• Title/Summary/Keyword: incidient

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Development of an incident impact analysis system using short-term traffic forecasts (단기예측기법을 이용한 연속류 유고영향 분석시스템)

  • Yu, Jeong-Whon;Kim, Ji-Hoon
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2010
  • Predictive information on the freeway incident impacts can be a critical criterion in selecting travel options for users and in operating transportation system for operators. Provided properly, users can select time-effective route and operators can effectively run the system efficiently. In this study, a model is proposed to predict freeway incident impacts. The predictive model for incident impacts is based on short-term prediction. The proposed models are examined using MARE. The analysis results suggest that the models are accurate enough to be deployed in a real-world. The development of microscopic models to predict incident effects is expected to help minimize traffic delay and mitigate related social costs.