• Title/Summary/Keyword: interrupted time series analysis

Search Result 30, Processing Time 0.032 seconds

The Impact of Long-term Care Insurance on Medical Utilization and Medical Cost in South Korea (노인장기요양보험 서비스 이용에 따른 의료이용 및 의료비 지출 양상의 변화)

  • Kang, Hee-Jin;Jang, Suhyun;Jang, Sunmee
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.32 no.4
    • /
    • pp.389-399
    • /
    • 2022
  • Background: This study aimed to analyze changes in medical utilization and cost before and after long-term care (LTC) implementation. Methods: We used the National Health Information Database from National Health Insurance Service. The participants were selected who had a new LTC grade (grade 1-5) for 2015. Medical utilization was analyzed before and after LTC implementation. Segmented regression analysis of interrupted time series was conducted to evaluate the overall effect of the LTC implementation on medical costs. Results: The total number of participants was 41,726. A major reason for hospitalization in grade 1 was cerebrovascular diseases, and dementia was the top priority in grade 5. The proportion of hospitalization in grade 1 increased sharply before LTC implementation and then decreased. In grade 5, it increased before LTC implementation, but there was no significant difference after LTC implementation. As for medical cost, in grades 1 to 4, the total cost increased sharply before the LTC implementation, but thereafter, changes in level and trend tended to decrease statistically, and for grade 5, immediately after LTC implementation, the level change was decreasing, but thereafter, the trend change was increasing. Conclusion: Long-term care grades showed different medical utilization and cost changes. Long-term care beneficiaries would improve their quality of life by adequately resolving their medical needs by their grades.

Do Fraud Investigations Impact Healthcare Expenditures of Medical Institutions?: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis of Healthcare Costs in Korea

  • Kim, Seung Ju;Jang, Sung-In;Han, Kyu-Tae;Park, Eun-Cheol
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.186-193
    • /
    • 2018
  • Background: The aim of our study was to review the findings of health insurance fraud investigations and to evaluate their impacts on medical costs for target and non-target organizations. An interrupted time series study design using generalized estimation equations was used to evaluate changes in cost following fraud investigations. Methods: We used National Health Insurance claims data from 2009 to 2015, which included 20,625 medical institutions (1,614 target organizations and 19,011 non-target organizations). Outcome variable included cost change after fraud investigation. Results: Following the initiation of fraud investigations, we found statistically significant reductions in cost level for target organizations (-1.40%, p<0.001). In addition, a reduction in cost trend change per month was found for both target organizations and non-target organizations after fraud investigation (target organizations, -0.33%; non-target organizations of same region, -0.19%; non-target organizations of other regions, -0.17%). Conclusion: This study suggested that fraud investigations are associated with cost reduction in target organization. We also found similar effects of fraud investigations on health expenditure for non-target organizations located in the same region and in different regions. Our finding suggests that fraud investigations are important in controlling the growth of health expenditure. To maximize the effects of fraud investigation on the growth of health expenditure, more organizations needed to be considered as target organizations.

Is Political Polarization Reinforced in the Online World?: Empirical Findings of Comments about News Articles (온라인 공간의 정치 양극화는 심화될 것인가?: 선거 기사 댓글에 대한 경험적 분석)

  • Eom, Ki-Hong;Kim, Dae-Sik
    • Informatization Policy
    • /
    • v.28 no.4
    • /
    • pp.19-35
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this research is to investigate the attributes of the online world and to analyze their influence on democracy. The research focuses on the mayoral by-elections that were held in Seoul and Busan, South Korea, on April 4, 2021. The study demonstrates the characteristics of online spaces and the polarization of the online public through news articles and user comments from the Internet. The research includes topic modeling to measure the diversity of media reports, sentiment analysis to measure online public opinion, and interrupted time series analysis to understand how a particular event influences online attitudes. A combination of these methods is used to attempt to estimate the strength of political polarity in the online environment. The study shows diverse media reports by election region and candidate, where the online public repeatedly reveals high negative and low positive attitudes towards each candidate. Moreover, political polarity can differ based on the level of interest in an election. Although voters pay less attention to a by-election than a presidential election, there is a solid political polarity in the online world. Hence, the research recommends preparing measures to alleviate the polarization as politics requires significant online participation.

