• 제목/요약/키워드: implications on government policy

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An Analysis of Macro Aspects Caused by Protectionism in Korea

  • Kim, Yuri;Kim, Kyunghun
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - The global trend of protectionism has expanded since the onset of US President Donald Trump's administration in 2017. This global phenomenon has led to a significant reduction in world trade volume and a negative impact on economic development in some countries where the external sector accounts for a large proportion of GDP. Although Korea is a country vulnerable to this deteriorating trade environment, few studies have examined the relationship between protectionism and its business cycles based on Korean data. Thus, this paper investigates the impact of protectionism on Korea's business cycle. Design/methodology - To identify future implications, we conduct a structural vector autoregression (VAR) analysis using monthly Korean data from 1994 to 2015. Macroeconomic variables in the model include the industrial production index, inflation rates, exports (or net exports), interest rates, and exchange rates. For the identification of the shock reflecting the expansion of protectionism, we use an antidumping investigation (ADI) data. Since ADIs are followed generally by the imposition of antidumping tariffs, they have no contemporaneous impact on tariffs and are also contemporaneously exogenous to other endogenous variables in the VAR model. We examine two kinds of ADI shocks i) shocks on Korean exports imposed by Korea's trading partners (ADI-imposed shocks) and ii) shocks on imports imposed by the Korean government (ADI-imposing shocks). Findings - We find that Korea's exports decline sharply due to ADI-imposed shocks; the lowest point at the third month after the initial shock; and do not recover until 24 months later. Simultaneously, the inflation rate decreases. Therefore, the ADI-imposed shock can be regarded as a negative shock on the demand curve where both production and price decrease. In contrast, the ADI-imposing shock generates a different response. The net exports decline, but the inflation rate increases. These can be seen as standard responses with respect to the negative shock on the supply curve. Originality/value - We shed light on the relationship between protectionism and Korea's economic fluctuations, which is rarely addressed in previous studies. We also consider the effects of both protective policy measures on imports to Korea imposed by the Korean government and on policy measures imposed by Korea's trading partner countries on its exports.

IMF 이후 발생한 실업자의 실업탈피 가능성 결정요인에 관한 연구 : 콕스 비례위험 회귀분석 모형을 이용한 실증분석 (Determinants of Reemployment after the Economic Crisis in 1997 : An Empirical Approach Using the Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Model)

  • 유태균
    • 한국사회복지학
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    • 제39권
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    • pp.210-237
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    • 1999
  • 이 연구는 IMF 이후의 대량실업 상황하에서 실업자의 실업탈피 가능성에 영향을 미치는 요인을 알아보고자 시도하였으며, 특히 정부의 실업대책이 실제로 실업자의 실업탈피 가능성에 어떤 영향을 미치는지를 실증적으로 알아보았다. 한국보건사회연구원과 한국노동연구원이 공동으로 실시한 '1998 실업실태 및 복지욕구조사' 자료에 대한 콕스 비례위험회귀(Cox Proportional Hazards Regression) 분석을 실시한 결과, 정부의 실업대책이 실업탈피 가능성에 미치는 영향은 분석대상의 실업탈피 유형에 따라 다르게 나타남을 발견하였다. 정부의 실업대책 이외에도 실업자와 실업가구의 인구, 사회 및 경제적 특성, 이전 직장관련 특성, 그리고 생계유지수단이 실업탈피 가능성에 미치는 영향을 분석하였으며, 연구결과를 바탕으로 보다 효과적인 실업대책을 마련하는 데 도움이 될 수 있는 정책방안을 제시하였다.

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A Study on Zero Pay Image Recognition Using Big Data Analysis

  • Kim, Myung-He;Ryu, Ki-Hwan
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.193-204
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    • 2022
  • The 2018 Seoul Zero Pay is a policy actively promoted by the government as an economic stimulus package for small business owners and the self-employed who are experiencing economic depression due to COVID-19. However, the controversy over the effectiveness of Zero Pay continues even after two years have passed since the implementation of the policy. Zero Pay is a joint QR code mobile payment service introduced by the government, Seoul city, financial companies, and private simple payment providers to reduce the burden of card merchant fees for small business owners and self-employed people who are experiencing economic difficulties due to the economic downturn., it was attempted in the direction of economic revitalization for the return of alleyways[1]. Therefore, this study intends to draw implications for improvement measures so that the ongoing zero-pay can be further activated and the economy can be settled normally. The analysis results of this study are as follows. First, it shows the effect of increasing the income of small business owners by inducing consumption in alleyways through the economic revitalization policy of Zero Pay. Second, the issuance and distribution of Zero Pay helps to revitalize the local economy and contribute to the establishment of a virtuous cycle system. Third, stable operation is being realized by the introduction of blockchain technology to the Zero Pay platform. In terms of academic significance, the direction of Zero Pay's policies and systems was able to identify changes in the use of Zero Pay through big data analysis. The implementation of the zero-pay policy is in its infancy, and there are limitations in factors for examining the consumer image perception of zero-pay as there are insufficient prior studies. Therefore, continuous follow-up research on Zero Pay should be conducted.

