• Title/Summary/Keyword: import substitution effects

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Economic effect analysis of flame retardant aluminum screen development

  • Park, Bum-Soon;Han, Chung-Soo;Kang, Tae-Hwan;Lee, Hee-Sook
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.496-505
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the economic effects of a flame retardant aluminum screen developed by a company Economic effects were analyzed in terms of micro and macro-economic aspects. In the macro-economic aspect, economic effects were analyzed under the assumptions that the total import volume of flame retardant aluminum screen was approximately $50m^2$ in 2015 and that possible import substitution rates were 100%, 80%, and 60%. Results showed economic values of 2.25 billion won (100% import substitution rates), 1.8 billion won (80% import substitution rates), and 1.35 billion won (60% import substitution rates). If existing farms which had been using imported flame retardant aluminum screen replaced it newly developed with the flame-retardant aluminum screen developed in this study at rates of 100%, 80%, and 60%, the farms could save 750 million won, 60 million won, and 45 million won, respectively. Furthermore, the social cost savings from fire prevention could be 1.184 billion won. In the micro-economic aspect, if a farm with a typical-size ($1,000m^2$) greenhouse growing red pepper wanted to install flame retardant aluminum screen instead of generic aluminum screen, the farm may only pay an additional cost of 720,000 won. In comparison, if the farm chose fire insurance instead of flame-retardant aluminum screen, then the farm would pay 21,000,000 won for fire insurance. The above results show that the economic effect of flame retardant aluminum screen developed by the company would be be very efficient compared to the imported one.

Analysis on the inhibitory effects of frozen pepper imports from China by tariff-rate quota, a trade policy tool using a structural equation model

  • Hong, Seungjee;Han, Sukho;Jang, Heesoo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.337-347
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    • 2020
  • Since 2012, despite the fact that tariff rate quotas (TRQ) in the form of dried peppers has not been imported, the imports of pepper-related items such as low- tariff frozen peppers (27%) and other sauces (45%) have increased, there has been a problem in the domestic pepper industry, in which the domestic self-sufficiency rate has declined. The purpose of this study was to find out whether the operation of chili pepper TRQ has the effect of suppressing the imports of pepper-related items from China. We analyzed the import substitution effect (import suppression effect) through causal analysis of the imports of red pepper TRQ, frozen peppers, and other sauces using the structural equation model analysis method. As a result of the hypothetical scenario analysis, when the government imports and releases 7,185 tons of pepper TRQ in 2019/20 (scenario), private imports were estimated to decrease by only 3,060 tons. In other words, the import substitution effect between imported items was estimated to decrease about 2,079 tons of private dried peppers, and about 981 tons of imported pepper-related items. There was an effect of suppressing the imports of pepper-related items such as frozen peppers, but it was analyzed to be insignificant. That reason was that the replacement substitution elasticity of the pepper-related items for TRQ import was less than 1 (inelastic). Therefore, it is judged that the government's operation of the pepper TRQ is preferably focused on stabilizing domestic prices rather than focusing on import control of pepper-related items.

Socio-economic Repercussion Effects of Technological Information Activities (기술정보활동의 사회경제적 기여효과 분석)

  • 박현우;김진욱
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.96-109
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    • 2001
  • The aim of this paper is to analyse the impacts on domestic production, value added, employment and import substitution of national technological information activities, using the 1995 Input-Output Tables in Korea. The total output of technological information amounted to 4,167 billion won at current prices. The total domestic output of 2,318 billion won was generated directly and indirectly and the amount of value added totaled 3,773 billion won. 119 thousand new jobs were created and total import substitution amounted to 1,346 billion won. As an increase of 4,167 billion won in technological information sector led to an increase of 7,437 billion won in total socio-economic repercussion effects, the multiplier was 1.8 in 1995.

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A Study on Estimation of Economic Effects on Mining Products Import Substitution Using Macroeconometric Input-Output Model (거시계량투입산출 모형을 이용한 광산품 수입대체의 경제적 효과 추정 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Whan;Lee, Kyung-Han;Kim, Yoon Kyung
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.237-246
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    • 2014
  • In this study, it is estimated how many changes of macroeconomic variables are happened under the proposition of import substitution of mining products 1% using macroeconometric input-output model. For this, used macroeconometric input-output model is composed of 141 behavioral equations representing the macroeconomy structure. In general, macroeconometrics models are constructed mainly on the side of the expenditure then it is not easy to estimate the effects of the shocks occurred from industry level. To mitigate that, this study tries to construct a macroeconometric input-output model. Macroeconometrics model which is useful to estimate the effects of macroeconomic shocks, economic policy and more, in this study, is linked with input-output table through the NDI(national disposable income) derived from compensation of employee. And this paper presents the estimation results of import substitution effects of mining products on Korean economy. As a results, GDP is increased 0.00073%, gross labor employed 0.00029%, current balanace 0.00010% and unemployment rate is mitigated 0.00233%.

Economic Analysis for Standardization R&D of Urban Rail System (도시철도 표준화 연구개발사업의 경제성 분석)

  • Chung, Choong-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.1694-1714
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    • 2007
  • This study is to estimate economic benefits of Standardization R&D of Urban Rail System. Benefit was to be realized through standardization of main areas such as train vehicle, railway, power system, and signal system. To derive and calculate the quantitative benefit, the sources of economic impact was divided into three dimensions -operational cost savings, import substitution, and safety effects. Economic effect of the standardization was categorized based on a modified BSC model. Economic benefits from time and labor savings are converted into cost savings. Import substitution and investment multiplier effect have a positive impact in addition to cost savings. The estimation of the standardization R&D of Urban Rail System was conservatively estimated 370 billion Won. Cost effectiveness of standardized safety system was conservatively translated into economic benefit in this analysis. This study provides a practical guide to economic evaluation of the various railway R&D projects.

