• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.285-294
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• 2021

The most basic forces of stock market are supply and demand, which increases or decreases on the basis of information. The crucial point is that investor's perception is depending on the availability of information at a particular time. But it is very difficult to understand what they take from a piece of information, and the decision varies from person to person; hence, it is important to understand the behavior of investors in the stock market. In this context, this study is focusing on behavioral investor-type diagnosis testing among financial market players (FMPs) in Oman. The study conducted a review of behavioral types among stock market investors, and attempted to assess the influence of age and gender factors on investor bias. It classifies investor type biases according to the gender and age of respondents. This study employs primary data with a structured questionnaire distributed to an equal number of male and female stock market investors in Muscat Securities Market. The study used sample t-test, one-way ANOVA, CATPCA and ALSCAL to identify the significant difference among age, gender and experience of the respondents. The present study found that all of the investors are influenced by different cognitive biases and, moreover, it depends on investor's gender.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1572-1581
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• 2011

Since 'The Act on Private Investment of The Infrastructure' was established in 1994, private investment as well as government's investment has been active on transport infrastructure. But investment of transport infrastructure has more risks than others due to overforecast of transport demand for ensuring project validity, and cost uncertainty arising from financial crisis, commodity prices and so on. In the case of Incheon international airport express, after 2 years and 6 months, Incheon international airport express is opened, Korail take over equity stake in private investor due to the problems of MRG(Minimum Revenue Guarantee) be contracted with private investor. Not only that, in other case of Yong-in light rail, it is ongoing for legal disputes between Yong-in local government and private investor on account of opening delaying. On current Investment Assessment System of Transport Infrastructure, Risk Management system on investment of transport infrastructure is inadequate because Sensitivity Analysis in economic efficiency have been performed on the simple method which only changes benefits, expense and social discount rate. For this reason, this study analyze risks for investment of transport infrastructure demand forecast, and rise to the management practice for every particular item.

• 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.65-86
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• 2015

Under current international investment law clear criteria to determine standards of indirect expropriation are absent. Arbitral tribunals determine on a case-by-case whether an indirect expropriation has occurred by conducting a fact-based inquiry. However, three common determination standards can be inferred by analyzing prior arbitration cases. The appropriate analytical framework that can be applied to determine whether a state's measure constitutes an indirect expropriation is as follows. i) the degree of economic invasion of the state's action into the foreign investor's property rights and durability of the period, ii) interference with the foreign investor's distinct and reasonable investment-backed expectations, and iii) the nature, purpose and character of the state's measure. Therefore, it is necessary to fully acknowledge and to utilize strategically this determination standard. However, derived standards cannot be applied to all disputes en masse. So, it is desirable to exclude ambiguity and to clearly define the determination standard of indirect expropriation in investment agreements, since arbitral tribunals can apply different determination standards on a case-by-case basis. And, based on the discussions until now, more developed standards and direction in response to demand should be established through consistent analysis and review of precedents related to indirect expropriation. Lastly, This study is expected to be a useful guideline to prepare a necessary countermeasure to prevent dispute related to indirect expropriation beforehand or in case of dispute occurrence.

• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.53-61
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• 2008

It is expected that the market of residential facility for retired seniors will be a new investment field for construction firms. This study describes the questionnaire survey analysis results of potential customers' demand for the facility. For comparison purpose, direct construction cost was estimated by estimation experts. In addition, a case analysis was conducted to compare direct cost and indirect project cost with the experts' estimation. According to the questionnaire survey analysis, it is observed that there were significant differences in demand between groups which are classified by the regions, living expenditures, the level of property ownership and the scales of residence. From an investor's perspective, investment decision on residential facility for retired seniors should be made considering bothe the level of returns which can be generated from the investment and the customers' needs.

• Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.43-52
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• 2022

This study examines the impacts of a mandatory lockup ratio and lockup period, together with voluntary lockup, on the initial public offering (IPO) subscription rate in Malaysia. A sample of 390 IPOs launched from 2000 to 2016 was collected for analysis. The findings show that firms that adopt a lower lockup ratio and a shorter lockup period signal uncertainty about their prospects. Issuers would then show the tendency to underprice to increase investors' intention to subscribe to firms' IPO shares. This study concludes that as long as investors are aware of pertinent information about IPO firms, they should continue participating in the IPO market rather than behaving irrationally. Finally, policymakers could use the findings to improve the existing lockup provisions regulation.

• 기술사
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.88-98
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• 1997

대중교통환경을 개선하기 위하여 신교통시스템의 도입이 요구되고 있다. 신교통시스템이란 첨단과학기술에 의해 자동운전과 저렴한 운행비 및 유지관리비를 구현한 제반 시스템을 말한다. 이러한 신교통시스템중에는 무궤도와 궤도에서의 운행이 가능한 궤도버스시스템이 있는데, 본 연구에서는 궤도버스시스템의 특성을 조사하고 이용자측면과 운영자측면에서 평가하였는데, 결론적으로 궤도버스시스템은 환승을 줄일 수 있고 초기투자비가 저렴한 시스템이며, 노선의 승객수요가 방향별 시간당 승객수(PPHPD) 5,000~39,600사이에 있는 노선, 즉 버스와 지하철사이의 승객수요가 있는 노선에 적합함을 알 수 있었다.

• 지식경영연구
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.97-118
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• 2018

The finance-investment industry is currently focusing on research related to artificial intelligence and big data, moving beyond conventional theories of financial engineering. However, the case of equity optimization portfolio by using an artificial intelligence, big data, and its performance is rarely realized in practice. Thus, the purpose of this study is to propose process improvements in equity selection, information analysis, and portfolio composition, and lastly an improvement in portfolio returns, with the case of an equity optimization model based on quantitative research by an artificial intelligence. This paper is an empirical study of the portfolio based on an artificial intelligence technology of "D" asset management, which is the largest domestic active-quant-fiduciary management in accordance with the purpose of this paper. This study will apply artificial intelligence to finance, analyzing financial and demand-supply information and automating factor-selection and weight of equity through machine learning based on the artificial neural network. Also, the learning the process for the composition of portfolio optimization and its performance by applying genetic algorithms to models will be documented. This study posits a model that the asset management industry can achieve, with continuous and stable excess performance, low costs and high efficiency in the process of investment.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.371-398
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• 2006

Gold prices are rising around the world in all major currencies. This is a telltale sign of a Stage Two gold bull where gold decouples from the US dollar. In this study, We analysed a confluence of factors seem to be feeding gold's gains and the typical shape of a secular gold bull---gold bulls' three stages. Stages one, two, and three of a secular gold bull are defined by the major changes. Each stage, considered in turn, makes perfect sense when described in terms of global investor demand. Since Stage One is currency-devaluation driven, the young gold bull is most noticeable in terms of the dominant eroding currency. Now after three or four years of stage one, Stage Two arrives. Stage Two marks a momentous event when gold decouples from the local-currency devaluation. In the case of our gold bull today, Stage Two will be here when gold starts consistently rising faster than the dollar is able to fall. After five or so years of Stage Two gains, gold has a chance at going ballistic in stage three. Stage Three is only ignited if the general public around the world starts growing enamored with gold investing. In summary, the first stage being when insiders and professionals invest in the market. The second stage is when the general public and financial media recognizes that the bull market is real. The third stage is the mania stage when people feel that not only is the bull market real, but it is a must own situation. Through the study we found that gold is entering it now.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제35권4호
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• pp.360-373
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• 2017

