• Title/Summary/Keyword: individual rainfall

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Extracting Damage Information from Torrential Rainfall using Airphotos and Spatial Data (항공사진과 공간자료를 이용한 집중호우로 인한 피해정보 추출 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Gi-Beom;Kim, Kye-Hyun;Seo, Jung-Taek
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2010
  • This research intended to estimate the damage information from torrential rainfalls using airphotos and spatial data which have been rapidly increasing their applicability recently. The study area was Bonghwagun of Gyungsangbukdo where the large amount of damages were occurred from torrential rainfall in July, 2008. For this study, the database was constructed for the study area by collecting usable data. The interpretable items from the airphotos of 40cm spatial resolution were selected. Also, the useful GIS layers such as road were selected in the digital map to extract the damage information more accurately and rapidly. The damaged area was easily identified through the comparison of pre- and post-disaster airphotos. The recovery cost was estimated by applying unit cost to the damaged area. GIS's overlay function was used to extract the damage information of for individual items damaged. The method for extracting damages information using GIS and airphotos could be more efficient and cost effective in case of relatively wide and unapproachable damaged areas. It is also expected that the method using high resolution imagery would lead to minimize the secondary damages as well since it can facilitate the damage estimation within short period of time thereby supporting early securing budget for recovery.

Statistical Analyses on the Relationships between Red Tide Formation and Meteorological Factors in the Korean Coastal Waters (한국 연안의 적조형성과 기상인자간의 관계에 대한 통계적 해석)

  • 윤홍주;서영상;정종철;남광우
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.926-932
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    • 2004
  • This study deals with the statistical analyses on the relationship between the red tide formation and the meteorological factors in the Korean coastal waters. From 1995 to 2002, the red tide was observed every year and the number of occurrences increased as well. The red tide mostly occurred in July, August, September and October. from multiple linear regression, the meteorological factors governing the mechanisms of the increase in the number of red tide occurrences are found to be a water temperature, rainfall, sunshine duration and wind velocity. But water temperature as the limited factor controlling the growth of phytoplankton (Cochlodinium polykrikoids) in 15∼$30^{\circ}c$. NO = 8.089 - 0.319WT + 0.019RF + 0.141SD + 0.l19WV (R = 0.897) in August NO = 7.531 - 0.327WT + 0.027RF + 0.208SD + 0.208WV (R = 0.894) in September Here, NO is the number of occurrence for red tide, WT is water temperature, RF is rainfall, SD is sunshine duration and WV is wind velocity, respectively. The necessary times till the day of red tide occurrence verse the day when water temperature reaches $15^{\circ}c$ are 78∼104 days, then it should be divided the coastal waters into 4 areas by the comparison among the accumulated sunshine duration, water temperature and rainfall as follows; the South West Coast (SW), South Middle Coast (SM), South East Coast(SE) and East South Coast (ES). The coastal areas that red tide occurs were complicated and various by change of marine environments. Usually red tide with a high concentrations (individual number, cells/ml) appeared in SM and SE. It was found that the general situations for the frequencies of red tide formation are mainly concentrated to 24.5∼$25^{\circ}c$ (high water temperature) and eve. 1000 cells/ml (high individual number) such as the category of red tide warning.

Study on the Application of 2D Video Disdrometer to Develope the Polarimetric Radar Data Simulator (이중편파레이더 시뮬레이터 개발을 위한 2차원 영상우적계 관측자료의 활용가능성 연구)