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The Spill-over Effects of Domestic Production of Light Rail Transit (경량전철 국산화의 경제적 파급효과)

  • Lee, Yeon-Ho;Rhee, Young-Seop;Cho, Taek-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.424-432
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents theoretical explanations about the spill-over effects of domestic production of light rail transit and empirically investigates its effects on output, value-added and employment in the Korean economy. We distinguish net gains of domestic production from gross effects that bring about whether localized or imported cars are used. The input-output analysis is employed to fully capture the interaction among various industries involved. The empirical results reveal that net gains of domestic production such as import substitution, improvement of trade balances, and increase in output, value-added and employment are enormous. The cost reduction in construction, E&M systems, cars, management, and tariff and transportation is also significant.

Illegal Transactions and Import Restriction Policy (불법거래행위(不法去來行爲)와 수입제한정책(輸入制限政策))

  • Lee, Hong-gue
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 1990
  • Illegal transactions such as blackmarketing and smuggling allegedly result from too restrictive trade policies. A recent U.S. Senate hearing on the blackmarketing of American goods imported into Korea for the purpose of supporting United States troops and their dependents stationed in Korea concluded with the allegation that Korea's highly restrictive trade practices are responsible for the emergence of the black market. It has also suggested that the removal of such restrictive trade policies would eliminate black market activities. This study addresses the relationship between trade policy and blackmarketing by investigating whether trade liberalization results in the reduction of illegal transactions, and whether the eradication of blackmarketing indeed improves social welfare. When both legally imported goods and illegally exchanged items command the same price, trade liberalization, meaning a decrease in tariff rates or an increase in import quotas, will increase the quantity of legal imports at the expense of illegally transacted goods on the black market. But the price of legally imported goods usually differs from that of illegally sold ones. In this case, a change in the relative prices of these two groups of goods due to a change in trade policy will give rise to income, as well as substitution, effects. Initially, a decrease in the import price due to a decrease in import tax rates or an increase in the allotted quota will reduce illegal transactions, since the decrease in the import price will induce the substitution of legal imports for illegally exchanged, but otherwise, identical goods. On the other hand, the demand for the illegally transacted goods will rise, because of the income effect of the reduced import price. Thus, assuming the positive income effect overwhelms the negative substitution effect, the demand for illegal goods will increase, thwarting the reduction of blackmarketing through trade liberalization. Yet, stepping up the enforcement measures which are geared to preventing blackmarketing itself will drastically reduce the extent of illegal transactions, since it increases the cost of blackmarketing and hence the price of the illegally transacted goods. What this study suggests is that the emergence of the black market in Korea should be attributed more to the excessive supply of duty-free goods imported through U.S. commissaries and exchanges than to the excessive demand for foreign goods. On the other hand, blackmarketing, in most cases, improves economic welfare, since it constitutes an increase in the "actual" amount of imported goods. Suppressing blackmarketing through stepped-up enforcement methods is beneficial only when the substitution effect of the legally transacted goods resulting from the increase in the price of the illegal goods prevails, since the increase in the demand for legal imports must override the decrease in the demand for black market goods as well as the negative income effect.

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The Estimation of the Economic Effect on a Full Cycle Technology Development of Metal Mineral Resources (금속광물자원의 전주기 기술개발에 따른 경제적 효과 추정)

  • Kim, Shin-Jong;Kim, Dok-Han;Park, Jung-Gu
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.345-375
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    • 2009
  • In this paper we examined the impact of mineral resources industry on the national economy and necessity of a mineral resources cycle technology development. For this purpose, the case study on Gagok polymetallic (zinc-lead-copper) mine, which is being re-developed, was carried out to study an anticipated effects of application of the full cycle technology. As a consequences of the study, if we apply the technology to a polymetallic (zinc-lead-cooper) mine, we can expect 55 billion won worth of import-substitution effect. Moreover, if applied to 10 similar mines, we can expect the 10.4% of import-substitution effect of the total imports annually. Also, national competitiveness in value chain of mineral industry will be promoted through the technological advancement in upper stream and the full cycle technology will render a service to the mineral industry to be the country's new growth engine.

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An Analysis on Effect of Government-funded Research Program - Case of Energy Conservation Technology Research Program - (정부연구개발사업의 파급효과 분석 - 에너지절약기술개발사업의 사례)

  • 허은녕;배위섭;이영수
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.152-166
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    • 2002
  • This study analyzes effects of the government-funded energy conservation technology research program using a simple calculation-based valuation method. Energy conservation amounts by 50 commercialized technologies are calculated and then transformed to energy conservation effect and pollution reduction effect. Export and import-substitution effects are also calculated. Empirical results show that effectiveness of the research program has been increasing rapidly after 1996 while research fund has not. We suggest rapid increase of government support of this program so that the goal of the research program can be reached.

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Cost-benefit analysis of public investment on aircraft design assurance infrastructure (중형항공기 설계검증·인프라구축과 인증기개발의 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Yi, Jae-Kyung;Kim, Myeong-Kyun;Kim, Yong-Min;Lee, Tae-Hee;Kim, Do-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.38 no.9
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    • pp.900-906
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    • 2010
  • We analyse benefits and costs of investment on the assurance of aircraft design and development of related infrastructure. Although the discounted cash flow from the sales of aircrafts is found to be smaller than the amount of required investment, the net present value considering the effects of export increase, import substitution, and the accident cost reduction is very high. This justifies governmental investment, for the effects are not easily appropriated by private investors.