• 응용통계연구
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• 제29권5호
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• pp.849-858
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• 2016

관측 자료를 이용한 인과연구에서 관심 있는 처리변수의 효과가 다른 공변량의 효과와 중첩되지 않도록 조건화할 공변량을 선택하는 것이 중요하다. 인과연구에서의 공변량선택 문제는 공분산분석 모형에서의 변수선택 문제와 다르다는 것을 예를 들어 설명하였다. 그리고 모든 변수들 사이의 인과관계를 파악하지 않고도 적용할 수 있는 실용적인 공변량선택기준에 대해 살펴보았다. VanderWeele과 Shpitser (2011)가 새로운 기준을 제안하면서 새로운 기준이 다른 두 기준보다 나은 성능을 보인다고 주장하였는데, 이 기준에도 한계와 단점이 있음을 예증하였다. 새로운 기준이 완전한 기준은 아니지만 조건을 조금 수정하면 다른 두 기준과 달리 중첩을 제거할 수 있다는 점에서 좀 더 나은 기준이라고 할 수 있다.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.581-589
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• 2011

Generally, treated water or raw water is transported into storage reservoirs which are receiving facilities of local governments from multi-regional water supply systems. A water supply control and operation center is operated not only to manage the water facilities more economically and efficiently but also to mitigate the shortage of water resources due to the increase in water consumption. To achieve the goal, important information such as the flow-rate in the systems, water levels of storage reservoirs or tanks, and pump-operation schedule should be considered based on the resonable water demand forecasting. However, it is difficult to acquire the pattern of water demand used in local government, since the operating information is not shared between multi-regional and local water systems. The pattern of water demand is irregular and unpredictable. Also, additional changes such as an abrupt accident and frequent changes of electric power rates could occur. Consequently, it is not easy to forecast accurate water demands. Therefore, it is necessary to introduce a short-term water demands forecasting and to develop an application of the forecasting models. In this study, the forecasting simulator for water demand is developed based on mathematical and neural network methods as linear and non-linear models to implement the optimal water demands forecasting. It is shown that MLP(Multi-Layered Perceptron) and ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) can be applied to obtain better forecasting results in multi-regional water supply systems with a large scale and local water supply systems with small or medium scale than conventional methods, respectively.

• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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• 제24권6호
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• pp.586-591
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• 2014

본 연구에서는 인공 벌 군집(ABC: Artificial Bee Colony) 알고리즘을 이용하여 주어진 레이더 데이터로부터 강수 사례와 비강수 사례를 분류하는 방사형 기저함수 신경회로망(RBFNNs: Radial Basis Function Neural Networks)분류기를 소개한다. 기상청에서 사용하고 있는 기상 레이더 데이터의 특성 분석을 통해 입력 데이터를 구성한다. 방사형 기저함수 신경회로망의 조건부에서는 Fuzzy C-Means 클러스터링 방법을 이용하여 적합도를 계산하고, 결론부에서는 최소자승법(LSE: Least Square Method)을 이용하여 다항식 계수를 추정한다. 추론부에서 최종출력 값은 퍼지 추론 방법을 이용하여 얻어진다. 제안된 분류기의 성능은 기상청에서 사용하는 QC와 CZ 데이터를 고려하여 비교 및 분석되어진다.

• Animal Bioscience
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• 제34권6호
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• pp.967-974
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• 2021