  • Kim, Hae-Lim;Park, Hye-Sook;Park, Hyang Suk;Park, Jong-Seo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.173-188
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    • 2014
  • The KMA has cooperated with the Oklahoma University in USA to develop a Polarimetric Radar Data (PRD) simulator to improve the microphysical processes in Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System (KLAPS), which is critical for the utilization of PRD into Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) field. The simulator is like a tool to convert NWP data into PRD, so it enables us to compare NWP data with PRD directly. The simulator can simulate polarimetric radar variables such as reflectivity (Z), differential reflectivity ($Z_{DR}$), specific differential phase ($K_{DP}$), and cross-correlation coefficient (${\rho}_{hv}$) with input of the Drop Size Distribution (DSD) and scattering calculation of the hydrometeors. However, the simulator is being developed based on the foreign observation data, therefore the PRD simulator development reflecting rainfall characteristics of Korea is needed. This study analyzed a potential application of the 2-Dimension Video Disdrometer (2DVD) data by calculating the raindrop axis ratio according to the rain-types to reflect Korea's rainfall characteristics into scattering module in the simulator. The 2DVD instrument measures the precipitation DSD including the fall velocity and the shape of individual raindrops. We calculated raindrop axis ratio for stratiform, convective and mixed rainfall cases after checking the accuracy of 2DVD data, which usually represent the scattering characteristics of precipitation. The raindrop axis ratio obtained from 2DVD data are compared with those from foreign database in the simulator. The calculated the dual-polarimetric radar variables from the simulator using the obtained raindrop axis ratio are also compared with in situ dual-polarimetric observation data at Bislsan (BSL). 2DVD observation data show high accuracies in the range of 0.7~4.8% compared with in situ rain gauge data which represents 2DVD data are sufficient for the use to simulator. There are small differences of axis ratio in the diameter below 1~2 mm and above 4~5 mm, which are more obvious for bigger raindrops especially for a strong convective rainfall case. These differences of raindrop axis ratio between domestic and foreign rainfall data base suggest that the potential use of disdrometer observation can develop of a PRD simulated suitable to the Korea precipitation system.

Prediction of a Debris Flow Flooding Caused by Probable Maximum Precipitation (가능 최대강수량에 의한 토석류 범람 예측)

  • Kim, Yeon-Joong;Yoon, Jung-Sung;Kohji, Tanaka;Hur, Dong-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2015
  • In recent years, debris flow disaster has occurred in multiple locations between high and low mountainous areas simultaneously with a flooding disaster in urban areas caused by heavy and torrential rainfall due to the changing global climate and environment. As a result, these disasters frequently lead to large-scale destruction of infrastructures or individual properties and cause psychological harm or human death. In order to mitigate these disasters more effectively, it is necessary to investigate what causes the damage with an integrated model of both disasters at once. The objectives of this study are to analyze the mechanism of debris flow for real basin, to determine the PMP and run-off discharge due to the DAD analysis, and to estimate the influence range of debris flow for fan area according to the scenario. To analyse the characteristics of debris flow at the real basin, the parameters such as the deposition pattern, deposit thickness, approaching velocity, occurrence of sediment volume and travel length are estimated from DAD analysis. As a results, the peak time precipitation is estimated by 135 mm/hr as torrential rainfall and maximum total amount of rainfall is estimated by 544 mm as typhoon related rainfall.

Ecological Distribution Characteristics of Gammurs sobaegensis by Natural Disturbance in Mountain Stream (하천생태계의 자연적 교란에 의한 보통옆새우(Gammarus sobaegensis)의 생태학적 분포특성)

  • Lee, Yeon-Ho;Byun, Jin-Su;Park, Jung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.47 no.spc
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2014
  • The habitat characteristic of the Gammarus sobaegensis which is one of the Amphipoda kinds has been found inhabiting in the inter mountain stream at Ganseong stream. From the investigation, the main inhabitant area of the G. sobaegensis maintained the water temperature under $10^{\circ}C$ during the spring and autumn season, and the electric conductivity was also maintaining under $40{\mu}Scm^{-1}$. For the precipitation, for this year when the monthly accredited rainfall did not exceed 800 mm, it did not affect maintaining the population of the G. sobaegensis but when the monthly accredited rainfall exceeded 1,000 mm it was found to be working as a unfavorable condition for maintaining the population. The effect especially from this kind of rainfall created the flow of G. sobaegensis as well as the flow of the fallen leaves which are the food resources and affected the population of the G. sobaegensis as a multiple interruption reason. Among the Functional Feeding Groups (FFGs) distribution depending on the use of the food resources the shredders showed up in the ratio of 20% in the site 1~3, and showed a big difference with the site 4~7 as it showed up in the ratio near 10%. Also, after comparing the variation of the individual number among the G. sobaegensis and shredders at the site 1~3 where G. sobaegensis mainly shows up, it showed the same variation pattern except for 2009.