Effectiveness of a Clinical Pathway for Breast Cancer Patients Undergoing Surgical Operation on Clinical Outcomes and Costs

  • Jeong Hyun Park;Danbee Kang;Seok Jin Nam;Jeong Eon Lee;Seok Won Kim;Jonghan Yu;Byung Joo Chae;Se Kyung Lee;Jai Min Ryu;Yeon Hee Park;Mangyeong Lee;Juhee Cho
    • Quality Improvement in Health Care
    • /
    • v.30 no.1
    • /
    • pp.120-131
    • /
    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aimed to evaluate the impact of implementing a clinical pathways (CPs) on the clinical outcomes and costs of patients undergoing breast cancer surgery. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included patients who were newly diagnosed with primary breast cancer at the Samsung Medical Center between 2014 and 2019 (N=8482; 2931 patients in the pre-path and 5551 patients in the post-path). Clinical outcomes included reoperation during hospitalization, readmission, and emergency room visits within 30 days of discharge. The cost data for each unit were obtained from an activity-based management accounting system. We performed an interrupted time series analysis. Results: The post-path period showed a significantly shorter hospital length of stay (LOS) than the pre-path period (6.3 days in pre-path vs. 5.0 days in post-path; -1.3 days' difference; p=.001), and fewer reoperations during hospitalization and within 30 days after discharge than the pre-path period. After adjusting for inflation rates and relative value scores, the model demonstrated savings of $146 per patient in the post-path for total costs, and $537 per patient for patient out-of-pocket costs (p=.001). Conclusion: CPs can help reduce costs without compromising the quality of care by reducing the number of reoperations, readmissions, and complications.

The Effect of the Infant Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Immediate Remediation for Child Care Teachers (보육교사를 대상으로 한 영아 심폐소생술 현장교정교육의 지속효과)

  • Kim, Il Ok;Shin, Sun Hwa
    • The Journal of Korean Academic Society of Nursing Education
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.350-360
    • /
    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness and retention period of immediate remediation for infant cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) in child care teachers. Methods: This study used a nonequivalent comparison pre- and post-test design to measure knowledge about and confidence in infant CPR and an interrupted time-series design to determine skill performance. The experimental group (n=25) received both immediate remediation and video learning for infant CPR, and the comparison group (n=28) received video learning only. Knowledge and confidence were measured before and after 4 weeks. Their skill performance was tested immediately, and 4 weeks, 8 weeks, 12 weeks, and 24 weeks after intervention. Data analysis consisted of ${\chi}^2$ tests, t-tests, paired t-tests, and a generalized linear mixed model. Results: There were significant increases in knowledge and confidence within the experimental group. Skill performance showed a significant difference according to the group factor (F=10.81, p=.002) and measurement time (F=146.80, p<.001). The experimental group maintained significantly higher skill performance than did the comparison group. Conclusion: These findings support the necessity of immediate remediation education for infant CPR to maintain skill performance. In addition, appropriate renewal time and the improvement of training programs for child care teachers are necessary.

Effects of Korean value incentive program on the in-hospital mortality in acute hemorrhagic stroke patients (가감지급사업 실행 후 급성기 출혈성 뇌졸중의 원내 사망률 변화 분석)

  • Seol, Jin-Ju;Yoo, Ki-Bong;Lee, Kwang-Soo
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.20-30
    • /
    • 2022
  • Purposes: This study purposed to evaluate the effect of a value incentive program(VIP) on the in-hospital mortality of acute stroke. Methodology: Study period was from January 2010 to December 2018. This study included 63 hospitals for acute hemorrhagic stroke that the mortality rate per month was more than one during study period. Independent variables were time variables and hospital characteristics such as hospital type, district and bed number. Interrupted time series analysis was applied to analyze the data. Findings: In case of general hospitals, the in-hospital mortality rate per month for acute hemorrhagic stroke tends to be increased by 0.03% in overall study periods but decreased by 0.32% after the implementation of the policy. On the other hand, tertiary hospital changes are not statistically meaningful. Conclusion: This study provides evidences how the VIP was effective in improving quality of acute hemorrhagic stroke care. General hospitals showed higher policy effect compare to that of tertiary hospitals.

The Effect of Outpatient Cost Sharing on Health Care Utilization of the Elderly (노인의 외래본인부담제도에 따른 의료이용의 변화)

  • Kim, Myung-Hwa;Kwon, Soon-Man
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.43 no.6
    • /
    • pp.496-504
    • /
    • 2010
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of outpatient cost-sharing on health care utilization by the elderly. Methods: The data in this analysis was the health insurance claims data between July 1999 and December 2008 (114 months). The study group was divided into two age groups, namely 60-64 years old and 65-69 years old. This study evaluated the impact of policy change on office visits, the office visits per person, and the percentage of the copayment-paid visits in total visits. Interrupted time series and segmented regression model were used for statistical analysis. Results: The results showed that outpatient cost-sharing decreased office visits, but it also decreased the percentage of copayment-paid visits, implying that the intensity of care increased. There was little difference in the results between the two age groups. But after the introduction of the coinsurance system for those patients under age 65, office visits and the percentage of copayment-paid visits decreased, and the 60-64 years old group had a larger decrease than the 65-69 years old group. Conclusions: This study evaluated the effects of outpatient cost-sharing on health care utilization by the aged. Cost sharing of the elderly had little effect on controlling health care utilization.