Objective: The objective of this study was to estimate the genetic correlation (rpc) of growth performance between purebred (Duroc and Korean native) and synthetic (WooriHeukDon) pigs using a single-step method. Methods: Phenotypes of 15,902 pigs with genotyped data from 1,792 pigs from a nucleus farm were used for this study. We estimated the rpc of several performance traits between WooriHeukDon and purebred pigs: day of target weight (DAY), backfat thickness (BF), feed conversion rate (FCR), and residual feed intake (RFI). The variances and covariances of the studied traits were estimated by an animal multi-trait model that applied the Bayesian inference. Results: rpc within traits was lower than 0.1 for DAY and BF, but high for FCR and RFI; in particular, rpc for RFI between Duroc and WooriHeukDon pigs was nearly 1. Comparison between different traits revealed that RFI in Duroc pigs was associated with different traits in WooriHeukDon pigs. However, the most of rpc between different traits were estimated with low or with high standard deviation. Conclusion: The results indicated that there were substantial differences in rpc of traits in the synthetic WooriHeukDon pigs, which could be caused by these pigs having a more complex origin than other crossbred pigs. RFI was strongly correlated between Duroc and WooriHeukDon pigs, and these breeds might have similar single nucleotide polymorphism effects that control RFI. RFI is more essential for metabolism than other growth traits and these metabolic characteristics in purebred pigs, such as nutrient utilization, could significantly affect those in synthetic pigs. The findings of this study can be used to elucidate the genetic architecture of crossbred pigs and help develop new breeds with target traits.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제46권2호
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• pp.381-393
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• 2019

A smart farm is a system that combines information and communication technology (ICT), internet of things (IoT), and agricultural technology that enable a farm to operate with minimal labor and to automatically control of a greenhouse environment. Machine learning based on recently data-driven techniques has emerged with big data technologies and high-performance computing to create opportunities to quantify data intensive processes in agricultural operational environments. This paper presents research on the application of machine learning technology to diagnose the growth status of crops and predicting the harvest time of strawberries in a greenhouse according to image processing techniques. To classify the growth stages of the strawberries, we used object inference and detection with machine learning model based on deep learning neural networks and TensorFlow. The classification accuracy was compared based on the training data volume and training epoch. As a result, it was able to classify with an accuracy of over 90% with 200 training images and 8,000 training steps. The detection and classification of the strawberry maturities could be identified with an accuracy of over 90% at the mature and over mature stages of the strawberries. Concurrently, the experimental results are promising, and they show that this approach can be applied to develop a machine learning model for predicting the strawberry harvesting time and can be used to provide key decision support information to both farmers and policy makers about optimal harvest times and harvest planning.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제54권2호
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• pp.608-616
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• 2022

Power peaking factors (PPF) is an important parameter for safe and efficient reactor operation. There are several methods to calculate the PPF at TRIGA research reactors such as MCNP and TRIGLAV codes. However, these methods are time-consuming and required high specifications of a computer system. To overcome these limitations, artificial intelligence was introduced for parameter prediction. Previous studies applied the neural network method to predict the PPF, but the publications using the ANFIS method are not well developed yet. In this paper, the prediction of PPF using the ANFIS was conducted. Two input variables, control rod position, and neutron flux were collected while the PPF was calculated using TRIGLAV code as the data output. These input-output datasets were used for ANFIS model generation, training, and testing. In this study, four ANFIS model with two types of input space partitioning methods shows good predictive performances with R² values in the range of 96%-97%, reveals the strong relationship between the predicted and actual PPF values. The RMSE calculated also near zero. From this statistical analysis, it is proven that the ANFIS could predict the PPF accurately and can be used as an alternative method to develop a real-time monitoring system at TRIGA research reactors.

• 스마트미디어저널
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• 제11권5호
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• pp.26-37
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• 2022

본 논문에서는 시설재배 작물 중 딸기의 초기 병해를 방제하고자 이미지를 자동으로 취득하고, EfficientNet 모델을 활용해 병해를 분석하여 농민에게 병해 여부를 알려주고, 전문가를 통한 병해 진단 서비스를 제안한다. 딸기 생육단계의 이미지를 취득하고, 학습된 EfficientNet 모델을 활용해 병해 진단 분석결과를 농민의 애플리케이션으로 전송 후 전문가의 피드백을 신속하게 받을 수 있다. 데이터 세트로는 실제 시설재배를 운영하는 농민을 섭외하여 시스템을 이용해 이미지를 취득하였고, 핸드폰으로 촬영한 이미지의 초안을 활용하여 데이터가 부족한 문제를 해결했다. 실험 결과 EfficientNet B0부터 B7까지의 정확도는 유사하여 추론 속도가 가장 빠른 B0를 채택했다. 성능향상을 위해 ImageNet으로 사전학습 된 모델을 사용해 Fine-tuning 했고, 100 Epoch부터 급격한 성능향상을 확인했다. 제안하는 서비스는 초기 병해를 빠르게 탐지하여 생산량을 증대시킬 것으로 기대한다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.131-146
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• 2022