An analysis of effects of seasonal weather forecasting on dam reservoir inflow prediction (장기 기상전망이 댐 저수지 유입량 전망에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;Nam, Woo-Sung;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.451-461
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    • 2019
  • The dam reservoir inflow prediction is utilized to ensure for water supply and prevent future droughts. In this study, we predicted the dam reservoir inflow and analyzed how seasonal weather forecasting affected the accuracy of the inflow for even multi-purpose dams. The hindcast and forecast of GloSea5 from KMA were used as input for rainfall-runoff models. TANK, ABCD, K-DRUM and PRMS models which have individual characteristics were applied to simulate inflow prediction. The dam reservoir inflow prediction was assessed for the periods of 1996~2009 and 2015~2016 for the hindcast and forecast respectively. The results of assessment showed that the inflow prediction was underestimated by comparing with the observed inflow. If rainfall-runoff models were calibrated appropriately, the characteristics of the models were not vital for accuracy of the inflow prediction. However the accuracy of seasonal weather forecasting, especially precipitation data is highly connected to the accuracy of the dam inflow prediction. It is recommended to consider underestimation of the inflow prediction when it is used for operations. Futhermore, for accuracy enhancement of the predicted dam inflow, it is more effective to focus on improving a seasonal weather forecasting rather than a rainfall-runoff model.

Assessment of water supply reliability under climate stress scenarios (기후 스트레스 시나리오에 따른 국내 다목적댐 이수안전도 평가)

  • Jo, Jihyeon;Woo, Dong Kook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.6
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    • pp.409-419
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    • 2024
  • Climate change is already impacting sustainable water resource management. The influence of climate change on water supply from reservoirs has been generally assessed using climate change scenarios generated based on global climate models. However, inherent uncertainties exist due to the limitations of estimating climate change by assuming IPCC carbon emission scenarios. The decision scaling approach was applied to mitigate these issues in this study focusing on four reservoir watersheds: Chungju, Yongdam, Hapcheon, and Seomjingang reservoirs. The reservoir water supply reliablity was analyzed by combining the rainfall-runoff model (IHACRES) and the reservoir operation model based on HEC-ResSim. Water supply reliability analysis was aimed at ensuring the stable operation of dams, and its results ccould be utilized to develop either structural or non-structural water supply plans. Therefore, in this study, we aimed to assess potential risks that might arise during the operation of reserviors under various climate conditions. Using observed precipitation and temperature from 1995 to 2014, 49 climate stress scenarios were developed (7 precipitation scenarios based on quantiles and 7 temperature scenarios ranging from 0℃ to 6℃ at 1℃ intervals). Our study demonstrated that despite an increase in flood season precipitation leading to an increase in reservoir discharge, it had a greater impact on sustainable water management compared to the increase in non-flood season precipitation. Furthermore, in scenarios combining rainfall and temperature, the reliability of reservoir water supply showed greater variations than the sum of individual reliability changes in rainfall and temperature scenarios. This difference was attributed to the opposing effects of decreased and increased precipitation, each causing limitations in water and energy-limited evapotranspiration. These results were expected to enhance the efficiency of reservoir operation.

Analysis of Slope Stability Considering the Saturation Depth Ratio by Rainfall Infiltration in Unsaturated Soil (불포화토 내 강우침투에 따른 포화깊이비를 고려한 사면안정해석)

  • Chae, Byung-Gon;Park, Kyu-Bo;Park, Hyuck-Jin;Choi, Jung-Hae;Kim, Man-Il
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.343-351
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    • 2012
  • This study proposes a modified equation to calculate the factor of safety for an infinite slope considering the saturation depth ratio as a new variable calculated from rainfall infiltration into unsaturated soil. For the proposed equation, this study introduces the concepts of the saturation depth ratio and subsurface flow depth. Analysis of the factor of safety for an infinite slope is conducted by the sequential calculation of the effective upslope contributing area, subsurface flow depth, and the saturation depth ratio based on quasi-dynamic wetness index theory. The calculation process makes it possible to understand changes in the factor of safety and the infiltration behavior of individual rainfall events. This study analyzes stability changes in an infinite slope, considering the saturation depth ratio of soil, based on the proposed equation and the results of soil column tests performed by Park et al. (2011 a). The analysis results show that changes in the factor of safety are dependent on the saturation depth ratio, which reflects the rainfall infiltration into unsaturated weathered gneiss soil. Under continuous rainfall with intensities of 20 and 50 mm/h, the time taken for the factor of safety to decrease to less than 1.3 was 2.86-5.38 hours and 1.34-2.92 hours, respectively; in the case of repeated rainfall events, the time taken was between 3.27 and 5.61 hours. The results demonstrate that it is possible to understand changes in the factor of safety for an infinite slope dependent on the saturation depth ratio.

