• Title/Summary/Keyword: industrial dynamics model

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GLOBAL STABILITY OF VIRUS DYNAMICS MODEL WITH IMMUNE RESPONSE, CELLULAR INFECTION AND HOLLING TYPE-II

  • ELAIW, A.M.;GHALEB, SH.A.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.39-63
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we study the effect of Cytotoxic T Lymphocyte (CTL) and antibody immune responses on the virus dynamics with both virus-to-cell and cell-to-cell transmissions. The infection rate is given by Holling type-II. We first show that the model is biologically acceptable by showing that the solutions of the model are nonnegative and bounded. We find the equilibria of the model and investigate their global stability analysis. We derive five threshold parameters which fully determine the existence and stability of the five equilibria of the model. The global stability of all equilibria of the model is proven using Lyapunov method and applying LaSalle's invariance principle. To support our theoretical results we have performed some numerical simulations for the model. The results show the CTL and antibody immune response can control the disease progression.

Effects of Material Parameters and Process Conditions on the Roll-Drafting Dynamics

  • Huh, You;Kim, Jong-S.
    • Fibers and Polymers
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.424-431
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    • 2006
  • Roll drafting, a mechanical operation attenuating fiber bundles to an appropriate thickness, is an important operation unit for manufacturing staple yams. It influences not only the linear density regularity of the slivers or staple yams that are produced, but also the quality of the textile product and the efficiency of the thereafter processes. In this research, the dynamic states of the fiber bundle in the roll drafting zone were analyzed by simulation, based on the mathematical model that describes the dynamic behavior of the flowing bundle. The state variables are the linear density and velocity of the fiber bundles and we simulated the dynamics states of the bundle flow, e.g., the profiles of the linear density and velocity in the draft zone for various values of the model parameters and boundary conditions, including the initial conditions to obtain their influence on the dynamic state. Results showed that the mean velocity profile of the fiber bundle was strongly influenced by draft ratio and process speed, while the input sliver linear density has hardly affected the process dynamics. Velocity variance of individual fibers that could be supposed to be a disturbing factor in drafting was also influenced by the process speed. But the major disturbance occurred due to the velocity slope discontinuity at the front roll, which was strongly influenced by the process speed. Thickness of input sliver didn't play any important role in the process dynamics.

GLOBAL ANALYSIS FOR A DELAY-DISTRIBUTED VIRAL INFECTION MODEL WITH ANTIBODIES AND GENERAL NONLINEAR INCIDENCE RATE

  • Elaiw, A.M.;Alshamrani, N.H.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.317-335
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    • 2014
  • In this work, we investigate the global stability analysis of a viral infection model with antibody immune response. The incidence rate is given by a general function of the populations of the uninfected target cells, infected cells and free viruses. The model has been incorporated with two types of intracellular distributed time delays to describe the time required for viral contacting an uninfected cell and releasing new infectious viruses. We have established a set of conditions on the general incidence rate function and determined two threshold parameters $R_0$ (the basic infection reproduction number) and $R_1$ (the antibody immune response activation number) which are sufficient to determine the global dynamics of the model. The global asymptotic stability of the equilibria of the model has been proven by using Lyapunov theory and applying LaSalle's invariance principle.

Development of a System Dynamics Computer Model for Efficient Operations of an Industrial Water Supply System (공업용수 공급시스템의 효율적인 운영을 위한 시스템다이내믹스 모형의 개발)

  • Kim, Bong-Jae;Park, Su-Wan;Kim, Tae-Yeong;Jeon, Dae-Hun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.383-397
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    • 2012
  • In this study, a System Dynamics (SD) simulation model for the efficient operations of an industrial water supply system was developed by investigating the feedback loop mechanisms involved in the operations of the system. The system was modeled so that as demand is determined the water supply quantity of intake pumping stations and dams are allocated. The main feedback loop showed that many variables such as the combinations of pump operation, unit electric power(kWh/$m^3$), unit electric power costs(won/$m^3$), water level of water way tunnel, suction pressure and discharge of pumping station, and tank and service reservoir water level had causal effects and produced results depending on their causal relationship. The configurations of the model included an intake pumping station model, water way tunnel model, pumping station model (including the tank and service reservoir water level control model), and unit electric power model. The model was verified using the data from the case study industrial water supply system that consisted of a water treatment plant, two pumping stations and four dams with an annual energy costs of 5 billion won. It was shown that the electric power costs could have been saved 7~26% during the past six years if the operations had been based on the findings of this study.

STABILITY AND THE EFFECT OF HARVESTING IN A BUDWORM POPULATION MODEL

  • Zaman, Gul;Kang, Yong-Han;Jung, Il-Hyo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.163-173
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    • 2010
  • In this work, we consider a nonlinear budworm model by a system of three ordinary differential equations originally created by Ludwig et al. in 1978. The nonlinear system describes the dynamics of the interaction between a budworm and a fir forest. We introduce stability techniques to analyze the dynamical behavior of this nonlinear system. Then we use constant effort harvesting techniques to control the budworm population. We also give numerical simulations of the population model with harvest and without harvest.

