-stage cold forging processes. The finite element method is combined with the routine of wear prediction. The cold forging process is analyzed using developed simulation method. In order to obtain preform to minimize die wear, the Flexible Polyhedron Search(FPS) algorithm is used. The optimal preform shape is found from iterative deformation analysis and wear calculation.

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Methodology of Perform Design for Reducing Tool Wear in Cold Forging (냉간 단조 금형의 마멸 감소를 위한 예비성형체 설계방법)

  • 이진호;고대철;김태형;김병민;최재찬
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.164-167
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    • 1997
  • The die wear is one of the main factors affecting die accuracy and tool lifetime. It is desired to reduce die wear by developing simulation method to predict wear based on process parameters, and then optimize the process. Therefore, this paper describes disign methodology of preform for minimizing wear of finisher die in multi-stage cold forging processes. The finite element method is combined with the routine of wear prediction and the cold forging processes. The finite element method is combined with the routine of wear prediction and the cold forging process is analyzed. In order to obtain preform to minimize die wear, the FPS algorithm is applied and the optimal preform shape is found from iterative deformation analysis and wear calculation.

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Radioactive waste sampling for characterisation - A Bayesian upgrade

  • Pyke, Caroline K.;Hiller, Peter J.;Koma, Yoshikazu;Ohki, Keiichi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.414-422
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    • 2022
  • Presented in this paper is a methodology for combining a Bayesian statistical approach with Data Quality Objectives (a structured decision-making method) to provide increased levels of confidence in analytical data when approaching a waste boundary. Development of sampling and analysis plans for the characterisation of radioactive waste often use a simple, one pass statistical approach as underpinning for the sampling schedule. Using a Bayesian statistical approach introduces the concept of Prior information giving an adaptive sample strategy based on previous knowledge. This aligns more closely with the iterative approach demanded of the most commonly used structured decision-making tool in this area (Data Quality Objectives) and the potential to provide a more fully underpinned justification than the more traditional statistical approach. The approach described has been developed in a UK regulatory context but is translated to a waste stream from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station to demonstrate how the methodology can be applied in this context to support decision making regarding the ultimate disposal option for radioactive waste in a more global context.

Nonlinear effects on motions and loads using an iterative time-frequency solver

  • Bruzzone, Dario;Gironi, C.;Grasso, A.
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.20-26
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    • 2011
  • A weakly nonlinear seakeeping methodology for predicting motions and loads is presented in this paper. This methodology assumes linear radiation and diffraction forces, calculated in the frequency domain, and fully nonlinear Froude-Krylov and hydrostatic forces, evaluated in the time domain. The particular approach employed here allows to overcome numerical problems connected to the determination of the impulse response functions. The procedure is divided into three consecutive steps: evaluation of dynamic sinkage and trim in calm water that can significantly influence the final results, a linear seakeeping analysis in the frequency domain and a weakly nonlinear simulation. The first two steps are performed employing a three-dimensional Rankine panel method. Nonlinear Froude-Krylov and hydrostatic forces are computed in the time domain by pressure integration on the actual wetted surface at each time step. Although nonlinear forces are evaluated into the time domain, the equations of motion are solved in the frequency domain iteratively passing from the frequency to the time domain until convergence. The containership S175 is employed as a test case for evaluating the capability of this methodology to correctly predict the nonlinear behavior related to wave induced motions and loads in head seas; numerical results are compared with experimental data provided in literature.

A novel harmony search based optimization of reinforced concrete biaxially loaded columns

  • Nigdeli, Sinan Melih;Bekdas, Gebrail;Kim, Sanghun;Geem, Zong Woo
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.1097-1109
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    • 2015
  • A novel optimization approach for reinforced concrete (RC) biaxially loaded columns is proposed. Since there are several design constraints and influences, a new computation methodology using iterative analyses for several stages is proposed. In the proposed methodology random iterations are combined with music inspired metaheuristic algorithm called harmony search by modifying the classical rules of the employed algorithm for the problem. Differently from previous approaches, a detailed and practical optimum reinforcement design is done in addition to optimization of dimensions. The main objective of the optimization is the total material cost and the optimization is important for RC members since steel and concrete are very different materials in cost and properties. The methodology was applied for 12 cases of flexural moment combinations. Also, the optimum results are found by using 3 different axial forces for all cases. According to the results, the proposed method is effective to find a detailed optimum result with different number of bars and various sizes which can be only found by 2000 trial of an engineer. Thus, the cost economy is provided by using optimum bars with different sizes.

LCL Filter Design Method for Grid-Connected PWM-VSC

  • Majic, Goran;Despalatovic, Marin;Terzic, Bozo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.1945-1954
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, several LCL filter design methods for different converter topologies have been published, many of which use analytical expressions to calculate the ideal converter AC voltage harmonic spectrum. This paper presents the LCL filter design methodology but the focus is on presentation and validation of the non-iterative filter design method for a grid-connected three-phase two-level PWM-VSC. The developed method can be adapted for different converter topologies and PWM algorithms. Furthermore, as a starting point for the design procedure, only the range of PWM carrier frequencies is required instead of an exact value. System nonlinearities, usually omitted from analysis have a significant influence on VSC AC voltage harmonic spectrum. In order to achieve better accuracy of the proposed procedure, the system nonlinear model is incorporated into the method. Optimal filter parameters are determined using the novel cost function based on higher frequency losses of the filter. An example of LCL filter design for a 40 kVA grid-connected PWM-VSC has been presented. Obtained results have been used to construct the corresponding laboratory setup and measurements have been performed to verify the proposed method.

Multiobjective PI/PID Control Design Using an Iterative Linear Matrix Inequalities Algorithm

  • Bevrani, Hassan;Hiyama, Takashi
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 2007
  • Many real world control systems usually track several control objectives, simultaneously. At the moment, it is desirable to meet all specified goals using the controllers with simple structures like as proportional-integral (PI) and proportional-integral-derivative (PID) which are very useful in industry applications. Since in practice, these controllers are commonly tuned based on classical or trial-and-error approaches, they are incapable of obtaining good dynamical performance to capture all design objectives and specifications. This paper addresses a new method to bridge the gap between the power of optimal multiobjective control and PI/PID industrial controls. First the PI/PID control problem is reduced to a static output feedback control synthesis through the mixed $H_2/H_{\infty}$ control technique, and then the control parameters are easily carried out using an iterative linear matrix inequalities (ILMI) algorithm. Numerical examples on load-frequency control (LFC) and power system stabilizer (PSS) designs are given to illustrate the proposed methodology. The results are compared with genetic algorithm (GA) based multiobjective control and LMI based full order mixed $H_2/H_{\infty}$ control designs.

New Image Processing Methodology for Noisy-Blurred Images (잡음으로 훼손된 영상에 대한 새로운 영상처리방법론)

  • Jeon, Woo-Sang;Han, Kun-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.965-970
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, a iterative image restoration method is proposed to restore for noisy-blurred images. In conventional method, regularization is usually applied to all over the without considering the local characteristics of image. As a result, ringing artifacts appear in edge regions and the noise amplification is introduced in flat regions. To solvethis problem we proposed an adaptive regularization iterative restoration using directional regularization operator considering edges in four directions and the regularization operator with no direction for flat regions. We verified that the proposed methods showed better results in the suppression of the noise amplification in flat regions, and introduced less ringing artifacts in edge regions. As a result it showed visually better image and improved better ISNR further than the conventional methods.