한국 지역정보화 추진체계 개선에 관한 연구: 지능정보사회의 지역균형발전을 중심으로 (A study on the Regional Informatization Policy Implementation System in Korea)

  • 진상기
    • 정보화정책
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.67-90
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 지역정보화추진체계 발전모형을 제시하고자 참여관찰, 문헌연구, 법제도분석, 전문가 인터뷰 등을 통해 다양한 자료를 수집 정리하고 이를 바탕으로 전문가를 대상으로 계층분석(AHP)을 실시하였다. 그 결과를 요약해 보면 지역정보화 추진의 정책관계개선, 집행조직구조 개선, 정책환경 개선, 그리고 정책내용의 개선 필요성 순으로 정책대안의 가중치가 도출되었다. 이는 향후 지역정보화 정책추진체계 개편논의에 있어 이를 고려할 필요가 있음을 의미한다. 본 연구는 응답자 속성분석을 통해 정책 참여자들의 이해관계에 따라 정책대안에 대한 가중치가 달라짐을 설명할 수 있었다. 이를 통해 지역정보화 정책의 형성과정에 학술적으로 논의되고 있는 정책네트워크 모형의 적용 가능성을 볼 수 있었다. 본 연구의 정책적 시사점으로 지자체의 지역정보화 추진에 있어서 자율성확보와 이를 지원하기 위한 중앙정부와의 상호 협력이 강화되어야 함이 도출되었다. 동시에 지역정보화 정책의 정책적 중요성을 재정립하고 이를 수행하기 위한 집행조직의 권한과 역할에 대한 위상 강화 필요성 등으로 정리할 수 있었다. 나아가 본 연구는 지역주민들의 삶과 경제활동, 문화 등의 전반에 영향을 주는 정책으로 지역정보화정책을 좀 더 광의 개념으로 정의 할 필요가 있고 이를 통해 지역정보화정책의 정부내 가치 및 중요성이 재평가 될 수 있음을 강조하였다. 또한 소관법률과 소관부처가 달라 발생하는 지역정보화정책의 비효율성을 최소화하기 위한 법안 정비와 부처간 상호협력 강화를 위한 제도개선의 필요성을 강조하였다.

IPA를 활용한 보육지원서비스에 대한 창업성장 단계별 개선방안 (Improvement of Supporting Services of Business Incubators by the Entrepreneurship Growth Stages Based on the IPA)

  • 이현아;유미;권대규
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제46권spc호
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2023
  • The government focuses on promoting start-ups, fostering ventures, and creating an ecosystem of start-ups through the formation of a strong growth environment for small businesses. This study provides academic and practical implications about ways of improving our business incubator's support service across stages of growth through IPA. To this end, an Importance-Performance Analysis (IPA) was conducted to analyze relationship and differences in importance and satisfaction of business incubator's support service support at business incubation center. These results present to provide the following academic and practical implications. The academic implications are the need for differences in support services for each phase of start-up growth. As factors that could increase the likelihood of successful start-up were identified in each phase of the start-up growth, important information needed for policy and strategy was provided. As a practical suggestion, the managers and expert groups are presented with sections to be opened for each start-up growth stage, minimum effort input, and areas to be maintained continuously. A systematic support plan is established and a foundation is provided for improvement measures in efficient start-up business incubator's support service.

CFPR법을 활용한 북극정책 우선순위 평가에 관한 연구 -해양수산부 정책을 중심으로 (A Study on the Evaluation of Arctic Policy Priorities Using the CFPR Method-Focused on Policy of the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries)

  • 최수범;박성훈;김동명;이해찬;여기태
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.253-263
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    • 2020
  • 북극해 관련 정부정책의 경우 해양수산부에서 제시된 "북극활동 진흥 기본계획"이 있으나, 구체적인 정책 집행의 순위 및 가중치 등이 제시되어 있지 않아 정책집행의 시기조절 및 경중을 고려하기에 어려움이 있다. 이러한 측면에서 본 연구에서는 정부에서 제시한 북극정책의 우선순위를 평가하는 것을 연구의 목적으로 하였다. 또한 북극정책의 원활한 수행을 위한 "지원방안" 및 "대외협력 방안"에 대해서도 우선순위를 제시하였다. 연구의 방법론은 전문가 의견을 종합적으로 평가할 수 있는 CFPR(Consistent Fuzzy Preference Relations) 방법을 활용하였다. 분석결과 해양수산부의 가장 중요한 북극정책은 '북극항로 개척 등 해운물류 협력'(0.087)이며, '전문인력 양성'(0.086), '제도적 기반 및 청사진 마련'(0.085) 순으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과는 북극해 관련 정책입안자 혹은 당국의 정책수립에 시사점을 제공할 수 있다.

