• Title/Summary/Keyword: initial model

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Development of a Model to Predict the Primary Infection Date of Bacterial Spot (Xanthomonas campestris pv. vesicatoria) on Hot Pepper

  • Kim, Ji-Hoon;Kang, Wee-Soo;Yun, Sung-Chul
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2014
  • A population model of bacterial spot caused by Xanthomonas campestris pv. vesicatoria on hot pepper was developed to predict the primary disease infection date. The model estimated the pathogen population on the surface and within the leaf of the host based on the wetness period and temperature. For successful infection, at least 5,000 cells/ml of the bacterial population were required. Also, wind and rain were necessary according to regression analyses of the monitored data. Bacterial spot on the model is initiated when the pathogen population exceeds $10^{15}cells/g$ within the leaf. The developed model was validated using 94 assessed samples from 2000 to 2007 obtained from monitored fields. Based on the validation study, the predicted initial infection dates varied based on the year rather than the location. Differences in initial infection dates between the model predictions and the monitored data in the field were minimal. For example, predicted infection dates for 7 locations were within the same month as the actual infection dates, 11 locations were within 1 month of the actual infection, and only 3 locations were more than 2 months apart from the actual infection. The predicted infection dates were mapped from 2009 to 2012; 2011 was the most severe year. Although the model was not sensitive enough to predict disease severity of less than 0.1% in the field, our model predicted bacterial spot severity of 1% or more. Therefore, this model can be applied in the field to determine when bacterial spot control is required.

Noncontrast Computed Tomography-Based Radiomics Analysis in Discriminating Early Hematoma Expansion after Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage

  • Zuhua Song;Dajing Guo;Zhuoyue Tang;Huan Liu;Xin Li;Sha Luo;Xueying Yao;Wenlong Song;Junjie Song;Zhiming Zhou
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.415-424
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    • 2021
  • Objective: To determine whether noncontrast computed tomography (NCCT) models based on multivariable, radiomics features, and machine learning (ML) algorithms could further improve the discrimination of early hematoma expansion (HE) in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH). Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 261 patients with sICH who underwent initial NCCT within 6 hours of ictus and follow-up CT within 24 hours after initial NCCT, between April 2011 and March 2019. The clinical characteristics, imaging signs and radiomics features extracted from the initial NCCT images were used to construct models to discriminate early HE. A clinical-radiologic model was constructed using a multivariate logistic regression (LR) analysis. Radiomics models, a radiomics-radiologic model, and a combined model were constructed in the training cohort (n = 182) and independently verified in the validation cohort (n = 79). Receiver operating characteristic analysis and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the discriminative power. Results: The AUC of the clinical-radiologic model for discriminating early HE was 0.766. The AUCs of the radiomics model for discriminating early HE built using the LR algorithm in the training and validation cohorts were 0.926 and 0.850, respectively. The AUCs of the radiomics-radiologic model in the training and validation cohorts were 0.946 and 0.867, respectively. The AUCs of the combined model in the training and validation cohorts were 0.960 and 0.867, respectively. Conclusion: NCCT models based on multivariable, radiomics features and ML algorithm could improve the discrimination of early HE. The combined model was the best recommended model to identify sICH patients at risk of early HE.

Improving a Risk-Averse Price-Fluctuating Inventory Model by Reallocating Initial Inventories (구매가격 변동 하에서 초기재고 재분배를 통한 위험회피 재고모형의 효율화)

  • Park, Chan-Kyoo
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.95-115
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    • 2013
  • In traditional inventory models, purchase prices of raw materials are assumed to be fixed and have no effect on the optimal choice of inventory policies. However, when purchase prices fluctuate continuously over time, inventory costs are heavily affected by purchasing prices. Risk-averse inventory model decides order quantity and ordering time by considering not just purchase prices but also the risk from the discrepancy between estimated prices and realized prices. In this paper, we propose a myopic inventory policy which incorporates price risk into deciding ordering time and quantities. While the existing risk-averse model has no mechanism to reallocate inventories already purchased for a specific future period, the revised one reallocates initial inventories of each period to other future periods so that it can avoid purchasing raw materials at high prices. Experimental results demonstrate that the revised model outperforms the existing one in respect of total cost and variability.

Experimental Modal Analysis for Understanding Dynamic Characteristics of BUS FULL BIW Assembly (버스차체 동특성 파악을 위한 실험 모드해석)

  • Lee, Joon-Ho;Kim, Gyeong-Ho;Park, Mi-You;Kim, Kyoung-Won;Song, Kyoung-Ho;Park, Youn-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.11b
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    • pp.68-73
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    • 2002
  • It is necessary first to understand dynamic characteristics of bus full BIW assembly for fatigue endurance analysis. FE model has been used usually for analyzing the dynamic behavior of structures. A lot of experience and effort, however, is necessary to make the credible FE model. Experimental modal analysis of structures has been performed to verify the credibility of initial FE model and to update the model. In this work, experimental modal analysis was performed to understand dynamic characteristics of bus full BIW assembly in free-free boundary condition and the result was used to verify the initial FE model. In addition, some practical techniques, which were used in this experiment, were mentioned.