국내 민간투자사업의 추진 방식 중 수익형 민간투자사업은 수요 위험이 존재하는 방식이다. 수요 위험이 현실화 될 경우 민간사업자는 예상보다 낮은 수입으로 인해 재무적인 어려움을 겪으며, 정부도 안정적인 사회기반시설 운영에 차질을 빚을 수 있다. 따라서 정부는 수요 위험에 따른 위험 분담 정책을 다양하게 적용해 오고 있다. 하지만 정부의 위험 분담은 수요의 불확실성으로 인한 정부의 우발채무이며, 실시협약의 문구로 표현되어 기존의 전통적인 사업평가 방식인 NPV 방식으로는 위험을 계량화 할 수 없다. 본 연구는 수요 위험 분담 정책의 하나로 2015년에 도입된 손익공유형 방식(BTO-a)을 대상으로 수요 위험을 고려한 정부의 투자위험 분담 가치를 산정하는데 목적을 두고 있다. 투자위험 분담은 금융에서의 옵션(option) 형태를 갖게 된다. 민간사업자는 수입이 감소했을 때 정부로 부터 보조금을 청구할 권리를 가지고 있으며, 반대로 정부는 일정 조건하에서 보조금을 지급할 의무를 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 Black-Scholes 옵션가격결정 모형을 활용하여 투자위험 분담의 가치추정 방법론을 정립하고 사례 사업을 통해 결과의 적정성을 살펴보았다. 사례 사업은 제안된 고속도로 민간투자사업을 대상으로 하였으며, 분석결과 투자위험 분담 가치는 약 120억원으로 추정되어 민간이 투자한 투자비의 약 4%를 차지하는 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 정부가 투자위험을 분담함으로써 120억원의 재정지원을 추가로 투입하는 효과로 볼 수 있다. 교통량 위험을 확률변수로 가정할 경우 사례사업에서 도출된 옵션가치는 평균이 122억원이고 표준편차는 36.7억원으로 도출되었다. 누적분포를 도출한 결과 90% 확률 구간의 옵션가치가 69억원에서 188억원의 범위에서 결정될 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 제시한 방법은 미래수요의 불확실성하에서 정부와 민간사업자가 더 나은 위험 분석과 투자위험 분담에 대한 경제적인 가치를 이해하는데 도움을 줄 것으로 기대한다.

• 재무관리연구
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.261-277
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• 2003

한국주식시장의 감리종목 제도는 단기간에 주가가 급등할 경우 투자자의 주의를 환기하여 가수요를 억제함으로써 주가의 안정을 도모하고자 하는 거래 장치중의 하나이다. 그런데, 감리 종목 제도는 그 시장안정장치로서의 역할에 관하여 이렇다 할 실증적 검증 없이, 가격제한폭 제도가 변할 때마다, 그 지정 및 해제 기준을 임의로 변경시키면서 존속되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 1995년부터 2001년까지 7년 동안, 감리종목으로 지정된 거래소종목과 코스닥종목의 수익률 자료를 조사하였는데, 감리종목 지정 후 원래의 취지와는 달리 주가의 변동성이별로 억제되지 않는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 가 매수 세력을 감소시키는 감리종목 제도의 조건들은 주가의 변동성보다는 오히려 수익률에 제약적으로 작용하여, 해당 주식들은 감리지정 후에 수익률이 감소할 가능성이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 감리종목의 지정 후 변동성이 억제되지 못하고 오히려 그 변동성이 증대되고, 수익률만 감소되는 결과로 나타난 것은 일관되게 감리종목 제도의 변동성 억제라는 기능에 의문점을 남긴다. 이는 가격제한폭 제도에 못지않게, 감리종목 제도도 그 취지와 기능, 조건 등에 있어서 검증이 되어야 함은 물론, 명확한 기준 없는 제도의 강화내지 완화는 시장의 안정성과 일반 투자자들의 투자 행태에 부정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있다는 것을 시사한다. 따라서 향후, 감리종목 제도는 단순히 수익률이 억제되는 방향보다는 취지대로 주가의 변동성을 감소시킬 수 있도록 계발되어야 할 것이다.