스마트교육의 정책 분석을 통한 추진 전략 및 과제 발굴의 시사점 : 정책 특징, 역사적 접근, 정책 내용을 중심으로 (Implications For Strategies And Finding Subjects Through Policy Analysis of SMART Education: Characteristics of Policy, Historical Approach, Contents Analysis)

  • 김영록
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제11권11호
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 스마트교육정책의 태동 배경을 밝히고, 스마트교육정책이 가지고 있는 정책적 특징을 분석하여 정책과제와 정책 방향을 제시하고자 하였다. 먼저 스마트교육정책은 배분 정책의 유형에 따른 특성을 가지고 있다. 둘째, 스마트교육정책은 다른 정책에 비해 정책의 유형적인 정도(tangibility)가 매우 큰 편이며, 정책 효과(impact)에 대한 검증이 필요한 단계라고 할 수 있다. 셋째 스마트교육정책은 그동안 우리나라에서 1996년부터 추진되어온 교육정보화 종합 발전 방안의 역사적, 맥락적 동질성을 계승한 정책으로 향후 정책 추진에 있어서도 이에 기반한 추진전략이 필요하다. 넷째, 스마트교육정책은급변하는 정책 환경에 발맞추어 정책 추진에 있어서도 큰 폭의 유연성을 확보하여야 할 것이다. 따라서 과학적 정책 설계와 전략적 투자가 이루어져야 하고, 정책 오류 사례 등을 관리하여 향후 정책 설계에 활용할 필요가 있다.

중소기업 수출지원 사업 활용 현황 및 개선방안에 관한 연구: 전라북도 지역을 중심으로 (A Study on the Improvement Measures for Export Support Projects for SMEs in Jeollabuk-do)

  • 한방울;김민호
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.387-399
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to review the export support projects in Jeollabuk-do and to provide implications to the policy makers and to the local exporters. Based on this review, the study proposes future measures to enhance the efficiency of the current Jeollabuk-do export support project. Design/methodology/approach - This study reviews export support projects in Jeollabuk-do, d examines program types and utilization status, and subsequently summarizes the key aspects of Jeollabuk-do SMEs' export support projects. Findings - This study suggests that Jeollabuk-do's export support project can become more effective through active development of overseas markets and professional integration of marketing activities, particularly focusing on regionally specialized export products. Additionally, given the crucial roles played by the government, related agencies, and local offices in improving the export capabilities of SMEs in Jeollabuk-do, there is an emphasis on the need for continuous and systematic follow-up management and the establishment of export support projects and services. Research implications or Originality - While small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Korea account for a significant portion of export activities, their actual export performance and contribution are low. The export competitiveness of SMEs, particularly those located in regions other than Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, is not improving despite various export support projects being promoted. Under the circumstances, this study provide meaningful implications to the policy makers and to the local exporters.

The Effect of Two-Dimensional Factor on Municipal Civil Servants' Job Satisfaction and Public Policy Implications

  • Phuong, Nguyen Ngoc Duy;Khuong, Mai Ngoc;Phuc, Le Huu;Dong, Le Nguyen Thanh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of two-dimensional factor of motivators and hygiene on civil servants' job satisfaction using the partial least square structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) as a technique employed to analyze the measurement and structural models. Exploratory study was deployed to evaluate the relationship among variables. By using multistage stratified sampling, statistical data was collected from a survey of 441 public municipal civil servants who have employed in various levels (municipal government, districts and communes) in Vietnam. The findings provided evidence that hygiene factors (relationship with leader, salary, relationship with coworker and working environment) directly impact on civil servants' job satisfaction. Meanwhile, only career development factor from motivators significantly influenced on public employee's job satisfaction. Based on the empirical results, the hygiene factors of job satisfaction are more dominated that the motivators one. This finding suggests that municipal governments should focus policies on improving the hygiene factors which lead to higher job satisfaction on civil servants. Gaining a thorough understanding of the determinants of job satisfaction toward municipal public servants will enable policy makers to grasp the factors that results in retaining employees. Finally, the policy makers can use this knowledge to promote civil servants' job satisfaction.

기술개발지원 조세제도의 효과와 정책 시사점 (The Effectiveness of Tax Incentive Policy on R&D Expenditures)

  • 송종국
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.181-205
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    • 1997
  • There has been considerable controversy over the impacts of the tax credit on R&D expenditures in many countries. Korea has adopted various kinds of tax credit system to stimulate private firm' R&D expenditures. Korean government, Recently, is trying to reform tax system to reduce tax credit programmes according to Uruguay Round agreement and in line with OECD policy standards. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effectiveness of current tax credit system on technology innovation in Korea and derive some policy implications over tax reform. In this paper, firstly, I investigate the size of tax reduction effects from each program in theoretical models and simulate the actual rate of individual tax incentive to a unit of R&D expenditure. I find that theoretically the reserve fund for technology development program has given the largest tax reduction effects to private firms irrespective of the R&D incentive system reform. Tax credit on R&D expenditure also has been very effective instrument to firm's tax reduction. Secondly, I try to measure the effectiveness of tax credit through the estimation of effective margianl tax rate between with the system and without the system of credit on R&D expenditure during the tax credit reform periods. I find that the tax credit on R&D has lowered firm's investment cost since the system introduced. I also have strong results that there has been a positive relation between the fluctuation of firm's R&D expenditure and the change of effective marginal tax rate. I suggest that it is better to sustain the system of tax credit on R&D for a while to increase firm's R&D expenditure.

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