A System Dynamics Approach to Analyze the Effect of a Fostering Policy on the Coastal Shipping Industry

  • Park, Sung-Jin;Pa, Hoo-Seok;Shin, Yong-John
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.345-351
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    • 2016
  • This study presents a system dynamics methodology to evaluate quantitatively the effect of the Korean government's development policy, such as tax reductions, on the industrial economy. System dynamics is often perceived as an optimized means to identify the dynamic inter-relationships among various factors of development policies, and in particular the industrial characteristics and uncertainties of the coastal shipping industry. The results of simulations used in this study shows that the impact of development policies such as tax reductions would increase shipping demand for about 4 years, and that tax incentives could raise the demand volume for cabotage cargo from 5.26 to 11.11%, through the available freight-down by 90~95% points. The system dynamics approach used in this paper represents an initial attempt to use this methodology in studies of the coastal shipping industry. On the basis of our simulations, the industrial effects of other development policies, such as ship financing support, investment of social overhead, or crew supply, could also be analyzed effectively. Additionally, it should be possible to extend these results by developing a comprehensive model encompassing these various analyses.

System dynamic modeling and scenario simulation on Beijing industrial carbon emissions

  • Wen, Lei;Bai, Lu;Zhang, Ernv
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.355-364
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    • 2016
  • Beijing, as a cradle of modern industry and the third largest metropolitan area in China, faces more responsibilities to adjust industrial structure and mitigate carbon emissions. The purpose of this study is aimed at predicting and comparing industrial carbon emissions of Beijing in ten scenarios under different policy focus, and then providing emission-cutting recommendations. In views of various scenarios issues, system dynamics has been applied to predict and simulate. To begin with, the model has been established following the step of causal loop diagram and stock flow diagram. This paper decomposes scenarios factors into energy structure, high energy consumption enterprises and growth rate of industrial output. The prediction and scenario simulation results shows that energy structure, carbon intensity and heavy energy consumption enterprises are key factors, and multiple factors has more significant impact on industrial carbon emissions. Hence, some recommendations about low-carbon mode of Beijing industrial carbon emission have been proposed according to simulation results.

Sustainable Land Use within a Limit of Environmental Carrying Capacity in Metropolitan Area, Korea (지속가능한 발전을 위한 환경용량의 산정과 토지이용형태 연구 - 수도권지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Moon, Tae-Hoon
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.51-82
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this paper is exploring changes in land use pattern when considering environmental carrying capacity. A sustainable development requires a society to define sustainability constraints, environmental carrying capacity. Environmental carrying capacity can be defined as a level of human activity a region can sustain at a desired level of quality of environment. This concept of environmental carrying capacity can be applied to land use to explore sustainable land use pattern. Since land use pattern can affect environment in an important way, exploring sustainable land use pattern within the limit of environmental carrying capacity can suggest useful implications for a sustainable regional management and planning. For this purpose, this paper built the environmental carrying capacity land use model and applied it to the Metropolitan Area, Korea. System dynamics modeling methods was used to build the model. The model developed in this paper consisted of 6sectors; population, housing, industry, land, environment, and traffic sector. The model limits its main focus on the NO2 level as an indicator of quality of environment in Metropolitan Area. Box model was translated into system dynamics model and combined to urban dynamics model to estimate NO2 level, the maximum number of population, industry structure, housing and maximum amount of land use for industrial, housing, and green space that can sustain desirable NO2 level. Metropolitan area was divided into 16 areas and the model was applied to each area. Since NO2 is flowing in and out from each area, model was built to allow this transboundering nature of air pollutants. Based on the model estimation, several policy implications for a sustainable land use pattern was discussed.

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A Study on Ventilation Characteristics of Industrial Windows (공장창호의 환기특성에 관한 연구)

  • Piao, Cheng-Xu;Kim, Tae-Hyeung;Ha, Hyun-Chul;Xu, Rong-Bin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.581-587
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    • 2011
  • Industrial natural ventilation systems consist of gravity ventilator, the high/low windows and doors. Especially, the high windows play an important role in the industrial natural ventilation systems. Generally speaking, industrial high windows are divided into 3 types; louver type, $45^{\circ}$ open type and $90^{\circ}$ open type. This study was numerically and experimentally conducted. Three types of windows were tested to know the ventilation characteristics and estimate the ventilation efficiencies. Numerically, computational fluid dynamics software (AIR PAK Ver. 2.0) was used to observe the flow characteristics inside the industrial building and the concentration contours generated by the tracer gas method. Experimentally, the flow visualization technique and the tracer gas method were applied with the model building to characterize the flow pattern inside the model building and to estimate the ventilation efficiencies with the different windows. It was found that $90^{\circ}$ open type window was most effective for the discharge of pollutants from the industrial building. On the other hand, the louver type window was found to be less effective than any other windows.

The Effects of Non-synchronized Investment Behavior under Industrial Business Cycles (산업경기순환 하에서 투자행동 비동기화의 효과)

  • Kim, Chang-Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.5-37
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    • 2011
  • This article aims to clarify what is the best investment behavior in Capital Intensive Industries(hereinafter CIIs) which show repeated business cycles. In CIIs, investments is centered in the period of upturns and goes beyond the adequate level because of the time that takes to completion of facilities. This over-investment causes oversupply and downturn, and in period of downturn, investments shrinks under the adequate level. The repeated change of over-investment and under-investment is the reason for the business cycles. In this article, a simulation model replicating the business cycles in CIIs was constructed and the effects of various investment strategies was tested. The results are as follows. First, the investment behavior following market condition causes the ongoing fluctuation of profits. Second, strategic increase in flexibility such as adjustment of facility utilization and shortening of facility construction time contributes to the increase in profit and stabilization of income. Third, in relation to market condition, the constant investment is more profitable in stagnated market and the counter-market investment is more profitable in growing market. In sum, it is desirable not to synchronize their investment with those of competitors.

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