로지스틱 회귀 모형은 다양한 분야에서 범주형 종속 변수를 예측하거나 분류하기 위한 모형으로 많이 사용되고 있다. 로지스틱 회귀 모형에 대한 전통적인 베이지안 추론 기법으로 메트로폴리스-헤이스팅스 알고리즘이 많이 사용되었지만, 수렴의 속도가 느리고 제안 분포에 대한 적절성을 보장하기 어렵다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 모형에 대한 베이지안 추론 방법으로 Frühwirth-Schnatter와 Frühwirth (2007)에서 제안된 보조 혼합 샘플링(auxiliary mixture sampling) 기법을 사용하였다. 이 방법은 모형의 선형성과 정규성을 만족시키기 위해 두 단계에 거쳐 잠재변수를 도입하며, 결과적으로 깁스 샘플링을 통한 추론을 가능하게 한다. 제안한 모형의 효과를 검증하기 위해 2020년 지역사회 건강조사 당뇨병 자료에 적용하여 메트로폴리스-헤이스팅스를 사용한 모형과 추론 결과를 비교 분석하였다. 또한, 다양한 분류 모형들과 본 논문에서 제안한 모형의 분류 성능을 비교한 결과 제안된 모형이 분류 분석에서도 좋은 성능을 보이는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.355-366
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• 2022

본 논문은 프로그램 가능한 구조를 사용하여 재구성이 가능하고 저 전력 초소형의 장점을 모두 제공하는 인공지능 가속기를 위한 마이크로코드 기반 뉴럴 네트워크 가속기 컨트롤러를 제안한다. 대상 가속기가 다양한 뉴럴 네트워크 모델을 지원하도록 마이크로코드 컴파일러를 통해 뉴럴 네트워크 모델을 마이크로코드로 변환하여 가속기의 메모리 접근과 모든 연산기를 제어할 수 있다. 200MHz의 System Clock을 기준으로 설계하였으며, YOLOv2-Tiny CNN model을 구동하도록 컨트롤러를 구현하였다. 객체 감지를 위한 VOC 2012 dataset 추론용 컨트롤러를 구현할 경우 137.9ms/image, mask 착용 여부 감지를 위한 mask detection dataset 추론용으로 구현할 경우 99.5ms/image의 detection speed를 달성하였다. 제안된 컨트롤러를 탑재한 가속기를 실리콘칩으로 구현할 때 게이트 카운트는 618,388이며, 이는 CPU core로서 RISC-V (U5-MC2)를 탑재할 경우 대비 약 65.5% 감소한 칩 면적을 제공한다.

• 식물병연구
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.209-220
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• 2022

Charcoal canker of oak, which has recently increased in southern Iran, could pose a serious threat to the entire forest ecosystem in the near future. In addition, it seems that climate change and its consequences, such as drought in the southern regions of Iran, have exacerbated this phenomenon. Consequently, the objective of this study was to identify the fungal pathogens that could cause charcoal canker disease in the oak forests of South Zagros. It was also sought to find associations between changes in the occurrence/exacerbation of charcoal canker disease under non and intense drought stress in non-inoculated or inoculated Quercus brantii seedlings. In total, 120 isolates were obtained from eight oak forests located in the Zagros Mountains of Southern Iran, Kohgiluyeh & Boyer-Ahmad and Fars provinces, which were classified as Biscogniauxia mediterranea based on morphological assessment. Subsequently, molecular assay confirmed the result by phylogenetic inference of internal transcribed spacer-rDNA regions, α-actin, and β-tubulin genes. The results of the pathogenicity test showed that the response of isolates of B. mediterranea (Iran-G1 and Iran-M70) was varied in different environments for the measured necrotic lesion length. In comparison with the control moisture treatments (non-stress), the necrotic lesion length in inoculated treatments increased under intense drought stress. In general, inoculated oak seedlings' exposure to water-deficient stress by the pathogen of B. mediterranea could affect the spread/severity of the charcoal canker disease.