A study of Assessment for Internal Inundation Vulnerability in Urban Area using SWMM (SWMM을 이용한 도시지역 내수침수 취약성 평가)

  • Shon, Tae-Seok;Kang, Dong-Ho;Jang, Jong-Kyung;Shin, Hyun-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.105-117
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    • 2010
  • The topographical depressions in urban areas, the lack in drainage capability, sewage backward flow, road drainage, etc. cause internal inundation, and the increase in rainfall resulting from recent climate change, the rapid urbanization accompanied by economic development and population growth, and the increase in an impervious area in urban areas deteriorate the risk of internal inundation in the urban areas. In this study, the vulnerability of internal inundation in urban areas is analyzed and SWMM model is applied into Oncheoncheon watershed, which represents urban river of Busan, as a target basin. Based on the results, the representative storm sewers in individual sub-catchments is selected and the risk of vulnerability to internal inundation due to rainfall in urban streams is analyzed. In order to analyze the risk and vulnerability of internal inundation, capacity is applied as an index indicating the volume of a storm sewer in the SWMM model, and the risk of internal inundation is into 4 steps. For the analysis on the risk of internal inundation, simulation results by using a SMMM model are compared with the actual inundation areas resulting from localized heavy rain on July 7, 2009 at Busan and comparison results are analyzed to prove the validity of the designed model. Accordingly, probabilistic rainfall at Busan was input to the model for each frequency (10, 20, 50, 100 years) and duration (6, 12, 18, 24hr) at Busan. In this study, it suggests that the findings can be used to preliminarily alarm the possibility of internal inundation and selecting the vulnerable zones in urban areas.

An Empirical Model for Forecasting Alternaria Leaf Spot in Apple (사과 점무늬낙엽병(斑點落葉病)예찰을 위한 한 경험적 모델)

  • Kim, Choong-Hoe;Cho, Won-Dae;Kim, Seung-Chul
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.25 no.4 s.69
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 1986
  • An empirical model to predict initial disease occurrence and subsequent progress of Alternaria leaf spot was constructed based on the modified degree day temperature and frequency of rainfall in three years field experiments. Climatic factors were analized 10-day bases, beginning April 20 to the end of August, and were used as variables for model construction. Cumulative degree portion (CDP) that is over $10^{\circ}C$ in the daily average temperature was used as a parameter to determine the relationship between temperature and initial disease occurrence. Around one hundred and sixty of CDP was needed to initiate disease incidence. This value was considered as temperature threshhold. After reaching 160 CDP, time of initial occurrence was determined by frequency of rainfall. At least four times of rainfall were necessary to be accumulated for initial occurrence of the disease after passing temperature threshhold. Disease progress after initial incidence generally followed the pattern of frequency of rainfall accumulated in those periods. Apparent infection rate (r) in the general differential equation dx/dt=xr(1-x) for individual epidemics when x is disease proportion and t is time, was a linear function of accumulation rate of rainfall frequency (Rc) and was able to be directly estimated based on the equation r=1.06Rc-0.11($R^2=0.993$). Disease severity (x) after t time could be predicted using exponential equation $[x/(1-x)]=[x_0/(1-x)]e^{(b_0+b_1R_c)t}$ derived from the differential equation, when $x_0$ is initial disease, $b_0\;and\;b_1$ are constants. There was a significant linear relationship between disease progress and cumulative number of air-borne conidia of Alternaria mali. When the cumulative number of air-borne conidia was used as an independent variable to predict disease severity, accuracy of prediction was poor with $R^2=0.3328$.

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