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Improvement of the DAWAST Model (DAWAST 모형의 개선)

  • Lee, Jae-Myun;Kim, Tai-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.249-252
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    • 2002
  • This model is the daily streamflow model of the Korean watersheds has been developed to simulate the daily streamflow with the data of daily rainfall and pan evaporation. Parameters of this model are the water balance parameters composed Umax, Lmax, FC, CP, and CE and the routing parameters composed $U_i,\;k_1\;and\;k_2$. Among these parameters, CE value is applied one fixed value during the year and coefficient of initial ion K is empirically determined by 0.2. The object of this research is to improve the DAWAST model by application of the monthly value of CE for evapotranspiration and the revised K value for the initial abstraction.

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Structural Characterization of Cu/Ni Superlattices by X-ray Diffraction Modeling

  • Lee, S.J.;Bohmer, R.;Razzaq, W.Abdul
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2000
  • The structure of a series of Cu/Ni is characterized by using a program, SUPREX, to model the x-ray diffraction patterns, multilayers. The samples had nominal layer thickness of 3/3, 7/7, 13.5/13.5, 20/20, 30/30, 50/50, 80/80, 100/100, and 200/200 Angstroms. The diffraction patterns were taken around the (111) peak for the two constituent materials. A kinematical model is used to characterize the diffraction patterns and the parameters for the model are described. An initial model is calculated using initial guesses for the parameters. The model is then fit to the data by reducing $x^2$using the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. The samples are shown to be high quality supperlattices.

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Pseudo-multiscale Waveform Inversion for Velocity Modeling

  • Yang Dongwoo;Shin Changsoo;Yoon Kwangjin;Yang Seungjin;Suh Junghee;Hong Soonduk
    • Proceedings of the KSEEG Conference
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    • 2002.04a
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    • pp.159-162
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    • 2002
  • We tried to obtain an initial velocity model for prestack depth migration via waveform inversion. For application of any field data we chose a smooth background layered velocity model (v=v0 + k x z) as an initial velocity model. Newton type waveform inversion needs to invert huge Hessian matrix. In order to compute full Hessian matrix arising from full aperture data and full illumination zone, we meet insurmountable difficulties of paying astronomical computing cost. For the layered media, approximate Hessian emerging from single shot aperture data can be used repeatedly for split spread source configuration. In our work of using this Hessian characteristic of layered media we attempted to obtain the approximate velocity model as close as possible to the true velocity model in first iteration.

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Cooling Simulation for Fixed-Bed of Rough Rice (벼 퇴적층 냉각 시뮬레이션)

  • 김동철;김의웅;금동혁
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 1999
  • The objective of this study were to develop a cooling simulation model for fixed-bed of rough rice and to analyze the factors affecting cooling time of rough rice. A computer simulation model based on equilibrium conditions between grain and air was developed to predict temperature and moisture content changes during cooling of rough rice. the result of t-test showed that there were no significant differences between predicted and measured temperature changes on significance model agreed well with measured values. This cooling simulation model was applied to analyze the effect of some factors, such as air flow rate, cooling air temperature and humidity, initial grain temperature and moisture content, and bed depth, on cooling time of rough rice. Cooling rate increased with increase of air flow rate and bed depth whereas it decreased with increase of cooling air temperature and humidity and initial grain temperature. Among these factors, the most important factor was air flow rate. Specific air flow rate of 0.35㎥/min㎥ was required for cooling rough rice in 24 hours.

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A Shape Optimization of Universal Motor using FEM and Evolution Strategy

  • Shin, Pan-Seok
    • KIEE International Transaction on Electrical Machinery and Energy Conversion Systems
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    • v.2B no.4
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    • pp.156-161
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes an optimized universal motor for improving its performance using the finite element method (FEM) with the (1+1) Evolution Strategy (ES) algorithm. To do this, various design parameters are modified, such as air gap length, shape of motor slot, pole shoe, pole width, and rotor shaft diameter. Two parameters (arc length of stator pole and thickness of pole shoe) are chosen and optimized using the program, and the optimized model is built and tested with a performance measuring system. The measured values of the model are compared with those of the initial and the optimized model to prove the algorithm. As a result, the final model improves its performance compared with those of the initial model.

Optimal File Migration Policies in Distributed Database Systems (분산 데이터베이스 시스템에서의 최적 파일 이동 정책)

  • 이기태;김재련
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.18 no.33
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1995
  • The allocation of files is essential to the efficiency and effectiveness of a distributed system that must meet geographically dispersed data processing demands. In this paper, we address an optimization model that generates optimal file migration policies in distributed database systems. The proposed model is a more generalized model that includes system's capacity constraints - computing sites' storage capacity and communication networks' capacity - which have not taken into consideration in previous researches. Using this model, we can establish initial file allocation, file reallocation and file migration polices that minimize a system operating cost under system's capacity constraints at an initial system design or reorganization point The proposed model not only can be adopted by small-sized systems but also provides a foundation for effective and simple heuristics for adaptive file migration in large systems.

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