A Study on Link Travel Time Prediction by Short Term Simulation Based on CA (CA모형을 이용한 단기 구간통행시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 이승재;장현호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.91-102
    • /
    • 2003
  • There are two goals in this paper. The one is development of existing CA(Cellular Automata) model to explain more realistic deceleration process to stop. The other is the application of the updated CA model to forecasting simulation to predict short term link travel time that takes a key rule in finding the shortest path of route guidance system of ITS. Car following theory of CA models don't makes not response to leading vehicle's velocity but gap or distance between leading vehicles and following vehicles. So a following vehicle running at free flow speed must meet steeply sudden deceleration to avoid back collision within unrealistic braking distance. To tackle above unrealistic deceleration rule, “Slow-to-stop” rule is integrated into NaSch model. For application to interrupted traffic flow, this paper applies “Slow-to-stop” rule to both normal traffic light and random traffic light. And vehicle packet method is used to simulate a large-scale network on the desktop. Generally, time series data analysis methods such as neural network, ARIMA, and Kalman filtering are used for short term link travel time prediction that is crucial to find an optimal dynamic shortest path. But those methods have time-lag problems and are hard to capture traffic flow mechanism such as spill over and spill back etc. To address above problems. the CA model built in this study is used for forecasting simulation to predict short term link travel time in Kangnam district network And it's turned out that short term prediction simulation method generates novel results, taking a crack of time lag problems and considering interrupted traffic flow mechanism.

Impact of public releasing of hospitals' performance on acute myocardial infarction outcomes (병원의 급성심근경색증 진료 결과 공개의 효과)

  • Eun, Sang Jun;Kim, Yoon;Lee, Eun Jung;Jang, Won Mo
    • Quality Improvement in Health Care
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.69-78
    • /
    • 2011
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to determine whether the published AMI report card could reduce in-patient mortality, 7-day after discharge mortality, and length of stay (LOS). Methods : Interrupted time-series intervention analysis was used to evaluate the impact of the report card for AMI care quality in November 2005 in terms of risk-adjusted in-patient mortality, risk-adjusted 7-day after discharge mortality, and DRGs case-mix LOS using the claim data of Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service. Results : Public disclosure of AMI care quality decreased risk-adjusted in-patient mortality and DRGs case-mix LOS by 0.00050% per month and 0.042 days per month respectively, however there was no effect on risk-adjusted 7-day after discharge mortality. Patterns of effect of public disclosure on AMI outcomes were a fluctuating pattern on risk-adjusted mortalities and a pulse impact for 1 month on DRGs case-mix LOS. Conclusions : We found the public disclosure of AMI care quality had decreasing effects on risk-adjusted in-patient mortality and DRGs case-mix LOS, but the size of the effect was marginal.

  • PDF

National Statistics of Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection for Early Gastric Cancer in Korea

  • Sang Hoon Lee;Hyunseok Cho;Myoung-Nam Lim;Seung-Joo Nam
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.464-478
    • /
    • 2024
  • Purpose: Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is the standard treatment for early gastric cancer (EGC) with a low risk of lymph node metastasis. In Korea, ESD was included in the National Health Insurance (NHI) coverage in 2011, which was expanded in 2018. In the present study, we investigated the status and trends of ESD for EGC over the past decade since its incorporation into the NHI system. Materials and Methods: We analyzed the data from the National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) database from 2011 to 2021, focusing on patient characteristics, number of ESD procedures, in-hospital length of stay (LOS), and total medical cost (TMC) per admission. In addition, we conducted an interrupted time series analysis to assess the impact of changes in insurance coverage on these variables. Results: Overall, 95,348 cases of ESD for EGC were identified. A consistent annual increase in ESD procedures was observed, particularly in tertiary care hospitals and among patients aged >60 years. The overall median LOS and TMC were 4 days and 2,123,000 KRW, respectively. The 2018 insurance coverage expansion did not significantly affect the number of ESD procedures or LOS; however, the TMC increased significantly. Conclusions: Our study illustrates decade-long trends in the ESD for EGC in Korea. The policy needs to be revised continuously to optimize ESD use and improve resource allocation within healthcare systems.