• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.57 no.5
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• pp.311-320
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• 2024

Climate change has been intensifying drought frequency and severity. Such prolonged droughts reduce reservoir levels, thereby exacerbating drought impacts. While previous studies have focused on optimizing reservoir operations using historical data to mitigate these impacts, their scope is limited to analyzing past events, highlighting the need for predictive methods for future droughts. This research introduces a novel approach for predicting minimum inflow at the Seomjingang dam which has experienced significant droughts. This study utilized the Stochastic Analysis Modeling and Simulation (SAMS) 2007 to generate inflow sequences for the same period of observed inflow. Then we simulate reservoir operations to assess firm yield and predict minimum inflow through synthetic inflow analysis. Minimum inflow is defined as the inflow where firm yield is less than 95% of the synthetic inflow in many sequences during periods matching observed inflow. The results for each case indicated the firm yield for the minimum inflow is on average 9.44 m³/s, approximately 1.07 m³/s lower than the observed inflow's firm yield of 10.51 m³/s. The minimum inflow estimation can inform reservoir operation standards, facilitate multi-reservoir system reviews, and assess supplementary capabilities. Estimating minimum inflow emerges as an effective strategy for enhancing water supply reliability and mitigating shortages.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.215-224
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• 2007

The purpose of this study was to estimates water supply reliability indices of the water supply by Allocation Rules(AR) for parallel reservoirs. Rule (A) can be considered it as only current storage, Rule(B) can be considered it as current storage and inflow and Rule(C) can be considered it as current storage, inflow and water supply capacity. First, conditions of water supply are divided by Condition I for the monthly constant water supply and Condition II for the monthly varied water supply. Second, results of allocation coefficients are revealed the smallest different at Rule(C). The analysis of water supply showed that the capability of water supply is superior to the Rule(B), it is superior to the Rule(C) on the base of the balance of water supply. The reliability analysis was highly showed at the Rule(B) and Rule(C). A methodology for the analysis of water supply was developed and applied to the parallel reservoir system from this research, The operation rule for the parallel reservoir can be slightly modified and successfully applied to the different kinds of the parallel reservoir system.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.38 no.1
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• pp.25-35
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• 2005

Nowaday the amount of water resource to generate the hydro-power energy has decreased as that of the water supply has increased. In case that the national market of the energy will be in free competition, the energy producer need to suggest the amount of the optimal supply with the hydrological reliability for a deal. In this study the optimal reservoir operation was performed by the linear programming and the optimal reliabilities of inflows and the power supply were obtained by the one dimensional search technique to estimate the energy with the optimal inflow reliability which the power system of the Yongdam multipurpose dam in Geum river can produce. And the main results were presented.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.617-624
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• 2020

Due to the rapid development of science technology and the main characteristics of the defense industry, such as long development period, design complexity, high possibility of discontinuing parts due to long life cycle, and small quantity production, it can cause increasing of the inflow possibility of counterfeit electronic parts and deteriorating the reliability of weapons systems. This paper presents the specific criteria for the identification of electronic parts to be verified for mass produced weapons systems after the development is completed, and the identification and verification methods for the inflow of counterfeit electronic components.

• Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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• v.5
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• pp.57-70
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• 1994

For the system benefit optimization by considering risk or reliability from a multiple reservoir system using the Monte Carlo Technique, Many stochastically generated inflow series have to be used for the system analysis. In this study, the stochastically generated inflow series for the multiple reservoir system operation are preprocessed according to the considering system objectives and operating time periods. Through this procedure, several representative inflow series which have discrate probability levels and operation horizons are selected among the thousands of generated inflows. Then a deterministic optimization technique is applied to the hydropower energy estimation from the Han River Reservoir System which considers five reservoirs in this study. It took much less computational requirements than using the original Morite Carlo Technique, even though estimated result was almost similar.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.20 no.12
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• pp.1553-1560
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• 2011

The study analyzes groundwater balance with regard to the water recharge and discharge which contain urbanization components in Suyeong-gu, Busan. It also verifies the reliability and accuracy improvement on the analysis of the balance. The result of the study is viewed as preliminary data which are useful to develop, utilize and manage groundwater. The average quantity of groundwater recharge is 6,014.1 $m^3$/day in the research area during the last ten year period(from 1998 to 2007). The outflow from drainage areas to rivers and coasts is 149.3 $m^3$/day, the inflow from rivers and coasts to drainage area is 439.9 $m^3$/day. The use of the water is 4,243.0 $m^3$/day. The outflow caused by subway in line No.2 and No.3 through Suyeong-gu and the one by building an underground electric complex is 1,500.0 $m^3$/day. The leakage of water works is 6514.9 $m^3$/day. The inflow and outflow of sewerage is 5082.2 $m^3$/day from groundwater to sewer. The amount of groundwater recharge, the inflow from rivers and coasts to drainage area, and the leakage of water works belong to the amount of groundwater inflow and the total amount is 12,968.9 $m^3$/day. The amount of outflow from drainage area to rivers and coasts, the use of groundwater, outflow by subway and underground electric complex tunnel and the amount of inflow of the water to sewerage belong to the amount of outflow of groundwater and the sum amount is 13,031.5 $m^3$/day. The gap between the amount of inflow and outflow of groundwater is 62.6 $m^3$/day, which is considered to reflect the trend that the short term drop in the amount of rainfall results in the amount of groundwater recharge and that the amount of outflow from drainage area to rivers and coasts decreases.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.3
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• pp.157-166
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• 2021

Forecasting dam inflow based on high reliability is required for efficient dam operation. In this study, deep learning technique, which is one of the data-driven methods and has been used in many fields of research, was manipulated to predict the dam inflow. The Long Short-Term Memory deep learning with Sequence-to-Sequence model (LSTM-s2s), which provides high performance in predicting time-series data, was applied for forecasting inflow of Soyang River dam. Various statistical metrics or evaluation indicators, including correlation coefficient (CC), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), percent bias (PBIAS), and error in peak value (PE), were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the model. The result of this study presented that the LSTM-s2s model showed high accuracy in the prediction of dam inflow and also provided good performance for runoff event based runoff prediction. It was found that the deep learning based approach could be used for efficient dam operation for water resource management during wet and dry seasons.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.141-149
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• 1993

Production of hydro-energy is random in its output amount due to the characteristics of the reservoir inflows. Therefore, it is necessary to provide the rationality in determining the amount of energy for a supply contract. This study presents a methodology for determining reasonably reliable amount of the energy supply considering the energy sale-incomes associated with the penalties which are subject to inflow-reliabilities. The objective function consists of the returns of energy sales and the risk-loss function to reflect statistically relevant risks. A range of the coefficient of the risk-loss function was figured out by its sensitivity analysis. The risk-loss herein means the penalty which should be paid by the energy supplier in case that the level of the energy supply is behind the contracted amount. And the reliability of reservoir inflow is defined by the exceedance probability of the inflow. The log-normal distribution was accepted as the probability density function of monthly inflows on the level of significance at 5%. Golden-ratio searching was applied to identify the optimal reliability and Incremental Dynamic Programming was used to maximize generation of the hydro-power energy in reservoir operation. The algorithm was the applied to the Daechung multi-purpose reservoir and hydro-power plant system in order to verify its usefulness.

• Water for future
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.89-97
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• 1993

For the system benefit optimization by considering risk or reliability from a multiple reservoir system using the Monte Carlo technique, many stochastically generated inflow series have to be used for the system analysis. In this study, the stochastically generated inflow series for the multiple reservoir system operation are preprocessed according to the considered system objectives and operating time periods. Through this procedure, several representative inflow series which have discrete probability levels and operation horizons are selected among the thousands of generated inflows. Then a deterministic optimization technique is applied to the power energy estimation from the Han River Reservoirs System which considers five reservoirs in the study. It took much lower computational requirements then using the original Monte Carlo Technique, even though estimated result was almost similar.

• Wind and Structures
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.239-253
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• 2019

Accurate numericalsimulation of wind field over complex terrain is an important prerequisite for wind resource assessment. In this study, numerical simulation of wind field over complex terrain was further carried out by taking the complex terrain around Siu Ho Wan station in Hong Kong as an example. By artificially expanding the original digital model data, Gambit and ICEM CFD software were used to create high-precision complex terrain model with high-quality meshing. The equilibrium atmospheric boundary layer simulation based on RANS turbulence model was carried out in a flat terrain domain, and the approximate inflow boundary conditions for the wind field simulation over complex terrain were established. Based on this, numerical simulations of wind field over complex terrain under different inflow wind directions were carried out. The numerical results were compared with the wind tunnel test and field measurement data for land and sea fetches. The results show that the numerical results are in good agreement with the wind tunnel data and the field measurement data which can verify the accuracy and reliability of the numerical simulation. The near ground wind field over complex terrain is complex and affected obviously by the terrain, and the wind field characteristics should be fully understood by numerical simulation when carrying out engineering application on it.